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00:00I got to ask you about these, you know, you mentioned tomorrow, Clemson SMU, sir.
00:08We already bit that one.
00:10Let's go to the other three, Iowa State and Arizona State in the big 12 championship.
00:18I think they're playing that one in Arlington, right?
00:20And then Georgia and Texas at the bends in Atlanta, and then Penn State and Oregon at
00:27Lucas Oil in Naptown in Indianapolis.
00:30What do you think of those three puppies tomorrow?
00:33I think if anybody, if there's any handicapper out there that is selling, I have the lock
00:38of the century in the Arizona State, Iowa State game run far away because this is sort
00:43of the old coin to flop, you know, flip, isn't it, man?
00:48This is like a lot of these games.
00:49They're all all the point spreads are all pickles, one and a half, two and a half, etc.
00:53But to me, guys, the difference in this football game is going to be special teams and third
00:59down.
01:00And now I'll bust out some X's and O's here on this.
01:03Listen, Arizona State lost their top wide receiver, all right, the guy that they throw
01:07to like 75% of the time on third down is not playing in this game.
01:12So they lose their number one target.
01:15Number one wide receiver, their go to guy.
01:18And to me, that's a big time loss.
01:21All right.
01:23On the other side, the Iowa State Cyclones, bro, they have like the 13th ranked secondary
01:28and pass defense in college football.
01:31They terrorize you like they really do.
01:33Like they're it's almost impossible to throw the ball on these guys.
01:36Now Scatterbowl is a badass back, right?
01:39But they're going to be kind of one dimensional here.
01:42And you know, looking into the numbers here, Scott, as expected, like a team like Iowa
01:46State, they're really good on special teams, right?
01:50They've got a good field goal kicker.
01:51They got a really good punter.
01:53They pin you.
01:54You don't.
01:55They minimize punt returns.
01:56Meanwhile, oh yeah, by the way, they have one of the best punt returners in the game.
02:01There's a differential of 20 yards per special teams play, which I think is going to add
02:08up over the course of the game for Iowa State.
02:12Just the little things.
02:13And hey, Dillingham's done a great job, all right?
02:16And this guy, he's a big motivator, Scott, if I pick ISU right now, he's going to find
02:20this and he's going to find every clip of anyone that ever picked against him and use
02:24it as motivation.
02:25But without being stated, bro, Matt Campbell's a very good coach.
02:29This guy's been around for a while.
02:30He was the youngest coach.
02:31They'd call it football at Toledo.
02:33He went to Iowa State.
02:34He's done a great job here.
02:35First time they've ever won 10 games.
02:37I think Campbell gets to the playoffs.
02:39I think Iowa State's, you know, Beck has been there forever, bro.
02:43Like they're just, they're an experienced football team.
02:46ASU kind of came out of nowhere, right?
02:49Like, oh my God, they're a three and nine football team.
02:52I just think, I like, I just think ISU can systematically make this, you know, the little
02:57plays here, the punt here, the missed field goal or whatever there, punt return, good
03:01field position.
03:03I think it'll add up.
03:04Iowa State wins a close game in my opinion.
03:06What about Georgia, Texas?
03:09This one, well, listen, we got a rematch, 30-15 from the last time they played.
03:14You know, let's remember in that football game, Quinn Ewers had just come back from
03:18injury.
03:19A lot of people thought they should have just left Manning in there.
03:21So that was Ewers' first game back.
03:23Was he good?
03:24No.
03:25Georgia's defense was really balling at that time of the year and their offense was kind
03:28of struggling.
03:29Now, like it's kind of reversed a little bit.
03:32People are moving the ball on Georgia now, but suddenly Beck isn't turning the ball over
03:36as much.
03:37But the big key to this football game, guys, the Texas Longhorns are ranked six in the
03:43country in first half scoring, all right?
03:48They score 21 points, 21.6 points per game in the first half.
03:53The Georgia Bulldogs, and in the first quarter, Texas averaged like seven and a half points
03:59a game in the first quarter.
04:01So overall, they score early, Texas.
04:04That's what they like to do.
04:05They like to score early, rely on their defense, run the ball, you know, dink and dunk passing.
04:10But Georgia are very slow starters, guys.
04:13Look at all these Georgia Bulldog games this year, right?
04:16I mean, hell, even the Clemson game in week one was like six nothing at the half or whatever,
04:20right?
04:21It was, you know what I mean?
04:22They don't, they're very slow starters on offense, Georgia.
04:26And in fact, they're ranked 79th in the country, all right?
04:29They only scored 12 points a game in the first half and a lot of it sort of come in the last
04:33couple of weeks.
04:35I think the first half is key here.
04:37I think Texas are going to get that lead and I think they will get the Carson Beck.
04:41I think the old cliche, hard to beat the same team twice in the same season as in this instance
04:47comes into play here.
04:48Give me the, give me the horns here, Scotty.
04:50All right, and real quick, Penn State, Oregon in the Big Ten.
04:53Well, you know, I know it's cliche to talk about, oh, Jay Franklin doesn't win big games.
04:57This isn't about Jay Franklin.
04:59This is about Dan Lanning having the best team in college football.
05:01This is about Dillon Gabriel making the right decisions.
05:03They're good on offense.
05:04They're good on defense.
05:05Ducks win, Ducks cover.