IHSG +0,16% ke level 6.799,231 sesi I Jumat (21/2). IDX-Techno +6,04%, DCII +19,97% kembali ARA dan kembali New ATH di Rp80.650, dan bekontribusi 17,73 indeks poin ke IHSG. IDX-Property 0,53%, PANI +1,01%. IDX-Industry +0,38%, ASII +1,48%. Dari sisi saham, emiten perbankan Big Caps masih jadi pemberat, BMRI -1,94%, BBNI -3,14%.
Category
📺
TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for staying with us and in this segment we will review the trade path throughout today's trade.
00:13Our viewers will be able to participate again on WhatsApp Interactive as shown on the television screen later.
00:19And now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Danica Augustasari, Financial Educator at Sukor Sekuritas.
00:27Mr. Danica, good afternoon. How are you?
00:30Good afternoon, Mr. Dave. How are you?
00:32Mr. Danica, I don't think we have come back to trading at the end of the week, sir.
00:36Before we review technically throughout today's trade,
00:41if from the movement side, in the last week, Intraday previously reached 6,900,
00:50but in the last few trades, it tends to move stagnantly.
00:55Okay. This week, it's like a rollercoaster.
01:01On Monday, it rose sharply due to Indonesian trade surplus of USD 3.45 billion,
01:10which strengthened sentiment.
01:12It was a 57-month surplus.
01:16However, it was returned to red until the end of this week.
01:21So there are several main factors why IHSG is weak.
01:25First, there is an expectation of the Fed policy.
01:28US inflation data in January 2025 increased to 3% year-on-year,
01:35exceeding the previous expectation of 2.9%.
01:39Because of this increase in inflation, there is speculation that the Fed will maintain
01:46or even increase the interest rate.
01:51This has an impact on capital flow and investor sentiment in developing countries,
01:57such as Indonesia.
01:59Second, there is the policy of the Bank of Indonesia yesterday.
02:02The Bank of Indonesia decided to maintain the interest rate at 5.75%.
02:08This was taken to keep inflation estimates within the target.
02:13Moreover, the month of Ramadan is approaching Eid.
02:20There is a possibility of a price spike
02:24because people's purchasing power is starting to rise due to THR.
02:30Third, there is also a global sentiment.
02:33Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on semiconductor cars
02:41and for pharmaceutical products, there is also a pressure for IHSG.
02:47Okay, but for today, in an intraday way,
02:50Indekargasam-Kabungan experienced a deep pressure
02:53and then turned to the green zone.
02:56Although the position of Indekargasam-Kabungan is only experiencing a slight increase.
03:02And for the time being, it is still at 6,700
03:06after several attempts to move above 6,800.
03:12Okay, for today, the market is still indecisive
03:15because there is still no significant positive sentiment
03:21or significant negative sentiment.
03:26So it's still indecisive.
03:28But if I look at it technically,
03:31Indekargasam-Kabungan is still in the middle
03:33between its support at 6,700 and its resistance at 6,900.
03:41So there is still a possibility to go down to 6,700 first.
03:47So the tendency will still go down.
03:50Okay, in the middle of minimal sentiment
03:52and in the middle of minimal support from Samsambikep,
03:56Indekargasam-Kabungan tried to stay in the technology sector.
04:00But in the last three days, it has become the biggest supporter.
04:04Even the percentage of its strength is much different
04:08compared to the strength of the other sectors.
04:11The daily strength is at 5% and then there is also 6%.
04:14We have also mentioned earlier that there is a DCEI share there.
04:18How do you see this position?
04:20Is this purely from the sectoral movement rotation
04:24when Samsambikep is still not moving optimally?
04:30Actually, for tech emitting companies,
04:35there is no rotation yet.
04:41It's just a corporate action.
04:44If it's technology, it's usually sensitive to flowers.
04:48And there is no news from there either.
04:51Maybe it's just this.
04:53DCEI, yesterday there was news about a stock split.
04:59Because now the DCEI stock is actually lacking liquidity
05:03for the transaction.
05:05If we look at it today,
05:08the transaction is only about 5.9 billion rupiah,
05:13or something like that.
05:15So the supply is limited,
05:18so the price movement is volatile.
05:25And in terms of price trend,
05:27there is still potential to continue the rise.
05:31However, if you want to enter,
05:33it is also a bit difficult to recommend.
05:36Because the first one was indeed less liquid.
05:40And from the price fraction,
05:44the price is already quite expensive.
05:48It's at IDR 80,650.
05:51That means one lot needs a bigger model.
05:54So if it's a stock split, it will be better.
05:58It will increase the liquidity.
06:01Because more investors have access to the DCEI stock.
06:10Because the price is more affordable, right?
06:13Yes, that's right.
06:14What is your recommendation for the current position?
06:18Have you already filed for a top autorejection
06:20at least in three lucky days of marriage?
06:23Okay, for the DCEI itself,
06:26technically, it's still good.
06:28Because there is still a gap up,
06:30and there is still no rejection in the resistance.
06:38The resistance itself just broke out today,
06:42at level IDR 75,500.
06:45And the next is at IDR 92,000.
06:47So it's actually still quite high.
