日経サタデー ニュースの疑問 2024年10月12日 10・27総選挙展望 識者が読む最新情勢
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00:00TOSHIKAWA TAKAO
00:11Good morning.
00:13Today is October 12th.
00:14We have a question from Nikkei Saturday News.
00:16Let me introduce today's guest.
00:20He is Toshikawa Takao, an international journalist
00:23who is familiar with the political situation in Japan and abroad.
00:26Nice to meet you.
00:28He is Hiroshi Shiratori, a professor at Hosei University
00:32who specializes in modern political analysis in Japan.
00:35Nice to meet you.
00:38He is Takuya Yokobori, a member of the political department of TV Tokyo.
00:42Nice to meet you.
00:45Let's take a look at today's topic.
00:50Here it is.
00:51Let's take a look at the general election of the Tokai vote on October 27th.
00:55The result of the general election will determine the outcome of the election.
01:00So I'd like to talk about the future of the election today.
01:04The future of the general election.
01:08First of all, it is the debut of a foreign company to drive safely.
01:12The foreign company's debut was also successful.
01:14It is moving with a busy schedule.
01:16Mr. Yamaguchi, here it is.
01:18What is the real winning line?
01:22Mr. Ishiba also said that his goal is to get a majority by himself.
01:29But if he can't get a majority by himself,
01:32even if he gets a majority by himself,
01:34he may cause a stir in the People's Party.
01:37So I'd like to talk about that today.
01:40And there was big news yesterday.
01:43Yes, it's good news.
01:45The Japan Nucleic Acid Bomb Victims Association, which has been advocating for the disposal of nuclear weapons since October,
01:50has won the Nobel Peace Prize.
01:54This is really good news.
01:56They've been doing a lot of work.
01:59And the reason for the Nobel Peace Prize is that
02:04the nuclear bomb hasn't been detonated for nearly 80 years.
02:08There was a statement that it contributed to that.
02:11In that sense, it's really good news.
02:14Mr. Toshikawa, what did you think of it?
02:17It's really good news.
02:20Through the two summits,
02:23Mr. Kishida strongly advocated for a nuclear-free world.
02:27In a sense, this is the result of the root of the grass.
02:32But to put it simply,
02:34Korea won the Nobel Peace Prize in literature.
02:37In terms of the Peace Prize,
02:39Mr. Sato Esaki won it a long time ago.
02:42But even in Korea, Mr. Kishida won it.
02:45I wonder if there is such a regional consideration.
02:50I see.
02:51Mr. Shiratori, what do you think?
02:53I taught at Nagasaki when I was young,
02:56so I know very well that these people were doing it very seriously.
03:01In fact, I was studying abroad in Oslo.
03:04There is a memorial museum for the Nobel Peace Prize.
03:10I think it's a good thing that after Mr. Sato,
03:13these Japanese people will remain.
03:18It's an honorable thing.
03:20The timing of the international situation,
03:23Russia has been threatening nuclear weapons for a long time,
03:26and even in the Middle East,
03:28there is talk that Israel is a nuclear facility in Iran.
03:31Is that reflected in the situation?
03:33That's right.
03:34In the current situation in the world,
03:36the threat to nuclear weapons is increasing.
03:39On the other hand, as the only war-threatening country,
03:44I think it makes sense to pay attention to Japan's contribution.
03:48Yes.
03:49Then, after this is a special report.
03:51We will look at the whereabouts of the election campaign after that.
03:59I think it was a valuable opportunity to strongly express Japan's position.
04:06Yesterday, after the inauguration of the prime minister,
04:09the first foreign visit was held.
04:11The ASEAN-Southeast Asian Nations General Assembly,
04:15etc.
04:16Prime Minister Ishiba looked back at a series of foreign affairs.
04:22This week was a day to ask for his ability as a prime minister.
04:28I have always said that we need to respond properly
04:33to the public's distrust and anger
04:37over the issue of political funds.
