Panayam kay Division Chief Mariton Bornas ng Volcano Monitoring and Eruption Prediction Division ng Phivolcs patungkol sa update sa Bulkang Kanlaon
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NewsTranscript
00:00Updates in Vulcan Canlaon, let's find out together with Mariton Bornas, Volcano Monitoring and Eruption Prediction Division Chief of PHIVOLCS.
00:11Good afternoon.
00:14Good afternoon to you, Ma'am, and to all of you listening.
00:18First of all, what are the latest activities that you have recorded from Vulcan Canlaon
00:26and how many volcanic earthquakes did you monitor within 24 hours?
00:34So, the level of unrest of our volcano is still high.
00:43After 24 hours yesterday, we recorded 337 volcano tectonic earthquakes.
00:53From midnight to 12 noon, we recorded 65 volcano tectonic earthquakes.
01:05Yesterday, we also measured the highest level of sulfur dioxide in Vulcan Canlaon.
01:14This is the highest level that we have recorded instrumentally
01:19when we measure volcanic gas in Vulcan Canlaon in 2009.
01:26It reached 9,985 tons per day.
01:30If we compare it to Mayon Volcano, for example, this is an eruptive sulfur dioxide emission of Mayon.
01:39But in Taal, this is very high.
01:42So, Ma'am, in your assessment and monitoring,
01:45is it possible for a volcanic eruption from Vulcan Canlaon?
01:49And when is it possible for this to happen,
01:51based on the activities that you have recorded from the volcano?
01:56Because our monitoring parameters are high,
02:00these are anomalous,
02:03the chance of a magmatic eruption increases.
02:08Our challenge is to monitor every day
02:13so that we can determine when the magmatic eruption that we are monitoring will continue.
02:22We cannot say for now when the time, day, week, or month
02:30when the eruption of the volcano will occur.
02:33We need to analyze and evaluate this every day,
02:38especially in a volcano like Vulcan Canlaon,
02:42where magma does not erupt for a long time.
02:47Magma does not erupt.
02:49The eruptions of Vulcan Canlaon since 1902
02:54are mostly phreatic or steam-driven eruptions.
03:00This is the eruption of the volcano
03:03because of the accumulation of steam
03:07here in what we call the hydrothermal or geothermal region below the volcano.
03:13When the volcano is pressurized,
03:16it can return to a phreatic or steam-driven eruption.
03:20So, the majority of the activity of Vulcan Canlaon is like this,
03:25steam-driven or phreatic eruptions.
03:28We will only have magmatic eruptions
03:34and not just instrumentally monitored magmatic eruptions.
03:39The last magmatic eruption of Vulcan Canlaon on record is 1902.
03:46This is a very weak magmatic eruption
03:51and only one lava flow was recorded when Vulcan Canlaon erupted.
03:57We do not have a history or experience in monitoring Vulcan Canlaon.
04:07What we can do is to compare
04:11or compare its eruption and unrest
04:17with other volcanoes that we have monitored.
04:20This is what we know from its geology
04:23and this is what we monitor every day.
04:28Okay.
04:29So, you're saying that this magmatic eruption
04:33can happen and we can't predict
04:37whether it will happen today, tomorrow, next week, or in the next few months.
04:41Is that so?
04:42That's right.
04:43Volcano monitoring is not like this.
04:47There is nothing we can do about it at the current level of science.
04:53We can only forecast what can happen
04:58based on our 24-7 monitoring of Vulcan.
05:03And you said that if this happens,
05:06the last major magmatic eruption was in the 1900s, right?
05:131902, if I'm not mistaken?
05:15That's right.
05:16So, it has been a long time since it erupted like this.
05:21Don't you think that the expected magmatic eruption
05:26will be quite strong?
05:30Because it's been a long time, let's say,
05:32that it has been sleeping or being quiet?
05:35We can't say for sure
05:37because the volcanoes have their own characteristics,
05:43especially when it comes to eruptive activity and repose.
05:49Volcanoes really breathe.
05:52It just so happens that in our highly active volcanoes,
05:56like the Mayon Volcano,
05:58its repose period is shorter.
06:01The Mayon Volcano is very highly active.
06:03The Canloan Volcano is active,
06:06but its magmatic eruptions have long repose periods
06:10and there are eruptions where a lot of materials are released.
06:17There are also eruptions where only a small amount is released
06:21and there are strong eruptions.
06:25But the Canloan Volcano is more dominant in lava flow activity
06:31because its edifice, the volcanic cone,
06:37is predominantly composed of lava flows.
06:42Although it also has explosive eruptions,
06:46it is dominated by lava flows.
06:50Okay, so what is the current effect of the volcanic activities
06:56that you mentioned to our countrymen who are near the Canloan Volcano?
07:02Do you have any advice for those who live nearby to evacuate?
07:11Okay, so in this kind of volcanic alert level,
07:16we should not enter a permanent danger zone.
07:21That is why it is called a permanent danger zone.
07:24There is still a risk of sudden eruptions,
07:30especially phreatic or steam-driven eruptions.
07:34Because even if we don't have magma,
07:36and we are at alert level zero,
07:42we just need steam to make it happen.
07:48And now that we have unrest,
07:52there is a higher chance of phreatic eruptions.
07:58When we have phreatic eruptions,
08:00we can experience volcanic hazards
08:04such as small pyroclastic density currents.
08:08These are the most lethal volcanic hazards.
08:11Ballistic fragments,
08:13these are the small stones from the bottom of the volcano.
08:17And volcanic landslides that can hit us.
08:23That is why in this kind of alert level,
08:26we need to evacuate those who live inside the permanent danger zone.
08:35Because we can have phreatic or steam-driven eruptions
08:40at any time without any warning or signs that this will happen.
08:46We need to look at our response measures.
08:52The LGUs and residents should be prepared for the next alert levels.
09:00For example, when we reach alert level 3,
09:03there will be an additional evacuation.
09:08Our residents and LGUs should be prepared to evacuate.
09:16Ma'am, in a state like this,
09:20what should and should not be done to our residents?
09:28For our LGUs,
09:31the LGUs have contingency plans.
09:35This is based on the alert level of the volcano.
09:40They need to execute their plans when the alert level rises.
09:47These are the response measures.
09:49Everything is planned.
09:51For our residents,
09:53we need to follow our LGUs
09:56when they execute their response measures
10:00such as evacuation and other measures.
10:05We also received additional advice from the LGUs.
10:13For example,
10:14if there is a volcano eruption
10:18and it rains heavily,
10:21we should expect that
10:23not only our predetermined evacuation area
10:29will be affected.
10:31We will probably have what we call
10:35scene-eruption lahars.
10:36These are the lahars that accompany the eruption of the volcano
10:41because it can quickly transform
10:45the volcanic rocks into lahars.
10:51Scene-eruption lahars are far away
10:55so we have to be careful when we go to the river.
11:00For our LGUs,
11:03we should appreciate
11:06if they observe or feel anything around them.
11:12We should ask our office
11:16because their observation is also important.
11:21If we experience sulfur dioxide in our residents
11:27and it is toxic,
11:29we should protect ourselves
11:32by wearing a mask.
11:34If this has a severe effect,
11:37especially on our vulnerable members of our community
11:41such as those who have heart disease,
11:44elderly, senior citizens,
11:46pregnant women, and pregnant women,
11:48we should contact our barangay health units
11:52or centers or nearby hospitals.
11:56Thank you very much, Mariton Bornas,
12:00Volcanic Monitoring and Eruption Prediction Division Chief of PHIVOLCS.
12:05Thank you very much. Take care.