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00:00:02And the news is...
00:00:04Seigi no Mikata!
00:00:09Good morning.
00:00:10This is Seigi no Mikata.
00:00:12Let's study the news with us this week.
00:00:14Seigi no Mikata was broadcasted in Nagasaki this week.
00:00:20What kind of news do you have, Yukori?
00:00:22Yukori?
00:00:24She's not here.
00:00:26Yukori?
00:00:28I saw you earlier.
00:00:30Are you watching a baseball game?
00:00:32Yukori, please come to the studio.
00:00:34I'll be waiting for you.
00:00:36Nakamaru, what kind of news do you have?
00:00:38The election is tomorrow.
00:00:40So I have to study the news.
00:00:42The election is tomorrow.
00:00:44Let's go.
00:00:46Let's start with the election.
00:00:48The election is tomorrow.
00:00:50The election is tomorrow.
00:00:52The election is tomorrow.
00:00:54The election is tomorrow.
00:00:56The election is tomorrow.
00:00:58The election is tomorrow.
00:01:00The election is tomorrow.
00:01:02The election is tomorrow.
00:01:04The election is tomorrow.
00:01:06The election is tomorrow.
00:01:08The election is tomorrow.
00:01:10The election is tomorrow.
00:01:12The election is tomorrow.
00:01:14The election is tomorrow.
00:01:16The election is tomorrow.
00:01:1820 million yen.
00:01:20The JCPOA,
00:01:22which is a branch of the JCPOA
00:01:24that represents the eight people
00:01:26who were declared unrecognized
00:01:28because of the so-called
00:01:30money laundering issue,
00:01:32was giving 20 million yen
00:01:34to the JCPOA.
00:01:36Mr. Ishiba said,
00:01:38The JCPOA
00:01:40does not give money
00:01:42to the unrecognized candidates.
00:01:44We do not use such money
00:01:46at all.
00:01:48However,
00:01:50Mr. Noda of the JCPOA
00:01:52said,
00:01:54The JCPOA
00:01:56does not give money
00:01:58to the unrecognized candidates.
00:02:02Of course,
00:02:04the JCPOA is funded by taxes.
00:02:06How will the people
00:02:08judge this issue?
00:02:10Nevertheless,
00:02:12the cost of this election
00:02:14is 8.15 billion yen.
00:02:16In the first place,
00:02:18a huge amount of tax has been
00:02:20invested in the election.
00:02:22And the low voting rate
00:02:24has become a problem in recent years.
00:02:26The voting rate of the last
00:02:28governor's election
00:02:30was 55.93%.
00:02:32Among them,
00:02:34the voting rate of young people
00:02:36was low,
00:02:3843.23% for 10-year-olds
00:02:40and 36.50% for 20-year-olds.
00:02:44On the Internet,
00:02:46there are many people
00:02:48who say,
00:02:50I don't know
00:02:52which party to vote for.
00:02:54Mr. Ogura Yuko
00:02:56and Mr. West Nakama
00:02:58have a question about this news.
00:03:00Please take a look
00:03:02at the illustrations of
00:03:04Shampoo Hat and Koi-san Gahaku.
00:03:06I was surprised
00:03:08that many people
00:03:10did not go to the election
00:03:12What should I do
00:03:14to raise the voting rate?
00:03:16Why is the cost of election
00:03:18so high?
00:03:20Is there anything
00:03:22necessary to raise
00:03:24the voting rate
00:03:26with the current election system?
00:03:28Please tell us.
00:03:30Yuko,
00:03:32what were you doing?
00:03:34I was just
00:03:36talking with my manager
00:03:38in my room.
00:03:40The staff told me
00:03:42that the election was about to start.
00:03:44I was so surprised.
00:03:46I'm so sorry.
00:03:48I didn't know
00:03:50that you like Major League Baseball.
00:03:54I was just talking
00:03:56with my manager.
00:03:58I'm sorry.
00:04:00The election will be held
00:04:02in the morning.
00:04:04Yuko,
00:04:06do you have any questions
00:04:08about the election?
00:04:10Many people asked me
00:04:12why I didn't go to the election.
00:04:14I said I didn't know
00:04:16who I should vote for.
00:04:18Also,
00:04:20I saw many posts
00:04:22about the election
00:04:24on social media.
00:04:26I see.
00:04:28Mr. Nakama,
00:04:30what should we do
00:04:32to raise the voting rate
00:04:34with the current election system?
00:04:36To be honest,
00:04:38it's difficult
00:04:40for young people
00:04:42because they have a lot of plans.
00:04:44For example,
00:04:46I think it's good
00:04:48to do business
00:04:50at university.
00:04:52But I don't know
00:04:54why people
00:04:56don't do it.
00:04:58Also,
00:05:00it's difficult
00:05:02to talk on TV.
00:05:04Mr. Kazuhiro Aoyama,
00:05:06a political journalist
00:05:08who is well-informed
00:05:10and polite.
00:05:14Mr. Aoyama,
00:05:16what do you think
00:05:18about the election?
00:05:20This time,
00:05:22Japan will change
00:05:24with your vote.
00:05:26Please look at this.
00:05:28Something terrible happened.
00:05:30The JCPOA
00:05:32made the JCPOA
00:05:34unauthorized in this election.
00:05:36The JCPOA gave
00:05:3820 million yen
00:05:40to the JCPOA
00:05:42even though it was unauthorized.
00:05:448 JCPOA members
00:05:46gave 20 million yen
00:05:48to the JCPOA
00:05:50as an activity fund
00:05:52to the JCPOA branch
00:05:54which is the branch
00:05:56in charge of the JCPOA.