04:48On the 6th,
04:49the so-called Vice-Prime Minister,
04:51who was seen to be recognized as a principle at one time,
04:55changed his mind and issued a policy of non-recognition.
05:01On the 9th,
05:02a debate was held for 80 minutes.
05:07I think the prime minister said that it was a considerable degree of non-recognition.
05:12I think there are more than 30 people who are recognized.
05:16To be precise,
05:17a considerable degree of non-recognition, isn't it?
05:21He says it's not enough.
05:22He says it's not enough.
05:23How severe is it?
05:25How painful is it for each person?
05:29Is it too sweet?
05:30Is it too much?
05:31I don't think about such things at all.
05:36The Japanese Foreign Affairs Council's representative, Baba,
05:39was asked if he would decide on recognition and non-recognition
05:42in the next presidential election.
05:46Prime Minister Ishiba said he would not respond differently
05:49in the next presidential election.
05:54Representative Tamaki of the National Democratic Party
05:57was asked not to use the production activity fee in this election,
06:02but Prime Minister Ishiba said he would use it appropriately
06:05in the scope allowed by the law.
06:09It was a serious debate on the stance of politics and money.
06:15Dismiss the congressman.
06:24After the debate, the congressman was dismissed.
06:28He rushed to the actual election.
06:34This dismissal is a dismissal of Japan.
06:38It is an attempt by the Japanese government
06:41to expand the flow of people and goods to the regions
06:44and to change the Japanese society
06:47that promotes digitalization.
06:53Prime Minister Ishiba wants this dismissal
06:56to be placed like this in the election,
06:59but the issue of the non-recognition of the congressman
07:02is still in the air.
07:06Yesterday, three people, including Mr. Sugita,
07:09who rejected the proposal for the non-recognition of the congressman,
07:12were dismissed.
07:14The non-recognition of the congressman
07:16includes 15 people.
07:19There is no explanation.
07:22I don't know why I was dismissed.
07:25I am confused.
07:29The non-recognition of the congressman
07:32has raised a lot of dissatisfaction among the congressmen.
07:35Some think that he will withdraw after the election.
07:41What is the evaluation of the Ishiba administration so far?
07:48Also, this week,
07:50attention was drawn to Prime Minister Ishiba's foreign policy debut.
07:53From the 10th,
07:55Prime Minister Ishiba met with the leaders of each country,
07:58such as Korea and China,
08:00in addition to the ASEAN General Assembly.
08:06At first, it was said that each country was cautious
08:09about the ASEAN-style NATO,
08:12which is the Prime Minister's own theory,
08:15but this time,
08:17there was no delay in strengthening relations with each country.
08:21Prime Minister Ishiba has safely made his foreign policy debut,
08:24but will he be able to win the upcoming general election
08:27and solidify the foundation of the government?
08:32First of all,
08:34I will dig deeper into the evaluation of the Ishiba administration.
08:37It has been a busy week.
08:39This week,
08:41the Ishiba administration
08:43has made a lot of efforts
08:45to strengthen the foundation of the government.
08:48Here is the schedule of the Ishiba administration this week.
09:18Mr. Yokobori,
09:20I think that Prime Minister Ishiba's life has changed
09:23since then.
09:25Yes.
09:27I think it was a very busy week.
09:29Among them,
09:31I think the most important thing
09:33is to strengthen the foundation of the government.
09:36I think that is the most important thing.
09:39I think that is the most important thing.
09:42I think that is the most important thing.
09:45I think that is the most important thing.
09:47In these weeks,
09:49I think he has been spending time
09:51to focus on various areas.
09:53I think that is the best way to look at the Ishiba administration.
09:55What are you looking at this week, Mr. Toshikawa?
09:57What are you looking at this week, Mr. Toshikawa?
09:59When I look at this schedule,
10:02the most interesting thing for me
10:04is the decision
10:06under the foundation of the approved and non-approved judgment
10:08held on July 5th at the Japan Institute for the Defense of Human Rights.
10:10is the decision under the foundation of the approved and non-approved judgment
10:12held on July 5th at the Japan Institute for the Defense of Human Rights.
