八点最热报 | 还有两天就是槟州双溪巴甲补选的投票日。双溪巴甲州议席是伊党在6州选中，在槟城威南赢下的唯一州议席，也是唯一一个马来选民少于6成的选区。这一次，伊党还能靠着绿潮保住这个议席吗？经过18个月的磨合后，希盟能不能靠巫统再拿回一些马来票，进而拿回这个议席呢？(主播: 萧慧敏)
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00:00Before watching the video, let me remind you that there is more content on the R.E.D.I.M.E. website.
00:05In two days, it will be the voting day for the double C and eight A votes in Binzhou.
00:09Yesterday, our commentator reported that if the Republican Party of Ximeng wants to take back the seat they won three times in a row from the party B,
00:17they must ensure that the Chinese and Indian people will vote for them at the same time.
00:24The double C and eight A seats are the only seats that the party B won in Vietnam.
00:28Ximeng is the only district with less than 60% of Malay voters.
00:31In the six-week election, it relied on the power of the green tide to win the seat for the first time.
00:36Will the party B be able to keep the seat by relying on the green tide?
00:40Will the green tide break through the ceiling or slide down from the ceiling?
00:45After 18 months, will Ximeng be able to win the seat with the help of the Uyghurs?
00:54The poll by the Dalu Yishan Research Institute of the government of Xizhou shows that
00:58as long as Ximeng gets 36% of Malay voters' support, it will have a chance to win the double C and eight A seats.
01:06The chairman of the institute pointed out that Ximeng won 32% of Malay votes in the double C and eight A seats last year.
01:14If the Malay support can be increased from 4% to 36%, it will have a chance to win the double C and eight A seats.
01:22But he also emphasized that if he wants to achieve this result, he must have at least 60% of the votes on Saturday.
01:29The director of the Modica Polling Center, Su Fei'an, emphasized during an interview with the 8 o'clock breaking news that
01:33the double C and eight A seats are a very important election for the United Front and the National Alliance.
01:40Because this is one of the districts that the National Alliance won with a very weak advantage.
01:45Therefore, many commentators have been asked whether the green tide has reached its peak
01:50and whether Ximeng can win more Malay support, especially the support of Malay voters.
01:56Political scholar Pan Yongqiao also pointed out that this poll is a test for the United Front Government
02:01to see if its Malay votes have been further improved.
02:04Or after the Uyghurs joined the United Front Government, did the supporters of both sides accept each other?
02:09Is there a battle for his Malay votes to return?
02:13The analysis of Dalong Yishan Research Institute believes that Ximeng only needs to get 36% of the Malay votes to win in the double C and eight A elections.
02:24Can Ximeng win more Malay votes?
02:27The double C and eight A seats are located in Wainan Province, Binzhou.
02:30The geographical location is close to Jida.
02:32And Jida's minister Shanuxi has such a strong appeal among the Jida Malay voters.
02:37Will his influence affect the double C and eight A seats?
02:42Let's see what the voters say about the double C and eight A seats.
03:12The double C and eight A seats are located in Wainan Province, Binzhou.
03:15And Jida's minister Shanuxi has such a strong appeal among the Jida Malay voters.
03:17Some of the voters of the 8.42 News random interview believe that the double C and eight A seats are closer to Jida geographically.
03:23Therefore, Jida's minister Shanuxi has a strong influence among the local Malay voters.
03:29And the head of the Modika Media Center, Sufeian, and the vice-professor of the International Islamic University, Shazza,
03:34all believe that Shanuxi's influence in Jida is indeed strong.
03:39However, this election is a test of the green tide.
03:43Let's see if the green tide has passed the peak or will continue to rise.
03:48I mean, there's a lot of talk about the green wave, especially in the mainland part of Penang,
03:52because it's very close to Kedah.
03:54And the influence of past with the MB Shanuxi there, that captured a lot of attention,
04:00especially among young Malay voters.
04:02So there is a sort of green wave effect.
04:05So now, you know, 18 months on, whether or not that's still true.
04:09That's why this election becomes important to see whether, is it still there?
04:13Is it still growing or has it plateaued and reached its maximum limit?
04:17We're looking at whether the green wave has reached its peak.
04:21If the result is really almost 50-50,
04:25then we can safely say perhaps the green wave has reached its peak.
04:30So this is really a test for Perikatan Nasional on that sense.
04:33And political scientist Pan Yongqiang believes that
04:35the Kedah government originally hoped that the green tide would strike the Perikatan Nasional after the six-week election
04:40and shake the ruling power of Perikatan Nasional.
04:42But if it didn't happen in the past year and a half,
04:45then there would be no chance for the green tide to rise or expand.
04:49Because if the Kedah government or Perikatan Nasional were to overthrow the Perikatan Nasional,
04:52they would have to fight one battle after another,
04:54and shake the government of Perikatan Nasional with one victory after another.
04:58But from the past situation, the green tide has begun to go downhill.
05:03But after the six-week election, the momentum slightly stopped.
05:07After the six-week election, although the Perikatan Nasional government did not achieve a very good victory,
05:13but it still maintained its true strength.
05:16Because there was no election, no state election, and no large-scale election,
05:20the Kedah government did not have many means or opportunities to shake the Perikatan Nasional.
05:29So the green tide has also begun to go downhill,
05:32especially since the Kedah government has no support from the opposition parties.
05:36Although the respondents believe that the green tide has reached its peak and will not increase the number of votes,
05:42can the Kedah government and the Perikatan Nasional, especially the Uyghurs,
05:45attract more votes from the Kedah government?
05:49Su Fei-an and Sha Zha both believe that compared to the one-year six-week election,
05:53the Perikatan Nasional and the Kedah government had just begun to cooperate.
05:57Therefore, both sides did not trust each other.
06:00But now the Kedah government and the Perikatan Nasional have been cooperating for more than a year.
06:03Therefore, if this result is ideal, then the advantage of the Kedah government will be greater and greater.
06:08Now, you know, many months later, and more than a year and a half into the new coalition government at national level,
06:16people are trying to see whether or not UMNO or Perikatan Nasional supporters,
06:20especially among Malays, have walked over and willing to accept supporting Pakatan Harapan candidate.
06:26And so it is in some ways a 50-50 election because in the last election, passed won by quite a narrow margin.
06:34And so if, let's say, things change in this election, then it's indicative that maybe Pakatan and BN are working well
06:41and the tide is beginning to turn.
06:43So we're looking to see if this will happen. This will replicate this time around as well.
06:49So my sense is that they are on a stronger footing, meaning Barisan Nasional plus Pakatan Harapan appears stronger now
06:58than it was a year or a year and a half ago.
07:01But it's not going to be a straightforward, oh, BN will be able to convince their former supporters
07:07just because we expect some of those people who used to support and vote UMNO is now totally in BN's camp.
07:16Political scholar Pan Yongqiang believes that the results of this re-election will play a significant role in the future cooperation between UMNO and Simon,
07:21and the stability of the united government.
07:24If the traditional support for UMNO votes go back to UMNO,
07:27it also means that they have accepted UMNO's participation in this coalition government,
07:31and accepted UMNO's alliance with Simon.
07:33This will make UMNO more willing to move in the middle.
07:37So UMNO does not need to turn to the path of race and religion in order to win the support of Malaysian voters.
07:42It also has a positive effect on UMNO's transformation and internal reform.