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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:03 - All right, let's move on Josh Jacobs.
00:05 76 and a half is the number on the rushing yards here
00:08 over or under, really curious to hear
00:10 what you got to say about this.
00:12 - Yeah, the danger with Jacobs in this number
00:14 is that obviously he's a volume guy, right?
00:17 Now he's going against the rushing defense here
00:19 of the Minnesota Vikings this week
00:20 that is ranked seventh overall.
00:21 They're only giving up 96 rushing yards a game
00:24 and they have tightened up a lot recently.
00:26 If you go look and see what's going on here,
00:29 that game against the Bears being one too,
00:30 certainly that I think showed that without a doubt.
00:33 If you look at the game log here for him,
00:35 I know last week was terrific for Josh Jacobs
00:39 going 110 yards on the ground, huge one for him
00:43 last time we saw her two weeks ago,
00:44 I should say before the bye.
00:46 So the danger is you look at this number and you go,
00:48 oh, of course he's gonna go over this
00:51 because he's gonna get 20 carries.
00:53 And maybe that's true, but I would be a little concerned
00:56 about this number at 76 and a half.
00:57 I think this is spot on.
00:58 I think it's probably closer to the under than the over
01:01 because of the way Minnesota has been going.
01:03 And if Minnesota does get Josh Dobbs
01:06 and Justin Jefferson cooking early
01:09 and you get behind a little bit,
01:11 what's that other stat that we saw
01:12 in the stat of the day, right?
01:14 Who's top five in drops this year in the NFL
01:16 with 50 or more targets?
01:18 Josh Jacobs, number five.
01:20 So he hasn't been able to make up for it sometimes
01:23 in those other moments in the game.
01:24 So to me, 76 and a half is a really good number
01:28 and obviously you're starting him this week in fantasy.
01:31 There's no way around that.
01:32 But I think you have to look at your expectations
01:34 and maybe temper them a little bit
01:35 or look at your flex spot and say,
01:36 okay, I might need a little bit more upside.
01:38 Where do I look for that?
01:39 Where do I look for that touchdown equity?
01:41 Is it a guy like Elijah Moore
01:42 who you plucked off the waiver wire
01:43 who has an interesting game, an interesting matchup
01:45 against a weaker secondary for the Jacksonville Jaguars
01:48 where you can throw the football?
01:49 Heck, Jake Browning threw for 300 yards
01:52 last week against them, right?
01:54 So there's opportunities there to find a little bit more
01:57 boom in your flex spot.
01:59 I think you might need that potentially in this game here.
02:01 I'm not saying that Jacobs is going to be
02:02 a complete disappointment,
02:04 but he might not be that hundred yard rusher
02:05 that you are used to seeing even with the volume
02:08 in this matchup against Minnesota
02:10 because of the defense and because of the game script.
02:12 (upbeat music)
02:15 [MUSIC]