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00:00Baltimore and Toronto, the O's and the J's in a divisional duel today inside Camden Yards.
00:07DRS, the team with the worst record right now in the American League East, it would be the O's at a 5-8 mark.
00:14Yet Baltimore still second best price to win the American League pennant behind another divisional made in the New York Yankees.
00:21What do the Orioles need to figure out this weekend to get back on track?
00:25Maybe it's just better weather in their own ballpark as you see today.
00:28Mid-40s there, rain in the forecast and double-digit wins blown directly from Utah Street out there in right field.
00:34So we'll see if we can hit some home runs out of the ballpark, maybe to left field.
00:38But if we are taking a look at the pitching matchup here, you take a look at the Toronto Blue Jays with Francis on the mound.
00:42Last year, 408 batters he faced.
00:45How about this? A 175 ISO, which is average, and a below average 275 weighted on base percentage, which is good.
00:50And also, neither side of the plate here, being a right-handed pitcher, affected him all that much.
00:54It was basically equal, which is a good sign, because sometimes it's like, hey, he really deals with lefties very well, but not the right-hand side.
00:59You take a look at this year, it's actually a lot of the same.
01:03ISO power number, a little bit elevated for lefties, but down for righties.
01:06Weighted on base percentage, low for lefties, but a little bit up for righties.
01:09Here's the key.
01:09Again, we don't have hitting conditions yet at Camden Yards, which is a shame,
01:12because Rutchman, O'Hearn, Westberg, Mullins, and O'Neal all have really elevated, weighted on base percentages,
01:17and also ISO power numbers, and really low K rates against right-handed pitching, something to keep an eye on.
01:22But if we take a look at the opposite side today, and that's with Sogano on the mound,
01:26obviously we don't have any statistics in Major League Baseball for him last year,
01:29but this year we do only have 41 batters that he's faced.
01:33How about an ISO ban of 108 and a weighted on base percentage of 302,
01:36and a terrible-looking lineup for the Blue Jays against right-handed pitching this season alone.
01:41So maybe today it's just by default you at least have a decent matchup on your side for the Baltimore Orioles.