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00:00three and a half points spread in favor of the Eagles. The over under short week Thursday night
00:07game stands at 48 and a half. What are those numbers telling you about the flow of tonight's
00:13game between these two NFC East foes? We're in for some back and forth scoring. I think there's a
00:19again a realistic outcome as we've seen in some of these recent primetime games where
00:23the Eagles win maybe they don't cover and I think that over under is gonna be right on like
00:27you know if I said the Eagles win this game 24 to 21 you know that's a good amount of scoring
00:33especially for a Thursday night we're gonna get some touchdowns we're gonna get those main players
00:36that we expect to score that the spread's gonna be right on it there's a spot that I think it
00:41may fall just a bit short of the under I don't think we're gonna be massively under like 30 or
00:4535 points we're gonna be in the mid to upper 40s so I think we are in a spot where we're gonna see
00:50some overs hit uh you know especially like some props you want to maybe ladder some players I
00:54think there's a lot of opportunity for that I think there will be a chance to take live overs
00:59especially if this game starts off a little bit slow it's Thursday night it's a divisional game
01:02etc etc if we see a live total drop to you know the upper 30s or very low 40s that's where I'm
01:07gonna look to jump in on the over on that and you'll be in a good spot. Let's take a look at
01:12some quarterback props because I'm excited about both of these quarterbacks Jalen Hurts and Jaden
01:16Daniels. I have at that time a lot of props on Jalen Hurts this year throwing the football but
01:20now offensive line fully intact drooling my lot is coming back tonight you saw last week AJ Brown
01:25how would he react to that knee injury where he left the previous week he was fine Devontae Smith
01:29another week after that hamstring injury Dallas got her back here so I'm excited about Jalen Hurts
01:33how are you playing these two quarterbacks tonight? I think there's a chance that we see Hurts hit the
01:38over on his rushing attempts which I specifically like I would say you could look to both quarterbacks
01:43for their completions we do see the commander's top 10 in the league in blitz rate per drop back
01:48and yes the Eagles offensive line has gotten better but if we're going to see some scoring
01:53and we're going to see Hurts dropping back obviously that pressure will cause him to
01:56scramble at times so I think maybe on attempts for Hurts that could be there obviously he's
02:00always in play for a touchdown once they get down to the goal line so I think I don't think there's
02:05a wrong way to go for tonight right if you want to go over on his rushing plus passing I think
02:10that's fine you want to go over on his total attempts I think that's fine the same thing with
02:13Daniels you can go over on his completions because we know he's been extremely effective at passing
02:17the ball this year I think we a lot of things are in play Donnie like you said in the last segment
02:21if you want to simply take the Chiefs just because they're winning it you can't fault them for that
02:25that's kind of way I feel about a lot of players tonight if you want to be on a player for the
02:28over on his yards or over on receptions I'm not going to say that's a bad pick I think we're in
02:32for a really really good game tonight yeah thank you when you look at Jayden Daniels some of the
02:37efficiency has worn off ever so slightly 70.8 completion in his first four he has not been
02:44above 70 since that in his last five fully healthy games in fact some of the numbers have dropped off
02:50outside of the Hail Mary game against Chicago 209 or less in his last two in Philly's defense is
02:57getting much better but it's still Jayden Daniels in this game tonight should be prolific now let's
03:03go to the backfield mates for the quarterback Saquon Barkley on one side for Philadelphia
03:09Brian Robinson Jr. missed the last two games with a hamstring injury expected to play tonight how do
03:14you break down the backs for Thursday night football you know Barkley's numbers or any running
03:19back that high is generally not something I want to go to I think Barkley's receiving is far more
03:23interesting than simply just going to his rushing and of course then I would look to rushing plus
03:27receiving you know if you were buying into what you just said with Daniels being a little bit
03:32less effective you know maybe again coming off this injury I'm not gonna say he's not 100% but
03:36this is where I would say okay let's get Robinson a little bit more involved you know he's had a
03:40couple weeks off he's ready let's get him on the ground going so we can take a little bit of that
03:44pressure off of Daniels who again has been just a little bit less effective than he's been so
03:48I certainly don't mind the rushing yards on Brian Robinson I would also look to his touchdown
03:52uh it's a plus one before which I do think our I saw when we're seeing the game without with a
03:56nearly 50 over under tonight let's take a look at some of those receiving props I know you're
04:01pretty high same as myself if you think that Jalen Hurt's gonna have a good football game
04:04A.J. Brown is raring to go against that secondary time he's listed at 80 and a half top dog for
04:09Washington is Terry McLaurin at 60 and a half how are we playing the pass catchers tonight in
04:13Philadelphia? Tonight's an A.J. Brown game as I often say in a lot of the pregame shows it's a
04:18specific game that's gonna be A.J. Brown touchdown at plus 130 uh 32% target share this year he
04:24hasn't scored since week seven against the Giants actually missed a few games here or there I also
04:28like him over 28 and a half for his longest reception he's been over this mark in five of
04:32the six games he's played he has multiple games of 40 plus receptions he has a 14.58 dot we look
04:37back to some commanders recent games we see uh George Pickens last week and Mike Williams both
04:42going over 30 yards and then I would look to Zach Ertz on the other side he actually has the second
04:46highest target share on the commanders at 19.6% so over 34 and a half receiving yards for him.