• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00But the ACC, as it listed here at the FanDuel Sportsbook, a heavy favorite, I think the
00:03heaviest favorite across the board right now by far, it's Duke at a minus $3.30 price.
00:09And we were trying to compare and contrast this morning, Kevin, on the early line, like,
00:11boy, look at that price compared to like the other conferences with really good basketball
00:15teams.
00:16Like, understand this, Duke is phenomenal.
00:17Based on Ken Palm, I think the second best season in the history of his website, which
00:21shows you how dominant they've been, particularly in the ACC.
00:24But also understand this, Duke went 19-1.
00:27The two teams behind them, they only had two losses.
00:29And one of those teams did beat Duke.
00:31They're minus $3.30.
00:32The next closest, Clemson and Louisville, the two second place teams, plus $6.50 and
00:37a $7.01 price.
00:38So my question to you to start here is not, hey, do you think Duke wins the ACC championship?
00:43But is it worth a flyer where you take a small piece of Clemson and Louisville and say, somebody
00:47knocked down Duke, I got money in my pocket and at a good price?
00:50So I decided between two teams, neither were Louisville or Clemson, because I don't think
00:57anybody actually thinks one of them is beating.
01:00Yeah.
01:01Oh, go ahead.
01:02Go ahead.
01:03No, no.
01:04Yeah.
01:05I don't think anyone, I don't think anyone actually believes either Louisville or Clemson
01:06beats them.
01:07One of the teams I was deciding between was that legitimately Duke, because I think they
01:12are that good.
01:13Correct.
01:14And it's like, listen, I know this is ridiculous, but this is going to get paid out.
01:18And then what I actually bet was the 30-1 on North Carolina.
01:21Yeah.
01:22Let's go.
01:23Come on.
01:24Come on.
01:25Yeah.
01:26Come on.
01:27They had a second-half lead over Duke just the other day.
01:33That's the ticket that I want to hedge.
01:35That's the ticket that I want to hedge in the final.
01:38That's the big ticket.
01:39That's a free roll.
01:40That not Clemson at 7-1.
01:44Yes.
01:45And then, first of all, the Louisville game is a coin flip, just saying you pick Clemson,
01:50right?
01:51Then you get to, and let's say you don't get lucky, right?
01:54And let's say we're wrong about North Carolina.
01:57You play Duke.
01:58Duke's got like minus 600 to win that game.
02:02You're not hedging that.
02:03You're like, ah, just hope.
02:04You know what I mean?
02:05So they did.
02:06So did they play Duke?
02:07What?
02:08Round two?
02:09Is it probably going to be?
02:10Yes.
02:11I think Ben was trying to break it down when it is.
02:12In the semifinals, essentially.
02:13And honestly, I wouldn't even hedge that, because a $25 bet right now, 28-1 offhand
02:18was $700 back to you, $700 win.
02:22Yeah.
02:23It is farfetched and it is long, but Kevin is right.
02:26Like if smart batter goes, Duke's probably going to win this and minus 330 is there for
02:30a reason.
02:31Clemson and Louisville are probably the best teams to knock off Duke if they can.
02:34Clemson, by the way, already beat Duke.
02:36There's a chance there.
02:37But I just look at it saying like, time and circumstance, Duke gets knocked out in this
02:40tournament.
02:41Man, does Cooper even want to play in March Madden?
02:44Like, no, they're going to March Madden.
02:45It's going to be a great basketball team.
02:46They're going to be a great bet.
02:48Probably still like worst case if they get knocked out early, a two seed, worst case,
02:52which is they could probably get beat round number one again and still be a number one
02:57seed depending on how some of the other companies play out, except any crazy, crazy stuff happens.
03:02But I just look at that and say, like, Carolina is not like, okay, we beat Duke, awesome,
03:06we're in.
03:07No.
03:08They have to finish the deal and go quad one, quad one, you know, after them to take advantage
03:13of that.
03:14Yeah.
03:15I see it as well.
03:17I took the North Carolina shot.
03:20If it comes in, it comes in.

Recommended