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00:00Oh
00:13Oh
00:30Oh
01:00It's
01:30Oh
02:00Oh
02:30Oh
03:00Foreign
03:30Kansai
04:00China
04:30I don't know
05:00The People's Liberation Army.
05:03This is the first time that the Air Force and the Japanese Air Force have participated in exercises around Taiwan.
05:10According to the Ministry of National Defense of Taiwan,
05:12a total of 153 aircraft have participated in the exercises,
05:15which is the largest number ever recorded in a single day.
05:22In addition, this time,
05:24the Chinese Administration of Foreign Affairs also conducted patrols around Taiwan,
05:29and a huge 10,000-ton nuclear warhead was also launched.
05:37This is an animation video released by the Chinese military.
05:44The range of exercises surrounding Taiwan is gradually narrowing,
05:50and it gives the impression that Taiwan will also land in the future.
06:00The reason for this exercise is the statement of President Lai
06:04in a speech at the Taiwan Memorial Day parade.
06:12The People's Republic of China has no right to represent Taiwan.
06:17In consideration of China's unified pressure,
06:20it is said that China rebelled and conducted exercises
06:23because Taiwan and China said they would not cooperate.
06:30However, this kind of statement is often seen in the preface to the speech,
06:35and some say that it does not strongly stimulate China.
06:40Where is China's intention and purpose for conducting large-scale exercises?
06:50On the other hand, what is the future of the stagnant Chinese economy?
06:55Yesterday, China's domestic GDP, which was announced by the China National Bureau of Statistics from July to September 2024,
07:04was 4.6% more than a year ago,
07:09and was below 5% of the government's annual target.
07:16Investment in real estate development was similar from January to September,
07:20but it was 10.1% less than a year ago,
07:26and the stagnant real estate market has long been a hindrance to the recovery of the economy.
07:33Last week, the Chinese government showed a policy to support the economy with financial support,
07:39but the specific scale and content have not been made clear,
07:43and the effect has not been seen.
07:47Will the Xi Jinping regime be able to launch a policy to undermine the economy?
07:56And what about Japan-China relations?
08:00On the 10th, Prime Minister Ishiba met with the Chinese Prime Minister Li Ke at Laos,
08:07and expressed his interest in improving Japan-China relations.
08:12However, in the middle of the day,
08:15China suspended the import and resale of Japanese products,
08:21including the export of Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant processing water.
08:27There are various issues, such as the reason for the death of a boy attending a Japanese school on the China-China frontier.
08:38In addition, the Chinese Ministry of Defense expressed opposition to Prime Minister Ishiba's Asian-version NATO policy on the 15th.
08:53What will happen to Japan-China relations in the future?
08:59Today's topic is China.
09:02We will talk about the economy, Japan-China relations, and the US-China relations.
09:06First, let's take a look at the Taiwan exercise.
09:11China conducted a large-scale exercise around Taiwan on the 14th of this month.
09:18According to the Taiwan Defense Ministry,
09:21the Chinese aircraft flew 153 aircraft in total,
09:25and some of them have been overturned,
09:28but this is the lowest number in the past day.
09:31It means that stealth fighter jets, bombers, and unmanned aircraft have been introduced.
09:37In addition, aircraft carriers Ryonei were dispatched to the east coast of Taiwan for the first time.
09:43In addition, about 10,000 tons of waste water were dispatched to the surrounding areas of the main island of Taiwan.
09:55The exercise was completed in one day.
09:58In August 2022, after Chairman Pelosi visited Taiwan at the time,
10:04and when President-elect Joe Biden took office in May this year,
10:08and if you look at this exercise three times in a row,
10:11you can see that Taiwan is surrounded without a gap like this.
10:16Mr. Ohara, what is the point of this exercise?
10:20This exercise is to show that the People's Liberation Army of China is so strong
10:26as part of China's recognition war against Taiwan society and China.
10:33I think it's an attempt to show that Taiwan can be militarily surrounded even if it falls.
10:38In addition, the military exercise in August 2022,
10:41at this time, bullets were actually fired, and ballistic missiles were also fired in Taipei,
10:46but I don't think the two exercises that have been held since this year have actually fired bullets,
10:51and the Fukui Prefectural Disaster Management Bureau has not issued a high-altitude warning,
10:56and even the Ministry of National Defense has not shown this exercise opening area in the latitude and longitude.
