Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00MVP, Luke is the favorite SGA not far behind.
00:06Jokic is in the same tier as those guys.
00:08And then it kind of drops down Giannis and Tatum.
00:12I have a bet that was placed in the preseason Brunson
00:14in that mix as well.
00:16On Victor Webinyama at 50 to one,
00:18which is awesome because it's 20 to one.
00:22Now the trick is kind of winning the bet, right?
00:25Like I knew I was going to beat that number
00:26even if it started at 50 to one,
00:28because Victor Webinyama in the advanced box score metrics
00:31that are actually more predictive
00:33than people will probably want to believe for winning MVP.
00:39He's going to be top five in.
00:40So I knew that that 50 to one was a good number.
00:44The issue though now is actually winning the bet.
00:48Now, in order to win the bet,
00:50I don't think Wemby has to do as much
00:52as a lot of the other guys, right?
00:54Like Luke and SGA probably gonna have to be
00:56the one seed in the West.
00:57Yoke, which would have to be the one seed in the West
00:59or something along those lines, right?
01:01That's the argument that if you actually take a look
01:03at the first one, two, three, four, five, six, seven guys,
01:08all the guys, if you look at the guys,
01:09that's kind of perfect, right?
01:10All the guys in front of Wemby,
01:12the whole thing is like,
01:14we have to win 55 games at a minimum and be great
01:18for Brunson, Tatum and all those guys.
01:20Wemby probably has to win 42 games.
01:23There'll be 20 more wins.
01:25Have the best defense in basketball.
01:28You know what I wonder if the biggest block is
01:32in getting this thing for Wemby
01:34is if he wins MVP this year.
01:37Can Victor Webanyama sweep the awards?
01:40Can Vic go out there and win MVP and DPOY
01:44and maybe a most improved in his sophomore season?
01:50Again, 50 to one's a good number.
01:52I'll probably be willing to cash out.
01:55I will be surprised if it is not Luka or SGA.
01:57I'm in on both of those basketball teams
01:59to varying degrees.
02:01I think they're the two best teams
02:02in the Western Conference.
02:03I think they're two of the five best teams in the NBA.
02:07And based on every single thing that I'm lined up here,
02:12based on all the typical criteria to win this award,
02:15I will be pretty surprised if it is not Luka Doncic
02:18or Shea Gilgis-Alexander.
02:20I mentioned events of player of the year,
02:21so let's just kind of hit that right now
02:24with Vic as the favorite at minus 155,
02:27one of the strongest favorites we've seen
02:29to win an award for quite some time.
02:31Well, it's justified, but I'm not betting it.
02:37I would not bet minus 155.
02:39Now, if you look, Wemby last season finished second
02:43in the race, he finished second in the race
02:48despite being on a 22-win team in his rookie season
02:54that had a bottom 10 defense.
02:57He finished second in defense player of the year.
03:01That's why I kind of feel like anybody,
03:02betting anybody else also feels a bit of a waste.
03:05It's to me a bit of a dead market.
03:07Now, if Wemby Nyama was injured,
03:09which would be unfortunate, but if he was,
03:11obviously it's open season.
03:12If he couldn't meet the 65 game minimum.
03:15The guys that stood out to me were Chet Holmgren,
03:17Bam Rabaio, yes, the next two options,
03:20but I think both of those teams with their defense,
03:22with the way that they rely on Chet Holmgren and Bam Rabaio
03:25will actively be in those races, as well as Anthony Davis.
03:29I do think there's a desire from JJ Redick
03:31to get him in the mix on those awards
03:36and to, or excuse me, to be a defensive anchor
03:40for that basketball team.
03:41And if he's successful in doing so,
03:43look for AD to be in that conversation.
03:46And at 31 to one, you're clipping
03:49what is I think still a pretty good number.
03:51Another big man centric award is Zach Eadie.
03:53He is now the plus 290 favorite to win rookie of the year.
03:57Another spot where pre-season
03:58I was able to make the right judgment.
04:00I don't know.
04:01I know that doesn't do anything for you guys now,
04:03but I have to let you know where I'm starting
04:04so you understand where I'm going.
04:06On draft night, put in some Zach Eadie 20 to one.
04:11Yeah, plus 2000 to win the rookie of the year.