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00:00Matt Chapman's a five-win player.
00:03Really?
00:04Yeah, he's had a fantastic year.
00:06I knew he was up, but I didn't...
00:07He is a five-win player.
00:10That's what you get for playing after I go to bed.
00:12So you can think about that.
00:13Now, how many games are the Cubs out of a wild card?
00:18Five.
00:19There's six.
00:20Six, okay.
00:21They're gonna finish like five or six out.
00:23Yeah, probably.
00:25My point is, they're going to finish
00:29one way or another, a star player of value out.
00:36Well, the idea of war,
00:38and we think about it as this sort of independent stat,
00:40but that's what wins above replacement means.
00:43That's what you pay for.
00:46Having this person instead of a replacement-level player
00:49over the course of an entire season
00:50means you win five more games.
00:52A star player, a six-win player that you pay.
00:57You pay for that.
00:58You pay for it.
00:59You pay for it.
01:00And if the Cubs finish, essentially, a star out,
01:06it's right there in front of us.
01:08And you could sign two stars.
01:10Is this about, though, Matt Chapman and players like him,
01:13or is this about the guys they have on their roster
01:15who have not become the stars
01:16they thought they were gonna be?
01:17It's both.
01:18It's all of it.
01:19Because Cody Bellinger, who...
01:20He's had a bad year.
01:21Yeah, he's had a bad year.
01:22And if you went from last year and said,
01:24just have the year you had last year,
01:25don't have to be any better.
01:26Just have a year around the neighborhood of last year,
01:30how much better would the Cubs be?
01:32They'd be significantly better.
01:34Exactly, so...
01:35They'd be...
01:36You could add it up.
01:37This is what I'm saying.
01:38You can put it out there and add it up.
01:40The Cubs are going to finish a star player
01:42out of the playoffs.
01:44Matt Chapman was right there.
01:45So this off-season, is it as simple as,
01:49go get a star player?
01:50I mean, you have guys allegedly in the minor...
01:52I mean, you can see what Pete Crow Armstrong's done
01:54the second half of the season.
01:55Now, if he's a six-win player next year,
01:58we're talking about something real different.
02:04I don't know if he's going to be a different player
02:07than we saw the second half of the season.
02:09Then he's a six-win player.
02:09Okay, but what I'm saying is,
02:11I don't know that that's enough,
02:12based on what they've done in the back half of the season.
02:14Agreed.
02:15So I think they have to still go out and get more.
02:17Agreed.