• 9 months ago
Transcript
00:00 When this real matchup became available on Sunday night,
00:04 line opened at 2.5 in favor of the 49ers,
00:07 quickly got back down to 1.5, and that's where we stand.
00:12 -1.5 to back San Francisco.
00:15 If you want to lay the point at a half with the 49ers,
00:18 it's -1.15 in terms of that juice.
00:22 So, Donnie, put on your odds-maker's cap,
00:24 go to that risk room in Las Vegas,
00:27 where we will be in just about 48 to 72 hours.
00:31 When we kick off for Super Bowl Sunday in 10 days
00:35 in Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas,
00:38 what will the closing number be?
00:40 -Look, we can remove two equations right off the bat,
00:43 that the Kansas City Chiefs will close as a favorite.
00:45 That's gonna be thrown out the window.
00:47 Or the San Francisco 49ers will be favored by three points or more.
00:51 That's not going to happen.
00:52 The consensus line right now, if you look across the board, is two.
00:55 Bandle's still holding that -1.5.
00:57 You say, "Well, why would that be? Why don't they just move it to two?"
01:00 Well, obviously, as we know as sportsbook operators,
01:02 you got to balance your own books in that time frame,
01:04 depending on who's betting what and where.
01:06 Now, when this game winds up, I do think we end at an even two points in this game.
01:11 Is it a big difference between 2.5 and 1.5?
01:13 Not necessarily here, but I do think sometimes,
01:16 we're taking a look at these Super Bowls,
01:18 and again, there's a lot more movement, Ben, you can make, right?
01:20 If you take a look at a-- let's just say the line was 8.5 points.
01:23 You can see that shift down to a 7.5, or shift that up to a 9.5,
01:27 a full point swing, even up to the final moments of the game,
01:31 like a Friday, Saturday, right to Sunday.
01:33 I don't get those vibes here.
01:35 The only thing that could change this marketplace drastically
01:38 is if you see next week, which again, is a probability.
01:41 Players get hurt in practice, Ben. We've seen it before.
01:43 Hey, Christian McCaffrey tweaked his hamstring on a Thursday afternoon practice
01:48 before the Sunday Super Bowl.
01:49 That's the only thing that's going to change my mind on something drastic
01:52 by moving more than one point.
01:54 But if we're sitting at the Fanville Sportsbook,
01:56 I would be shocked if this game finishes higher than a -2.5 point spread
02:01 for San Francisco.
02:02 I think 2 is that number we're going to finally land on
02:05 when it's all said and done.

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