• 2 hours ago
Transcript
00:00Texas A&M, 14th in the country, off since the dominant win at home against Missouri.
00:09Kev, you have made this point about this A&M team, only 14th in the AP Top 25, but 10th
00:15best price to win a national championship at 40-1 right now on those odds book.
00:21How do you feel about A&M in this matchup, laying 19 and a half against a Mississippi
00:26State team that has been a hefty underdog in every SEC game?
00:29I was actually a little excited to lay this with A&M.
00:32I've been kind of trying to find the appropriate spot to bet against Mississippi State.
00:36Because of that Toledo loss, we saw their numbers kind of shoot up the sky, and boom,
00:41they cover against Texas.
00:42I'm like, all right, well, maybe now we're going to get some value with Georgia.
00:44Probably a little too much, pull back, and they cover that game as well.
00:49But now I look at it here, now I wonder if the books are still baking in the Toledo performance
00:54too much.
00:55Elko's off of a bye, 2-0 against the number in the first half in his two seasons at Duke,
01:00so maybe we could see A&M early.
01:03But the other angle of this is Michael Van Buren, the freshman QB for the Bulldogs, might
01:09have some juice here.
01:11If I'm on this game, I would look towards maybe a first half over Joe, but I couldn't
01:17find enough value to bet it confidently.
01:19Yeah, here's the thing.
01:20I mean, if you're looking last year, they got hammered.
01:23Texas A&M beat them 51-10.
01:25They're a different team, obviously, from last year than this year.
01:28Front seven for Mississippi State, giving up 201 rushing yards per game.
01:32But in back-to-back games against Texas and Georgia, under 200 yards.
01:36So that shows me that Jeff Lebby, all right, they're not winning games, but they're starting
01:40to progress, starting to understand the scheme from a defensive perspective.
01:45Maybe they are slowly getting better.
01:47I'm not suggesting that they win as an 18-and-a-half point dog, but I'll be inclined to take the
01:52points in Starkville just because it's a very difficult place to play in.
01:56I keep going back to Trevor Knight in 2016 when A&M went in there.
02:00They were ranked fourth in the college football playoff, and they lost outright by Rodgers
02:06and the crew.
02:07They got smashed.

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