BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Baker Mayfield
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming NFL and MLB games
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00:00Welcome to the Beck QL Daily Boost.
00:05I'm Lucy Birch of Beck QL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have a Thursday night
00:11football odds boost for all of you today on Baker Mayfield to have over 249 and a half
00:17passing yards and over one and a half passing touchdowns boosted to plus 250 at Caesars.
00:22Matt, what do you think of this boost?
00:25Yeah, I guess it all depends on what you like in the game.
00:27If you like the over, you like the Buccaneers, either one of those, this would be great to
00:31put a sprinkle on, maybe a quarter unit or a half unit because it correlates directly
00:35with that.
00:36Baker Mayfield, the offense, they were on fire last week, absolutely destroying the
00:40Philadelphia Eagles' horrendous, terrible secondary that they have of that team.
00:45And the Buccaneers have been kind of off and on this year.
00:48I mean, they destroyed the Lions as well, their secondary.
00:50So I guess it all depends.
00:52Do you think the Buccaneers are going to have success tonight against the Falcons defense?
00:55If you do, it's definitely worth the sprinkle, maybe a quarter unit or a half unit.
00:59Well, thank you very much.
01:01Get in on this boost, plus 250 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
01:06Bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering
01:12code LUCY when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to odyssey.com slash
01:17bet as well for everything to bet on this game and everything this NFL season and MLB
01:22playoffs.
01:23Oh, yeah.
01:24Everything.
01:25Amazing work from all of us at BetQL.
01:27So you're going to want to head there, odyssey.com slash BetQL and follow us on Twitter, of course,
01:33at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille Burge, we have our favorite bets for
01:38today as well.
01:39And I'm going to the MLB playoffs because the playoffs are upon us.
01:43Wildcard series are being extended and teams are getting knocked off left and right.
01:47But the Mets are still in this.
01:49So Jose Quintana over four and a half strikeouts.
01:51I like very much tonight against the Brewers.
01:54He and his career against the Brewers is nine and seven with a two point nine eight ERA
01:59one point zero seven whip.
02:01So over twenty three games.
02:02So it's not terrible.
02:03And he finished the regular season with nine strikeouts against the Brewers.
02:07He also hit this in three of his last five outings.
02:10So I think he can go over four and a half strikeouts tonight for the Mets.
02:14Yeah, I don't mind that at all.
02:16The Brewers have also been worse against left handers than right handers this year.
02:19So definitely something to think about there.
02:21I'd be placing that one.
02:23Definitely be tailing somebody because my MLB postseason bets so far kind of been a
02:27stinker.
02:28Not me.
02:29Honestly, not mine.
02:30I kind of have been too.
02:31We need to gear up a bit more.
02:32We need more of the like pennant races or like a wild card is really tough.
02:37Well, it all changes here.
02:39Yeah.
02:40The playoffs are a whole different beast from the regular season.
02:43So my bets have not been the greatest, but we're going to keep trying to keep chugging
02:46along here.
02:47I'm actually going to go to football because we have Thursday night football tonight.
02:51We get the Buccaneers and the Falcons as we were just talking about in the boost.
02:54I think my best bet right now that I have a place to bet, as always, I'm going to be
02:58looking at the updated betting splits as soon as they come out closer to kickoff.
03:02But right now we take a look here on the spread, 43 percent of the bets and 49 percent of the
03:07money is on the Atlanta Falcons, which obviously isn't a majority.
03:10So most people are betting on the Buccaneers here.
03:13They look at the total 56 percent of bets and 45 percent of the money is on the over.
03:18So the public slightly leaning towards the over in this one.
03:21And on the money line, though, that is where we see a extreme discrepancy, 78 percent of
03:26the bets and 60 percent of the money at BetMGM is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
03:32So the public is definitely loving Tampa Bay here, not only on the spread, but on the money
03:36line as well, which makes me think that I'm probably going to have a Falcons money line
03:41ticket tonight to win this game.
03:43In all likelihood.
03:44Now, I haven't bet it yet.
03:45As I said, I'll be waiting for the FDA to go closer to kickoff, but Falcons ML is looking
03:50like the play tonight.
03:51So I'll be locking that in.
03:52I'll be praying that Baker Mayfield doesn't have a great game.
03:57Very nice.
03:58Fair enough.
03:59Because that that has been because of you.
04:00This is my strategy as well.
04:02Going through this NFL season bet against the public.
04:05This is this is how I bet football.
04:07And so far this season, I'm up like over 20 units here.
04:10The public has been awful this season, especially under wild.
04:16Yeah, it's been wild.
04:17How that like against the spread underdogs have been great.
04:20Sometimes they're the favorite is the one you want to pick.
04:22Last week, as we saw, the Buccaneers destroyed the Eagles.
04:25So now the public is backing the Buccaneers on the road here.
04:28The Falcons coming off a loss.
04:30So, you know, everybody's going to want to bet Tampa Bay because they had that great
04:33game last week.
04:35Makes me think the Falcons are probably going to win this game.
04:38So Falcons ML is probably going to be the play for me.
04:42I would assume so.
04:43Now, of course, you know, you always want to look at the splits close to the game, because
04:46as I always say, a lot of tickets and money, tons of tickets and money come in late, closer
04:52to game time.
04:53So you want to have the most updated splits.
04:55But Falcons money line, I'd say probably going to be taking you're convincing me.
05:00I'm probably going to be not as well.
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