10:14For this competition,
10:15I was the most interested in it.
10:16I may have a chance to talk about this in more detail later, but to put it in one word,
10:23in a sense, I feel that there was a weakness in the staff of the Ishiba Kantei.
10:35Could you elaborate a little more on that?
10:37For example, Koizumi Jiichiro-san had an executive secretary named Isao Iijima-san.
10:44Abe-san had an executive secretary named Takaya Imai.
10:48Later, he had an executive secretary named Osaka Prime Minister.
10:51These people had been involved in all kinds of policies under Abe.
10:56Furthermore, in the Kishida Fumio Kantei,
11:01there was a person named Takashi Shimada, who understood all the policies and was international.
11:10He was the prime minister's executive secretary.
11:13Compared to these people, unfortunately, the Ishiba Kantei is a little weak.
11:20I'm looking forward to seeing what kind of results it will produce later.
11:26Mr. Shiratori.
11:27Yes.
11:28After all, we even had a debate on investment,
11:33but it was too early to disband employees,
11:36so we only had a week, except for Saturday and Sunday.
11:40So, I wonder if the people's voting criteria have been set.
11:48First of all, I'd like to summarize the issue of approval and disapproval of the election.
11:57Here is the response to the Vice-President.
11:59Of the Vice-President, 12 people were disapproved.
12:03Mr. Shimomura, Mr. Nishimura, and Mr. Takagi, who were dismissed from their positions,
12:08Mr. Hagiuda, Mr. Hirasawa, Mr. Mitsubayashi, Mr. Kankeshi, Mr. Nakane, Mr. Odawara,
12:15Mr. Hosoda, who were dismissed from their positions,
12:18and Mr. Ochi, Mr. Imamura.
12:20Mr. Ochi expressed his disapproval.
12:23And 34 people were approved, including Mr. Matsuno and Mr. Takeda, who were dismissed from their positions.
12:30They were approved, but the Hiraiku-Chofuku-Rikko-Ho was not recognized.
12:35If they don't win in the election, it will be a draw.
12:38And, by the way,
12:40Mr. Uesugi, Mr. Omishi, and Mr. Sugita, who were aiming for the Rikko-Ho in the Hiraiku-Chofuku-Rikko-Ho,
12:45resigned from the Rikko-Ho.
12:47I think there will be a lot of debate about whether the number of disapprovals is high or low.
12:54Mr. Yokobori, is there anything else to add?
12:59How did the Komeito respond to this?
13:04In fact, the Komeito basically did not recommend the non-recognized people.
13:12However, they issued recommendations to several people individually.
13:16In the case of being recognized,
13:20it is normal for the Komeito to ask the Komeito to recommend it.
13:27However, this time, the Komeito asked the non-recognized people individually
13:37and got a recommendation from the Komeito.
13:41The Komeito is supposed to be a party with a strict stance on politics and money.
13:47How does the Komeito respond to the recommendation of a candidate who is unrecognized by the Komeito?
13:56I think there was an evaluation that the Komeito would contribute to the local activities.
14:04There was a person named Mitsubayashi.
14:11He is a member of the 14th Komeito.
14:20I think it would be great if he could cooperate as a Komeito.
14:25Mr. Shiratori, how did the Komeito respond to the recommendation of a candidate who is unrecognized by the Komeito?
14:29I think there is a problem with the number of candidates.
14:35It was also discussed in the debate with Mr. Noda.
14:38Moreover, the non-recognized people's judgment criteria can be thought of as being understood locally.
14:47In other words, Mr. Ishiba's judgment is quite poetic.
14:52However, I think there are some parts of the Komeito that are not understood.
15:02Mr. Toshikawa.
15:04The focus of the Komeito is to maintain a minimum number of candidates according to the local government.
15:16On the premise of this, the Komeito Association is focusing on Kansai.
15:26While the local government is said to be a little down,
15:31there are currently six Komei in each prefecture of Osaka and Hyogo.
