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00:00A game number one is in houston the texans a home dog to the los angeles chargers
00:06Very similar to last year. They were home dogs to the cleveland browns. I don't know maybe in hindsight
00:12That was insane that joe flacco was laying on the road. He was donnie
00:17Yeah, I think he still threw for a ton of yards in that game
00:20They only put up 14 points a browns defense that was out of this world last year gave up 45
00:27To cj stroud in his postseason debut. So what does he have for an encore? Well positioned right now?
00:34Depends where you look plus three
00:37Minus two and a half and obviously it's a key number
00:40It makes the difference within this game. The total at the moment is sitting 41 and a half nearly everywhere
00:46There is a 42 out there right now
00:49So a number dropping maybe just a little bit as we get closer to kick
00:54Lisa you start to dive into this game and what stands out?
00:57Well again, we talk about how hot la is from an offensive perspective. They have won three straight by 18 points per game
01:03They've scored 30 plus points in all three of those victories down the stretch. They dominated las vegas last week
01:1034 to 20 justin herbert with a huge performance and you look at justin herbert over the last three games kevin
01:16He's averaged 303.6 passing yards per game dominating in terms of the passing attack
01:22That's opened up jk. Dobbins and the rushing attack later in matchups
01:26And they've been able to sustain drives and hold on to win these games down the stretch and on the flip side
01:31You talk about an offensive identity for houston right now
01:34They struggled they picked up the win last week against tennessee. That was with davis mills in the backups
01:40They win it 23 to 14, but you look at the numbers for cj stroud guys over the last five weeks
01:46He's only averaged 209
01:480.8 passing yards per game. They've relied more on joe mixon than the passing attack. I think it needs to change today
01:55I do like houston
01:57The fact that they're playing at home. I think it's a bounce back for cj stroud a huge day
02:01I believe for nico collins his numbers 83 and a half
02:05I altered them up to 100 plus and a touchdown and you look at the total
02:09It started at 44 and a half back down to 41 and a half eight home games for houston
02:14They've totaled 41.8 points per game. We're right on the total. I think we see points of plenty
02:20Give me houston in the over
02:22If we are looking at this game too with the spreads between two and a half and threes depending where he's shopping
02:26I think most people saying if i'm going to pick a favorite this week
02:28It's probably going to be the chargers because I was the same way monday when the line came out the chargers victory
02:33Let's move on but joe is right. It's still a home playoff game. It's a different environment here
02:37You also liked what you saw to the houston texans first drive of the game
02:40Let's get a touchdown six for six cj stroud boom in and out of the game
02:43Everybody's healthy lining up for the playoffs
02:44but at the same time
02:45It just feels like jim harbaugh is that playoff coach that you would want the offensive line back being healthy
02:50Jk. Dobbins is back. You take a look at lad mcconkie who's been great this year, but banged up at times
02:55He got a chance to rest, you know sort of and say you know what?
02:57My legs are much better at this point now
02:59So when I actually analyze this game overall i'm having a tough time here late in the week
03:03Joe byers remorse as you want to call it while i'm leaning more and more to the houston texans
03:07But understanding this if there is a team I think is going to be ready for the playoffs
03:11That isn't a perennial playoff performer getting deep into the playoffs
03:14It would be harbaugh squad the way he coaches, you know, they're going to run the football
03:17You saw the graphic pop up earlier only three interceptions on the season for harvard
03:21They're going to take care of that football. How about this quentin johnston?
03:23Actually legitimate target the past couple weeks making big catches and getting a lot of yards. He's catching the football but johnson
03:30Dr. Donahue you want to take that one? I mean some questions with the hamstring on the injury report
03:35Jk. Dobbins on the injury report
03:37Yeah, I would not say that the chargers are the healthier team because when you take in the scope of the season
03:43No, they're not when you just look at the injury like who we were thinking would play versus who might be a little banged up
03:50Houston's news is a little bit cleaner. We knew digs tanked out, right?
03:53Obviously, we're never playing within this football game. What really stands out to me when you dive into this game is
04:00The texans do have the better defense that is the advantage that sits on the houston side of this game
04:07And I pretty inarguably if you're if you like dvoa the texans rank inside the top five chargers group isn't bad
04:14But I do look at that chargers defense
04:17Against teams that made the postseason you want to throw cincinnati in the mix. You certainly could
04:21Who had themselves a huge second half got to 27?
04:24You look at what baltimore did to this team got up to 30 points
04:27Denver nearly ran and hid from this chargers team and would have put them up against it for a postseason spot
04:33Again, a great comeback, but we saw that broncos offense going
04:37Incredibly the only legitimate playoff team that couldn't get to 20 plus against la
04:43Yeah, the kansas city chiefs the worst the worst good team you've ever seen in your entire life
04:47I look at the texans and while the plus three is tempting because I think their defense can step up
04:54I'm, very interested in the texans team total and play that number at 19 and a half minus 122 price
05:00You could go 20 and a half and a plus 114 I saw
05:04We've seen this team land 20. We've seen this team have 20. Okay, they kick the field goal to get to 23
05:11I think that gap in juice is ultimately worth it here. I'm not saying that houston's going to go out and get you
05:1728 35 30 maybe that's great
05:21But I don't think the texans are going to come away with this game lisi
05:25Incapable of finding the end zone multiple times i'm on their team total at 19
05:29And I like to look and the reason why I say that is even though joe mixon's been there
05:33This is an opportunity to get back to where you were last year. You have to live and die
05:38I believe with cj shroud in the passing attack
05:40Even though you might want to run joe mixon later in this game
05:43You can't just go in and expect joe mixon to take the game over
05:47I think that's the defensive mindset for la. Let's put the game on cj shroud. He has been inconsistent
05:53This is an opportunity for bobby sloach and the offense to be more aggressive and think about the two games
05:58That they lost prior to the victory last week against tennessee
06:02They only put up two against baltimore 19 against kansas city, right?
06:06They lost two of those games heading into the week 18 matchup. They were very clean on the first drive
06:11I think they he opened it up
06:13So that's why I like to look and then the flip side if we're talking about la just a quick minute
06:18This is their third straight row game right on the road against new england two weeks ago on a saturday
06:23Went back on the road to las vegas. Now. They're back on the road to houston
06:27It's three straight row games that could also be a cause of concern
06:30Do they start a little bit flat to start this game from a defensive perspective?