Joe Lisi's Betting Card for the Week 4 Slate of College Football
Transcript
00:00 there are so many wonderful marquee matchups to choose from. Get us started with your betting card.
00:04 Yeah, I just looked at the betting card. Nine selections and they're ugly, but we're going with
00:10 it. We'll start in Death Valley. Clemson catching one and a half. We talk about the dominance of
00:14 the Clemson Tigers at home. 54-2 straight up since 2014. Only lost eight ACC games. I like
00:22 the defense of Clemson still heading into this ballgame. Holding opposing offenses to only three
00:28 yards per rush. 29% on third down conversions. And this is why you got Cade Klubnik to step up
00:34 in big games. Now's your opportunity. Also give Davos Sweeney the edge over Mike Neuervell. In
00:40 terms of the coaching perspective, I think Clemson does win their sixth straight over Florida State
00:45 later today in just about a half an hour. I think they like them. Plus the one and a half and plus
00:50 100 even money on the money line. I think they knock off Jordan Travis and the crew. Later
00:55 tonight under the radar SEC game. I was on South Carolina last week. They pushed Georgia to the
01:00 limit. Potential letdown spot with Mississippi State coming into town. Mississippi State,
01:06 which are quavering marks in that offensive line. Very run heavy. Why is that important? Well,
01:11 South Carolina allowed 189 rushing yards to Georgia, mostly in the second half of that ball
01:17 game. This is a potential bounce back spot for Zach Ornette and the crew. I know they've been
01:22 getting abused from the secondary perspective. I look for them to play more zone. Will Rogers,
01:27 a veteran quarterback in a tough environment. I think they're live plus the six and a half later
01:32 today. Like them with the points. Also like them on the money line. We talk about Ole Miss, right?
01:37 You know, I'm wearing the outfit. Get your popcorn ready. Action Jackson. I think he steps up in a
01:43 big way with his arm on the ground with his legs. He's the one player that potentially can change
01:49 the momentum of the Alabama defense. We saw it last week as good as Alabama was from a defensive
01:56 perspective. Byron Brown and that offense did rush for 170 yards on the front seven. That could be a
02:02 recipe for Lane Kiffin here. Again, it's not going to be easy. Ole Miss has lost seven straight,
02:07 but I think they have now closed the gap. All the pressure on Miro and Nick Saban to step up.
02:13 I like Ole Miss plus the points and plus 210 on the money line later today. We talked about Cam Ward.
02:19 We talked about his versatility. He's completing 72% of his passes. This offense is converting 61%
02:26 of their third down opportunities and holding opposing offenses to only 95 rushing yards per
02:32 game. Cam Ward to me playing at home is better than DJU on the road in a tough environment like
02:39 the secondary of Washington State. Could be close early. 24 to 10 last year in Corvallis. Oregon
02:46 State got the win. I think Washington State steps up. I like them plus the points. I like them plus
02:51 the money line as well in terms of positive money later today. Utah, it's now down. I took them at
02:56 five and a half. It's down to three. Still like them. With Nate Johnson in this ballgame, his
03:01 versatility. Dante Moore, freshman quarterback, as great as he's been, still has to go up against
03:07 one of the better defenses in my opinion. In terms of the Pac-12, Utah hasn't lost since 2020. They're
03:13 on a 16-game home winning streak. Not only that, the level of competition. We looked at the week
03:18 one matchup. Florida rebounded in a big way. Baylor's very difficult to play at home. And you
03:23 look at the resume for UCLA. Coastal Carolina, San Diego State, and NC Central like Utah to cover the
03:30 number a little bit later today. Penn State, think they have the better quarterback, think they have
03:35 the better defense. And I actually think they have the better offensive line. The offensive line is
03:39 protected. Drew Eller to this point, only two sacks allowed. If Iowa can't get some pressure
03:45 early in this ballgame, he could pick apart that secondary and then put the pressure on Cade
03:51 McNamara in terms of catching up and playing from behind. I think it's all Penn State today.
03:56 41-8 straight up at home in Beaver Stadium since 2016. Baylor, last two times they played Texas
04:03 and Waco, they've won. It's not going to be easy. Could be a little ugly. We saw Texas struggle with
04:08 Wyoming in the rushing attack. Same type of defensive methodology for Dave Aranda. A lot
04:14 of zone. They forced Quinears down the field. They're going to look to run it. Now catching
04:19 16 and a half. I like them at plus 14 and a half. Got to love them at 16 and a half. I think they're
04:24 live later tonight under the lights in Waco. I'm all in on Joey McGuire. We'll get to that.
04:30 Love Texas Tech today on the road in Morgantown. And then California. We know about the defensive
04:36 solidness for that secondary. 185 passing yards allowed. 95 rushing yards in terms of the front
04:43 end. And the last two games against Washington, guys, seven points in terms of average margin by
04:49 Washington. They definitely win, but it's a potential letdown spot. Give me the Cal Bears
04:54 plus the points.