15:37This is a very tough scenario for the Komeito.
15:43It is said that this scenario is not zero at all.
15:48If the local government cooperates in this tough situation,
15:55Osaka and Hyogo will also be able to cooperate.
16:02I think that the Komeito's election cooperation has emerged.
16:12Mr. Toshikawa.
16:13I think this was a very troubling situation.
16:15The more non-recognized people there are, the more dangerous it is to determine whether or not the majority of them will be elected.
16:22I think Mr. Toshikawa has been covering this issue in various interviews.
16:26What kind of attack was this?
16:28In the first place, there is a risk in making such a judgment.
16:33I think this is a topic that will come up later.
16:35It depends on the results of the election on what will happen to the movement of the Komeito from within the Komeito.
16:40Before that, there is a risk that the total number of winners will decrease by making such a decision as a result of the election.
16:54I think that the three-car competition between Mr. Ichiba, Mr. Moriyama, and Mr. Koizumi will determine what kind of influence there was from the outside.
17:19And the investment debate.
17:21The investment debate was held on the 9th.
17:23It was usually 45 minutes, but it was extended to 80 minutes.
17:27Representative Noda of the Liberal Democratic Party had 40 minutes.
17:31And the focus of the discussion was on politics and money.
17:35Representative Noda of the Liberal Democratic Party said that most of the candidates for the vice-presidential election were recognized, and that he could not accept the public sentiment.
17:43Prime Minister Ishiba said that the final decision would be left to the people of the candidates.
17:49Representative Noda of the Liberal Democratic Party said that the third-party election next summer would be the same as the last-party election, and that he would decide whether to approve or not.
18:02And Representative Tamaki of the Liberal Democratic Party said that he would like the election not to spend a single yen on political activities.
18:09He said that it is now recognized and that it can be used.
18:14Mr. Yokobori, have you heard anything about the assessment of the investment debate?
18:20Well, I think Mr. Ishiba answered in a very much like Mr. Ishiba's way.
18:26I can hear the voice that he said that he was thinking about it even around the Prime Minister.
18:32But while I was watching it, it was quite a debate, but I think it was quite rare that Mr. Ishiba started it.
18:39It was a response that has been answered for a long time.
18:41That's right.
18:42How about you, Mr. Toshikawa?
18:43Well, as you just said, it basically went to the Prime Minister.
18:47Considering the outcome of the general election, if Takahashi-san wins, Takahashi-san will be there.
18:57If Koizumi Shinjiro-san wins, Koizumi-san will be there.
19:02Considering that, Mr. Ishiba didn't put anything in his hand.
19:08That's right.
19:09Even though he was the Prime Minister, there were some scenes where he switched places.
19:16I think he did a pretty good job.
19:21Mr. Shiratori, I don't think this was good.
19:24The representative question was that he had been reading the paper all the time, so it was criticized.
19:30But he didn't read the paper this time, so he just talked about it.
19:35For example, he said that he would respond in the same way with the three members.
19:40Or he said that he would use the same policy in the election.
19:45This is pretty bad for the people.
19:49Next summer, if the three members do the same thing,
19:53what do the current candidates for the three-member election think?
19:58In the first place, there were about 100 Abe members.
20:01If they do the same thing from now on, I think there is a possibility that it will be a success within the party.
20:06But if you don't make it happen, you'll go back to looking at the paper all the time.
20:13What do you think about that?
20:15I think it's good that we could hear Mr. Ishiba's voice.
20:20But I think there's a place where the place where we've been safe so far has collapsed at the end of this debate.
20:29Mr. Okubo, we even talked about responding in the same way to the three-member election.
20:33I think that's going to have a big impact on that.
20:36If you make a statement once, you can't go back to the way it was.
20:40I think it was a little tough because it's been said all the time.
20:46Now, let's take a look at the three-member election.
20:59Here's the second theme.
21:01What will happen to the three-member election?
21:03First of all, let's check the number of seats disbanded.
