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00:00So let's go buy low on a pitcher.
00:02What is Joey P like?
00:04Yeah, let's start with Bailey Ober.
00:06Bailey Ober's first start of every year is terrible.
00:09How terrible?
00:10Let me tell you.
00:11First starts of his career,
00:12he has a combined 12.36 ERA with a 2.14 WIP.
00:16So this goes back a while now.
00:182021, four innings, four earned runs.
00:212022, five innings, four earned runs.
00:232023 was a little bit better,
00:25but then 2024, one and one third of an inning,
00:28eight earned runs.
00:29And this year in 2025,
00:30he graced us with two and two thirds innings,
00:33eight earned runs.
00:34Now that's pretty bad.
00:36So therefore you have the 12 ERA
00:38in his first start every single year.
00:41All other games, here's his ERA,
00:43three, four, two ERA with a 0.98 WIP.
00:46And Bailey Ober's second start,
00:48wouldn't you know it, was much better.
00:49Now here's the thing.
00:50The overall picture still looks a little shady here
00:52and Bailey Ober hasn't established himself
00:54as a lockdown guy yet in a lot of people's minds.
00:57So some people really like Bailey Ober, some don't.
01:00I like him.
01:01I wrote him up in the black book this year
01:02in the pitching profiles.
01:03And I said, you gotta just get through that first one.
01:05After that, things are good.
01:07So it's an incredible stat.
01:08Why is he so bad in that first start?
01:10I don't know.
01:11Is it weather?
01:12Is it, it just takes him a little bit longer to get going.
01:14Whatever the reason, I don't care,
01:16but the numbers don't lie.
01:18And Bailey Ober is absolutely a buy-in.
01:20That window might be closing.
01:21The time to buy him would have been
01:22after that first start that was wretched.
01:24And last year, first start was wretched.
01:26Seems like every year, the first start is wretched for him.
01:28And I think Bailey Ober is still a pretty solid guy
01:32that you can leave in that rotation,
01:33in your fantasy rotation, pretty much every week.
01:34Your thoughts on buying low on Bailey Ober.