Strategic Bets and Player Insights for Tonight's MLB Games
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00:00A very, very good week of taters on The Lion's Share brought to you by BetMGM.
00:05Why don't we start in Toronto tonight?
00:08Because what do I tell you I like to do, Scotty?
00:10I like to go after the pitchers who give up the most home runs around the league.
00:15I mean, honestly, it should be just as simple as that, right?
00:18Oakland's coming into town and we have Jose Barrios on the mound in Toronto.
00:22What has Barrios done this year, Scotty?
00:24He's only allowed 25 homers.
00:25Is that enough for you for Jose Barrios?
00:28And our boy Brent Rooker comes in with the A's.
00:32He's got two homers in the last week.
00:34Believe it or not, how about this for you?
00:37Six homers on Friday nights this year.
00:39I'm even giving you day of the week homer stats here.
00:42He's got six homers on Friday nights.
00:45So he's been very good to us on this day of the week.
00:47We will go with Rooker.
00:48Nice price for him as well, sitting at plus 360.
00:52And I'll tell you this too.
00:54The Butler has a homer in his career off of Barrios and Vladdy is red hot.
01:00So if you want to go to Vladdy too, on the Toronto side of things, I got no problems
01:04with that either, Scotty.
01:06Yeah.
01:07Friday night lights.
01:08All those guys will hit home runs tonight, all three of them.
01:12The great Mitch Spence, who going for Oakland tonight.
01:16So yes, if you would like to get involved with Vladdy, we could do that.
01:20But Rooker is where we're going to focus our things.
01:23Next, the Braves have been struggling, but where are they going?
01:26A place where sometimes you can get the offense cooking, and that is in Colorado, Coors Field
01:32tonight for Atlanta.
01:34And Austin Riley has been getting it done.
01:37Three home runs already in the month of August, and we're facing Tanner Gordon tonight for
01:42the Colorado Rockies.
01:44He's only given up six homers in 21 innings this year.
01:48So quite the ratio for young Tanner as he gets ready to take on the Braves.
01:51And usually, Scotty, you get the big power hitters in Coors, and you're paying $250,
01:58$275, $300, plus $360 for Austin Riley tonight.
02:03Ozuna was $240.
02:04I said, I need a little bit more than that.
02:05I want to eat tonight.
02:07Riley at plus $360.
02:08Let's go.
02:09Yeah, I like that play, and they'll take advantage of the Rockies this weekend, just like the
02:16Mets did.
02:17You know, they lost one game, but they still won the series.
02:21No doubt about that.
02:22They will take advantage of them, indeed.
02:24Next, we will go to Tampa.
02:27Orioles and the Rays getting together at the Trop.
02:31Interesting here.
02:32You have Zac Eflin going for Baltimore, facing his old team in the Rays.
02:35Now, the Orioles guys have been good, Scotty.
02:38Santander has been very good to us.
02:40I think Gunnar Henderson has an excellent matchup.
02:42In fact, Gunnar Henderson against Zac Littell, five for 10 with two homers.
02:48But Gunnar's been cold, Scotty, and we've played him a few times in the last two weeks
02:51on the lion's share, and he has not been ringing the bell for us.
02:54But if you'd like to play Gunnar, go ahead.
02:56I'm going to go with Christopher Murrell on the other side of the coin for Tampa.
03:00Two for three with a homer off of Eflin in his career.
03:04He's got three homers in his last six games against the Orioles.
03:07Christopher Murrell, plus $450.
03:10He's got a couple since he joined the Rays from the Cubbies.
03:13We'll go big ball with him tonight.
03:15Why not?
03:16He's swinging for the lake.
03:19Oh, remember that?
03:20Right before he got traded?
03:22Swinging for the lake.
03:23And he's been swinging it good for the Rays so far as well.
03:27Next, this guy has been cashing tickets for us.
03:30I feel like sometimes we just have to stay with what's working.
03:34And we have the Royals and the Cardinals tonight getting together.
03:37And you're giving me five to one on Bobby Witt Jr. tonight in that series.
03:43Come on.
03:44He's got three homers already in the month of August.
03:47Your boy, Mikolas, has allowed 18 homers so far this year.
03:52Let's load up the lumber again with Bobby Witt Jr. tonight.
03:55As long as he doesn't catch all rise for the MVP, I'm gladly allowing another Bobby Jack
04:04tonight to ring the bell.
04:07Ring the bell.
04:08That is correct.
04:09All right.
04:10The Reds are in Milwaukee against the Brewers.
04:13And this is just straight another one of going after the pitcher, Scotty.
04:16Aaron Savalle for the Brewers tonight.
04:19He's allowed 22 homers in 112 innings pitched.
04:22Your boy loves giving up long balls.
04:25So we have a lot of guys on the Reds we can go with.
04:27Of course, Ellie's been very hot.
04:29You've got Steer.
04:30Friedel's got homers in the last couple games.
04:32But I'm going to go with Candelario here.
04:35It was more price for me, plus $5.75.
04:38Maybe not as good on the left side, but I'm not worried because Savalle gives up so many
04:41long balls.
04:42So Heimer Candelario plus $5.75 for the Reds in Brewtown.
04:47I love that price.
04:48I mean, you had so many big tickets with, you know, gigantic odds like that would just
04:54be incredible.
04:55Another $5.75 piece.
04:57Let's go.
04:58All right.
04:59Now, I usually like to send you in the weekend with a couple of big balls.
05:03At least we'll try a couple of really long shots to get us juicy here on a Friday night.
05:09And I had to get the Buccos involved at some point going into L.A.
05:13I know they've been slumping, but we're going to try to turn them around here.
05:16And our boy, Rowdy, Rowdy Tellez in L.A.
05:22Now listen, this is a dark play for Scottie.
05:25He has not homered since July the 24th, so he hasn't homered in a while.
05:29But he's actually seen Flaherty pretty well in his career.
05:33He's 3-for-5 off of him.
05:35Plus $7.00.
05:36So Monday, for Rowdy, you know he's going to be in the lineup against the righty.
05:40Let's go and take a shot with the big fella tonight in L.A.
05:45Let's go, big fella.
05:48Swing that big stick, Rowdy style, son.
05:51Out in l-l-l-l-l-l-lipstick city.
05:56And this last one is an even deeper shot, but honestly, I was making this a play no
06:00matter what the price was because he's been hitting the ball so well.
06:04Jackson Merrill for the San Diego Padres.
06:07He just tortured you in Pittsburgh against the Pirates.
06:11Now they go to Miami where Cabrera's on the mound tonight.
06:15He's allowed 10 homers and 48 innings pitched.
06:18Not good against lefties either.
06:19Merrill's got two homers in the past week.
06:22Plus $800 for Jackson Merrill.
06:24I saw some good prices on the other guys as well, Scottie.
06:27Machado, Profar.
06:29But I'm going to go for the big stick here.
06:31Plus $800 for Jackson Merrill.
06:33Yeah, I mean, I like this play because he's been hot this week.
06:37So I like guys that are seeing it and hitting it, and he's doing that.
06:41So I love that price too, and it's a nice long shot.
06:44Let's go.