00:05:58The JCPOA gave
00:06:0020 million yen
00:06:02to the JCPOA branch
00:06:04as an activity fund.
00:06:0620 million yen is different.
00:06:08The JCPOA branch
00:06:10didn't mention the amount.
00:06:12Mr. Aoyama,
00:06:14the JCPOA gave 20 million yen
00:06:16to the JCPOA branch
00:06:18which is the branch
00:06:20in charge of the JCPOA branch.
00:06:22The JCPOA members
00:06:24also gave 20 million yen
00:06:26to the JCPOA branch.
00:06:28The JCPOA branch
00:06:30didn't mention the amount.
00:06:32The JCPOA branch
00:06:34gave 20 million yen
00:06:36to the JCPOA branch
00:06:38as an activity fund
00:06:40to the JCPOA branch
00:06:42which is the branch
00:06:44in charge of the JCPOA branch.
00:06:46The JCPOA branch
00:06:48didn't mention the amount.
00:06:50The JCPOA branch
00:06:52gave 20 million yen
00:06:54to the JCPOA branch
00:06:56as an activity fund.
00:06:58The JCPOA branch
00:07:00gave 50 million yen
00:07:02to the JCPOA branch
00:07:04as an activity fund
00:07:06which is the same amount
00:07:08as the JCPOA branch
00:07:10as an activity fund.
00:07:16The JCPOA branch
00:07:18didn't mention the amount.
00:07:20In a sense, he gave a kind of punishment to leave the party without affiliation, but he gave the right to leave the party, didn't he?
00:07:31He said that the Japanese Democratic Party's representative Noda did not reflect at all.
00:07:36Mr. Hagiyuda, the former political secretary, is a non-confirmed member.
00:07:41As a result of this election, he said,
00:07:44We don't use it at all.
00:07:46To be honest, it's a very annoying story.
00:07:50This anger is also natural.
00:07:52That's right.
00:07:53Even if you say you don't use it, you don't have any money.
00:07:57Then I don't use it, but I can use it because I can afford it.
00:08:02This is also quite difficult.
00:08:04However, Mr. Hagiyuda has made it clear that he has returned 20 million yen.
00:08:08However, such a mess itself is not a plus for the people.
00:08:13When I asked various congressmen about this,
00:08:16Why is this?
00:08:18I think it would have been better after the election.
00:08:20Two weeks later, 20 million yen will be paid.
00:08:22I think it was in time.
00:08:24Why did you pay this right after the construction?
00:08:26It's Wednesday.
00:08:28Mokkindo Sunday is from 8 p.m.
00:08:33It's a week before that.
00:08:36The construction is on Tuesday, and the day after that,
00:08:39The election will be held 12 days later.
00:08:42The news was on Wednesday, right?
00:08:44Yes, that's right.
00:08:46Mr. Mujin, this is quite a big loss for the People's Party.
00:08:49It's hard.
00:08:50Even if you listen to the explanation of the explanation,
00:08:53If that's the case, why don't you buy it for 15 million yen?
00:08:57That's right.
00:08:58I think everyone thinks that the approval fee is 5 million yen.
00:09:03This is a bit of an excuse.
00:09:05It's hard.
00:09:07Mr. Takahashi, what do you think?
00:09:09The fact that it came out on Wednesday is the point.
00:09:12And it's a red flag.
00:09:14It's a little unbelievable.
00:09:17I honestly think that the organization in the People's Party is a dead end.
00:09:23This is a red flag.
00:09:25It's like a newspaper supporting the Communist Party.
00:09:28It's called a scoop.
00:09:30That's right.
00:09:32If it were a normal media, it wouldn't have come out.
00:09:36The last three days are very important.
00:09:39If it's published like this, it's going to be a big deal.
00:09:42Normally, I'd stop it.
00:09:44It's very strange to me that it's on the red flag.
00:09:48I think so, too.
00:09:52Is there a way to get the news out?
00:09:58It's the best time to ask.
00:10:00If it's three days, it's going to be a big deal.
00:10:04It's a red flag.
00:10:06I think it's a good time to ask.
00:10:10Other newspapers don't have the courage to publish it.
00:10:13That's right.
00:10:15I don't have much to say.
00:10:17If it were a normal media, it would be a big deal.
00:10:23If it were a normal media, it would be a big deal.
00:10:30That's right.
00:10:32Is it such a scary world?
00:10:35It's a scary world.
00:10:37It's a scary world.
00:10:41The last three days are a scary world.
00:10:43The last three days are a scary world.
00:10:45It depends on the election.
00:10:47However, after the red flag was published, the People's Bank of Japan admitted it.
00:10:51Mr. Hagiuda also returned it.
00:10:53It's a fact, so it's natural to publish it.
00:10:57Mr. Honko, what do you think?
00:10:59I think Mr. Hagiuda is going to crush it.
00:11:02I don't like anyone, but I don't like Mr. Hagiuda.
00:11:05I think Mr. Hagiuda is trying to bury all the people of the old Abe faction.
00:11:11Do the other seven people leave any comments?
00:11:15Yes, they do.
00:11:17Some people say they haven't confirmed it at all.
00:11:21Some people say they haven't confirmed it at all.
00:11:23I don't think anyone else is leaking this red flag.
00:11:28I don't think anyone else is leaking this red flag.
00:11:31Now, the voting will be held.
00:11:34Please take a look.
00:11:36Now, Mr. Honko's question.
00:11:37Why does it cost so much?
00:11:39Can't I cut the cost?
