Stocks को लेकर अगर आपकेa पास भी है कोई सवाल तो जुड़िए हमारे खास शो 'Sauda Khara Khara' से. 9354831271 पर व्हाट्सऐप के जरिए आप अपना सवाल पूछ सकते हैं. Senior Market Analyst, Dr Ravi Singh देंगे आपके हर सवाल का जवाब.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Let's talk about today's market. If we first talk about Tuesday, then on Tuesday, the market
00:10closed with a little increase. About 170 points were seen to increase and the closing of Sensex
00:17was at 76,499. After a four-day fall, the market was green yesterday. If we talk about today's
00:24opening, then the opening of Sensex has been at 76,900 and the opening of Nifty has been
00:31at 23,250. Sir, we have been seeing since October that there is a fall in the market. Even now,
00:38there was a fall in the market. The market was falling for four days in a row. After that,
00:43it has been seen to be a little stable here. So, the green mark in the market, which was
00:48seen at the time of closing yesterday and today at the time of opening, and the market
00:53is still doing business a little carefully. So, how long will this recovery last?
00:58Look, right now, there is more confidence in the market. Mr. Bhawana should not be here
01:04right now. If you look at the market at this time, you can see the positivity of the budget
01:13. And because now after the holidays, it is said that people's support has increased
01:18in the market again. From somewhere, it seems that there will be a good moment in the market
01:23now, but I feel that the market is not able to gain that confidence here. So, I think
01:28there should be a policy of a little wait and watch. You should not go to a very aggressive
01:33market. The trend of Nifty is still down until the closing of 23,500 does not come. But
01:39what you just said that in the budget expectation, small moves will be seen upside. It may be
01:46that false trend is visible. But right now, if you want to go with the market, then you
01:51will have to follow the good return here.
01:53Sir, what levels will you give for this week and what strategy will you advise to adopt
01:58if we talk about this particular week?
02:02Two things are clear. Right now, Nifty is running at 22,300. If it goes above 22,350,
02:08then buy on Nifty. There will be an upside target of 23,600. But if you are looking at
02:14Nifty at the current level, then I can see a little correction. Until it reaches the level
02:19of 22,800, there is no advice to buy fresh. So keep in mind the condition. Buy above 23,300
02:26and BTC trade. Otherwise, keep a little distance from the market and sell zone. The market
02:33can be more dominant here. You will get to see this trend in the next two to three days.
02:38Absolutely. So, sir, which sectors will be there in this? Because as you have also discussed
02:43that there are budget expectations, so FMCG, Pharma, IT has happened in this. So, there
02:48is also hope that there can be some big announcement in the budget. Especially if we talk about
02:53Railway and Infra, then which sectors can be put on stake in this?
02:59If we go to the top priority in the sector, then first of all, you can see the stocks of
03:05the chemical and fertilizer industry here. If we talk about the second sector, then obviously
03:10that the railway has been in a consolidation zone for many days. 30 to 40% of the stocks
03:15have been corrected. When the government's policies are decided here, then there is a
03:20little upward move here. And if we talk about the third sector, then we are seeing geopolitical
03:25tensions around us. And in India, there is a lot of budget increment regarding defense.
03:32So, the defense companies can get benefits here. So, this is clearly the sector here.
03:38But if you go to the defensive counter, then Pharma and FMCG will be a little defensive
03:43here. But on the aggressive side, you will get defense, railway, fertilizer and chemical
03:49stocks.
03:50Sir, many experts believe that the Union Budget 2025, which is going to be presented on 1st
03:56February, before that in the market, which we are seeing that the sentiment is not very
04:02good, there is a period of correction in the market. So, the current level can cause a
04:07drop of 5 to 7%. Sir, what is your opinion on this assumption?
04:14See, if I tell you, Bhavna ji, I would like to tell your viewers that the start of 2025
04:23is bad in the market till April-May and there are chances of some improvement by the end.
04:29So, there is no need to go very aggressively on any jump in the market, on any buying opportunity.
04:37There is a little risk visible. Avoid that risk. This is my suggestion.
04:42Absolutely. Sir, since we are talking about the budget and you also said that the beginning
04:47can be a little bad. After that, we will see recovery in the market and the market will
04:53look improving by the end. Mahakumbh is also going on and in this I was reading a report
04:57of Samco Securities. So, a prediction of the past 20 years was shown in which it was said
05:02that whenever the Kumbh Mela comes, it has come about 6 times and 6 out of 6 times, if
05:08we talk about Mahakumbh, then there is a fall in the market, the market gives a negative
05:13return, but if we talk about the next 6 months, then somewhere 6 out of 6 times it has happened
05:19when the market gave a positive return and on an average it gave a return of 29%.
05:24Sir, how much do you agree with this analysis, this assumption?
05:29See, I will not comment on anyone's report, but I can say one thing that everyone has
05:35their own study, their own hard work, but if I talk about Mahakumbh, there are many
05:40shops in Mahakumbh to attract the public, in which you are offered very aggressive offers.
05:47Like you must have gone to the trade fair, there you must have seen some goods whose
05:52price is 2000 rupees, they say take it for 200 rupees. What happens with that is that
05:56the public gets attracted very quickly. So, I feel that on social media and on all this
06:02you have started this type of attraction for the stock market, but you are smart, the
06:06money is yours, so you have to invest wisely and if the market works, then make it a friend,
06:11if it does not work, then accept it and at this time, if we go to the current situation,
06:16then apart from one factor, all the other factors are negative here, whether you see FII selling,
06:22whether you see the policies of the Fed here, whether you see Trump's policies about India,
06:28whether you see China's policies about metal, which industry is fighting at the moment,
06:33whether you see the virus, geopolitical tension, crude oil prices, so there are a number of
06:41things that are not supporting the market, so how much will this budget alone fight?
06:46Will it fight or win? The target is in front of you.
06:49Absolutely, sir, apart from this, the way we saw the market yesterday, we saw the green
06:54market, so in this case, Adani Group had many more shares that were seen running yesterday,
06:59but particularly if we talk about the shares of Adani Group, then 11 out of 11 shares were
07:03seen running yesterday, Adani Power also had a 20% upper circuit, so sir, on the shares
07:09of Adani Group, what will be your try for this week or before the budget?
07:14See, if you talk about Adani Power, Adani Enterprises, I do see a little pullback, but
07:21in the whole Adani Group, the most poor share is AWL, if you have it, then make a distance
07:26from it, on the shares of the rest of Adani Group, you can definitely see a little buying
07:30bias here, you will see a 3-5% upside target.