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00:00We head to the Rocky Top where 11th ranked Tennessee host number seven Alabama. The
00:08road team a field goal plus favorite in Knoxville today that's the Crimson Tide
00:14and Kevin as we get ready for this top 15 tilt at Tennessee later on this
00:19Saturday afternoon it should be pointed out that neither of these two teams look
00:25great in their response last week after suffering their first loss of the season
00:29in upset fashion the opening Saturday in October Alabama survives late against
00:36South Carolina Tennessee has to go to overtime against Florida to escape
00:40Rocky Top with a victory courtesy of Dylan Sampson who had all three
00:45touchdowns for the Vols in that matchup the 107th all-time beating between
00:51Alabama and Tennessee the Crimson Tide have won 16 of the last 17 but the last
00:57one on Rocky Top that was a Volunteers victory how do you see this third
01:02Saturday in October playing out so what we are seeing is people are betting
01:05Alabama but I think more so than people running to bet the Crimson Tide I think
01:11people are fading Tennessee in droves only threes out there now and a three
01:15and a half in the market as well showing you that I think people are watching
01:20this Tennessee team especially their most recent performances and finding
01:24those to be far more concerning than Alabama's most recent performances and
01:29in one respect I understand it because Alabama still has Milrow playing at such
01:35a high level they have the win over Georgia which is a whole lot more than
01:39Tennessee's accomplished this season and Nikko doesn't have the same pedigree of
01:44Jalen Milrow again we joke sometimes on the desk about all this stuff but
01:47Milrow won the SEC last year Nikko has done nothing in his career unless you
01:52want to count the citrus ball legitimately that is the biggest thing
01:56he's done in his career he wasn't great in the win against NC State who's
02:00terrible or Oklahoma who's not that good but I still think the Vols are the side
02:06that I look to but specifically and maybe ironically of everything I just
02:09said I like their team total it's 27 and a half I'm not betting on Nikko I'm
02:16betting on Josh Heupel in his career at Tennessee at home in SEC games so I'm
02:22not gonna even use the fluff cupcake games that elevates this number home
02:26games against SEC opponents 36 and a half points per game I think Tennessee
02:31gets to at least 28 Joe it's possible I think in order for Tennessee to win
02:36they're gonna have to go through the total of 56 and a half because then that
02:39means the tempo or Josh Heupel's offense will get going that's a cause of concern
02:43for me when I break this game down from the series perspective Alabama's
02:47dominated 16 in the last 17 they won last year as an eight and a half point
02:51favorite in Tuscaloosa 34 to 20 last time they were in Knoxville they lost
02:5552 to 49 when you look at Tennessee's offense been over the last three weeks
03:00right first three weeks they were well over five yards per carry last three
03:04weeks they've been under five yards per carry Nikko's been handcuffed into long
03:08third down situations drew for a buck 69 no touchdowns one interception against
03:13Arkansas right that's a problem struggled against Florida as well that
03:17cannot be tonight if he's in those type of situations it's all mill row so
03:22that's why I do lean to Alabama from the spread perspective because I have more
03:27confidence in Jalen Milrow being able to take a game over than Nikko up into this
03:32point but that might change Kevin and Ben from an in-game perspective if I
03:36watch the first few play quarters play out