00:11:41The cost of this election is 8.15 billion yen.
00:11:44The cost of the voting will be 8.15 billion yen.
00:11:51Mr. Hagiuda's view.
00:11:52It's the taxpayer's tax.
00:11:54If you don't go to the election, it will be a waste.
00:11:57For example, in 2021, in the case of the presidential election,
00:12:00the budget for the presidential election is 6.51 billion yen.
00:12:04The budget for the presidential election is 6.51 billion yen.
00:12:06If the percentage of people who didn't go to the election is 44.07%,
00:12:11how much is it a waste?
00:12:13In other words, it's a waste of 2.86 billion 8,957 million yen.
00:12:21Now, in this election, the budget for the presidential election is 8.15 billion yen.
00:12:25The total number of registered voters is 14.62 million.
00:12:30Divided by 1, it's about 779 yen per person.
00:12:36It costs 779 yen.
00:12:38It costs a lot of money.
00:12:41Everyone, please go to the election.
00:12:45The election is the right of the people, so I think many people think it's free.
00:12:50In fact, it's the same as buying it for 779 yen per person.
00:12:55It costs that much money.
00:12:57Why does it cost so much?
00:12:59For example, there are 14,000 places in Tokyo alone.
00:13:04It costs material costs and human rights costs.
00:13:08If it costs 10,000 yen per place, it costs 140 million yen.
00:13:12It's a big deal.
00:13:14We need to deploy it nationwide.
00:13:16We need to build a polling station and open it.
00:13:19It also costs human rights.
00:13:21It costs a lot of money to get people's votes.
00:13:25There are many people who say,
00:13:27I don't need a polling station. I can watch it on the Internet.
00:13:30But there are still people in their 80s.
00:13:33There are people who can't watch it on the Internet.
00:13:36To be honest, there's a problem with that.
00:13:39I think it's going to cost a lot of money.
00:13:42815 million yen.
00:13:44I was wondering why it would cost so much.
00:13:46I thought it would cost that much money to install it.
00:13:50But it's hard to get people's votes on the Internet at the same time.
00:13:55I think it's going to cost a little more.
00:13:57Is there a way to reduce the cost even by a little?
00:14:00Mr. Takahashi, can you think of a way?
00:14:03It's democratic.
00:14:05If we reduce the cost, it will cost 5 to 6 billion yen.
00:14:09I think 815 billion yen will cost a lot of money.
00:14:14But if you think about it from Hokkaido to Okinawa,
00:14:18where everyone in Japan votes,
00:14:21I think 815 billion yen is a reasonable number.
00:14:25Now, let's look at the voting rate.
00:14:28It's a young man's election.
00:14:31By the way, in 1990, the voting rate was 73.31%.
00:14:38That's amazing.
00:14:40That's amazing.
00:14:421990 was the election in 1955.
00:14:441993 was the election when Hosokawa was born.
00:14:48It was before that.
00:14:50It's currently down to 55.93%.
00:14:54This is the age-by-age voting rate.
00:14:56In 2021, the highest voting rate was 60-year-olds.
00:15:0350-year-olds, 70-year-olds, 40-year-olds, 30-year-olds,
00:15:0710-year-olds, 19-year-olds, and 18-year-olds.
00:15:11The 20-year-olds are the lowest.
00:15:13Ugorin is now in college,
00:15:15but when I ask my college friends,
00:15:17many of them don't go.
00:15:20Tomoko's friends and generation
00:15:24will talk about this during the election.
00:15:28That's right.
00:15:29I'm on this show,
00:15:31so everyone says,
00:15:32I'm going to go.
00:15:34I see.
00:15:35Tomoko will ask you questions.
00:15:36She's on this show,
00:15:38so she'll ask you questions.
00:15:40She'll ask me a lot.
00:15:41She'll ask you to teach her.
00:15:42Yes, I'll teach her a lot.
00:15:45I just asked the teachers.
00:15:47But this is...
00:15:49They say there are a lot of 60-year-olds in the election.
00:15:52Do you mean that people who have been in the election
00:15:54have been in the election for a long time?
00:15:57It used to be expensive.
00:15:59That's right.
00:16:00Those people have been in the election since they were young.
00:16:03I don't know if it's a little lower,
00:16:05but you have to go to the election every year.
00:16:09That's true.
00:16:10Some people say they have to go to the election when they are 20 years old,
00:16:14but 20-year-olds are doing their best.
00:16:17But when you're 30 years old,
00:16:19you have to go to the election.
00:16:21There are people who think like that.
00:16:24But even in school education,
00:16:26if you go to the election,
00:16:28your parents and your life won't change.
00:16:30If you teach them that,
00:16:32I think it will go up even more.
00:16:34In Japanese schools,
00:16:35when we were young,
00:16:36we didn't talk about the election at all.
00:16:38And on TV,
00:16:39there's no fairness at all.
00:16:42Like America,
00:16:43as I said last week,
00:16:45this show is from somewhere,
00:16:47and a different show is from somewhere.
00:16:49If you explain this properly,
00:16:52everyone will watch it,
00:16:53and the parents will tell their children.
00:16:56So you have to do that.
00:16:58You have to think about it and go to the election.
00:17:01Mr. Aoyama,
00:17:02for example,
00:17:03if you replace 1% of the voting rate with the number of people,
00:17:05how many people will it be?
00:17:06There are roughly 100 million eligible voters,
00:17:08so if it goes up by 1%,
00:17:09that means there will be 1 million more people in the country.
00:17:11For example,
00:17:12if it increases by 3%,
00:17:13there will be 3 million more people.
