• 3 months ago
Transcript
00:00What about the Royals, Kansas City, looking to rumble. Eyes towards October, they're going
00:07in to Cincinnati, the great American ballpark to take on the Reds, who sit right around
00:12500 for the year. And again, Donnie, it's booked as a very close game, nine and a half,
00:17so a higher total coming in for this one. But the Royals, they're still trying to stay
00:21in the hunt for the American League. They're in the central. What do we make?
00:25I think we get runs, but from a Reds perspective here, Douglas, we take a look at the pitching
00:29matchup. And Nick Martinez might not be a household name, but my goodness, take a look
00:32at his last 30 days. 71 batters he's faced. That's an 0-74 iso against and a 2-08 weighted
00:38on base percentage. If you want to take a look at some of those analytical looks, that
00:41X-fit minus number we talk about so much, 100 is the baseline. You want to be below
00:46that for a pitcher. He's at an 81. But how about this for those old school metrics that
00:50some people like? His last 60 days, Douglas, in ERA, 1.25. So be tough on the Royals today.
00:57But if we do look from a Cincinnati perspective, Michael Lorenzen on the mound for the Royals.
01:02Not a great pitcher. High iso power number against, high weighted on base percentages.
01:06Guys in the middle of that lineup, Dela Cruz, Stevenson, Friedle, and Steer, those guys
01:10should be on your roster tonight for some RBI action. So for me tonight, I do think
01:14the Reds handle their business. Team total might be in effect for them, and also some
01:18RBI props in the middle of that lineup. And Elie Dela Cruz, who hasn't treated me very
01:21kindly this year, dubs and bets. I think he finally comes through for me tonight if I
01:25should choose to bet him. How about that?

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