11:01So far, the only thing that the People's Liberation Army has issued is an image.
11:05So, in terms of planting this image,
11:10the two series of this year, A and B, have the same name,
11:14but I think the personality is the same.
11:17Earlier, the video came out,
11:19but the video made by the Chinese is also quite well done.
11:24I think it's even possible to think that the purpose is to make this video.
11:29Last year, there was a presidential election in Taiwan,
11:36but at this time, the theme of the information-influencing work carried out for Taiwan
11:41was to relieve fear and anxiety about war.
11:44If the Chinese army is so strong, Taiwan cannot win.
11:47If there is a war, you will be in a terrible situation.
11:50It is said that it was to plant it as an image,
11:53so this time, with that flow, China is so strong.
11:57At the end of the video, the sword is stabbed,
12:00but what is below looks like a sea of blood,
12:03so I think they are trying to show that you can sink Taiwan into the sea of blood.
12:10In fact, there were a lot of troops,
12:15but what is given as a focus item is the same as before.
12:20The first thing is preparation for war,
12:24and the second is security and patrol.
12:26It's just going around.
12:29However, China wants to show that it is increasing its pressure,
12:35so it has to do something new.
12:37That's where the main plan came in,
12:40and the blockade control of the main area came in.
12:43The rest is almost the same.
12:45This is also a new thing, and it is being implemented in China.
12:51Everyone thinks that it will blockade just by looking at the exercise area so far.
12:56So we have to do something new.
12:59One of them is the addition of the 2901 cruise ship of the Maritime Bureau,
13:08and the ship of the Maritime Bureau circling around Taiwan.
13:13This is not just a military force,
13:16but Taiwan claims that China is the territory of China,
13:21so it is under the jurisdiction of China.
13:24It has shown that it can be under the jurisdiction of China at any time.
13:27It is not a military confrontation with a foreign country.
13:30I think that Taiwan has also shown that China can be under the jurisdiction of China at any time.
13:35This is a statement by Rai Seitoku, who is said to be the trigger.
13:40Yes, I will read it.
13:42In a speech held on October 10, the anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China,
13:48Rai Seitoku said that the People's Republic of China does not continue with the People's Republic of China,
13:53and that China has no right to represent Taiwan.
13:58In May of this year, Rai Seitoku gave a speech based on the timing of his speech.
14:09This time, it will be right after this speech.
14:13Mr. Korogi, what do you think about this?
14:16Well, I think that China is happy to be called the People's Republic of China.
14:20In a sense, it has been recognized.
14:22I don't think this is an excuse.
14:25Anyway, I want to do it.
14:27So, the name of the speech was A or B.
14:31At the very beginning, there was no A or B.
14:35At that time, I said that I would do it forever.
14:38Oh, because it was the A version at the beginning.
14:41Anyway, I want to drag down the Rai Seitoku regime and the latest regime.
14:51Earlier, there was a story about the recognition war.
14:54The campaign has been going on since the early days of the presidential election.
14:57When Rai Seitoku came to power, he threatened that it would be a war.
15:00So, he showed it to the people of Taiwan and told them to make a choice whether to do it or not.
15:06Another one is a military issue.
15:09There is a gray zone.
15:11He said that he would prevent people from entering private ships.
15:16Also, the east side of the Taiwan Strait is a cliff.
15:20So, he put out an aircraft carrier there.
15:22The ships of the Pacific Fleet went around.
15:24So, he collected information technically.
15:27According to the Chinese media, he said that he could go to the actual battle anytime.
15:30So, he repeated this over and over again.
15:32He took the data and actually...
15:34I don't know when it will start.
15:36It was the same in Ukraine.
15:38I think there are both technical and psychological aspects.
15:43Mr. Kariu, what do you think?
15:45I'm not an expert on military issues.
15:48But, if I were to aim for the fear of a civil war or the people of Taiwan,
15:54I don't think it would make much sense.
15:56Because at that time, the stock price of Taiwan didn't go down.
15:59And the stock price of Tokyo and New York didn't go down either.
16:02The market is supposed to be sensitive to military risks and psychological risks.
16:08But, everyone is ready to do anything.
16:10So, it's like, do what you can do.
16:13Mr. Kariu, what do you think about the aim of this exercise?
16:18What kind of information is the Taiwanese side sending?
16:21According to the National Security Bureau of Taiwan,
16:24since the inauguration of the Lai Island Island on May 20,
16:28China has conducted a hybrid threat of recognition, etc.,
16:31and is analyzing the division of the people.