00:17:15There are 289 elections in the country,
00:17:18and if it goes up by 3%,
00:17:19there will be 10,000 more people in one election.
00:17:22And now,
00:17:23out of the 289 elections,
00:17:25there are 140 that are called close elections.
00:17:27There are a lot of close elections this time.
00:17:29Yes, close elections are rare in recent years.
00:17:31If that's the case,
00:17:32just by increasing the number of votes by 10,000,
00:17:34the result of the election will change drastically.
00:17:36It may even change 50 seats.
00:17:38Moreover,
00:17:39when the Hatoyama administration was formed,
00:17:40if it was 69%,
00:17:41or 13% higher than it is now,
00:17:43it would be a completely different election result
00:17:46than it is now.
00:17:48That's why we're doing a special edition,
00:17:50but it usually starts at 8 o'clock, right?
00:17:52That's right.
00:17:53It starts at 8 o'clock on a live broadcast,
00:17:55and it's like,
00:17:56this is the prediction.
00:17:57But this time,
00:17:58the prediction is quite difficult, isn't it?
00:18:00The prediction is really difficult.
00:18:01I'll let you do it later,
00:18:03but it's really hard to predict the number.
00:18:06There are a lot of factors.
00:18:08However,
00:18:09if it goes up by 2%,
00:18:10the result of the election will change,
00:18:12so I really want everyone to go.
00:18:14I think so.
00:18:15Here's Nakama-kun's question.
00:18:18In order to increase the voting rate,
00:18:20the world's largest voting agency,
00:18:22the world's largest voting agency,
00:18:24Italy, Australia, Greece, Brazil, Belgium,
00:18:27and more than 20 countries,
00:18:28this is an obligation.
00:18:30If you don't vote,
00:18:31you'll be fined,
00:18:32and you'll be banned from working,
00:18:33and you'll be punished.
00:18:35If you vote,
00:18:36special services will be implemented.
00:18:37What do you think of this idea?
00:18:39It's spreading.
00:18:40Election distribution.
00:18:41That's right.
00:18:42If you submit your signature,
00:18:43you can distribute restaurants.
00:18:45In this election,
00:18:46more than 2,000 restaurants
00:18:48will be distributed.
00:18:53I've heard of this,
00:18:55but I don't know where it's written.
00:18:57I don't know where it's written.
00:18:59You can distribute restaurants.
00:19:01I want you to make it a little easier to understand.
00:19:04Also,
00:19:05you can easily vote at your local business facility.
00:19:07You can also vote at supermarkets.
00:19:09You can also vote at a voting facility
00:19:11in front of the election.
00:19:13You can vote on the day of the election.
00:19:15Recently,
00:19:16voting in front of the election
00:19:18has become very rare.
00:19:20It's easy to vote,
00:19:21and the number of places has increased.
00:19:23That's why it's increasing.
00:19:25This time,
00:19:26voting in front of the election
00:19:27is not as expensive as the last time.
00:19:29Is that so?
00:19:30There was also a delay
00:19:31in the distribution of ballot papers.
00:19:34Mr. Ishiba did the election too early.
00:19:37Do you look at the voting in front of the election?
00:19:42Don't you look at it yet?
00:19:45I can't tell anyone,
00:19:46but I'm calculating in advance.
00:19:48I've thought about it.
00:19:50Don't you look at it?
00:19:51I look at it on the day of the election.
00:19:54However,
00:19:55I'm already doing the exit survey.
00:19:58The exit survey before the election.
00:20:00The number of exit surveys before the election
00:20:02is already helpful.
00:20:04No one is peeking from above.
00:20:08You said last week
00:20:09that the paper is a very good paper.
00:20:12It spreads out slowly below.
00:20:15Yes.
00:20:16Did you know that?
00:20:17I know that.
00:20:18That's amazing.
00:20:19That's right.
00:20:20I feel like I can see it
00:20:22if I peek at it like this.
00:20:26It's important to get more interested in politics.
00:20:29Some people are in trouble when the voting rate rises.
00:20:31That's why we're trying to raise the voting rate
00:20:33in this program.
00:20:34We're contributing.
00:20:35That's right.
00:20:36As you said earlier,
00:20:38I think it will change if there are classes.
00:20:40The number of people in their teens
00:20:42has probably dropped to 18.
00:20:44That's why I said I'd go once.
00:20:47I think young people will be interested
00:20:49if they get to know it.
00:20:50I hope there will be more opportunities like that.
00:20:52Mr. Takahashi,
00:20:53how do you raise the voting rate?
00:20:55What do you think?
00:20:56Do you think that it's okay
00:20:58to raise the voting rate this much?
00:21:01To be honest,
00:21:02it's easy to raise the voting rate.
00:21:04It's easy,
00:21:05but I don't do it
00:21:07because it's disadvantageous
00:21:09to the existing system.
00:21:10To be honest,
00:21:11it's easy to raise the voting rate.
00:21:13Giving a penalty is compulsory.
00:21:15Another way is to give an incentive.
00:21:17The easiest incentive is
00:21:19to give 1,000 yen if you have a voting right.
00:21:22Even if you give 1,000 yen,
00:21:24even if it's 100% voting,
00:21:26the cost of the election
00:21:28is almost the same.
00:21:30If it's like that,
00:21:31you can give 100,000 yen to 1 million people.
00:21:34You can give 100,000 yen to 1 million people.
00:21:37This is also 1,000 yen.
00:21:40If you do this,
00:21:41you will definitely win.
00:21:43It's like a real Banzai.