21:07The Liberal Democratic Party has 256 seats, the Komei Party has 32 seats, and the local government has 288 seats.
21:15The Liberal Democratic Party has 98 seats, the Japanese Communist Party has 40 seats, the Japanese Communist Party has 10 seats, and the National Democratic Party has 7 seats.
21:24And Prime Minister Ishiba said at a press conference after the disbandment of the Liberal Democratic Party that he would like to aim for a majority in the winning line, the Komei Party.
21:33Even if 55 seats are reduced, the majority will be secured.
21:38The majority is 233, right?
21:41Yes.
21:42Let's take a look at the results of the public opinion poll.
21:44This is a poll conducted jointly by the Nikkei and the Telecom.
21:47It was conducted in early October.
21:51As you can see, the last 27% of the Kishida administration came up to 51%.
22:00Looking at the history, the new prime minister became the prime minister and the next cabinet was formed.
22:07There are usually five cycles, but 51% of them are low.
22:13Mr. Shiratori, it's a bit early to predict, but what do you think about the general election?
22:20You said that you would like to get a majority in the winning line.
22:25I feel that Mr. Ishiba has drawn an umpire in advance.
22:32I think the real winning line is probably whether or not the Liberal Democratic Party can get a majority on its own.
22:40If that happens, we can only lose by about 20%.
22:44On the contrary, if the Liberal Democratic Party can't get a majority on its own, I think it's okay to say that the Liberal Democratic Party has lost.
22:51Mr. Toshikawa, I've heard that you're doing a lot of research even without the Liberal Democratic Party.
22:56What do you think about that?
22:58First of all, if you look at this poll, you can't lose more than 23% to maintain a majority on its own.
23:06As Mr. Shiratori said, it's almost impossible for anyone to predict at this point.
23:14In other words, the majority on its own will be divided.
23:17If that happens, the next goal will be to somehow clear the majority of 233.
23:26Earlier, when we held a competition for the top 3 candidates on the 5th and 6th,
23:33we did it on the night of the 5th.
23:36I think it's okay to mention that the head of the Liberal Democratic Party, a professional in elections,
23:43Mr. Motoshiku conducted a private survey of the Liberal Democratic Party.
23:47It's called a secret survey.
23:49It's a very detailed data on the middle of the results.
23:56It's easy to understand.
23:58It's said that on the first day, he handed it over to the three of them through Mr. Akasaka,
24:06the Prime Minister's personal aide.
24:09The people who saw this are said to be less than five people in total.
24:14If you listen to what's being said,
24:17you can see that the result is slightly higher than the 233 that coincided with the accident.
24:28That's what I heard in the introduction.
24:33Therefore, as you said, it's very tough.
24:38The problem is that just maintaining the majority in the accident
24:43and whether the Ishiba administration is safe from now on.
24:48There are many ways to look at it.
24:51I'd like to leave that for later.
24:55Now that we've organized it,
24:58I've prepared three scenarios to see how the election results will affect it.
25:05Here are the three scenarios.
25:08First scenario.
25:09If the people alone get the majority,
25:12there is a possibility that Prime Minister Ishiba's support will increase.
25:16If Prime Minister Ishiba gets the majority in the accident,
25:20there is a possibility that Prime Minister Ishiba will be held accountable.
25:24If the majority is split in the accident,
25:27the government may change or the People's Party may look for a new coalition.
25:33Mr. Okobori, I'm sure you're in a lot of trouble right now.
25:38In the case of the two of you, it's hard to get to a single majority.
25:43That's a subtle line, isn't it?
25:47At that time, what will happen to the unity of the party?
25:51Can you hear anything here?
25:53Even in the People's Party,
25:55I don't think there's a lot of atmosphere where you can secure a single majority.
26:02As I said earlier, the majority in the accident is not a high goal,
26:08but that's enough.
26:10That's why no one will complain.
26:12I can hear that kind of voice.
26:14Mr. Toshikawa, what happens when the majority is taken at the last minute?
26:20Or what happens when the majority is split?