16:35In response to the large-scale exercise in Lippo,
16:39many fake news were broadcast during the exercise.
16:43In addition, the Ministry of National Security of China
16:46said that the exchange of the Ministry of National Security
16:49is strengthening the ability to quickly turn military exercises into full-scale attacks.
16:53In addition, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Taipei,
16:56which is familiar with the issue of security guarantees,
16:59pointed out that it can switch from training to war in a short time.
17:04Mr. Wara, you mentioned the recognition war earlier.
17:09What can we learn from this?
17:11For example, can we really get into the offensive
17:14by pretending it's a drill?
17:18Or, as is often said,
17:20can we combine various things like a hybrid war?
17:25Or, can we surround the whole and make it look like a ferocious attack?
17:30There are various stories coming out this time,
17:33but what do you mean when you say that you are trying to improve the coordination around that?
17:38I don't think this exercise is actually to improve the coordination of the troops.
17:43It's just an image strategy.
17:45If you're actually going to do a large-scale military exercise,
17:48you have to spend a lot of time preparing for it,
17:51and if the troops are really moving in large numbers,
17:54you have to gather personnel, vehicles, ships, etc.
18:01And you have to collect food, ammunition, and fuel.
18:06You have to know this.
18:08You want to hide whether this is really a military exercise,
18:13so you often lie that it's a drill.
18:18When President Putin was in Ukraine,
18:21he said it was a drill in Belarus or a drill in the north,
18:25and he conducted the military exercise as it was.
18:28If you look at the movement of the troops,
18:31I don't think there was such a large-scale movement.
18:35And the reason why the Chinese claim that they can move from exercise to actual combat
18:41is that the troops have been moving since before dawn,
18:44but I don't understand the meaning of this.
18:46Whether it's night, noon, or dawn,
18:49the troops always move,
18:51and they continue to exercise day and night.
18:54So maybe China didn't want the troops to be exhausted here,
18:59so they ended the exercise in a short period of time,
19:02but I think they also aimed for the effect of not knowing when to start and when to finish.
19:08I think it was unexpected that the exercise would end in a day,
19:11so I thought,
19:14I don't know how long the next exercise will be,
19:17and I don't know when China's military development will end.
19:22And as I said earlier, if it was a large-scale exercise,
19:25the troops would be exhausted,
19:27but they can't do that many times.
19:30So in this year's A and B exercises,
19:34the troops don't move much,
19:36but they try to make it look like a movie or an animation.
19:41Instead, they do it many times a year.
19:44I think they are trying to raise the stage
19:47of a new normal.
19:52After the commercial break,
19:54let's take a look at the current situation of China's economy.
20:05We looked back at the military exercises in Taiwan held the other day.
20:09From here, we will talk about the theme of
20:12economic recovery is a road of thorns.
20:15China's National Bureau of Statistics announced yesterday
20:18that the GDP growth rate from July to September this year
20:21was 4.6% compared to the same time last year,
20:24except for the change in stock prices.
20:27The growth rate was reduced from 4.7% in the previous three months,
20:32and the government's goal for this year's growth rate
20:35was around 5% in the second half of the year in a row.
20:39The GDP growth rate is 4.0% compared to the same time last year.
20:46The growth of the GDP shows the strength of the deflationary pressure.
20:51This situation has been going on for six and a half quarters in a row
20:55since April and June of 2023.
20:59Mr. Kariu, you have mentioned our program many times.
21:02The question is how much we can trust the numbers
21:05that we have seen so far.
21:08As a part of this program,
21:11I would like to ask you how you read the 4.6% figure.
21:20The 4.6% figure is not about whether it is high or low.
21:24What you need to look at is whether the trend is going down or up.
21:32The 4.6% figure is about the same as the other numbers,
21:38but the deflationary pressure is minus 10.1%.
21:41The unemployment rate of young people is very high.
21:48When I talk to Chinese economists,
21:51they always say that the country's statistics department
21:56contributes the most to economic growth.
22:00This time, the 4.6% figure has not grown,
22:05but that is not the problem.
22:07It is the economic policy that will come out later.
22:10If we don't solve the structural problem
22:13and just supply liquidity,
22:15the economy will not recover.
22:18Mr. Korogi, what do you think?
22:20As I said earlier,
22:22there is no point in looking at the GDP.
