Cincinnati Bengals' Offensive Momentum Carries into TNF
Transcript
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00:02 Donnie, the first matchup this year between these two sides in Cincinnati,
00:06 week number two, it was the Ravens as the underdog.
00:09 They won outright 27-24.
00:13 Donnie, you like the under, I like the over.
00:16 I'm gonna buck the trend here just because I think we see enough
00:20 offense tonight between the Ravens and the Bengals.
00:23 Baltimore has scored 31 or more points in four straight games.
00:27 Cincinnati has scored 24 plus in their last three games.
00:32 Baltimore has played to the over three of their last four.
00:35 Not something you would often think, Donnie,
00:36 when we talk about the Flock having the best scoring defense in the NFL.
00:40 Since the over in three of their last five, I know the prime time trends.
00:44 I have reiterated those prime time trends multiple times here on this Thursday show.
00:49 I just have a feeling, Donnie, we see some points tonight over 46.
00:53 >> I can't fault you for that.
00:54 I really can't because I'm under the adage that if this game was played with
00:57 the same players, even if T Higgins doesn't come back on a Sunday,
00:59 I would love this game to go over 46 points.
01:02 But just that short work week in a division with a game that's essentially
01:05 a playoff game between these two, I do lean towards the under.
01:08 We've seen it so many times.
01:09 Hey, let's have a good offensive night.
01:11 You drive down the field, set a kick and a field goal, scoring a touchdown.
01:13 You fumble the football inside the tent and away we go with another under here.
01:17 Because you're not getting a cheap number even though it is at 46.
01:19 If we're talking about 38 and a half, 41 and a half, 42 and a half, yes.
01:23 But you're gonna have to earn the right here to get over the total.
01:25 And just the way these primetime games have been going,
01:28 I look more towards the under in this environment here.
01:31 Do I think we get some pretty good performances out of certain players?
01:34 Yes, I do.
01:34 Does Jamar Chase have a chance to be a target monster and
01:37 get double digit targets, go over 100 yards and score a touchdown?
01:39 Sure, can.
01:40 Joe Mixon has scored in three straight football games here,
01:42 even though I don't think he's gonna be that big of a factor overall tonight.
01:45 And Lamar Jackson and that Baltimore offense inside the five yard line,
01:48 just running touchdowns in.
01:49 It does line up for an over here.
01:51 But just on a Thursday night football game,
01:53 I just have that lean towards the under 46, Ben.
01:55 Yeah, I completely agree.
01:58 I mean, listen, Donnie,
01:58 how could you look at the under in tonight's game and think otherwise?
02:02 I mean, I know I'm going over 46, contradicting myself as I speak.
02:07 But based on the trends, three straight unders last week in primetime games,
02:12 32 NFL primetime games this year, 25 to the under.
02:17 I just think if there's going to be an over,
02:20 this is the Thursday night primetime game where that comes in to play.
02:24 So let's now look at the props.
02:26 I love your look today, DRS.
02:29 Joe Burrow has started to light it up.
02:30 Statistically, 283 passing yards or more in four of the last five,
02:34 340 plus in two straight.
02:36 His passing yards prop tonight in the mid 250s.
02:39 But it's not just passing yards, Donnie.
02:41 It's passing touchdowns for you.
02:42 Yes, it is.
02:44 And over the past five games,
02:46 Joe Burrow has had at least two or more touchdown passes here.
02:49 And you say, well, it contradicts the overlook, right?
02:51 No, it necessarily doesn't.
02:52 I do think you're going to be down in the fourth quarter for
02:54 the Cincinnati Bengals not running any footballs in.
02:56 If I can get one touchdown pass at a Joe Burrow in the first half,
03:00 I'm golden for that bet tonight.
03:01 And it's a plus money number two and upland a minus 140 minus 130.
03:04 It's a plus one or two at the fan those sports book.
03:06 I think it cashes.
03:07 DRS.
03:09 I wanted Keaton Mitchell, the undrafted rookie running back out of East Carolina
03:12 who has come on so strong for the Ravens.
03:15 He's a big play threat.
03:16 There's not a longest rush prop yet for him, but the carries are still with
03:21 Gus Edwards.
03:22 He had double-digit carries last week against Cleveland, despite only having
03:25 24 yards on the ground, but he's been over 44 and a half now 45 and a half
03:31 and seven of 10 games this year.
03:32 And again, that Bengals rush defense third worst in the NFL.
03:36 Also the Gus bus into the end zone again, seven touchdowns in his last four games.
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