26:24If the majority is split, of course, it's the worst scenario.
26:29But for Mr. Toshikawa, for all the members of the People's Party,
26:33there is no doubt that the head of the People's Party, Mr. Shigeru Ishiba,
26:38and the chairman of the People's Party, Mr. Hiroshi Moriyama,
26:41will be the members of the People's Party.
26:43The members of the People's Party will be elected on the 27th.
26:48That's confirmed by Mr. Toshikawa.
26:50But this time, it was pretty unconfirmed, wasn't it?
26:52Most of the members of the People's Party said that if they won the election,
26:55they would be added to the party.
26:57But if all of these people are included,
26:59even if they are added to the majority, is it a meteorite?
27:02Well, there is a very detailed case study for each situation.
27:10I think it's better to ask the Kanten Camp, which covers the scene.
27:14At the moment, based on the data we have now,
27:19there is a possibility that a meteorite earthquake will occur
27:22and cause an earthquake.
27:26This is a common sense in Nagata Prefecture.
27:29Then what will happen is that
27:32Yoshimasa Hayashi, the current Kanto Prefectural Governor-General,
27:35will become the Prime Minister's temporary representative,
27:38and the Prime Minister will also be appointed.
27:42Then we have to decide on a new Prime Minister.
27:45So maybe from the 27th,
27:48even if it takes the longest,
27:50in about three days,
27:52the People's Party will hold a meeting of the members of the party,
27:56and a new Prime Minister will be appointed.
27:59The Prime Minister will also be appointed as the Prime Minister.
28:04But in reality, it will be a temporary government.
28:07In principle, based on Nagata Prefectural Governor-General's
28:11and the People's Party's common sense,
28:14who will be elected?
28:16It is common sense for him or her
28:19to choose from the nine people who raised their hands
28:22and were elected in the previous general election.
28:26Then it is a difficult choice,
28:31but probably in this new Ishiba prefecture,
28:36Katsunobu Kato, who has become the Minister of Finance,
28:41was elected with 20 votes in the general election,
28:47but in the first vote,
28:50only 16 people voted for Kato.
28:54Yes, that's right.
28:55Immediately after that,
28:56the person who lost the most votes in the general election
28:59was said to be Kato.
29:02But as a result,
29:04the Minister of Finance was also surprised.
29:08Kato was appointed as the Minister of Finance
29:13and was elected.
29:16Secondly, among these nine people,
29:19the Prime Minister will be the Prime Minister,
29:22but who will be the most stable
29:26and have no problems with the Prime Minister's response?
29:29Who will be the so-called safe person?
29:35I think it will be Kato.
29:38But if it is Kato,
29:40it will be difficult.
29:42The people who showed the will of the anti-Ishiba
29:45and fought to the end to lose
29:48and supported Takaichi
29:51are the group led by Mr. Aso and Mr. Motegi
29:55in the local legislature.
29:58They are the main supporters of Mr. Takaichi.
30:01From their point of view,
30:03how do they see Mr. Kato?
30:06This is also a possibility,
30:08but Mr. Suga is behind Mr. Kato.
30:13In that case,
30:15I think it will be natural for the anti-Kato.
30:18Mr. Shiratori, what are you paying attention to?
30:20I'm a little confused by the story,
30:23but probably this is...
30:26Well, the reason I'm doing this election
30:29is because I have a weak base in the party.
30:32If I win this election,
30:34I will be able to exert a certain amount of pressure on myself.
30:37That's the way I'm hoping for this election.
30:43I think that among these three scenarios,
30:46the dropout will probably be in the middle.
30:50If you think about it normally,
30:52in the first scenario,
30:54if you get a single majority in the local government,
30:56as Mr. Ishiba thought,
30:58you will be able to exert a certain amount of pressure on yourself.
31:02It's pretty difficult at this stage.
31:05What happens in the middle scenario is that
31:08you can't get a single majority in the local government.
31:11When that happens,
31:13Mr. Ishiba will have to continue
31:16with a grudge against the local government.
