This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the weekend 14/11/2024. A big change is on the way across the UK as high pressure moves away and allows more unsettled weather to arrive during this weekend. It'll also turn colder... Bringing you this weekend’s weather forecast is Aidan McGivern.
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00:00Hi there, and welcome to the Met Office weekend weather forecast.
00:03Significant changes are on the way for the UK's weather over the weekend as the high
00:08pressure that has kept things relatively benign for some time begins to move to the west.
00:13As that happens, the weather over the weekend turns more changeable, more unsettled.
00:19But at the same time, this cold front introduces colder air initially just to northern parts
00:24of the UK and the temperature contrasts between the cold air in the far north and the milder
00:29air further south will lead to an intense band of rain moving through Scotland on Friday
00:34evening, so expect some heavy rain for a short time and some gusty winds as that front sinks
00:40south.
00:4110pm there for Glasgow and Edinburgh, pushing into Belfast around midnight.
00:45That front is sinking south though, and ahead of it, we keep the same old weather pattern.
00:50Relatively benign conditions, variable amounts of cloud across much of southern and central
00:55England and Wales.
00:56Some cloud breaks, leading to a few fog and frost pockets first thing Saturday, but otherwise
01:01a lot of cloud and some drizzle here and there.
01:04Brighter skies behind the weather front across Cumbria into parts of Northumberland as well
01:09as Scotland and Northern Ireland first thing Saturday, but you'll notice a change in the
01:15temperature.
01:16It's going to start to feel much colder as these winds arrive from the north-northwest.
01:19They'll also carry frequent showers, which will be falling as sleet and snow over northern
01:24Scotland, particularly for Shetland, where there could be some settling of the wet snow
01:27above a couple of hundred metres.
01:29Meanwhile, it stays relatively mild further south, albeit very cloudy, and some outbreaks
01:35of rain sinking into central parts as this front moves south.
01:39The front moves south, the colder air begins to spread south, but it's briefly interrupted
01:44on Sunday by this weather system sliding in from the Atlantic and containing milder air
01:49once again, but also some outbreaks of rain.
01:53Those outbreaks of rain are likely to push into Northern Ireland first thing, as well
01:57as parts of south-west Scotland, eventually that showery rain turning up across Wales
02:01and western and northern England.
02:04To the south, east and north of that, we're going to see some brighter weather and northern
02:09Scotland is still subject to some frequent sleet and snow showers, still feeling very
02:13cold here, whilst further south it's relatively mild and we're likely to see some rain later
02:18in the day for southern areas, but throughout much of the afternoon it's bright spells and
02:22one or two showers.
02:24Now these outbreaks of rain across central parts will be heavy and persistent at times.
02:29There's an element of uncertainty still with this system about how much the area of low
02:33pressure it's associated with deepens.
02:36Most likely, this is the kinds of weather we can expect on Sunday, but there's a smaller
02:41chance, around 15% chance, that a deeper, more developed low crosses the country and
02:46that would of course lead to more widespread heavy rain and some very strong winds.
02:50So something that we're still keeping an eye on as we go through the next couple of days.
02:54Nevertheless, it's northern Scotland where we're likely to see the wintry weather continuing
02:58on Sunday, perhaps some hill snow for the Pennines as this system moves away and it
03:03will move away so that at the start of next week we see colder, northerly winds sweep
03:08south across most of the UK.
03:10But once again, later Monday, we've got one of these weather systems in the mix arriving
03:15from the Atlantic and again containing milder air at outbreaks of rain.
03:20And this is another one of the situations where there's some uncertainty about the development
03:23of an area of low pressure arriving from the Atlantic and the exact track.
03:28Now at the moment, the most likely scenario is that it will bring some outbreaks of rain
03:32and perhaps sleet or hill snow to southern parts of the UK as a relatively shallow area
03:36of low pressure, whilst the northern two-thirds of the UK sees bright spells, cold winds and
03:42also some sleet and snow showers primarily affecting coastal parts.
03:46But there are other scenarios, one in which there's no low pressure at all and another
03:51in which there's a very well-developed area of low pressure that moves in further north
03:56across the UK and brings widespread heavy rain in the south and some persistent snow
04:01further north with the risk of blizzards over hills and some very strong winds.
04:05So of course that would be the most impactful scenario and something we're keeping a close
04:10eye on as we go through the next few days.
04:12But like I say, this is the most likely setup and hopefully we'll have a bit more detail
04:16on what you can expect into the start of next week as this wintry weather continues in our
04:21Weather Studio Live which you can catch live on Friday at 12.15pm or you can watch on Catch
04:26Up via the Met Office YouTube channel.
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04:31Bye bye.