IHSG -1,56% ke 6.544,182 di sesi I Selasa (11/2). IDX Sektor Infrastruktur -3,41%, ISAT -13%. Sektor Energi -1,93%, RATU -9,96%. IDX Sektor Properti dan Real Estate -1,77%, CBDK -4%. IDX Sektor barang Baku -1,75% AMMN -5,96%. IDX Sektor Keuangan - 0,96% BMRI -2,20% Sementara IDX Sektor Teknologi +1,02%, BUKA +10%. Dari sisi saham, emiten BREN dari sektor infrastruktur jadi pemberat terbesar IHSG di 21,33 indeks poin.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir di area hijau, Senin, terangkat Nvidia. Sementara pabrikan baja melambung setelah Presiden AS Donald Trump mengenakan tarif tambahan pada impor baja dan aluminium.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir di area hijau, Senin, terangkat Nvidia. Sementara pabrikan baja melambung setelah Presiden AS Donald Trump mengenakan tarif tambahan pada impor baja dan aluminium.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us in this segment, we will be reviewing the trading path throughout the day.
00:11The trading price has experienced a deep correction of more than 2% and has consistently fallen to around 6,500.
00:20We remind you that you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive on 08.12.8788.723 as shown on your TV screen later.
00:30And right now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Filip Jermih, Financial Educator and Technical Analyst at Securitas.
00:37We will go straight to Mr. Filip, good afternoon, how are you Mr. Filip?
00:42Good afternoon, how are you Mr. David and all of the members of the IDS Channel?
00:46Good afternoon, Mr. Filip, thank you for taking the time to join us on IDS Channel.
00:52However, the trading price has experienced a deep correction of more than 2% and has consistently fallen to around 6,500.
01:08What is your technical analysis?
01:11Yes, if I look at the decline of IHSG, I actually expect the area level support to be at 6,550.
01:19Maybe 6,540 is really the last limit.
01:23However, we pay close attention to the decline of IHSG.
01:27Thus, there may be a change in the area level support.
01:32So, the area level support may be at 6,480.
01:41The area level support will be crucial.
01:45Because if the area level support falls below 6,480, it will probably fall below 6,400.
01:51Where 6,400 is the last area level support we touch when IHSG has just corrected the area level support.
02:00So, we need to pay close attention to it.
02:03It is quite severe and a bit unexpected for me.
02:07The decline will be this deep.
02:09However, due to various factors, the appearance of IHSG, especially with such a big decline today,
02:17is not impossible.
02:19It will happen, it will fall below level 6,500.
02:22Okay, with the deep correction that happened, Mr. Filip, how do you see the pattern of IDS Channel?
02:28Let's go to the short term first, then to the medium term.
02:33From the short term, it is clear that we are in a downtrend.
02:39IHSG is already in a downtrend.
02:41Its formation can be said to be in a downtrend since October last year.
02:47But if we look at it from the medium term, the medium term also shows that IHSG is in a downtrend.
02:55So, both in the short term and the medium term, we notice that IHSG's downtrend is quite significant.
03:03The decline is extraordinary.
03:05So, these are the crucial areas for breakout.
03:09Maybe we can only be positive when the breakout is above 6,750.
03:14Then also from the area level 6,940 or closer to 7,000.
03:19There, maybe we can be optimistic again.
03:22If it is below 6,500, then IHSG is quite prone to correction.
03:27Okay, what is the direction of the mutual fund?
03:31In the midst of a growing sentiment, investors are still waiting for Pidato Jirampawel in front of Congress.
03:37Then also the release of inflation data which will also be released this week, Mr. Filip.
03:43Okay, if we look at it from several factors,
03:47hopefully, whatever comes out later is already priced in the market.
03:54So, if we look at it, usually buy on rumors, sell on news.
03:59We notice that the market is very efficient.
04:01So, the movement happened before the news came out.
04:05And when the news came out, it just bounced back.
04:08So, we just hope that with any sentiment and news,
04:13we notice that it should be able to rebound.
04:17If we look at the recent trends, we notice that we are not so affected by foreign sentiment.
04:25If we look at some heavyweights, we are not so sensitive to inflation.
04:30We are not so sensitive to US inflation, we are not so sensitive to the flower family.
04:35Yes, some of the last sentiments we noticed,
04:38even when the banking correction, yes, just the banking correction,
04:43we must have corrected the market.
04:45Yes, but at that time we were held back by some commodities that strengthened significantly when the banking was corrected.
04:51Now we see today, double-double.
04:53Banking correction, we notice that the commodity stock is also corrected.
04:57So, what are we doing? Stocks that can support the IHSG at a time like this.
05:02The last example, maybe one of them, the failure of MSCI,
05:08that is also a very important factor in the decline of the IHSG.