31:22When that happens,
31:24even if the local government can't get a single majority,
31:27I think that Ishiba-Oroshi will start to happen.
31:34In the previous discussion,
31:36you said that you are thinking about a third-party election next year.
31:40I think you will be the third-party candidate.
31:44Moreover, I don't know the criteria for the decision of the candidate.
31:49To be more specific,
31:50I heard that you chose someone who is likely to lose the election.
31:54There were statements that applied the same rules.
31:57So, I can understand that.
31:59I think you will be the candidate for a third-party election.
32:03That's the foundation.
32:04Then, those people will desperately start to kill Ishiba-Oroshi
32:08in order to survive.
32:11Mr. Toshikawa,
32:13even if you get a single majority,
32:18when you get a majority in the local government,
32:20do you think that Ishiba-Oroshi will remain as Ishiba-Seiken until the third-party election?
32:26If I go further into what Mr. Shiratori just said,
32:32the people who chose Ishiba-Oroshi
32:38will have to think about who they will elect next year.
32:44Then, the people who meet the conditions
32:48will have to think about who they will elect next year.
32:53So, if Ishiba-Oroshi will be held by Mr. Takahashi,
32:59the people will have to think about where they will get the money from.
33:04If you think about it,
33:08the result of the general election this time was quite severe.
33:13Among the results that became severe,
33:17the people who received the most damage
33:22were the former Abe faction.
33:26I think it was the group of Mr. Aso and Mr. Motegi who challenged Ishiba-Oroshi.
33:33If such a group could be formed,
33:37it would be very realistic to use Mr. Takahashi
33:45and Mr. Motegi.
33:50Let's take a look at the movement of the opposition party.
33:53What will the opposition party say?
33:54On the election cooperation between the opposition parties,
33:56Representative Noda of the Liberal Democratic Party said,
33:59The election adjustment is not visible, but it is being adjusted.
34:02It's not like they're not doing anything at all.
34:05Representative Ishinobaba said,
34:07Adjustment is impossible from now on.
34:09I don't think cooperation will be built in the future.
34:12Representative Tamaki of the National Democratic Party said,
34:14It is impossible to get rid of the one-sidedness of the opposition party candidates.
34:19The National Democratic Party will fight as the National Democratic Party.
34:22Representative Tamura of the Liberal Democratic Party said,
34:24Representative Noda of the Liberal Democratic Party said,
34:26There was a statement that the abolition of the security-related law would actually be a scaffolding.
34:30It is said that the foundation of the opposition party coalition has been damaged.
34:33Mr. Yokobori, after all, the opposition party is quite limited in cooperation.
34:38That's right.
34:40After all, there is one place where time is not enough.
34:43Also, there is a view that it is easier for the Liberal Democratic Party to advance when it is strong.
34:50On the contrary, it seems that you can't win unless you win one.
34:54This time, the Liberal Democratic Party seems to be weak.
34:58People who think they can do it.
35:00On the contrary, I think it's a chance.
35:02I see.
35:03As an opposition party, I think that even one person from my party can't put it down.
35:07I think there is such an aspect.
35:09Certainly, it is difficult to convince people who have been preparing for it for many years that there is such a chance.
35:18That's right.
35:19I think that's one of the reasons why it didn't go smoothly.
35:23Mr. Shiratori, how about this?
35:25Including the impact it has on the overall election result.
35:28Yes.
35:29I'm sure the Liberal Democratic Party thinks it's weak.
35:33If the opposition party is properly organized, it's weak.
35:36I think that the Liberal Democratic Party will be able to win in that way because the political criticism will be distributed.
35:43However, as I mentioned earlier, I think there is a question of what the number of independent parties is really like.
35:51The problem is, how far will this future employment alliance go?
35:56I think that will be one of the games.
35:59I think that's where we can see the future of the Shiba administration and the future.
36:06I think that the Liberal Democratic Party and the people can do it if they work together.
36:13Other than that, the Communist Party and the Liberal Democratic Party have mostly won the election by default.