00:21:45Anyway,
00:21:46everyone distributes it before the election,
00:21:48so if you think about it,
00:21:50it's fair to distribute it in Tokyo.
00:21:531,000 yen or 500 yen.
00:21:55I don't know if there is a discount,
00:21:57but it's easier to get.
00:21:59It's easy.
00:22:00It's disadvantageous to the existing system,
00:22:03so the voting rate will increase.
00:22:05So I don't do it in any country.
00:22:07To be honest.
00:22:09That's why it's often said that
00:22:11it's a silver democracy.
00:22:13There are a lot of elderly people
00:22:15who vote,
00:22:16so the opinions of the elderly
00:22:18are reflected in the policy
00:22:20because they go to the election.
00:22:22If young people don't go to the election
00:22:24and don't raise their voices,
00:22:26they tend to prioritize the elderly.
00:22:28If the voting rate goes down,
00:22:30the parties and organizations
00:22:32will become stronger.
00:22:34Then they will start politics
00:22:36for the people who voted for them,
00:22:38so it will be a disadvantageous
00:22:40policy for ordinary people
00:22:42who have no support.
00:22:44One vote per person
00:22:46may seem small,
00:22:48but it's a pile-up.
00:22:50It's interesting.
00:22:52I'd like you to speak
00:22:54as a citizen.
00:22:56As a reference,
00:22:58the voting rate in Korea
00:23:00is higher than that in Japan.
00:23:02But it's not about politics.
00:23:04The decisive difference is
00:23:06that Korea votes on weekdays.
00:23:08Japan votes on Sundays.
00:23:10Korea votes on weekdays
00:23:12and on holidays.
00:23:14Today is a voting day.
00:23:16Do you vote on holidays?
00:23:18Yes.
00:23:20That's the case in Korea.
00:23:22That's one thing.
00:23:24Please take a look at this.
00:23:28The 2024 presidential election
00:23:30is expected to be held
00:23:32after this.
00:23:36The presidential election
00:23:38will be held tomorrow
00:23:40on behalf of justice,
00:23:42which is broadcast live.
00:23:44This is Mr. Aoyama's prediction.
00:23:46Yes.
00:23:48There will be 230 seats.
00:23:50How many seats will be in the lower half?
00:23:52There will be 233 seats,
00:23:54so the number will be
00:23:56in the lower half.
00:23:58If the number of people
00:24:00who are not recognized
00:24:02is added,
00:24:04the number will be
00:24:06in the lower half.
00:24:08It's a very small number.
00:24:10When the voting rate
00:24:12goes down,
00:24:14it will be difficult
00:24:16if the number of people
00:24:18who are not recognized
00:24:20does not go up.
00:24:22Will this 230 seats
00:24:24be a damage
00:24:26to the Ishiba administration?
00:24:28Of course,
00:24:30the winning line is 233,
00:24:32so it will be a damage.
00:24:34However,
00:24:36it is a very subtle number
00:24:38that the administration
00:24:40will be able to maintain
00:24:42if the number of people
00:24:44who are not recognized
00:24:46does not go up.
00:24:48I see.
00:24:50Mr. Takahashi,
00:24:52here is your prediction.
00:24:54The number of people
00:24:56who are not recognized
00:24:58will be in the lower half.
00:25:00I am calculating
00:25:02the number of people
00:25:04who are not recognized.
00:25:06On Monday,
00:25:08the number of people
00:25:10who are not recognized
00:25:12will be in the lower half.
00:25:14The effect of this
00:25:16will be 215 plus
00:25:18or minus 20.
00:25:28However,
00:25:30I don't think
00:25:32this 20 million yen
00:25:34will be sufficient
00:25:36to avoid a huge damage.
00:25:38What I'm saying is that the half of the population was about 60% in the past.
00:25:45Now, it's about 80% to 90%.
00:25:4880% to 90% of the population?
00:25:51Of course, I can't calculate the 20 million yen problem with a light weight model.
00:25:55That's why I'm doing it.
00:25:57I see.
00:25:57If I dare to say, it's like this.
00:25:59If it's 195, there is a possibility that the government will change.
00:26:02Yes.
00:26:02It will come out.
00:26:03I understand.
00:26:04Mr. Fujii, do you have any final comments?
00:26:06This is really...
00:26:08If it's the lowest half, it will go as it is now.
00:26:12If it's about 230, it will go over if you collect a little.
00:26:16If it's a little lower than that, I'll try to collect more.
00:26:19But I'm trying to build a series.
00:26:21When I try to build a series, I don't know if I can go with a small system or a medium-sized system.
00:26:27It's going to take a lot of series.
00:26:29If you break it down more, you'll be able to get a system with people who didn't get a lower half.
00:26:35It's completely different.
00:26:37That series...
00:26:39Mr. Nozawa and Mr. Ishiba are also in favor of increasing taxes, aren't they?
00:26:42There is no such series.
00:26:44I think it's possible enough.
00:26:45Isn't it bad?
00:26:46It's possible.
00:26:47If you think of it as a stable majority, that's all there is to it.
00:26:50If you break down this number, anything is possible in the world.
00:26:52That's right.
00:26:53But on the other hand, there are people in the Liberal Democratic Party who say that Mr. Ishiba is ridiculous.
00:27:00It's going to be messed up.
00:27:02But it's going to be a real mess in the world, so it's going to be really hard.
00:27:08I understand.
00:27:09I'd like you all to go to the election.
00:27:12Thank you very much.
00:27:13Thank you very much.
00:27:14Now, let's move on to Russia and North Korea.
