Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00We got two games in the American League, and quite frankly, we have high drama in the
00:07National League, because teams could be going home.
00:09The good thing about these American League teams is, these are Game 3s, nobody's going
00:12home after tonight.
00:13Will they be disappointed?
00:14Absolutely.
00:15But let's take a look at the first one here, New York Yankees and the Kansas City Royals.
00:19That's a 7-0-8 start out in Kansas City.
00:21If we're looking favorite-wise, we actually had an opening number at minus 120, which
00:26as of this morning was there on FanDuel, but these numbers are changing.
00:29That's now down to 116 and lowering here, so maybe some money coming in on the Kansas
00:33City Royals.
00:34The total is listed at 8.
00:36We saw Game 2, Kansas City rose up, took that game 4-2, and now heads back with momentum.
00:41Is that enough momentum for you, Dubsy, to pick up a commanding 2-1 series lead out there
00:46in Kansas City today?
00:47No, I don't think so.
00:49I think this is one of the tougher matchups in trying to come up with who's going to win
00:53this one.
00:54But for the Yankees, really bullish behind Clark Schmitt.
00:56Gets the start there over Luis Hill, so I think that's a telling factor that they're
00:59putting a lot of confidence in Schmitt to go out there and get the result for the Yankees.
01:05For the Royals here, Seth Lugo, he's been pretty strong there from what we have seen
01:09with that start prior.
01:10So I think it's a really good spot for the Pinstripes, Donnie.
01:13I think the offense absolutely lights it up in terms of runs being scored.
01:17I think we could see a few late in this one, 6th, 7th, one of these innings would just
01:21absolutely pop off, and I do think it will be back in support of the Yankees.
01:26Bobby Witt in the offense for the Kansas City Royals, rocks or diamonds, can they find
01:31that spark again?
01:32But Game 3, Yankees, there's a lot on the line for this one.
01:35You don't want to be just making up the numbers.
01:37Need that win.
01:38Let's get it going in the right direction.
01:40Minus 120, slight favorites with that total now sitting at 8.
01:44I'll lean towards the Yankees in this spot, Donnie.
01:46How are you seeing it?
01:47Who's going to have the edge out there on the hill?
01:49Is it Clark Schmitt or will it be Seth Lugo for the Royals?
01:53It actually should be Seth Lugo, and also you need your MVP players to step up.
01:56Like Aaron Judge, wake up, man, put a couple balls in the seats, let's get after it here
02:00because if we're looking for the past 60 days, Seth Lugo, 51 innings pitch, a 3.88 ERA, which
02:05is okay, but a 3.57 XFIP, which is very manageable.
02:09You look at Clark Schmitt, only 24 and two-thirds innings pitch over the past 60 days, a 3.65
02:13ERA, which is solid, but a 4.36 XFIP number.
02:17But if we are taking it off of that analytical number and saying, okay, Clark Schmitt, right-handed
02:21pitcher, where has he struggled over the past month?
02:23It's the left-handed batters, a 186 ISO, which isn't terrible, and a weighted on base percentage
02:28that is a little bit elevated at 361.
02:31You look at the lineup tonight coming into it for Kansas City, and look at this, Massey's
02:35got good numbers against right-handed pitching over the past month.
02:37Bobby Wood Jr. does, as well as Kyle Isbell.
02:40The rest of that lineup, Dubzy, you take a look at Vinny Pasquantino, a zero ISO power
02:44number, Salvador Perez, 069, Gurriel, 056, Melendez, 108, Pham, 109, Garcia, 057.
02:52So if you are Clark and can come into this ballgame and say, you know what, let me just
02:55give an honest pitching performance, you should be able to navigate that lineup.
02:59Now let's flip it over to Seth Lugo, who's out there with a 104 ISO against and a weighted
03:03on base percentage of 247 over the past 102 batters he's faced over the past month.
03:08It's up to the top three guys.
03:10Gleyber Torres, Juan Soto, and Aaron Judge all have very good numbers against right-handed
03:15pitching over the past month.
03:16If they don't succeed tonight, it's going to be a Royals night, and they're going to
03:19put the Yankees on the precipice of a very disappointing exit here in the American League
03:24playoffs.