Lost in a sea of state-by-state presidential election data? Veuer’s Matt Hoffman provides a quick guide to how the vote is likely to play out.
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00:00Lost in a sea of state-by-state presidential election data?
00:03Here's a quick guide to how the vote is likely to play out.
00:06As always, the outcome is expected to come down to a select group of so-called swing states,
00:10all the rest being thought of as done deals.
00:13This cycle's seven swing states can be grouped into two categories,
00:16the Blue Wall, consisting of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania,
00:20and the Sun Belt, consisting of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.
00:25We've colored the Blue Wall blue and the Sun Belt red here for purposes of illustration,
00:29but any of these states could go either way,
00:31although it's worth noting that according to The Hill,
00:33if these colors did represent outcomes by party,
00:36this map would mean a Democratic victory, assuming everything else went as expected.
00:40Of course, not all of these states are created equal.
00:42Pennsylvania has the highest number of Electoral College votes, with 19,
00:46which is why both campaigns have been so intensely focused on it in this last leg of the cycle.
00:51Currently, 538 polling has Trump narrowly ahead in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona,
00:56and Georgia, Harris narrowly ahead in Michigan and Nevada,
00:59and Wisconsin in absolute dead heat.
01:01But all of these races are extremely tight.
01:04It's worth noting that it's technically possible, though unlikely,
01:07that the Electoral College could deliver a 269-269 tie.
01:11NPR reports that in that case, the victor would be decided by the House of Representatives,
01:15with each state apportioned one vote, likely giving the Republican Party the advantage.