00:27:18It is believed that North Korea has dispatched more than 3,000 soldiers so far to support Russia's progress in Ukraine.
00:27:26What are the intentions of Russia and North Korea?
00:27:33North Korea participates in the great progress.
00:27:40In June this year, President Putin of Russia visited North Korea for the first time in 24 years to hold a summit with Kim Jong-un.
00:27:52What they talked about in this meeting was the comprehensive strategic partnership agreement, which included mutual defense information.
00:28:02Is that promise going to be fulfilled?
00:28:10Last Friday, the information agency in Ukraine released a video of North Korea's soldiers.
00:28:18There was a video of a large number of soldiers wearing military uniforms at a training facility in Russia.
00:28:27According to the National Intelligence Agency of South Korea,
00:28:313,000 soldiers have been dispatched from North Korea to Russia, and 10,000 will be dispatched by the end of the year.
00:28:42In addition, there is a possibility that these soldiers will move to the western part of Russia after training and fight against the Ukrainian army.
00:28:52The North Korean soldiers, who arrived in North Korea, are clearly analyzing that they are undergoing basic combat training at multiple military facilities in the east.
00:29:03On the other hand, Russia said this week that it was a demonstration of terror in the UN.
00:29:09North Korea also points to baseless rumors and weapons.
00:29:16How will the military cooperation between Russia and North Korea affect Japan?
00:29:25Hong Kong asked this question about this news.
00:29:30Did Russia and North Korea have a complete trust relationship?
00:29:36And what is the return of the North Korean soldiers to the war in Ukraine?
00:29:42Please tell us.
00:29:45Mr. Hong Kong, do you think that North Korean soldiers will participate in the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
00:29:54Until now, it was about providing technology and weapons, but this time it's about people.
00:30:00Some reports say that some North Korean soldiers have fled.
00:30:07The UN is saying that this is a demonstration, but if there is a real problem, it will not be trusted again.
00:30:15I think that the world will be hit again and the division will spread again.
00:30:20What do you think of China when Russia and North Korea form a partnership?
00:30:29Please tell this news to these people.
00:30:32Mr. Kuroi Puntaro, a military journalist who has visited the Middle East and Russia many times as a former battlefield cameraman.
00:30:40And
00:30:42Mr. Pyong Jin-il, a journalist who is the editor-in-chief of Korea Report, a Korean peninsula issue expert.
00:30:48Mr. Kuroi, what do you think of North Korea and Russia?
00:30:53It's a fierce game, and it's a war of information.
00:31:00Mr. Pyong Jin-il, what do you think of North Korea?
00:31:03North Korean soldiers will make the war in Ukraine long-term.
00:31:09I see.
00:31:11Now, Mr. Pyong Jin-il and Mr. Pyong Jin-il, please give us your opinions.
00:31:14Mr. Pyong Jin-il and Mr. Pyong Jin-il, please give us your opinions.
00:31:17It is said that North Korea, an ally of justice, sent soldiers to Russia.
00:31:23Please look at this.
00:31:25North Korea sent soldiers to Russia.
00:31:28This Wednesday, the Korean National Intelligence Agency announced that
00:31:32a special unit of the North Korean military, with about 3,000 soldiers, was sent to Russia for enemy training.
00:31:38It is an analysis that there will be over 10,000 soldiers by the end of the year.
00:31:41This is a picture of the North Korean military.
00:31:43I think it was transported from Hamhung by ship.
00:31:47This is a picture of a place called Ulaziostok.
00:31:50After the US, Kirby, President of Osaka, the Russian government,
00:31:55the western side, Ukraine, probably along the border,
00:31:58it is possible to move and fight the Ukrainian army.
00:32:02This is a video of a North Korean soldier who is said to have been dispatched to receive equipment at a Russian training facility.
00:32:11This is a picture of a North Korean soldier who is said to have been dispatched to receive equipment at a Russian training facility.
00:32:17This is a picture of a North Korean soldier who is said to have been dispatched to receive equipment at a Russian training facility.
00:32:20Mr. Pyong Jin-il, did Russia want to secretly send troops from North Korea?
00:32:26Yes. In short, it is disguised.
00:32:29Because it was sent to the Russian military.
00:32:31A few days ago, the Korean Defense Minister said,
00:32:34this is not a soldier, but a mercenary.
00:32:38In short, it is a partnership agreement.
00:32:42We have signed a cooperation agreement.
00:32:45As North Korea, we want to go formally.
00:32:48I want to make it a military alliance.
00:32:50Putin didn't think that far.
00:32:52It's just that there aren't enough troops.
00:32:54It's about lending troops.
00:32:57People who go as soldiers in Russia
00:33:01It's a long line, and it's hard to get people together.
00:33:05That's what it is.
00:33:07Russia doesn't have enough people right now.
00:33:09There are about 500,000 to 600,000 people in Ukraine.
00:33:13In the last two months, the number has decreased.
00:33:16We are trying to get people together.
00:33:18Last month, President Putin issued an order to increase the number of troops to 180,000.
00:33:22But we can't send troops.
00:33:24We are hiring mercenaries with money.
00:33:26Until now, there were hundreds of thousands of mercenaries in Russia.
00:33:32But depending on the location, there are hundreds of thousands.
00:33:36Even so, there are not enough people.
00:33:38When I thought I couldn't get people together,
00:33:41I secretly pretended to be a Russian soldier from North Korea.
00:33:45I wanted to do a secret operation, but I was found out.
00:33:48That's the situation now.
00:33:50Please look at this special stage.
00:33:52Please look at this special stage of North Korea.
00:33:55It's called the Wind Defense Corps.
