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00:00Because I think you're hot on this team.
00:02Another AFC potential dark horse.
00:05Denver Broncos.
00:06What do you think, without looking, their win total is for 2025?
00:12I would say nine and a half.
00:15It is, right on the dot.
00:17Under or over, which has the juice?
00:21I would say over has the juice.
00:24No, over, you can get a great price.
00:27If you like the over, Scotty, you should book it now, plus 125 to the over.
00:33The under is minus 145.
00:36Okay?
00:38So what do you think about that, Scott?
00:41What did we have last year?
00:42At least 10 wins last year, right?
00:45Let me just double check that for you.
00:47Let me just double check that for you.
00:49Teams, I'll go right here.
00:51I'll get you the last year, the Denver Broncos.
00:55I think they were 10 and 7.
00:57Could be wrong.
01:00They were 10 and 7.
01:0210 and 7.
01:03They were.
01:03But wait.
01:04One of the lost.
01:05Yeah.
01:05One of the lost.
01:06Were they?
01:07Wait a minute.
01:08Are they counting?
01:09I'm just saying 10 and 7.
01:10Third in the West.
01:1110 and 7.
01:12But that's counting the Kansas City win, which the Chiefs just rolled over completely.
01:17So realistically, 9 and 7.
01:20So you would book that.
01:21You would book the bet prior to the schedule, correct?
01:25Yeah.
01:26Right.
01:27All right.
01:28So let's see here.
01:32All right.
01:32They have them listed.
01:34All right.
01:34Hang on one second.
01:36So this is a little bit different.
01:37The good thing also about the Broncos is they get a third-place schedule because Chargers
01:43are finished ahead of them and so do Kansas City.
01:46So even though they made the playoffs, they're still getting a third-place schedule, which
01:50is pretty darn good.
01:51All right.
01:51You ready?
01:52At a conference.
01:53Theirs is a little different on the website.
01:55A lot of the teams just listed home and away.
01:58They have paragraphs, so I can't do that.
02:01You ready?
02:02All right.
02:02Outside the division.
02:04They're outside the AFC West.
02:06Okay?
02:07Raiders.
02:10Jacksonville.
02:12Jacksonville.
02:12I'm sorry.
02:13Jacksonville.
02:14Tennessee.
02:15Dallas.
02:17Giants.
02:19Bengals.
02:21Green Bay.
02:23Houston.
02:25Colts.
02:26Okay.
02:27Okay.
02:28Jets.
02:30Eagles.
02:31And Commanders.
02:34Those last two are killers.
02:37Those last two.
02:37I'll say the Commanders game is winnable just because I think there's going to be a little
02:41regression for them as well.
02:43That's eight and three.
02:43As far as winnable games, non-winnable games.
02:47Well, what are we suggesting they do in the division?
02:51You think three and three is realistic?
02:53I think three and three.
02:54Yeah, because they could sweep the Raiders if need be.
02:57I think.
02:58I don't know what the Raiders are going to look like.
03:02Tennessee Giants.
03:05That's a win.
03:06That's a win.
03:09Outside of that, Colts.
03:11That's not easy.
03:12That's a win.
03:13Nah.
03:14You're giving them all wins.
03:16Jets.
03:17Yeah, give them the win.
03:18That's a win.
03:18There's the win.
03:19So that's four wins.
03:20You're at seven.
03:22Now we're at seven.
03:23You're at seven.
03:24Right.
03:24We're right.
03:25They would have to go.
03:26For them to go basically out of the division, they would have to go four and two in the AFC West.
03:36Got to beat the Raiders twice.
03:39Well, you're not going to win a Kansas City on the Chargers.
03:41That's not happening.
03:42That's why I said 10 and seven seems so like, okay, that's doable.
03:48But then when you start to think about all these, you know, 50-50 games, you got to have all the breaks go your way with all those games.
03:55I like the under.
03:56And the under is heavily juiced at minus 145.
03:59It's not like minus, you know, 115 or 120.
04:02Minus 145 is suggesting that the book feels that they're going to be under the nine and a half.
04:07And that's assuming that Bo Nix takes off right where he left off.
04:11There's no regression.
04:12We saw a slight regression out of C.J. Stroud and Houston, right?
04:17So assuming that, I think I would take that under bet right now.