Super Bowl Bet: Dolphins vs. Eagles - Where's More Value?
Transcript
00:00 Best of the best with the same exact prices for the Dolphins and the birds, Donnie, to win Super Bowl 58.
00:07 17-1 on Miami, 17-1 on Philadelphia. Which bet do you like more?
00:13 Typically, you probably would say to yourself, "Well, the Miami Dolphins at least have a chance to win some playoff games because they're not imploding."
00:20 But I don't know. Does imploding mean losing your last two games when you could have had the top overall seed and now you're in the same spot Philly is?
00:26 I love the price points here, both tied at 17-1. But I think if you're honest with yourself and handicapping the situation, what comes to mind here, Ben, first?
00:34 One team's a four-point underdog. The other team is a three-point favorite here. So, of course, you would take the Philadelphia Eagles here just by the odd structure.
00:40 It just makes sense to do that. Now, for myself, I normally would look, "Let's just remove the losses out of the equation," right, Ben?
00:47 We don't know what we're going to get out of Jalen Hurts, but it looks like the finger injury on his throwing hand isn't all that bad.
00:51 A.J. Brown, we'll get some updates from practice. We'll see if he goes this weekend. Same thing with Devonta Smith, who missed the Giants game, but we expect him to play this weekend.
00:59 I do think the Philadelphia Eagles are going to beat Tampa Bay. But if you're taking a look at long-term, right, if Miami didn't lose, Ben, their top two edge pass rushers,
01:07 if Miami didn't lose basically their entire linebacking core, I probably would be taking the Miami Dolphins because I actually like the Dolphins at a plus-four price ticket here in freezing cold Arrowhead Stadium coming up this weekend.
01:18 But we all know, I love to a quarterback here. And if they're healthy at running back, they're explosive. And the same thing at wide receiver.
01:24 But, Ben, we know this. Defense wins championships here, or at least can get you to the next level.
01:29 If you're in an environment where your defense needs to make stops, and I tell you six of your top, you know, front seven are going to be missing football games here down the stretch,
01:36 that doesn't leave me with a lot of optimism here. So as much as I actually would like to take the Miami Dolphins, the odds tell me I need to take the Eagles.
01:43 And also, so do the injury reports, Ben.
01:46 Yeah, absolutely. So completely agree. As I'm sure you shared yesterday, Andrew Van Ginkle and Jerome Baker for Miami out for this upcoming Saturday night in Arrowhead.
01:58 It's supposed to be cold. It's supposed to be blustery inside Kansas City, Missouri.
02:04 The Chiefs now a four-point favorite line opened at three and a half, the total at 44 and a hook.
02:10 From a value perspective, it is Philadelphia. From a path perspective, it is Philadelphia as well.
02:16 The Eagles now a full field goal favorite, even on the road to end off Super Wild Card weekend on Monday night against the Buccaneers.
02:24 Now we go even further. The San Francisco 49ers, Donnie, for the last two and a half months have been booked as the favorites to win a Lombardi trophy in Super Bowl 58.
02:34 The San Francisco 49ers are now a minus one three odds on favorite to win the NFC title this year.
02:41 San Francisco expected from the odds perspective to be one of the two teams playing for a Super Bowl championship in Las Vegas in just about a month's time.