00:33:57Kim Jong-un went to inspect twice last month and this month.
00:34:01This is Kim Jong-un in the middle.
00:34:05He has a rifle in his right hand.
00:34:08This Wind Defense Corps can carry 30 kg of military equipment and march for more than 6 hours.
00:34:13You can walk 160 km without taking a break for two or three days.
00:34:16If you have an order from the Supreme Commander,
00:34:19you can carry a bomb and jump into the enemy's territory.
00:34:22It's a psychological warfare.
00:34:24Before sending troops to Russia,
00:34:26I think Kim Jong-un did a final check.
00:34:29Please tell me about the Wind Defense Corps.
00:34:32I can't say for sure yet,
00:34:35but if it's the Wind Defense Corps,
00:34:37it's a group that goes wild as the name suggests.
00:34:40So psychologically, physiologically, and physically,
00:34:43it's a strong force.
00:34:45And they're good at martial arts.
00:34:47The 11th Army was disbanded from 2016 to 2017,
00:34:54and it became a special operation army.
00:34:57About 40 to 50% of them are Wind Defense Corps,
00:35:01so there are about 40 to 50,000 people.
00:35:03In 2017, I saw a video of the training of this special operation army, the Wind Defense Corps.
00:35:11Kim Jong-un was inspecting it.
00:35:14Then, the Korean Peninsula's west coast,
00:35:17where it is said to be the military border of the sea,
00:35:20there are five islands in Korea.
00:35:24The special operation army of the Wind Defense Corps
00:35:27landed from the sea, from the land, from the sky,
00:35:32and then bombed this place and occupied it.
00:35:36That's the kind of training they did.
00:35:37Is it an island on the west coast of the border between Korea and North Korea?
00:35:42That's right. That's going to be a problem from now on.
00:35:45North Korea has set a border between Korea,
00:35:48so they're going to set a border on the sea.
00:35:50Then, if they draw a border to the south of the island where Korea is in control,
00:35:56it's going to be a military collision.
00:35:59They've been doing that kind of training since 2017.
00:36:03It's not yet known whether the Wind Defense Corps was hired by Russia.
00:36:09Please take a look at this.
00:36:11Is North Korea already participating?
00:36:15According to a report in Ukraine,
00:36:18more than 20 soldiers, including six North Korean officials,
00:36:21were killed in a missile attack near Donetsk.
00:36:26Also, according to a report in Ukraine,
00:36:2718 of the Buryat special forces formed by the Russian military
00:36:33were killed in the North Korean attack.
00:36:36Mr. Zapion, what do you think?
00:36:38Which country and which day should we pay attention to?
00:36:42That's impossible.
00:36:44It's impossible?
00:36:46This is different.
00:36:48It's the 18th.
00:36:50The first 1,500 North Korean soldiers
00:36:52were transferred from the 8th to the 13th.
00:36:59However, these six people died on the 3rd.
00:37:02In addition, they were evacuated on the 14th.
00:37:05That's too early.
00:37:07And on top of that,
00:37:09there was a report that North Korea's flag and Russia's flag were raised on the front line.
00:37:15I think it was on the 15th.
00:37:17I think it was Ukraine's intention to raise the flag
00:37:24to get weapons from NATO and the United States.
00:37:30I don't think it was a part of their strategy.
00:37:33Mr. Zapion and Mr. Kuroi are on the same side.
00:37:35Ukraine is making a big deal out of it,
00:37:37and they want support from NATO.
00:37:39There is no such thing as a big deal.
00:37:42But they are actually gathering information.
00:37:45They are making a big deal out of it,
00:37:47and they want support from NATO.
00:37:49I think that's what Mr. Kuroi said.
00:37:51However, this is not about this story.
00:37:55Before that, there were a lot of missiles from North Korea.
00:38:00That's for Russia to use.
00:38:02There were missiles and missiles to use,
00:38:04and they were taking data and instructing people.
00:38:07I'm saying that there were a few North Koreans in the previous stage.
00:38:12I see.
00:38:13There is information that North Korea might have died,
00:38:15but this is not confirmed.
00:38:17This is unconfirmed information.
00:38:19As you said,
00:38:21I don't think this kind of information can be used as information.
00:38:27Mr. Zapion, what kind of a unit is the Buryat Special Forces?
00:38:32That's a strange question.
00:38:34The Buryat people are Mongolians.
00:38:37They are people close to the Mongolian border.
00:38:40They are called Buryat people.
00:38:41If they are North Koreans,
00:38:43there are 150,000 North Korean people
00:38:46who immigrated from North Korea to Russia
00:38:49when they were 18 years old.
00:38:52They have the nationality of the current independent state,
00:38:55the CIS.
00:38:57There are 150,000 of them.
00:38:59I can understand that they are organized like this,
00:39:02but Mongolians, Koreans, and Japanese people all have similar faces.
00:39:06In that sense,
00:39:08I think it was misunderstood.
00:39:09Mr. Kuroi,
00:39:11do you think the information from Russia and Ukraine
00:39:15is a mixture of truth and lies?
00:39:19Russia is mostly a lie.
00:39:22Russia is mostly a lie?
00:39:24Yes, it is.
00:39:26But this time,
00:39:28Putin was at an international conference called BRICS.
00:39:31At the press conference,
00:39:33an American reporter asked him,
00:39:35what do you think about this story?
00:39:36He didn't lie.
00:39:38He said,
00:39:40if there is a picture, it is not true.
00:39:42He denied it as a country,
00:39:44but Putin didn't deny it,
00:39:46so I think it is true.