22:24It is better to look at individual statistics.
22:27If you look at the GDP, it is negative.
22:31If you don't make things cheaper, they won't sell.
22:34Another thing is the export.
22:37They say that exports are growing,
22:39but if you look at the total amount, it is not growing.
22:42Especially in terms of what came out this month,
22:45both exports and imports have decreased considerably.
22:48That's right.
22:49Imports mean that the domestic demand is weak.
22:51The reason why the economic growth rate is lower than the growth rate
22:59is because they are selling at a low price.
23:02From the point of view of being sold,
23:05there is a limit to dumping
23:08because a lot of cheap dumping is coming into the country.
23:11They sell at a low price both domestically and overseas.
23:14So this is an overproduction.
23:16There is a lot of bushing.
23:18I don't think this is sustainable.
23:20This is the real estate sector,
23:23which is said to be the most affected.
23:26This was mentioned by Mr. Kariu earlier.
23:29If you look at the real estate development investment,
23:32it is negative 10.1% in September.
23:36Then on the right,
23:39this is the selling price of real estate.
23:42They are looking at all 70 cities.
23:46If you look at the real estate development,
23:49only three cities have gone up,
23:51and the rest have all gone down.
23:53If you look at the imports,
23:55they have all gone down.
23:57This has not changed at all.
23:59Rather, it seems to be declining.
24:01Mr. Kariu, what do you think?
24:03Real estate has collapsed,
24:06so it has to go down.
24:08Why doesn't it go down?
24:10It's because it's price controlled.
24:12Especially local governments.
24:15They want to sell used real estate,
24:18but if you set a level lower than the regulated price,
24:22it's hard to make a deal on the computer.
24:26You can't do it.
24:28So it's not good to price control it.
24:32You have to leave it to the market
24:34and cut it down once.
24:37So why do you price control it?
24:40What I'm most worried about
24:42is that the developers will collapse
24:44and non-performing loans will come out.
24:47This will make Japan's losses
24:49look like they were 30 years ago.
24:53But what happens if you price control it?
24:56It's just a matter of time,
24:58and it won't solve the problem.
25:01I think we have to recognize that.
25:03What you're saying is that
25:05the price is still going down,
25:07but from a real estate perspective,
25:09it's still under control and going up.
25:12The price hasn't gone all the way down to real estate,
25:15so it's just a matter of fate.
25:17Another thing is that,
25:19just like the GDP,
25:21the government tries to intervene
25:23with statistics and numbers
25:25to make things look good.
25:27But the biggest obstacle to this
25:29is that policymakers,
25:31policy makers,
25:33receive wrong signals,
25:35so they can't come up with the right policy.
25:38They become naked kings.
25:40This is one of the reasons
25:42why China's economy is going down.
25:44Mr. Karyu gave us an example.
25:46This is a site that deals with
25:48real estate sales.
25:50This is the entire site.
25:52On the left,
25:54you can see the current price
25:56and the estimated price.
25:58The estimated price is
26:00the real estate price,
26:02and the cheaper price
26:04is the real estate price.
26:06The real estate price is
26:08the real estate price,
26:10and the cheaper price
26:12is the real estate price.
26:14Where do you focus on this?
26:16This is a case
26:18that just so happens to be
26:20established.
26:22This is an e-commerce site
26:24in Alibaba, China.
26:26Individuals who couldn't
26:28return their house
26:30were brought to court
26:32and their property
26:34was seized.
26:36The real estate price
26:38is displayed here,
26:40and then it is sold.
26:42I look at the price
26:44that is sold,
26:46and it starts
26:48at 40% or 50%
26:50lower than the estimated price.
26:52First,
26:54I wonder
26:56if the estimated price
26:58is objectively done.
27:00Even if it starts
27:02at 40%,
27:04the real estate price
27:06is raised.
27:08I think this shows
27:10the reality of real estate.
27:12I don't understand the kanji.
27:14It says unsealed,
27:16but it means it was sealed.
27:18It means it was sold,
27:20or a contract was signed.
27:22But the site doesn't
27:24have a lot of unsealed properties.
27:26No, it has almost none.
27:28Mr. Korogi, what do you think?
27:30As I said earlier,
27:32they don't want to lower
27:34the price of real estate
27:36because it is the property
27:38of the Chinese government.
27:40They say that the price
27:42has dropped,
27:44but it is only about 5%.
