BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games
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00:00Welcome to the Beck QL Daily Boost.
00:06I'm Lucy Burge of Beck QL and I am joined by Matt Horner and we have a home run parlay
00:13boost on two New York Yankees for tonight.
00:16This is on Aaron Judge and Juan Soto to each hit a home run boosted to plus 1000 at Caesars.
00:23Matt, what do you think of this boost?
00:25Yeah, don't mind this at all.
00:27I mean, they're both superstars.
00:28I guess the only problem with it is they're taking on a left hander tonight, Bradford.
00:33But Bradford, you know, he's not that great.
00:35He's pretty much an average starting pitcher, really.
00:38But he is a lefty.
00:39And for some reason, neither of these guys hit well against.
00:43Well, they both hit.
00:44Well, don't get me wrong.
00:45They don't hit as well, I guess you'd say, against lefties.
00:48But they're both superstars.
00:49Judge is hitting 275 off lefty.
00:52Soto is hitting 303 still against lefty.
00:54So they're still hitting them quite well.
00:56And yeah, if you're getting 10 to 1 odds on these guys to do so, I don't mind it.
01:01Plus, it's, you know, in Yankee Stadium at home.
01:03So, yeah, 10 to 1, a little bit of a sprinkle.
01:06Don't mind that.
01:07Very nice.
01:07Get in on this boost at plus 1000 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
01:14Bet $10.
01:14Get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code
01:20Lucy when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to BetQL.com
01:26check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well.
01:29And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore inside underscore
01:33and at Lucille Burge, a lot of winners lately.
01:36So you got to keep up with them.
01:37Oh, no, that's Matt's Twitter.
01:39You will see a lot of winners.
01:41So definitely give them a follow if you haven't already,
01:43because what are you even doing if you haven't?
01:45Because we find a lot of winners, especially lately.
01:49I've been seeing we have more bets for today, as we always do.
01:53Mine is Joey Otani to hit a home run.
01:55So I'm just adding if you want to even parlay all three of these,
01:58they boost and then parlay a lot of home run bets today.
02:01Joey Otani to hit a home run.
02:03He has one home run in his last three games and three in his last ten.
02:07So it's a little bit low for him.
02:08I feel like I feel like he's due to increase his number of home runs.
02:12He's got 34 this season.
02:14He will be facing Mitch Keller against whom he has hit a home run before.
02:17And Keller has given up four home runs over his last six starts, which isn't zero.
02:22So I think Joey Otani has a really good chance.
02:25Friday night seemed to be very good, not just for home runs,
02:27but for Joey Otani to hit a home run.
02:29So I like this very much for Joey Otani to hit a home run.
02:32He likes heading into the weekend.
02:34What can I say? He just loves it.
02:37Yeah, I'm going to go to Seattle.
02:39Going to go to one of the late games tonight.
02:42The Mets are taking on the Mariners here.
02:45I'm going to take the Seattle first five innings money line
02:48and combine that with over seven and a half in the game.
02:52Taking it over in Seattle.
02:53Very risky. A lot of games in Seattle are extremely low scoring,
02:57but I have reason to believe that it could be a little higher scoring here.
03:00Seven and a half, I just think is a little too low.
03:02Jose Quintana is on the mound for the Mets.
03:04One of the luckiest guys on planet Earth.
03:06I say this about some of these pitchers like Tyler Anderson and such.
03:09Quintana also extraordinarily lucky this year.
03:12395 ERA.
03:14Take a look at these advanced stats.
03:16504 expected ERA.
03:18452 expected FIP.
03:200.260 BABIP, which is just really insanely low.
03:2579.2% strand rate.
03:27He walks a lot of people.
03:283.35 walks through nine and he allows a lot of hard contact.
03:331.37 home runs through nine.
03:35The guy stinks.
03:36He's been really lucky to have a 395 ERA.
03:40Take a look. The other side, Bryce Miller.
03:42He also is kind of a regression candidate.
03:44362 ERA. 420 expected ERA.
03:47399 expected FIP.
03:49A 254 BABIP, which is just insane.
03:52That's never going to be sustainable.
03:54114 home runs through nine.
03:55But the reason why I like Seattle in the first five, one fading Quintana.
03:59Miller also has a couple of things that indicate he's better.
04:0271.9% strand rate, which is pretty much the league average there in strand rate.
04:07And he doesn't walk people.
04:082.13 walks through nine, too.
04:10So he stays away from the walk.
04:12So I like Seattle in the first five fading Quintana.
04:15And the over seven and a half regression due for both of these guys.
04:18So, yeah, that's going to be my bet.
04:19It's plus 196 over at DraftKings.
04:22If you want to parlay that together or if you want to play these separately,
04:26like I always say, that's fine as well.
04:27Don't mind it.
04:28Just Seattle first five and the over seven and a half.
04:30Very nice. Get in on our bets and the odds boost.
04:34Plus 1000 at Caesars and subscribe to the BetQL Daily Boost
04:38wherever you get your podcasts.