Isiah Pacheco Super Bowl LVIII Prop: Rushing Yards, TDs
Transcript
00:00 [MUSIC]
00:03 Talk some props here, and I guess we'll start with Pacheco.
00:08 I mean, Don, do you want to take this one?
00:12 I'm trying to see if we have – I can't really see that far down that list there.
00:15 Cut it out.
00:16 Pick a name.
00:17 Cut it out. With 67-and-a-half, I mean, is it one of those situations where if he doesn't get that, the Chiefs can't win?
00:24 That's pretty much it.
00:26 Because, again, from the running back perspective for me, a lot of people lining up quarterbacks, wide receivers, and rightfully so, this game is going to be one on the ground to me.
00:33 You hold Christian McCaffrey to 70 yards or less on the ground, that's a big Chiefs win.
00:37 Isai Pacheco, 38 yards on the ground, that is a massive win.
00:40 Now, if we're looking on both sides of the argument, let's just start with Pacheco.
00:44 If he doesn't run well, the Chiefs are really in trouble.
00:47 If McCaffrey doesn't run well, there's a lot more options that you can actually use at that point.
00:51 That's how I'm trying to approach it and effectively – but also, Pacheco, any time, touchdown, if they're going to score a touchdown,
00:55 probably going to be him.
00:57 Do you know what I actually would probably like more if the game is close?
00:59 Forget about his yardage prop, maybe at any time, touchdown, just his carries.
01:03 Do you see the usage rate that he has in the playoffs?
01:05 He's the only guy – now, granted, there are some guys coming back in this game off of IR, but you can't just rely on that.
01:11 It's been Pacheco, you're going to ride Pacheco.
01:13 Well, think about his carries to Donnie's point.
01:15 24, 24, and 15 in regards to the postseason.
01:19 89-89 in terms of the rushing yards, and in the game last week, two weeks ago, it was 68.
01:25 So, he has – he's the mainstay.
01:28 He is the catalyst of that offense.
01:30 I do agree with Donnie.
01:31 If he doesn't get to 67-and-a-half, that means they're trailing.
01:35 That means they can't dictate the tempo.
01:37 That means San Francisco most likely has started fast and put the pressure on Mahomes to match them, score for score.
01:44 So, that's a good look.
01:45 Good attempts from Pacheco if you believe Kansas City's going to play their style.
01:50 If you don't, then maybe you go under that total in regards to that.
01:53 76 yards in last year's Super Bowl did not find pay dirt against Philadelphia.
01:57 He has scored in all three playoff games this year for Kansas City.
02:01 He has been in six postseason games now as a member of the Kansas City Chiefs.
02:05 In his two-year NFL career, at least 76 scrimmage yards.
02:09 So, there is the 67-and-a-half rushing yards prop.
02:12 There's also the combo, 89-and-a-half rushing plus receiving.
02:15 We saw over 20 receiving yards in that AFC Championship game for Pacheco as well.
02:21 The -135 anytime touchdown price.
02:24 Second strongest for Super Bowl LV only behind Christian McCaffrey, of course, who is a ridiculous -220 to find pay dirt.
02:31 But it's really not even all that ridiculous.
02:34 This is what Isaiah Pacheco has done.
02:37 Your family, your religion, and Rutgers football.
02:41 Wow. Unbelievable.
02:43 He gave it.
02:44 He did it.
02:45 Sell! Sell!
02:48 Here's my thing, and obviously Donnie mentions wanting to bet the attempts.
02:51 Well, roughly so.
02:53 If you listen to what Leecey just said about attempts but also yardage,
02:57 that's not a guy playing great football.
03:00 That's a guy who's occasionally hitting some big runs.
03:02 Yeah.
03:03 But that's overall not great.
03:04 24 for 68?
03:06 Yeah.
03:07 I mean, listen, I might be able to give you that.
03:09 But the Ravens are one of the top ten rushing defenses in the National Football League, as is San Francisco.
03:15 The 49ers throughout the regular season allowed less than 90 yards per game.
03:18 Third best rushing defense, but Aaron Jones has had 108 yards on the ground against them.
03:23 David Montgomery went over 80 yards against them as well.
03:26 But I will say this.
03:27 Aaron Jones broke a 53-yard run, which obviously did a lot of the work,
03:30 and David Montgomery is an absolute world-renowned superstar that I try to tell everyone about.
03:34 Betting the 43.5, they just wouldn't get over the Jameer Gibbs thing.
03:37 We try to convince these people the right way.
03:39 [MUSIC]
03:42 (upbeat music)