BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on the Mariners & Yankees
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games!
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00:00Welcome to the Beck QL Daily Boost.
00:05I'm Lucy Burge of Beck QL, and I'm joined by Matt Horner and Kate Constable.
00:10And we have an MLB odds boost for all of you today on the Mariners to win and Randy RosaraƱa
00:17to hit a home run.
00:19And this is boosted to plus 950 at Caesars.
00:22What do we think of this boost?
00:24I like this one.
00:26You look at the Mariners this year, like what's been their bread and butter.
00:29It's been their pitching all season long.
00:31That's what's kind of carried them throughout the year.
00:34And I like Brandon Wu more so than I do Gavin Stone.
00:37Wu's 5-1, ERA just over 2.
00:40So I think he can have some success tonight against this Dodgers lineup.
00:44My concern is RosaraƱa getting a home run tonight.
00:47Dodger, very pitcher-friendly park, and RosaraƱa, I mean, he's really kind of struggled lately.
00:53He doesn't have a home run at all in the month of August.
00:56He's hitting just .208, slugging just .292.
00:59So the concern here more so about a RosaraƱa hitting a home run than it would be the Mariners
01:05winning outright.
01:06But again, as we always say, just a little sprinkle, a little coffee money on this.
01:11You're getting some really good value.
01:13So Matt, I would definitely consider taking it.
01:16Yeah, I mean, that's why you're getting 9.5-1 here because RosaraƱa, you know, he's been
01:20struggling real hard lately.
01:22I do like it though, if you're just going to put a little bit down, because I just like
01:26fading Mr. Stone, who's going for the Dodgers, .363 ERA, but due for some regression, as
01:32I always say, .408 expected ERA, .420 expected FIP, has a high strand rate, and just everything
01:38you look for in a guy who's going to get a bad outing very soon.
01:42So if you're going to fade him, 9.5-1, I think you could do much worse than that.
01:47So if you want to put a little sprinkle in this, I don't mind it at all.
01:50Very nice.
01:51Get in on this odds boost, plus 9.50 at Caesars, and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
01:56Bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering
02:02code LUCY when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now.
02:07And head to BetQL.com, get our exclusive sportsbook offers there as well.
02:11And follow us on Twitter, of course, at KateConstable, at sharp underscore, side underscore, and
02:16at LucilleBird.
02:18Your bets for today.
02:19I am going with a home run bet.
02:21It is in the Red Sox game.
02:22I think they can maybe win another game.
02:24This season, Masaaki Yoshida to hit a home run against the Astros.
02:27This will be very interesting, this game.
02:29It is plus 9.50 at BetMGM, but he has one home run in his last three games, two in his
02:35last nine games, eight home runs this season.
02:37So not that many, but he's got two in his last few games.
02:40He has six hits in his last three games, so he's been hot lately.
02:44And against Yusei Kikuchi, he is batting .500 with a single and a home run.
02:48He's hit a home run off of him before, and I think he can do it again tonight, plus 9.50
02:53at BetMGM.
02:54Oh, lovely.
02:55I haven't been on the show in a while, so apparently I forget what goes on here.
03:00I'm sorry.
03:01I should have said, Kate, what is your best bet tonight?
03:03No, you know, you shouldn't have.
03:04I shouldn't have.
03:05I realize, you know what?
03:06I should be saying that.
03:07On the TV in front of me, it says, which quarterback does Caleb Williams remind you of most?
03:15I was locked in on that.
03:16They're talking, you know, Caleb Williams, Patrick Mahomes.
03:19Joe Montana, I think.
03:20Probably.
03:21Yeah, maybe.
03:22Hey, Lucy, maybe.
03:23Yes, yes.
03:24All right.
03:25For my best bet, I'm going to go Mets Moneyline against the Orioles, minus 130.
03:30Both teams throwing lefties on the mound today.
03:33Trevor Rodgers is starting for the Orioles, and I just kind of want to fade Trevor Rodgers.
03:36David Peterson going for the Mets.
03:38The Orioles have actually been pretty decent against left-handed pitchers lately.
03:42They ranked 9th in OPS heading into today compared to the Mets, who are 22nd.
03:47But the pitching matchup, the better pitcher is Peterson tonight.
03:50He's 7-1 on the season.
03:52The Mets have won 10 of his last 12 starts, and over the last two starts, he has a 156
03:57ERA.
03:59Trevor Rodgers doesn't go deep into the games.
04:01He's only lasted about five innings in quite a few consecutive starts.
04:06So I'm going to back the Mets today at home.
04:09There you go.
04:10I don't understand why the Orioles got Rodgers.
04:13That seemed terrible to me.
04:14He's just not a good pitcher.
04:16And they created two of their top prospects for him, and I was like, what?
04:19What are you doing?
04:20It didn't make any sense to me.
04:21All right.
04:22I'm actually going to go with the future here today as my best bet.
04:24I don't do that typically, but I didn't really care much for a lot on this slate.
04:28So I'm going to go with the Yankees to win the AL East at minus 135.
04:33I think that's honestly some value over at FanDuel right now.
04:36If you take a look, these two teams, the Orioles and the Yankees, are both pretty much deadlocked
04:40Just take a look at their remaining schedule.
04:43Pretty much even 21st versus 22nd in difficulty.
04:46I've liked the Yankees all year.
04:48I gave them away as one of my favorite bets to win the World Series to start the season
04:51around 10 to 1 or so.
04:53Getting some value on that ticket now.
04:54Plus, if you look at some of these projections to some of these sites, Fangraphs are giving
04:58them a 60% chance to win the division, which is minus 150 implied odds.
05:02Pocota projections.
05:03A lot of people love Pocota.
05:05They're actually giving them a 75% chance to win the division, which is minus 300 implied,
05:11which I think is just crazy.
05:12So getting minus 135 here just seems like a lot of value to me.
05:16And plus, they're the team I like better anyway.
05:18So give me the Yankees to win the AL East at minus 135.
05:22We will see.
05:23Get it all in on all of our bets.
05:25No, I think, you know, that's a fair point, as much as it breaks my heart.
05:29Get it on all of our bets and the odds, plus 950 at Caesars, they'll definitely do it.
05:33Or the Orioles.
05:34The Yankees, I think that's a good bet.
05:36And subscribe, of course, to the QL Daily News for every January podcast.