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00:00Houston and Jacksonville.
00:04I love this over at 44 and a half.
00:07The Texans early in this week were looking as a touchdown favorite against the Jacksonville
00:12Jaguars.
00:13Money has come in on the Jags pushing this number back down to kind of where the look
00:17ahead line was here at five and a half, maybe a little bit higher than books would have
00:21anticipated.
00:22But considering what we last saw from the Jaguars, you have yourselves a five and a
00:27half point spread where perhaps for the second week in a row, people are ugly betting the
00:32Jags.
00:33I'm leaving this side to be, I expect points of plenty on the Houston side.
00:38They're going to be without Jimmy Ward, which I think can hurt it.
00:40But also this is bounce back Stroud before it's born.
00:44We have data, Allen Mahomes, all these different quarterbacks where we borrow, hey, listen,
00:50if they were bad last week, here comes the next week.
00:53Stroud is coming off of probably the worst game of his young career.
00:55When you consider everything, I think they can absolutely let it fly in this one, especially
01:01with Jacksonville's linebacker core torn to pieces heading into this one.
01:05I love points in the IFC South might be selling me now.
01:08They play two games last year, 24, 21, and they had 54 in the first meeting.
01:13So that would that would get you through the 44 and a half today.
01:16In regards to that, I reluctantly and I say reluctantly take the Jags in regards to this
01:22matchup because it is a divisional opponent.
01:24They were a public dog on Monday night because they started on to feel like a lot of people
01:29got abused in regards to that.
01:30They look so bad.
01:32People are selling them the franchise Peterson dead man walking.
01:35I'm willing to take one last shot at this situation.
01:40And I told you in regards to before the show started, right, they've lost eight games.
01:44Trevor Lawrence has the last team they beat was the Houston Texans last year.
01:48So again, maybe you get their best best effort.
01:50We get through the total.
01:52But I would take the five and a half points, Donnie.
01:55And I'm also on Lawrence over the 22 to 22 and a half.
01:58Here's the tough part about Houston, right?
02:00You take a look at Tank Dell not going to play today.
02:02Young superstar wide receiver can get deep here.
02:04Nico Collins is going to play.
02:05He's more likely to not finish this game and finish it with a hamstring injury, which then
02:09brings us back.
02:10Let's lean on Nixon, who is fantastic game number one.
02:12He's not there either.
02:13So I do think there is a price point here that you're saying, all right, can Houston
02:16win the football game?
02:17Yes.
02:18Under seven now.
02:19Maybe just take the points and watch this one play out.
02:21But sometimes I like to say, how is Jacksonville going to win this game?
02:24And I look at Travis Etienne, 49 and a half is his rushing problem.
02:27Put it this way.
02:28He goes under that.
02:29They don't win this football game.
02:30If he goes over that, there's a chance that they might not win this football game.
02:33I would look at Travis Etienne.
02:34We said Jones opened up the show 100 yards last week.
02:36Why can't Etienne get 15 plus carries and get 75, 80 yards in this game?
02:40Why not?
02:41It's my kryptonite.
02:42Yours still last year.
02:43Well, I also think, Donnie, Jacksonville's just chasing their tail a little bit.
02:47Like, I understand what you're saying.
02:48But also, a world where Doug Peterson comes out and throws from the word go, it wouldn't
02:52necessarily stun me in this game.
02:53I'm not sure it would be a mistake, actually, if that's what he did.