Steelers at Ravens, Chargers at Texans... how should you bet? Who's in/out? Betting insider Nick Kostos joins!
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00:00Morning Nick. What's going on guys? Great to be out with you. Oh, I'm doing awesome, man. Yeah, I'm doing really good
00:04This is this is your time. This is yeah here
00:07yeah, like this is this is it like a home stretch of my busy season and
00:10Last night began a stretch of five straight days of playoff football with Notre Dame Penn State awesome game last night
00:16Yeah, Ohio State, Texas tonight wild-card weekend in the NFL. Hell. Yeah, brother. Let's do it
00:21I was asking chime because I'm not as sharp like you to why that money shifted yesterday
00:27With what in the Ohio State in the Penn State Notre Dame yes
00:30Yes, cuz Abdul Carter was what was gonna play in the game
00:33Yeah, that was that was why because he's gonna be like the Penn State pass rusher
00:37He's going in the top ten of the draft in April
00:40Maybe in the top five and we didn't know if he was gonna play and then he comes out for warm-ups
00:44He's and he's gonna play and that was all it needed to get and it wasn't a huge move, right?
00:48Notre Dame was like a one-point favorite then Penn State's a one-point favorite
00:51It was really inconsequential still pick the winner of the game, but that's the reason why how do we bet tonight?
00:56Well, I am NOT betting the game tonight
00:58The way that I chose to bet this round of the college football playoff was to bet Ohio State to win the national championship
01:04So I have Ohio State over Notre Dame as well in an exacta
01:09So I will be rooting very hard for Ohio State tonight to win the game
01:12I do think Ohio State will win but as far as the point spread is concerned
01:16I do think Greg the number is currently sitting six
01:18I think this is gonna come off six before we kick off tonight in the Cotton Bowl in Dallas
01:23I think this is gonna go down to five and a half with the thought being like Ohio State should be favored in the game
01:28But you're paying a tax now to bet Ohio State where the numbers probably a little too big
01:32But that's what happens when you eviscerate, Tennessee and obliterate Oregon in the Rose Bowl right now
01:38Everyone wants to bet Ohio State. So I think this will go down to five and a half
01:41So if anyone out there likes, Texas
01:43I would bet the six now because I don't think it's gonna last and I think Ohio State will win the game
01:48Maybe they cover. I just need Ohio State and the immortal words of the great Al Davis. Just win, baby
01:54Nick likes Texas tonight. I do love it. So does Sean McDonough to ought to win or no?
01:59Yeah, it's outright. I would be that would be not great for me
02:03I hope that does not happen big ten teams have not won in this stage for a very long time
02:08And it's gonna be like a home game for Texas
02:10So the offensive snap count for Ohio State just you know that them dealing with the noise, you know
02:16I'll play a role into it a little bit next sure
02:18It could be like I'm like, I think it could be a closer game than the betting market thinks
02:22I would be pretty surprised if Ohio State lost
02:26Now they can Ohio State is way better than Texas Ohio State and Texas is better than Notre Dame
02:32Like these are the best two teams left. Yeah, they were way better than Michigan and they were at home. That is true
02:37There's no question about that
02:38But then Curtis you would also agree that Ohio State has kind of kicked it into overdrive the last two games, right?
02:43Right playing with house money no longer
02:46Nick I don't even like that is so so stupid from a guy who's just got the dumbest takes on a regular basis
02:52So you don't think a team that is tight?
02:55How is it?
02:55So how is the Rose Bowl house money against Oregon team that beat them in the rain because they were I don't know if you know
03:00This you're in bedding. They were an underdog
03:03Against Oregon the only they were favored against, Oregon. They were the Rose Bowl. They were the only
03:09undefeated team in the country
03:11Ohio State was favored in the game against Oregon, Ohio State entering this game tonight
03:18Has Ryan days butt cheeks clenched like you wouldn't believe
03:22Ryan day against Dan Lanning if they lost that game to Oregon
03:27NBD good season you want to play off game at home against, Tennessee?
