MLB Player Props | Home Run Props | Best Bets and Predictions
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00:00The brighter the lights, the bigger the stakes, hunt or be hunted, know your prey, this is
00:17a whole new jungle, this is The Lion's Share, brought to you by BET MGM.
00:28This free to play Swing for the Fences game on BET MGM is just so phenomenal, you can
00:34win daily prizes, play as a batter and pick an area of the strike zone, get a single,
00:38double, triple, home run or even a fly out, like I said, it's free to play and the rewards
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01:06and go play Swing for the Fences, Carver High loves it, he's constantly getting boost tokens
01:12and you know what he does, put it with the golf.
01:16Put it with the golf baby, that's for sure, big weekend for that and yes, single today
01:21on Swing for the Fences, got a parlay boost token, we're gonna try to put a couple of
01:25these homers together.
01:26And you gotta use those within 24 hours, correct, we will use them tonight, on tonight's action
01:33is when we're gonna get involved with that, alright, here we go, the Lion's Share brought
01:38to you by BET MGM, it is tater time on C2C, now look, I learned a lesson last night, Scotty,
01:46when guys are hot, you keep riding it, I mean, you just gotta stay with these guys and we
01:51have two guys who have been scorching hot and we need to keep it going, Anthony Santander,
01:56he rang the bell for us last night and there's two reasons why we're gonna go back to him,
02:00Scotty, one, he's red hot, he's got four homers in the last week, we know what kind of damage
02:05the guy's been doing, two, if there's a really bad pitcher who gives up a lot of homers going
02:10against him, even more reason, Carlos Carrasco, 17 homers allowed this year and what does
02:15Anthony Santander do to right handed pitchers like Carlos Carrasco, how about 24 of his
02:2032 home runs this year have come against righties and look at this, Scotty, four to one, I mean,
02:27this guy usually lives in the low threes, 330, 350, 360, plus 400 for Santander, let's
02:34stay hot tonight.
02:35I mean, it didn't take long last night, did it, I mean, the sun was still out when he
02:40was turning on a pitch early in that game and we were ringing the bell, so I'm all for
02:46it.
02:47And look, I'll say this to you as well, I feel like this game is gonna be a launch pad
02:52tonight, I think there's a few games like that on the card, but with Kramer and Carrasco
02:57going, look, even on Cleveland side, you wanna go to J-Ram tonight and nail her from the
03:02left side against Kramer who gives up tons of, Kramer's allowed 14 and 75 innings, so
03:07I got no problem on the Cleveland side, Henderson, Gunnar Henderson's been cold, but he's three
03:14for three with a homer off of Carrasco in his career, so some of the big guns on both
03:18sides I think are very live tonight, Scotty, in that.
03:22And as far as staying hot, how do I not stay hot here as well?
03:26When you guys hit five homers in his last six games and he took us to the window last
03:30night and they're not gonna lower his price and they're still gonna give us plus 400 and
03:35he's facing another righty at home and he can go to the chop house again, plus 400 for
03:40Matt Olson, I'm gonna stay with him tonight as well.
03:44Dinner for two at the chop house, your boy, Olson, driving balls off the facade and right
03:52at the chop house, sounds like a plan.
03:55Sounds like a plan to me, that's for sure.
03:57Next, we will go to the Bronx where we have the Yankees and the Jays tonight, another
04:02big total, another chance for lots of home runs.
04:05Now look, Iron Judge is probably where everyone's eyes are gonna immediately go, he's 11 for
04:1237 with five homers off of Gossman in his career, Scotty.
04:16Here's the problem, you're gonna pay for that.
04:18I saw him on BetMGM this morning at plus 165.
04:21I really don't like going that low for a tater time, I wanna get us some big numbers.
04:27So I'll go to Juan Soto, who also has pretty good numbers, 7 for 13 with a home run off
04:32of Gossman in his career and I like 325 a lot better than 165.
04:37I'm gonna go with Soto tonight.
04:39What is the, I like that, I still like the judge and I like Jazz again, he's hit four
04:45of them, what are, is there a number on Chisholm?
04:49Jazz, I will give you right now, he is plus 450 at BetMGM.
04:55I like that too.
04:57So and Varsho on the Toronto side, he destroys Stroman, 2 for 9 with two homers in his career
05:05and he's at 575.
05:08Where's Vladi at?
05:10And Vladi's been hot and he's 575 as well.
05:13So you got some good numbers with Toronto guys.
05:17So that's another game, could be a lot of homers.