27:46Looking at the current
27:48Chinese economy,
27:50it's not like that.
27:52That's why they can't
27:54sell their properties.
27:56They can't sell their properties,
27:58so they can't get money
28:00from the Chinese government.
28:02I see.
28:04But China hasn't done anything
28:06about it,
28:08but we can see
28:10a lot of countermeasures.
28:12On the 24th of last month,
28:14China announced
28:16countermeasures
28:18to stimulate the economy.
28:20They lowered the interest rate
28:22by 0.5%
28:24and the short-term
28:26interest rate by 0.2%.
28:28As a support measure for real estate,
28:30they lowered
28:32the interest rate
28:34by 0.5%
28:36and the short-term interest rate
28:38by 0.2%.
28:40With the expectation
28:42that the Chinese economy
28:44will recover,
28:46the share price of
28:48the Chinese government
28:50rose by 27%
28:52from 23 days
28:54before the announcement
28:56and the share price
28:58of the Chinese government
29:00fell by 0.5%.
29:04On the 12th of this month,
29:06the Chinese government
29:08issued a special national policy
29:10to introduce capital
29:12into state-owned large banks
29:14and to raise
29:16the interest rate of local governments.
29:18However,
29:20there was no significant
29:22increase
29:24in the interest rate.
29:54It is often said that
29:56the share price is
29:58the barometer of the economy.
30:00However,
30:02the growth of companies
30:04is not improving.
30:06As Mr. Koryu said,
30:08the PPI and the import-export ratio
30:10are the same.
30:12In this situation,
30:14some companies
30:16provide liquidity
30:18and temporarily raise
30:20the share price.
30:22In particular,
30:24there are many young people
30:26born in the 2000s
30:28who bought stocks
30:30with the capital
30:32they had prepared
30:34to buy a house with.
30:36These people
30:38are making a huge mistake
30:40and are going to go bankrupt.
30:42Therefore,
30:44I believe that
30:46the reform of the structure
30:48and the rationalization
30:50of the economy
30:52are necessary.
30:54However,
30:56in China,
30:58the central government
31:00does not show
31:02a lot of money.
31:04Instead,
31:06they show
31:08local money
31:10or hidden money.
31:12However,
31:14I think that
31:16the fact that
31:18the relationship
31:20between China
31:22and the central government
31:24is completely different
31:26from that of Japan.
31:28In the end,
31:30the central government
31:32has to take care
31:34of the local government.
31:36Therefore,
31:38the central government
31:40is not elected.
31:42Therefore,
31:44the central government
31:46has to take care
31:48of the local government.
31:50However,
31:52the central government
31:54is not elected.
31:56Therefore,
31:58the central government
32:00has to take care
32:02of the local government.
32:04However,
32:06the central government
32:08is not elected.
32:10Therefore,
32:12the central government
32:14is not elected.
32:16In the end,
32:18at the end of September,
32:20there was a meeting
32:22in which the government
32:24invested funds
32:26in a lot of foundations
32:28and insurance companies
32:30and swaps,
32:32and then
32:34everyone was counted as
32:36a common investor.
32:38The Chinese general public
32:40thought it was the new beginning.
32:42I see. In this case, the general public will buy it just after the price goes up.
32:46Yes.
32:47And then, instead of buying from Mr. Kariu, they will buy from the head of the house.
32:50Yes.
32:50If they invest in this house, the price will go down after that.
32:53The government is investing in this house.
32:54I see.
32:55And everyone is saying that it should be sold before the holidays.
32:58I mean, if you look at social media, you can see it.
33:00If the prices go up before the holidays,
33:04if there is a press conference, the prices will go down again.
33:06I see.
33:07If there is a press conference, the prices will go down again.
33:08So, they will release a lot of things later.
33:11I see.
33:12Recently, there was an incident involving a Japanese person in Shinsen.
33:17Is there any social anxiety in China?
33:21Well, they are spending the most money on that area.
33:23Yes.
33:23So, they will complain to the companies.
33:26Yes.
33:27For example, they will complain that their financial products were seized.
33:29They will disappear in no time.
33:30What?
33:31The people who are doing the demonstration.
33:33I see.
33:34They will come to my house.
33:36I see.
33:36You know WeChat, right?
33:38Yes.
33:38The police are watching everything.
33:39I see.
33:40I see.