03:30You lost to potentially the ultimate champion if they lose tonight when everybody's been saying it's their national championship or bust
03:37Hey, we had the same conversation before the Ohio State Michigan game
03:40I said to you Michigan if it's close, they will win
03:44Ohio State is tight as can be Ryan day sucks in those spots. It will happen again tonight
03:49And I'm not telling you it can't I'm Ohio State's better and I'm I'm again
03:54I just need Ohio State to win the game. You might be right that the game is close
03:57I would just like for Ohio State to win the game. All right on to the NFL this weekend
04:02Where do you guys want to start? I love the Baltimore one. That's where I was gonna start, too
04:07We were talking about Zay Flowers earlier not playing does that affect who you're going with?
04:10Well, I so I I'd like the Steelers I bet plus ten if people want to bet Baltimore
04:16Please lay nine and a half not ten if you like Pittsburgh bet plus ten
04:19So these two teams played a couple weeks ago on a Saturday in Baltimore
04:23The spread closed about seven and I know the Steelers have been terrible down the stretch lost four straight
04:29Baltimore has been amazing destroying everyone in their path
04:31But I don't know how we go from seven to ten and say flowers
04:35They're number one receivers and playing in the game. So I I did bet Steelers plus ten. I feel pretty good about it
04:40I do think the Ravens will win. So if people like are looking for some kind of like money line partly
04:44I think Ravens bills is probably a pretty good option
04:46But I do think that the game will be closer than the betting market indicates
04:50I bet the Steelers plus ten the first game of the weekend Nick Chargers Texans
04:53I just I want I want nothing to do with the Houston Texans
04:58I want to fade them as much as possible the way they've played their offense looks atrocious
05:02Even the defense has been a little bit more suspect of late and I think the the the cherry on top was that
05:0731 to 2 beat down on Christmas Day at the hand of the Ravens. So I love the Chargers
05:14No, I'm just
05:23No, but yeah, so I love the cherry on top was the 31 to beat down on Christmas a good line
05:28Thank you. I appreciate you Nick. So I'm curious your thoughts by the way. Oh, thank you. I appreciate your engagement. Of course
05:34Yeah, it was awesome took him long enough
05:37Hey, listen, my wife literally told me five days before we got engaged sat down and said I don't think we're on the same page
05:43Here and in my head, I'm thinking like the ring is like five feet away from where you're standing right now
05:47So I commiserate with chime on this
05:51So, where do you stand on Chargers laying the three in Houston? Great. I disagree with you, buddy
05:55I bet Texans plus three. Okay, so the chime if you like the Chargers and
05:59Perfectly reasonable opinion to have because Houston's been terrible again. Just like make sure you bet the best of the number
06:05I can be wrong Chargers minus two and a half is what you should bet if you like LA
06:09Take three if you like Houston, I I just don't think the points part of the game should be three
06:14I think like you are I don't know if this is a pro Charger tax
06:18It's probably an anti Houston tax here that's got this to three and maybe the Chargers win by three and I push my bet
06:23I'll take a shot here on CJ Stroud as a home underdog for the second straight year on wild card weekend
06:28I'll play the Texans plus three tomorrow Nick my son and I need some help. We were watching balloon pop
06:33Matchmaking and and Maisie. We don't have enough time. No, no, no. No, no, it's not about that. Maisie vs was on they says the world's
06:41greatest better and
06:43Great, definitely not true
06:45Makes a ton of money. He's got like three million followers. Why is he on TV talking about it?
06:50I don't know and he said take the Broncos
06:55With that with that point spread against the bills help me out. Do we help?
07:00Well help us the world's greatest better. You should listen to him, right?