36:20If they don't put it out in the elections, the votes won't grow.
36:24I think that's one of their internal circumstances.
36:27Yes.
36:28After the commercial break, let's take a look at how the foreign ministers received Prime Minister Ishiba's foreign ministry debut.
36:38Here's the third theme.
36:40Prime Minister Ishiba visited Laos on the 10th and attended a meeting of the ASEAN-China-Korea ASEAN-related ministers.
36:53He also held talks between China, South Korea, and India, and returned to Mimei today.
37:01Prime Minister Ishiba, what do you think of Prime Minister Ishiba's debut as a foreign minister?
37:06Well, I feel that it was a safe debut.
37:11Of course, many people were wondering if Prime Minister Ishiba was really thinking about the ASEAN-China-Korea ASEAN-China-Korea ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN
37:41ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-Ch
38:11ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-Ch
38:41ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-Ch
39:11ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-Ch
39:41ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-Ch
40:11ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-China ASEAN-Ch
40:41Yes, well, one thing is that the meaning of this foreign policy is, well, the biggest thing is that this place, well, it's been said that it's been shaken up by what I said in the general election, and if it goes on like this, after all, I can't get a lot of points in the general election, so I think there must have been a place where I wanted to get points in foreign policy.
41:03In that, the worst thing I've shown overseas is that I'm going to continue the foreign policy of the Kishida administration. I'm sure that's what I've shown.
41:15I'm sure that's what I've shown overseas.
41:42In that, the worst thing I've shown overseas is that I'm going to continue the foreign policy of the Kishida administration. I'm sure that's what I've shown overseas.
42:12In that, the worst thing I've shown overseas is that I'm going to continue the foreign policy of the Kishida administration. I'm sure that's what I've shown overseas.
42:37In that, the worst thing I've shown overseas is that I'm going to continue the foreign policy of the Kishida administration. I'm sure that's what I've shown overseas.
43:02In that, the worst thing I've shown overseas is that I'm going to continue the foreign policy of the Kishida administration. I'm sure that's what I've shown overseas.
43:27In that, the worst thing I've shown overseas is that I'm going to continue the foreign policy of the Kishida administration. I'm sure that's what I've shown overseas.
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44:22It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years
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45:22It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years
45:52It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years
46:22It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years. It's been 70 years
46:52That's it for our special. After the commercial, we'll have market information.
47:22The highest price was $42,863, which is $409.
47:28NASDAQ, which has a high high-tech share ratio, also rebounded.
47:31The highest price was $18,342, which is $60.
47:35The highest price for the New York foreign exchange market was $1,149, which is 50,000 yen cheaper.
47:43The average daily wage in Chicago is 39,855 yen.
47:47It is 250 yen higher than the average daily wage at the end of Friday.
47:52I asked the market officials about the stock price at the end of December.
47:55Mr. Kawai, the CEO of AU Stock Commerce, is expected to be 42,000 yen.
47:59Mr. Hiroki, the CEO of Mannex, is also expected to be 42,000 yen.
48:03It is expected that the rise in the domestic market will be a risk factor.
48:10Mr. Hiroki, the CEO of Mannex, is also expected to be 42,000 yen.
48:13It is also expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with the strong US economy,
48:18as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
48:22such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
48:25The stock price is expected to rise with a strong US economy.
48:28It is also expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with a strong US economy,
48:31as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
48:34such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
48:37It is expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with a strong US economy,
48:40as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
48:43such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
48:46It is expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with a strong US economy,
48:49as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
48:52such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
48:54It is expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with a strong US economy,
48:57as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
49:00such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
49:03It is expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with a strong US economy,
49:06as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
49:09such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
49:12It is expected that the Japanese stock price will rise with a strong US economy,
49:15as there is a sense of helplessness after two major political events,
49:18such as the Senate and the US presidential election.
49:21If so, you say that the Washington Biden administration
49:32Today, thank you Mr.Toshikawa, Mr.Siraturi, Mr.Yokubori.
49:51you
50:21you