33:40Recently, a researcher from China's state-owned think-tank,
33:43the Institute of Economic Research,
33:46complained about Xi Jinping's cryptography.
33:49He didn't say his name.
33:51I see.
33:51But it was transmitted in no time.
33:53He was fired.
33:54He disappeared.
33:55I see.
33:55All of the headquarters have to say good things now.
33:58I see.
33:58It's amazing.
34:00They are fully aware of it digitally.
34:03Mr. Wada, it is often said that the economy is getting tough
34:08and when dissatisfaction increases,
34:10Taiwanese women get nervous
34:12because they want to vent their frustrations.
34:16What do you think about this?
34:18Yes.
34:19As far as I have experienced,
34:22when China has problems in the country,
34:24they don't actually use military force.
34:30I think they want to focus on domestic problems.
34:33On the other hand, as I said earlier,
34:35if they develop their military force,
34:37it will be aimed at domestic problems.
34:39If they say,
34:40we are so strong,
34:41we can do it anytime,
34:42and people in the country are dissatisfied,
34:44when they are told to do it,
34:48will the Chinese Communist Party
34:50be able to suppress it?
34:52I think that is the problem.
34:54I saw a video of various exercises earlier.
34:56Is it possible to watch such videos
34:58not only for Taiwanese people,
35:00but also for Chinese people?
35:02Yes.
35:03There are videos of repeated exercises,
35:05such as the video of the People's Republic of China.
35:07Then Chinese people will feel
35:09that they are strong.
35:11They will feel self-pity.
35:13But if they are really suppressed,
35:15in the first half of the 2000s,
35:17something like the Anti-Japanese Movement
35:19will not happen.
35:21In other words,
35:22those who are dissatisfied
35:24will say,
35:25why don't you do it for the government?
35:27Yes.
35:28They can't say it to the government,
35:30so they will say,
35:31how can we suppress it
35:33when the Chinese Communist Party
35:35has such a strong momentum?
35:37Yes.
35:38After the commercial break,
35:40I will talk about the relationship
35:42between Japan and China,
35:44and the relationship between Japan and the U.S.
35:46We have looked at the economy so far,
35:48but the third theme at the end
35:50is the whereabouts of the relationship
35:52between Japan and China and the U.S.
35:54At the Japan-China Summit held last week,
35:56the Japanese-Chinese relationship
35:58was extensively promoted.
36:00The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:02has shown concrete results.
36:04The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:06has shown concrete results.
36:08The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:10has shown concrete results.
36:12The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:14has shown concrete results.
36:16The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:18has shown concrete results.
36:20The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:22has shown concrete results.
36:24The Japanese-Chinese cooperation
36:26The Japan-Chinese relationship
36:28will deepen in the position of the Japanese Communist Party
36:31with China and resist the adoption of pact
36:33made in China's countries
36:35with China's countries
36:37The Japan-China Forum
36:39The Japan-China Forum
36:41The interview
36:47Mr.Tsuchino,
36:49the previous topic was the Japanese-Chinese relationship.
36:51The Japanese-Chinese relationship
36:53is positively active
36:55This is a photo of the Japanese side, and this is a photo of the Chinese side, so there's a good chance they've known that face for a long time.
37:02If the Chinese side is smiling, they'll want to take a picture of it.
37:05How should we look at this?
37:07If you look at the various reports about the establishment of the Chinese government, you can expect it.
37:13The Japanese-Chinese relationship is going in the direction of improvement.
37:17Also, it's because of the Tanaka family.
37:21As for Asia-Pacific, they're wary, but they're not that strict.
37:28In fact, there are various opinions about this in Europe, the United States, and Japan.
37:35Anyway, that's the case, and the economic situation is that they want to improve their relationship with Japan.
37:41But what they're doing is different.
37:43For example, the anti-spy law and the death of Shinsen's child.
37:50They don't explain it at all.
37:52That's right.
37:53What they're doing is different.
37:55As for Shinsen, it's been a little over a month.
37:59It looks like they're saying something like they're going to release the information properly at a certain point in time.
38:05Even at the initial stage, when they said that it would happen anywhere,
38:10the Japanese side was accepting it.
38:12That's right.
38:13It's an image that there's a lot of risk, including investment.
38:17It's an image that it's dangerous.
38:20If you don't change that, you can't do anything even if you try to laugh.
38:24What about Mr. Ohara?
38:26As Mr. Korogi said, the Chinese side has not criticized Mr. Ishiba.