07:03Oh, yeah, I know but I'm still you know, you're also in the best world of betting and now you know the Paul a playboy
07:08I just kind of you know, sometimes you need to lean on others. Uh, yeah, I mean, I I don't love this game
07:14I would bet the over if I had to do anything
07:16I don't think Denver will win like I think like way too much to ask
07:20Bonics for a road playoff game in Buffalo against Josh Allen and the bills
07:24I mean
07:24Maybe the Broncos can keep it close and shorten the game and like I'll say this if you people like Denver to keep the game
07:30Close it stands to reason that Bo Nix is gonna do a lot with his legs his rushing yards prop
07:34What's 26 and a half the last I looked I think if you think Denver keeps the game close
07:38I would also bet the Bo Nix over rushing yards. I guess if you gave me a hundred bucks and made me bet it
07:43I'd lay Buffalo. I don't have a strong feeling. I guess whoever that is can be right Rams Vikings
07:49Well, I know the game's gonna be played in Arizona now
07:51I'll say that um, I think the point spread move is I
07:55Definitely out of whack here where the Rams were gonna be a one-point favorite and now it's Vikings minus two and a half the Rams
08:00Like have no home field advantage. I don't think this really matters at all as far as the betting market is concerned
08:05I will I have not placed the bet yet. I will almost certainly have a Rams bet coming up on Monday night
08:10I think it is a mistake and I can be wrong
08:13I think it's a mistake for Sam Darnold to be favored on the road in a playoff game against Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay
08:21Okay
08:23Nick as always it what's what? What are you laughing at? No, we need to start playing something. No. No. No, I'm sending
08:29He just decided to tune out
08:32I'm sending I'm sending costos. I'm a Z vs
08:41I got it. Yeah, maybe they wake up. I don't know the guy's the guy's
08:46200,000 again, but listen like I just I just say this like I'm not insinuating this guy like doesn't batter doesn't win
08:53Yeah, but the idea that like if if that were true, why would he be doing content?
08:58Well, I think he was looking for love on balloon pop is a dating show. So he's looking for love
09:03And they asked what he did for the wiki wiki you you don't think to ask like one question
09:08Like why all of this is happening
09:11Because there's multiple guys on the show and they said hey, what do you do for a living? He goes? I'm the world's greatest better
09:19And I wish I'm not a hater I hope that guy wins a ton of money god bless him yeah
09:25Looking for attention, I'm sure he's looking he's been 200,000 a game and he's winning
09:32The receipts I mean, yeah, he puts the receipts up on his I do they have his name on I don't know
09:38Those things the best the best sports betters are anonymous. Why do you think I'm on the radio every day?
09:45Great point
09:46You know spaz who used to work with me
09:49Uh-huh used to go online and buy you can buy fake ATM receipts that say you have like sixty seventy thousand dollars in your
09:57Account I could have used that like 15 years. Yeah, I was dating in New York City, and I was dead broke
10:02That would have been awesome when he was going on dates. He'd leave him around the car
10:07I
10:09Was back in the day when I had my apartment in a story in Queens
10:12I would leave like Einstein's theory of relativity was one of them
10:16I would leave books out on the coffee table. So when a girl would come to my apartment you what's this big?
10:21Oh, well, let me tell you about
10:24It's a little you know a little hobby of mine
10:27Real life Ron Burgundy right there. So smart. Listen, you do what you got to do, man
10:32Yeah, I did it more with Shakespeare than Einstein. Okay. All right, Nick
10:36I believe that we're gonna hear from you on this radio station tomorrow morning at 8 a.m
10:41I can't wait. You have a couple of specials this weekend. Oh, yeah
10:45Uh a day I can't we can't we have can't wait to get up at 6 a.m
10:48Tomorrow 8 to 10 a.m. Eastern tomorrow WII and all the stations nationally myself and Sam panty out of it's Boston guy
10:56All the bets for wildcard weekends, then we are on also Sunday 10 a.m
11:00To noon by showing WFA and which no one cares about I'm just so into this mode of like promoting everything
11:05If anyone cares I'm on a New York solo for me tonight as well
11:08And everybody can also watch you better you bet on the newly branded NBC Sports Now channel from 6 to 7 p.m
11:14Eastern Dan lebatard Dan Patrick pro football talk Matthew Barry and Nick Costos. All right, Nick. You're the best. Thank you
11:21We'll talk to you again next week. Wishing everyone minimal sweats when he bets the absolute very best of luck