Ayon sa PAGASA, inaasahang lalabas ang Super Typhoon #CarinaPH ng Philippine Area of Responsibility(PAR) bukas. Samantala, hihina naman ang habagat pagsapit ng Sabado.
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00:00Let's talk to Glyza Escoliar, the weather forecaster of Pag-asa.
00:08Glyza, good afternoon to you.
00:10Good afternoon to you too, Mr. Kim and to Ma'am Susan.
00:14Glyza, the typhoon Karina is a super typhoon.
00:16Yes.
00:17What are the factors that caused and strengthened this typhoon?
00:20The usual factor that strengthens a typhoon is the hot sea.
00:27So far, the energy of the sea and the temperature is very favorable for intensification.
00:34Karina, this super typhoon, Karina, sorry, Glyza,
00:39Yes.
00:40This will be brought out by the Philippine Area of Responsibility.
00:43What will be the effect of this on the ocean while it will be brought out to the country?
00:47And when?
00:48We expect that the Philippine Area of Responsibility will bring out the typhoon Karina
00:53tomorrow early morning.
00:56But this will be the first to landfall here in the northern portion of Taiwan.
01:00Even if this will be brought out by the Philippine Area of Responsibility,
01:03we still expect a strong rain here in the northern part of Luzon.
01:09The northern part of Luzon.
01:11Here in Metro Manila, Glyza, when do we expect that the rain we are experiencing will subside?
01:17We expect that it will happen by the weekend.
01:21Ah, by the weekend.
01:22So this 24-hour rain will continue in Metro Manila?
01:26The rain in Metro Manila, this is the peak of strength.
01:31Tomorrow is our forecast.
01:33Moderate to heavy rains.
01:35And then eventually, when Friday arrives, it will still be a bit cloudy
01:39and there will be occasional thunderstorms.
01:43The storm is enhanced, right?
01:46Enhanced.
01:47When will the heat of the storm that brings rain subside?
01:51We expect that the heat of the storm will gradually subside by Saturday and Sunday.
02:00By Saturday.
02:01What is the most anticipated part of the Philippines that will bring heavy rain here in the storm?
02:08That's a good question, Brother Kim.
02:10Now, the center of the strongest rain here in Central Luzon
02:15and with Metro Manila, especially the northern part of Manila.
02:20And the Rizal area.
02:22So, because the current is rising, the concentration of heavy rain will also gradually rise.
02:32So, tomorrow, we expect that the strongest rain will be observed here in Ilocos Region,
02:39Zambales, Bataan, and several other provinces.
02:46So, the maximum amount of rain will also rise tomorrow.
02:50Despite the flood forecast, it will be high tide now, right?
02:54What is the effect of high tide on the waters we experience here in Metro Manila and the coastal areas?
03:01Yes, because the rain will continue and if it will be high tide, the water level will increase.
03:07Although, my expertise is more on forecasting.
03:13But, logically, when high tide comes, it will add up to the water level that we experience in other areas in Manapa.
03:22So, what are the expectations of our countrymen, especially here in the Rizal area,
03:29and the places that are affected, Gleiza?
03:32Marikina.
03:33Yes, Marikina, San Mateo, Montalban.
03:35What are their expectations and what are the preparations that they should do while Karina is not yet released by our country, Gleiza?
03:44In Rizal, because it is a mountainous area and we expect it to be heavy to intense today,
03:51we are being careful with the possible landslide.
03:55And in Marikina, because it is downstream,
03:58it is likely that we need to coordinate with the LGU and the disaster risk reduction managers
04:06for the appropriate action that they can take because eventually,
04:12Marikina and Rizal will be downstream.
04:17So, until Friday, we expect that there will still be heavy rains, Gleiza.
04:23And as you said earlier, by weekend, we expect that the weather will be good.
04:28Yes.
04:29Gradually, here in the Calabarzon area, by Friday, they will be able to see the sun,
04:37although the isolated thunderstorms are still to be expected.
04:39Here in Manila, it is still dark and we are expecting likely 1 to 2 thunderstorms.
04:46And in the Manila area and all over the country,
04:50almost the entire country will still have Saturday and Sunday.
04:54The weather will be good.
04:56Here in Metro Manila, Gleiza, because this is related to the island,
05:00what do we expect now that there will be heavy rains?
05:03Because, of course, some still do not want to evacuate and it might weaken.
05:07What do we expect for them to prepare while there is still a little light, Gleiza?
05:12Yes.
05:13To our countrymen, while we are looking at the satellite images,
05:17our term in forecasting is still thick or there are overshooting tops.
05:25The thunderstorms or the rains that we are seeing now are concentrated here in the central zone,
05:32here in Metro Manila and Rizal area.
05:35So those who are already in that area and their area is a bit dangerous,
05:40now they should be ready to evacuate.
05:44And if the LGU and the disaster risk reduction managers are already informed,
05:51they will just follow for our safety.
05:53Gleiza, for now, Metro Manila has a rainfall warning.
05:58What rainfall warning do we expect for the next 3 hours until tomorrow morning?
06:03We expect that it will be red again.
06:06And then when dawn comes, it can gradually turn orange.
06:11And hopefully, by tomorrow afternoon, it will just be yellow.
06:18Gleiza, maybe it would be good to refresh and explain again
06:21the color coding of our rainfall warning
06:24so that when our countrymen get their phones,
06:28we know what it is.
06:30What is the red rainfall warning, Gleiza?
06:32The red rainfall warning is at times torrential.
06:38So I will start with the yellow warning.
06:41Usually, the forecast starts with a yellow warning.
06:45So the places where it is possible to get wet are advised.
06:49So if there is a heavy rain that is expected or observed,
06:52our rainfall warning team gets a yellow warning.
06:57When we see that the rainfall is continuously upgrading to an orange warning,
07:05it means that the expected rainfall in the mentioned areas is under control.
07:12And then when it is red,
07:15the rainfall is threatening and the rainfall is also torrential.
07:21Okay, thank you very much, Gleiza Escullar,
07:24the weather forecaster of Pagasa.
07:26Thank you very much.
07:27Thank you also for having me.