38:33The Chinese side believes that Mr. Xi Jinping sent a message to Mr. Ishiba when he was born.
38:41Here, the Japanese-Chinese strategic mutual assistance relationship will be improved.
38:50The Chinese side wants to make efforts to build a stable Japanese-Chinese relationship that meets the requirements of the new era.
39:03This is the ball that Xi Jinping threw.
39:06I think Mr. Ishiba recognizes that he threw the ball back.
39:09This time, Mr. Ishiba said that the strategic mutual assistance relationship will be improved at the initial press conference.
39:16Another thing is that the Japanese-Chinese countries are trying to build a stable Japanese-Chinese relationship.
39:28It's the same.
39:30That means that the Chinese side threw the ball back.
39:33However, as you can see from Mr. Ishiba's expression, I don't think Mr. Ishiba is too close to China.
39:39In order not to be taken like that, Mr. Ishiba continued to look like a buddha.
39:46What was good at the initial press conference was that the Chinese side could not meet the requirements of the new era.
39:53The word new era has a special meaning for China.
39:59The new era is the next era after the end of the American-Chinese international order.
40:06In order not to be taken like that, Mr. Ishiba removed the word.
40:16Mr. Karyu, what do you think?
40:18I think Mr. Ishiba is easier to get along with than Mr. Takahashi.
40:24I see.
40:25Mr. Ishiba was a good comparison.
40:28That's right. I think Mr. Ishiba is easier to get along with than Mr. Takahashi.
40:31However, I don't think Mr. Ishiba is a sociable person.
40:37I don't think Mr. Ishiba is easy to get along with.
40:42However, I think Mr. Ishiba has a basic stance to have a conversation with China.
40:47In addition to that, I think one of the points of attention is how to resume the general meeting after the election.
41:00Before Mr. Ishiba's case, he published a paper in the Hudson Institute in the United States.
41:11It became a hot topic among foreign relations.
41:15In particular, Mr. Ishiba has been talking about the Asia-Pacific Treaty.
41:20There are comments from China about this.
41:25On the Asia-Pacific Treaty, the 5-page report of the Chinese Ministry of Defense said on the 15th,
41:30Japan is exaggerating the threat of China, which does not exist, and is trying to divert the attention of the international community towards Japan's military power.
41:38He also said that we should stop the construction of substantive military alliances and small groups,
41:43and take the lead in the field of military and security guarantees, and contribute to the peace and stability of the region.
41:50Mr. Ohara, what does China think about the Asia-Pacific Treaty?
41:54I don't see it as a strong criticism.
41:59According to the report, Mr. Ishiba's foreign policy is complicated, and there are various aspects.
42:06As I said earlier, Mr. Takaichi, who said that he would not come to the Murayama Dialogue,
42:15said that he would not say such a thing.
42:25In Japanese, it would be a little softer, but in Chinese, it would be a little stronger.
42:31Mr. Takaichi wrote that it was extreme, so Mr. Ishiba is easier to handle.
42:38As for the Asia-Pacific Treaty, it is written that there are various views in China.
42:43Some people say that it is like dragging a wolf into a house,
42:48and some people say that it is a picture-based mochi, so it will not be realized anyway.
42:53As for China, it is not in a stance to criticize thoroughly here.
42:58The conclusion is that it will not be realized anyway.
43:03I don't want to make a strong criticism here and show a confrontation with Mr. Ishiba.
43:08It is the same for Japan, but it is also troublesome to be seen as weak.
43:13So, as I said in this report, I think that we had to criticize somewhere that it is like dragging a wolf into a house.
43:20I would like to take a look at the U.S. and China, but there was a topic this week.
43:24Yes, now again, attention is drawn to pandas.
43:27In November last year, the U.S.-China relationship deteriorated,
43:31and the three pandas that were lent to the Smithsonian National Zoo in Washington were returned due to a deadline.
43:38There was a request for an extension in advance, but the extension was not granted.
43:42It was the first time in 51 years since 1972 that pandas disappeared from Washington, D.C.
43:49And immediately after that, in order to attend the APEC Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Conference,
43:54President Xi Jinping, who was visiting San Francisco in the U.S., held a summit in the U.S. for the first time in a year.
44:01At the dinner party after that, he showed a positive attitude towards pandas,
44:05saying that there is a need to do our best to deepen the friendly relationship between the two nations.
