AFL Round 20 Preview with Billy Brownless & Dale Thomas | Powered by PointsBet | Wednesday, July 26
PointsBet's Billy Brownless and Daisy Thomas preview of this weekend's AFL matches providing their best tips. Head over Heart is sponsored content presented by PointsBet. Gamble responsibly - Call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - G'day punters, welcome to Head Over Heart.
00:12 Billy Brownless is sitting here.
00:14 That is Daisy Thomas, we're here,
00:16 thanks to our good friends at Pointsbet.
00:17 And Daisy, we're up to round 20,
00:19 and we started off with an absolute beauty.
00:22 You played with both, apparently played 100 games
00:24 at both sides, only played a deuce, all that.
00:27 But do they like each other?
00:28 - Absolutely not, Bill, genuine hatred between the clubs,
00:31 the fans especially, and this is gonna be 95 plus thousand
00:35 at the MCG.
00:36 Of course, the Pies ended the Blues hopes last year,
00:38 Jamie Elliott.
00:39 This is gonna be a cracker.
00:41 Two of the last three between these sides
00:42 decided by a kick or less.
00:44 - You know what I love about Collingwood?
00:46 I love their spirit, I love their fight,
00:48 and they love each other.
00:49 There's genuine love out there.
00:51 - There is a real connection and bond within that group.
00:53 But talk about bond.
00:54 Have the Blues been able to turn it around?
00:56 They had a bonding session after the middle of the year,
00:59 and they have turned it around five in a row for them.
01:01 Average winning margin of 58 and just over points.
01:04 Wowee, that's impressive.
01:06 - And no, Harry there for the last couple of games.
01:08 - Well, Charlie Kernow's just said, "I am the man here.
01:11 "I'll kick your 10 on the weekend if you don't mind.
01:13 "I'm now seven clear on the cold,
01:14 "but a chance to go back to back.
01:15 "I think the Pies, my head says the Pies."
01:18 My heart's sort of warming towards the Blues,
01:20 'cause I think I'd like to see them play finals.
01:22 But my head says the Pies.
01:24 - I'm with you, $1.43.
01:25 You gotta go with the Pies.
01:26 They've been outstanding.
01:27 Another grudge match.
01:28 - Oh, hate each other.
01:29 - They do.
01:30 It's down in Ballarat.
01:31 It's fifth versus seventh, and I just love the captains here.
01:34 I reckon Bont's been outstanding,
01:36 and Toby Green's been outstanding.
01:37 But a good game this one, Dave.
01:39 - Should be an absolute cracker, Bill.
01:40 The hatred here stems back to a final up at Giants Stadium,
01:43 of course, where the Bulldogs got over the line.
01:46 Now $1.55 for the Dogs seems a bit short, hard to catch.
01:49 And the form line of the GWS Giants is impeccable.
01:52 Won their last six.
01:53 - I know, I know, but the Doggies love playing in Ballarat.
01:56 They're fifth on the ladder.
01:57 They're playing pretty good footy.
01:59 Got a same game multi here for them.
02:00 - Yes, I certainly do.
02:01 I'm gonna take the Giants to win with that upset,
02:03 which provides some real value.
02:05 Toby Green, one of the skippers you were speaking of,
02:07 kicked two or more goals.
02:08 Bailey Smith, 25 or more disposals.
02:10 Had 37 last time he was down at Mars Stadium.
02:14 And of course, Stephen Keneally,
02:15 who is in white, hot form, 25 or more disposals.
02:18 It's just $7.57.
02:19 - That's nice, $7.57 only.
02:21 Points bet, I'm going with the Dogs in that game in Ballarat.
02:24 Our next game to have a look at is the Bombers and Sydney.
02:27 And the Bombers have been really disappointing the last two.
02:29 Really poor in the last two.
02:31 Whereas Sydney have turned it around a little bit
02:33 and they've won their last two.
02:35 - Yeah, 41 point loss last week for, of course, the Bombers.
02:38 And 70 odd points before that down at the Cattery.
02:41 No good whatsoever.
02:42 I can't believe the Swans are still a chance for five
02:46 after how poor they've been.
02:48 Look, they're one game out.
02:49 The Bombers are two points out.
02:51 I'm still not sure if I can trust the Swans
02:53 as much as I can trust the Bombers,
02:54 albeit the form doesn't really suggest
02:56 anyone should be trusted.
02:57 I'm gonna go to Bombers in that one.
02:59 - Nah, Sydney for me, but he was pretty good last week.
03:01 - He was very contested, Martinsville.
03:02 Winding it back.
03:03 - The last three or four weeks, he's been really good.
03:06 And Luke Parker in some form there.
03:08 Horses even smiling.
03:09 He's happy at the minute, the horse.
03:11 So I'm going with Sydney there.
03:13 - Have won three of their last four,
03:14 two Sydney against the Dons, so.
03:16 - There's your same game, Mouldy.
03:17 - Yeah, I'm gonna have them to just buck that trend there.
03:20 - Essendon to win this one.
03:21 Chad Warner, 25 or more disposals.
03:23 Peter Wright, two or more goals.
03:24 Kicked three on the weekend, of course.
03:26 And Zach Merritt, the skipper, 30 or more disposals.
03:28 If the Bombers are winning,
03:29 Peter Wright and Zach Merritt are playing well.
03:31 $6.22.
03:32 - $6.22, where do I find that?
03:33 - That's only on the Points Bet App, Bill.
03:35 - Which you'll update very shortly.
03:37 What about Richmond and Melbourne?
03:38 MCG, Sunday Arvo.
03:41 This is a classic because Tigers are going beautifully.
03:44 Just traveling along.
03:45 I don't know how they won last week.
03:46 Kicked the last six goals of the game and won that.
03:48 And Melbourne, they're slowly going okay, too.
03:51 They just keep winning.
03:52 - Well, Andrew McAuliffe is doing a good job.
03:54 Six of the last seven, the Tigs have won.
03:56 Now, they came from behind against the Hawks,
03:59 30 points down at three-quarter time.
04:00 Still not sure how they won.
04:02 And the Demons, well, they look like
04:03 they should have smacked the Crows to the tune of 10 goals,
04:05 but they kept them hanging around and just fell in.
04:08 The Ds in the fourth spot.
04:09 If they wanna be serious this season,
04:11 they need to win this game.
04:12 However, the Tigs, they're a chance to play finals.
04:14 I'm going with the Ds, though.
04:15 - Yeah, go off sale, Mou.
04:16 And you're right, they gotta win this game here.
04:18 Maxi Gawne being outstanding, being the number one Ruckman.
04:21 - He just loves it.
04:22 His responsibility to be the skipper and the Ruckman.
04:24 And now, Bill, I love the fact that he's going forward,
04:26 kicking goals.
04:27 I like the change-up Petrarca forward as well.
04:30 But I think the Ds will be too strong.
04:31 - Have you downloaded that points-back app?
04:32 - Bill, well, talking about it,
04:34 I have only takes one minute of your time
04:35 to get access to all those markets
04:37 and anything else you might need
04:38 across your weekend's footy.
04:39 Have yourselves a wonderful weekend.
04:41 Happy punting.
04:41 (upbeat music)
04:45 (upbeat music)
04:47 - Chances are you're about to lose.
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