05:11So, I'm not too concerned about the news about the flower family,
05:16maybe unless the data is very extreme, but it can be predicted and anticipated.
05:22So, hopefully, this market movement should have started to recover,
05:26especially after a significant decrease,
05:28the IHSG also shows a gap in the area of 6,850.
05:31Hopefully, we can bounce back.
05:33Yes, we will try to review, sir, from the sector side,
05:36then also from the technical side of the stock.
05:39Now, from the fundamental side,
05:41you mentioned earlier that you failed to enter the MSCI index.
05:44There is a trend today to become the biggest burden of infrastructure
05:48and also the biggest burden of the joint stock price index throughout today's recession.
05:53It fell by 9.40%, the weakness was more limited,
05:56and it has returned to the 6,000 level,
05:59earlier it was 5,800.
06:01Your technical analysis and brand recommendations
06:05in the midst of a deep weakness that happened again.
06:09Okay, the brand itself, if we look at the brand correction,
06:12it happened from the price of 10,000, from the price of 10,700.
06:16So, it used to go down to 6,000, rally to 10,700.
06:20Now, it's down to 5,900.
06:22Actually, technically, this is a very big support.
06:26It is in the major support area,
06:28where the support area is 5,650.
06:31Is there a chance for it to bounce back?
06:34Now, technically, if we look at it,
06:37the volume of the decline is small.
06:39The volume of the decline of some brands is not big,
06:42which indicates that there is a potential for it to rebound.
06:46Moreover, it also opened a gap in 8,250,
06:49considering the current e-claim market.
06:52So, maybe if I want to speculate,
06:54or spec by position sizing small,
06:57we pay attention, this is actually interesting technically,
07:00the support area is small,
07:02maybe below 5,400.
07:045,400 we cut loss,
07:06as long as the price movement is still above 5,400,
07:09we can hold,
07:10with the hope that it will close the gap
07:12formed at 8,300 for the brand.
07:16Okay, and at the same time,
07:17it seems to answer the question from our interactive WhatsApp,
07:19there is Mr. Anggih from Bekasi,
07:21wants to get into the price of the brand
07:23and what is the continuation of its movement?
07:26And again, the decision to invest
07:28is still in the hands of IDH Channel.
07:30Still from the infrastructure, sir.
07:32We want to discuss from Telkom, sir.
07:34Today, the internal correction is back,
07:36is already at the level of 2,300.
07:38Mr. Wili?
07:41Okay, I haven't touched this Telkom for a long time.
07:44I don't recommend it,
07:46and I don't touch it,
07:47because we see the long-term trend,
07:49from the middle of 2022,
07:51Telkom has shown a downtrend.
07:53Maybe even more confirmed at the beginning of 2023,
07:56the downtrend from Telkom.
07:58He was the last to have support in 2510,
08:01and now the area level support is back,
08:04the area that will be targeted is 2100,
08:08around 2120,
08:09the area level support that will be targeted by Telkom.
08:14I still don't know how long the downtrend will be,
08:17because if we look at it,
08:19maybe it's a bit unexpected,
08:21that the downtrend is this deep.
08:23But it's not unexpected either,
08:25because if we look at the earnings report from Telkom,
08:28it's always below the estimate.
08:30It's always below the estimate.
08:32So with that,
08:33it's also a bit difficult to predict,
08:35later we'll see if there is a movement
08:37around the price of 2100.
08:38Remember that at the price of 2100,
08:41it's the price of COVID from Telkom,
08:43when the ISG is big minus.
08:46It's already close to the price of COVID again.
08:48Yes, one more thing, just briefly,
08:50before we interrupt Mr. Filip,
08:52BBRI is strengthening itself today,
08:54compared to other pick-up banks.
08:56What is your analysis and recommendation?
08:58Okay, BBRI,
09:00maybe it's weakening today,
09:04it's not that significant.
09:06One good note from BBRI,
09:08is that Net Foreign Sale is no longer big.
09:11They even noted Net Foreign Buy,
09:13even though it's very small.
09:14That's a good sign,
09:16at least we notice that BBRI is no longer in the Net Foreign Sale,
09:18in my opinion.
09:19But maybe I will only buy it
09:21when it breaks out from 4,000,
09:23maybe from 4,380,
09:25maybe 4,400,
09:27to be safe.
09:28Because with an increase like this,
09:30the correction is quite general
09:32and will be quite significant.
09:34BBRI is closed at 1.01%,
09:36still at 4,010 by unbreakout,
09:38at the level of 4,380 to 4,400.
09:42Once again, the decision of the investment
09:44is still in the hands of Mr. Mirsa,
09:46Mr. Filip's ITX channel.
09:47We interrupt for a while,
09:48later we will also see
09:49what are your recommendations,
09:51and Mr. Mirsa,
09:52we will be back in a moment.