44:12About a year later, on the 15th of this month, two giant pandas arrived at the Smithsonian National Zoo.
44:21I can't help but think that something like this could happen right before the U.S. presidential election.
44:26Mr. Kourogi, what do you think about this?
44:28According to the U.S. news, it's pretty cold.
44:32It's cold?
44:33It's not written here, but the Smithsonian asked for an extension of the sun.
44:37Then China refused.
44:40At that point, I wondered why they wouldn't extend it.
44:44So they extended it all the way and used it as a story for the Shunō Kaidan.
44:49Mr. Shūkinpei went to San Francisco for the summit and showed the pandas.
44:54In the U.S., they used it for political purposes.
44:57So they refused for a while and showed it as a souvenir for the Shunō Kaidan.
45:03Yes, everyone was against it.
45:05So they should have extended it at that time.
45:08So they wanted to use it as a story for the Shunō Kaidan.
45:11In other zoos, the extension of the sun was decided early.
45:17Politically, the U.S. cut the card.
45:21So the U.S. is not going to change at all.
45:26Mr. Kourogi, what do you think?
45:28I think pandas should not be used as souvenirs.
45:34It's a good idea to return them to the wild.
45:39Chinese and American scientists have published research papers on this.
45:46They forcefully increase the number of pandas.
45:49And they don't return them to the wild.
45:51They use them like pets.
45:53If they use them as souvenirs, it's not good for pandas.
45:59I don't think it's a good idea to use them for political purposes.
46:03Mr. Shūkinpei, do you think the Harris administration is better or the Trump administration?
46:10According to the Chinese public opinion, Harris is overwhelmingly better.
46:15But it's not something you can choose.
46:18So you don't think it's a good idea to use pandas at this time?
46:22Of course not.
46:24It's a matter of preference.
46:28Mr. Ohara, which administration do you think is better?
46:33I think the Harris administration is better.
46:36But I don't think it's actively involved in the presidential election.
46:41I don't know which is better.
46:43However, there is a lot of news that seems to be suspicious of the United States.
46:47Mr. Horowitz, what do you think?
46:49Recently, Mr. Shūkinpei made a statement that he wants to get along with the United States.
46:53I think that's probably his true intention.
46:56The relationship with the United States is deteriorating, and the economy is getting worse.
47:02But if you look at various reports from China, both sides are strict.
47:07In the background, there is the American public opinion that China is very wary of the United States.
47:12It's the same in Japan.
47:14That's why China is giving up a little bit.
47:17It's just a matter of which is easier to do.
47:21That's all for the special.
47:24You can watch the only story of Fujii Yui, the caster, on Teletubbies.
47:34It will be uploaded next Tuesday.
47:36I would like to talk to our guest, Mr. Kōrogi.
47:39Thank you for joining us.
47:41After the announcement, we will have some market information.
47:50Tomorrow's Nikkei Sunday Salon will be hosted by Mr. Ken Hasebe, president of Tokyo Shibuya.
47:56We will ask him why he started banning roadside drinking as a Halloween measure.
48:02Please enjoy.
48:04Now for some market information.
48:06On the 18th, the price of New York Dow Jones continued to rise for three days.
48:10The end price was $36, or $43,275.
48:15It is the highest price in a row.
48:18The end price of the New York foreign exchange market was $1.149, or 70,000 yen,
48:23from 50,000 to 60,000 yen.
48:26And we asked the market officials about the stock price at the end of December.
48:31Mr. Yajima from the Shibuya Institute of Economics at the time, expected to be at $40,000.
48:34Mr. Itoshima of Big Tech Japan, expected to be at $38,000.
48:40Mr. Iwane at the U.S. National Bank of Japan, expected to be at $38,000.
48:47Mr. Iwane at the U.S. National Bank of Japan, expected to be at $38,000.
48:53and the U.S. is expected to make a big move in the Middle East.
48:58We'll be back next week.
49:00Mr. Kariu, I'm sure you'll be meeting with Putin and Xi Jinping on Tuesday.
49:08What do you think?
49:10What's most important in China's diplomacy is the relationship with the global south.
49:17The BRICS is a very important platform.
49:20Recently, the number of member states has been increasing.
49:25I think the BRICS is being used to balance the conflict between China and the U.S.
49:34They're trying to make use of the BRICS.
49:38That's all for today.
49:50For more UN videos visit www.un.org
50:20www.un.org