IHSG -1,11% ke 7.206,24 di sesi I Senin (11/11). Hanya sektor teknologi yang menguat 1,22% GOTO +3,17%. Indeks sektoral sektor properti -2,04% PANI -4,76, sektor infrastruktur -1,64% BREN -2,91%. Memasuki sesi II pelemahan IHSG terpangkas, namun tertahan di tengah saham perbankan Big Caps masih jadi Top Laggards sepekan.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us and in this segment, we will review how the trade is going throughout the day.
00:12Where the villagers have experienced a fairly deep correction, even though in a few minutes after the closure, the weaknesses are more towards the far-right.
00:20And we remind you that you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive on 08.12.8788.723, as shown on the television screen.
00:30And now we are connected via Zoom with Mrs. Ratih Mustiq Koningsi, who is a financial expert at Ajaib Securities.
00:37We will go straight to her. Good afternoon, Mrs. Ratih. How are you, ma'am?
00:42Hello, good afternoon, Mr. Dave. How are you?
00:45Thank you, Mrs. Ratih, for spending your time on IDX Channel.
00:49In the early trading week, the villagers have again experienced a fairly deep correction in the intraday,
00:57again weakening above 1 percent and moving at the level of 7,100, Mrs. Ratih,
01:03even though the weaknesses are more towards the far-right so far.
01:06What is your analysis of the ongoing weaknesses for the villagers?
01:12Okay.
01:15The movement of IHSG today is indeed quite a correction.
01:21So, earlier in session one, we saw that it dropped by 1 percent.
01:26Now it has begun to rebound by 0.26 percent.
01:30So, indeed, for IHSG itself, the sentiment was quite negative last week.
01:33Yes, because there were also foreign investors who were quite massive last week,
01:37for a total of Rp4.5 trillion.
01:40Then, if we look at the Rupiah, we also had depreciation until Rp16,800 last week.
01:48So, it is also in line with the weaknesses of IHSG.
01:52And if we look at it, actually for IHSG itself,
01:55this is indeed the lowest performance compared to the index in ASEAN,
02:01the stock market in ASEAN.
02:02So, it is in line with the weaknesses of trading and also foreign investors.
02:07And today it is still a correction, even though it has begun to rebound at the end of the session.
02:13Okay. Where will the direction of the Samkabungan index go next, Mrs. Rati?
02:18Technically, the intraday was up to Rp7,100,
02:22then it also went back to Rp7,200.
02:28Okay. So, if we look at IHSG,
02:31we see today that the trading is indeed quite volatile
02:35because there is a pullback from the technical movement of IHSG.
02:40In terms of support, it can be considered that the nearest support area is still at Rp7,200.
02:47That's for the support area.
02:48For the resistance area, there is no potential reversal from IHSG.
02:53However, we see the closest resistance here is Rp7,330.
02:56That's for IHSG.
02:58Considering that the sentiment is still quite negative,
03:02starting with our PDB which is still below 5%,
03:05last time it was Rp3,000.
03:06Then there is also our IKK which is also a correction,
03:09which was just released today at Rp1,210 for its release.
03:13So, it is in line with the ability of the people who are being corrected.
03:18With the Samkabungan index record so far,
03:22is the target until the end of the year still in line with expectations, Mrs. Rati?
03:28Or is there some kind of revision?
03:30Considering that we have entered the trade in November,
03:34entering the second week,
03:35but the Samkabungan index movement is still quite far from the highest intraday level ever achieved before.
03:43So, will IHSG be able to return to its highest level at Rp7,900 at the end of the year?
03:53If we can say, for now, we are still not sure to reach Rp7,900 again.
04:01Because we also saw domestic conditions,
04:03which we see from the purchasing power is still quite limited.
04:07Then we see our partners like China,
04:09the economy is also the same,
04:10the last one also recorded a monthly deflation for the month of October.
04:14So, globally, it doesn't support IHSG to return to Rp7,900.
04:20For now, what needs to be done by the market players?
04:26It can be WNC,
04:27considering the position of the cash,
04:30it can be considered to buy on weakness of the stocks that are being discounted with a small portion first.
04:35Okay, you said that massive sales are still happening,
04:39especially for these big cap stocks.
04:43We will try to review from the bank, Mrs. Rati,
04:46how big is the foreign trade action so far?
04:50Okay, so for IHSG,
04:52last week there was an outflow of Rp4,500,000,000.
04:56That's because one of them is the outflow of the big cap stock,
05:02which we can see is in line with the 4 big banks that did have a correction last week,
05:07and today there is still a correction.
