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00:00We start with the team that led to a lively and spirited conversation.
00:07That's eighth ranked Notre Dame, according to the college football playoff selection
00:12committee, of course, number four in my top 10, 22 and a half point favored Kev today
00:17as they host Virginia.
00:20As I said, and one of the reasons they are a little bit higher in my rankings than perhaps
00:24others, they are five, one and one against the number against non-MAC opponents and absolutely
00:29rolling teams here as of late.
00:32Will that roll continue under the watchful eye of touchdown Jesus?
00:35No, and it's not their fault.
00:37They're against, uh, becoming one of my favorite coaches in college football, Tony Elliott.
00:41And that's because last week Tony Elliott was in a spot that has now delivered consistently
00:47off a buy.
00:48He just went out right as a dog and he did it against a ranked Pittsburgh team.
00:52So I wondered then if there was anything to it, right?
00:54Does it kind of wear off the, Hey, we got our big win.
00:57Let's go to sleep.
00:58Well, those three times that he's won off of a buy and pulled off the upset, the follow-up
01:03has been a loss, but a pretty comfortable cover this season.
01:07They nearly upset Louisville.
01:09They were leading in the fourth quarter year before that they nearly upset Miami catching
01:1218 and a half.
01:14They lost an overtime and two years prior, they were catching two and a half points lost,
01:19but covered in quadruple overtime against Miami.
01:22So from what I've seen from Tony Elliott off of a buy, he's going to get you two great
01:27ones.
01:28So UVA should hang inside the number against Notre Dame.
01:30I thought that as well.
01:31And the more I dove into the line, the 22 and a half, I started to get a little bit
01:35scared off because I dove deeper in terms of their resume and yes, they stepped up against
01:40teams like wake forest.
01:41They have four wins, got the cover on the road a couple of weeks ago or three weeks
01:45ago against Clemson.
01:46That was a 20 and a half, 21 point number.
01:49They put up 31 points.
01:50It's not so much the offense that I'm concerned with.
01:53It's the defense breaking down against a bigger physical offensive line.
01:57And again, could kill Andrea in that passing attack.
01:59It's all predicated on running the football, working off of play action.
02:04Can they attack that secondary enough to get to 200, two and a quarter through the air?
02:09Like I said, they're giving up a buck 48 in terms of the backend, the 50, 48% completion
02:14percentage.
02:15So in order for Virginia Ben and Kev to cover this line, they got to get to two, two 3240
02:23in the passing attack.
02:24I don't know if they can get there and seeing them get beat up by teams like Louisville.
02:29I reluctantly would lay it with Notre Dame.
02:31I don't like this game, but the total to me, 50 and a half is standing out.
02:36I think we can get through that a little bit later.
02:38So I've mentioned those seven games for Notre Dame against non Mac foes.
02:42They are five, one and one against the number.
02:44They have also gone over in five of those seven Notre Dame has scored 49 points in three
02:49of their last four wins.
02:51They are now the 12th best scoring offense in the country and the third best scoring
02:55defense in the country.
02:57To your point, the Cavaliers have been great as an underdog favored in their first five
03:01games of the year.
03:03Now an underdog in three of their previous four.
03:05They're perfect against the number as a dog, including the outright win against Pittsburgh.
03:10But the only time UVA was a triple or a three touchdown underdog, excuse me, against Clemson.
03:18That game went over.
03:19They allowed the Tigers to score 48 points just quickly here on Notre Dame.
03:23Their college football playoff price is minus three, 10 entering the year.
03:27Notre Dame's win total was 10 and a half.
03:29The under had the juice.
03:30It was minus one 70, same price for the Irish to reach the college football playoff.
03:35That number now better greater than three bills and a 20 to one price to win the national
03:40championship.