06:50But for now, it's a bit difficult.
06:54Because for the support itself,
06:58the downside is also quite big.
07:01At what level for the support?
07:04At IDR 75,500.
07:07Okay.
07:08Today, the top autorejection is at IDR 80,650.
07:12And again, the decision of the investors
07:14is still in the hands of the IDA channel.
07:16Certainly from technology, sir.
07:18Let's try to review the WEFI stock, sir.
07:21Digital Synergy Solution, TBK.
07:24This stock also experienced a significant leap.
07:28Not only in the last two days,
07:30but since the January trading,
07:32the increase has also been quite high.
07:34From still at IDR 200,
07:38and today's position is already at IDR 2,300.
07:41What is your analysis and recommendation for WEFI?
07:44For WEFI, actually there is still a sentiment
07:50from acquisition actions
07:58from so-called non-direct shareholders
08:00like Mr. Hashim Jojo Hadi Kusumo.
08:03But technically,
08:06it is still very uptrend.
08:09And two days ago,
08:11on Thursday, it just broke out.
08:14And now it has actually hit the target at IDR 2,420.
08:17But the volume is still large.
08:19The candle is still good.
08:22But just pay attention,
08:24if you want to enter,
08:26the support is at level IDR 8,880.
08:32It's a bit far.
08:33So if you want to enter,
08:35you can trade by candle.
08:38By candle today,
08:40the cut loss is below IDR 2,050.
08:43And the next target is at level IDR 2,570.
08:47So there is still 11% up.
08:49Is it liquid?
08:53For WEFI, it should still be quite liquid.
08:57Today's closing at IDR 2,330.
09:00The strength continues at 12.56%.
09:04Let's move on to the next stock.
09:06There is data,
09:08today it also strengthened at 12% at IDR 2,120.
09:12Your analysis and recommendation,
09:15the rise is also quite significant.
09:17From IDR 800,
09:19the position is now at IDR 2,120.
09:24Okay, for data,
09:26it's actually similar to WEFI.
09:28Because of the optimism of the market,
09:30when the acquisition was done by Jarung Group,
09:35the 40% data share,
09:37the potential increase is still quite large.
09:40If we look at the volume,
09:43the demand is still very strong.
09:46For the target itself,
09:49if it can stay above IDR 2,030,
09:54if tomorrow it can still stay above,
09:57the increase can still reach IDR 2,360.
10:02That's the first resistance,
10:04but the second resistance is at IDR 2,770.
10:09Okay, analysis for data,
10:11today's closing at IDR 2,120,
10:13strengthened at 12.17%.
10:16And again, the decision to invest
10:18is still in the hands of the shareholder, IDF General.
10:20Three stocks that have become supporters
10:22of the strengthening of the technology sector
10:24in recent times.
10:26From technology, we turn to finance, sir.
10:29It doesn't feel complete if we don't review
10:32the BICAP banking stock, sir,
10:34which today is back to be a burden
10:37for the Samkabungan price index.
10:39Up to this point,
10:40how do you see the position
10:42of the BICAP banking stock?
10:44You also mentioned earlier,
10:45some symptoms that have developed
10:47are quite heavy
10:49or give a negative sentiment
10:51to the banking sector in the market.
10:53Okay, for the banking sector,
10:55it's actually a bit complicated.
10:57But from a technical point of view,
10:59it has already started to hit
11:01the downtrend.
11:02Like BBRI,
11:03it has entered the sideways phase
11:06first, it seems.
11:07Then there is BBNI,
11:11which is also sideways.
11:13Only BBCA left.
11:15BBCA, it just needs to wait
11:17for a confirmation swing below,
11:20then we can assume it enters sideways.
11:23Only BMRI,
11:25the movement is still showing
11:28there is no potential for it to be sideways.
11:31Maybe wait for it to rebound
11:33in the 4800 area.
11:35But for the future,
11:37it seems there is banking
11:41that can be,
11:43we are starting to hit,
11:45starting to average down
11:47if it gets stuck.
11:48Actually, the problem with big banks
11:52is their liquidity.
11:54They are short of money.
11:57However, with 100% DHI,
12:00it can be a positive sentiment
12:04for them
12:05because they will have
12:07greater liquidity.
12:09Okay, before we continue,
12:11a question for BMRI, sir.
12:13Coincidentally, we are discussing BMRI,
12:15Mr. Jason from Jakarta.
12:16If you buy at 5100,
12:18will it be stuck in the hole or cut-loss?
12:20With the closing of 5075 today.
12:225100, yes.
12:24Actually, BMRI can still have a decline
12:27up to level 4760.
12:30Let's just look below.
12:32If, for example, at 4760,
12:34it hits a breakdown,
12:36it can be cut-loss first.
12:38But if it has a rebound,
12:40it can be averaged down again.
12:42Okay, BMRI,
12:44thank you for answering Mr. Jason's question from Jakarta.
12:46And again, the decision to invest
12:48is still in the hands of the viewers of IDI Channel.
12:50In this case, we will pause for a while.
12:52Later, we will try to see the options you provide.
12:54And at the same time, update the closing of trading
12:56in the second session today.
12:58And viewers, we will be right back.
13:00See you soon.