05:09But there is already a pullback, as I mentioned at the beginning,
05:13which made IHSG also at the end of the session began to rebound.
05:17And is it interesting to accumulate?
05:20Yes, it can be considered to buy on weakness with a small portion first.
05:24Okay, we will try to review from BBRI, Mrs. Rati.
05:28The volatility today is quite high, Mrs. Rati.
05:31It was able to touch the lowest intraday level at Rp4,370,000.
05:35And earlier, it was able to give hope,
05:38because BBRI was able to return to the green zone at Rp4,540,000.
05:42However, the current position is reversing again,
05:46weakening above 1% and returning to Rp4,470,000.
05:49What is your analysis for BBRI?
05:52Okay, for BBRI, we see that there was enough rebound until today's highest,
05:57at Rp4,540,000, but again a correction at Rp4,470,000 for now.
06:05So is it interesting for BBRI?
06:08Yes, I think it's interesting for BBRI.
06:11Maybe for investors, it can be considered technically.
06:14For the support area of BBRI, as long as it can still move above Rp4,350,000,
06:18I think it's still interesting to buy on weakness with a small portion.
06:24For the potential reversal, there is no potential reversal from BBRI technically.
06:28So it's still tending to settle.
06:30Okay, Rp4,470,000, the lowest position at Rp4,370,000.
06:37Meanwhile, the support that must be maintained at Rp4,350,000,
06:40the range is quite narrow with intraday.
06:43When selling at Rp4,350,000, where will the direction go, Iborati?
06:48If we look at the breakout at Rp4,350,000,
06:51there is a potential to return to Rp4,100,000.
06:54So it can be considered for the support area at Rp4,350,000.
06:58Okay, from BBRI, we move on to other big cap banks.
07:03Among them is the position of BMRI.
07:07The volatility is also quite high today.
07:10It was suppressed at Rp6,150,000.
07:13Then it touched the highest intraday level at Rp6,450,000.
07:17Closed at Rp6,350,000.
07:20The variations are quite diverse. Iborati, what is your analysis for BMRI?
07:25So for BMRI, if we look at it technically,
07:31it tends to be even, because there were several banks,
07:34it tends to be even for several big banks.
07:37Today there is a pullback from the price movement of the stock,
07:41rebounded above the support at Rp6,300,000.
07:45For now, for the support area that can be considered,
07:52it is in the Rp6,300,000 area, as long as it can still move at Rp6,300,000.
07:57So I think this is still interesting for Bionic NAS with a small portion first.
08:03So if the breakout is Rp6,300,000, there is a potential for BMRI
08:08to the next support level at Rp5,800,000.
08:12So it can be considered at Rp5,300,000.
08:15The intraday today was at Rp6,100,000, Iborati.
08:19Is this through the support level or is it still safe for BMRI?
08:26So for BMRI, the lowest was at Rp6,150,000.
08:31But there was a pullback at Rp6,300,000 until the closing today at Rp6,350,000.
08:37So if it can still move or close above Rp6,300,000,
08:42I think it can still survive at that level.
08:46If it can break out at Rp6,300,000, there should still be potential
08:49to go back to the Rp5,800,000 level.
08:52Okay, let's move on to other big cap banks.
08:55I want to go to BBNI first.
08:57Today, the volatility is quite high.
09:03Okay, so for the big cap banks,
09:07HSG also fell by 1% today.
09:10It's getting stronger.
09:12Although there is still a correction,
09:15but the correction is quite limited at 0.28%.
09:18This is because there is a rebound from the big cap banks.
09:21One of them is BBRI, BMRI, and BBNI.
09:25For BNI, it is currently in the support area,
09:28so it can be considered to be able to close above Rp4,900,000,
09:33I think it will be a critical support for BMRI.
09:37So maybe we can consider the support area at Rp4,900,000.
09:40Rp4,900,000 is the position for BBNI, the support that can be observed.
09:46And the closing today at Rp4,940,000 is weak at 0.80%.
09:52Analysis and recommendations from the big cap banks
09:56that today experienced a fairly high volatility,
09:59the movement was also quite significant,
10:01and it greatly affected the position of the Samkabungan family
10:04in an intraday manner throughout today's negotiation.
10:07And again, the decision to invest is still in the hands of the shareholders of ITX Channel.
10:11Ibu Rati, we will stop for a moment,
10:13later we will see what recommendations Samkabungan has made,
10:16and at the same time the closing of the trading session on the second day.
10:19We will be back in a moment.