05:19The next game, where I think we'll get tons of taters, into Arlington, Red Sox and the
05:25Rangers.
05:26I'm gonna go with Rafi Devers at plus 350 because this Jose Urena, this is like, this
05:32is like the guys like, Devers is probably sitting around the hotel all day today going,
05:36I can't wait to see this guy on the mound.
05:38I mean, he destroys pitchers like Urena.
05:40Devers has been pretty hot too as well.
05:42So we'll take our chances with him.
05:44But also, on the other side, Scottie, Cutter Crawford, he's allowed eight homers in his
05:49last two games.
05:51So you could take your pick here with the Texas lineup.
05:53Seager, Simeon has a homer off him in his career.
05:57I think both sides will homer tonight.
05:59We'll play Devers, but I think that Cutter Crawford's had some problems with the long
06:02ball recently too.
06:04Yeah, it sounds to me like there's going to be a lot of homeruns flying in that game.
06:08It sounds to me like I'm hoping there's going to be a lot of homeruns flying in every game
06:13tonight.
06:14That's what we really love.
06:15We get lots of taters.
06:16Next, we will go to that Brewer National game that is going to be in D.C. tonight, and we're
06:22going to go after Jake Irvin.
06:23You're right.
06:24Jake Irvin's been pretty good, Scottie, but he has not been pretty good against William
06:28Contreras.
06:293-for-7 with two homeruns off Irvin in his career, plus 425 for William Contreras tonight
06:35down in D.C.
06:37Can you imagine that price on a guy that has done that well against him?
06:41I love this bet.
06:44This was one of my favorites.
06:45It stuck out to me.
06:46I can't wait to get involved there.
06:48And my final one, I like to give you a big ball on the night.
06:52I usually leave with a big ball.
06:55So let's go to the Rockies and the Padres late night.
06:58I love going after Austin Gomber.
07:01Austin Gomber is one of my favorites.
07:03He's allowed 20 homers in 109 innings so far this year.
07:08And we have a guy on the Padres who absolutely eats against left-handed pitching, and that
07:14is Jerickson Profar.
07:15350 with seven homers against lefties this year.
07:20Absolutely mashes.
07:21And you're giving me 7-1, plus 700 for Jerickson Profar against Gomber tonight.
07:27Let's go, baby.
07:287-1.
07:29That's incredible.
07:30What about Manny?
07:31Do you see anything for Machado there?
07:33Yeah, of course we see something for Machado.
07:36We can give you a number on Manny, too.
07:38And Manny right now is sitting at plus 375 on BetMGM, which isn't too bad either, especially
07:45against a lefty with Gomber out there.
07:47And he's been hitting him lately.
07:49So I always like that.
07:51Tatis, Cronenworth, Machado, and Profar, those four, they just rake.
07:58They rake against lefties, which is what you have going.
08:01And I'll say this on the other side.
08:03If there's kind of a weak link in the Padre rotation, Vasquez gives up a lot of homers,
08:08too.
08:0911 in 71 innings this year.
08:10And there's all these no-names on the Rockies who keep hitting homers every night.
08:15I told you that Toglia was going to hit one, and he did last night against the Angels.
08:21So he's plus 500 tonight, Doyle's plus 575, McMahon's 575.
08:30Lots of lefties there.
08:31Doyle, of course, from the right side, but we could go after Vasquez in that game, too.
08:36So I think a very good night all around for taters on a Friday night.
08:41We've been hot.
08:42Anthony Santander, Matt Olson, Juan Soto, Rafi Devers, William Contreras, and Jurickson
08:47Profar, the lion's share, brought to you by BetMGM, Scotty.
08:51Let's go.
08:52Yeah, I want to go, if I go out there in a couple weeks to take the young gun back to
08:58San Diego State, I want to go see that Profar play.
09:02I've seen him play.
09:03I've seen him, but I've never seen him play this big, where he's turned into a star.
09:08His all-star season, his breakout season, he's become a stud, finally, when he was
09:14a highly thought-of prospect back in the day.
09:17He's turned into that player.
09:19He's been fantastic for the Padres, no doubt about it.
09:22Probably their best player.
09:23Can I get a Grand Slam from Tommy Pham here for us here on the line?
09:28Grand Slam breakfast.
09:29Can we get Pham up here with the bases loaded?
09:32Because I got that MGM Grand Slam promotion working with Pham today.
09:35Let's go here.
09:36Can we get him up?
09:37Come on.
09:38Let's go.