00:39:48Mr. Kuroi,
00:39:50are you a representative of North Korea?
00:39:52It is hard to believe that you are lying.
00:39:56North Korea has been saying that
00:39:59it is a military alliance with Russia.
00:40:03It is hard to believe,
00:40:05but I think it was Putin who said that.
00:40:07But just a moment ago,
00:40:09the director of the North Korean Foreign Ministry
00:40:12said,
00:40:14even if he had said that,
00:40:16he wouldn't have been embarrassed
00:40:18because it was in the international law.
00:40:20So, I think there is a difference
00:40:22between North Korea and Putin.
00:40:24So, North Korea wants to build an alliance
00:40:28with Russia,
00:40:30a solid alliance,
00:40:31with Russia.
00:40:33Yes, he wants to build an alliance with Russia.
00:40:35Then, he can support Russia.
00:40:38What about Russia?
00:40:40Russia wants to use North Korea.
00:40:43For example,
00:40:45when North Korea becomes a friend,
00:40:47when there is a war with the U.S.,
00:40:49Russia says,
00:40:51it is up to them to decide.
00:40:53So,
00:40:55I think Russia is using North Korea
00:40:57as a bait.
00:41:00Mr. Takahashi,
00:41:02what do you think of the difference
00:41:04between Russia and North Korea?
00:41:06I think it is completely different.
00:41:08North Korea has a military alliance with China.
00:41:10I think it is probably better
00:41:12to have a military alliance with Russia.
00:41:14Also, I think there is a possibility
00:41:16that North Korea has an advantage.
00:41:18So, I feel like
00:41:20North Korea is sending troops to North Korea.
00:41:22In that case,
00:41:24North Korea will send troops to South Korea.
00:41:26I think North Korea will send troops
00:41:27to South Korea.
00:41:29North Korea will send troops
00:41:31to South Korea.
00:41:33But South Korea will send troops
00:41:35to Ukraine.
00:41:37So, it is possible that Ukraine will send troops
00:41:39to Ukraine.
00:41:41It is not that serious.
00:41:43But, when it comes to weapons,
00:41:45North Korea will send troops
00:41:47to Ukraine.
00:41:49I think that is the situation.
00:41:51Mr. Fujisaki,
00:41:53if the North Korean government
00:41:54really sends troops to Ukraine,
00:41:56we will announce that
00:41:58we will send military weapons
00:42:00to Ukraine.
00:42:02We have already announced that.
00:42:04You have already announced
00:42:06that you will not send troops to Ukraine.
00:42:08In short,
00:42:10if North Korea and Ukraine
00:42:12have a military alliance,
00:42:14I think it will be scary.
00:42:16For example,
00:42:18they will send nuclear missiles
00:42:20to North Korea.
00:42:22I think it will be scary
00:42:24if North Korea and Ukraine
00:42:26have a military alliance.
00:42:28Mr. Fujisaki,
00:42:30you often say that
00:42:32the progress of Russia and Ukraine
00:42:34is not a matter of a far country.
00:42:36It is a matter of a neighboring country.
00:42:38But, I think it is a matter
00:42:40of a far country.
00:42:42When I hear this,
00:42:44I don't know how far
00:42:46North Korea will go to Russia
00:42:48and how far
00:42:50Ukraine and South Korea
00:42:52will go.
00:42:54I think
00:42:56it is a matter of a far country.
00:42:58Thank you very much.
00:43:00Let's take a look at
00:43:02what will happen to
00:43:04Russia and North Korea.
00:43:06After this,
00:43:08we will move on to
00:43:10the U.S. presidential election.
00:43:12The way of justice
00:43:14that is broadcast live
00:43:16will be decided
00:43:18by the U.S. presidential election
00:43:20of Russia and North Korea.
00:43:22Let's take a look.
00:43:24This is Mr. Harris,
00:43:26the Democratic Representative.
00:43:28If Mr. Trump becomes president,
00:43:30he will stop the war.
00:43:32This is said to be positive
00:43:34for Ukraine's support.
00:43:36Mr. Kuroi's view is
00:43:38that if Mr. Trump becomes president,
00:43:40Russia will have a huge advantage
00:43:42in terms of Ukraine's support.
00:43:44Russia will have an advantage.
00:43:46Mr. Pyon's view is
00:43:48that if Mr. Trump becomes president,
00:43:50North Korea will be able to
00:43:51recover from the economic crisis
00:43:53by resuming exports.
00:43:55This is why North Korea
00:43:57is supporting Mr. Trump.
00:43:59If Mr. Harris becomes president,
00:44:01Mr. Kuroi's view is
00:44:03that Mr. Harris will strongly support
00:44:05the allies of Ukraine and NATO
00:44:07and support President Biden's policy.
00:44:09Mr. Pyon's view is
00:44:11that he will try to make allies
00:44:13of China, Middle East, Arab, and BRICS.
00:44:15Mr. Pyon's view is
00:44:17that if North Korea becomes president,
00:44:18Russia will have a huge advantage
00:44:20and attack North Korea's nuclear test site
00:44:22which was expanded for the 7th time.
00:44:24Mr. Kuroi,
00:44:26if Mr. Harris becomes president,
00:44:28what do you think?
00:44:30As for Mr. Trump,
00:44:32he basically denies
00:44:34the Biden administration.
00:44:36He said this
00:44:38but at times,
00:44:40he said something strict
00:44:42with regard to Russia.
00:44:44It is hard to predict
00:44:46what he will do when he becomes president.
00:44:48The support from the Biden administration will decrease, and NATO and Ukraine are very concerned about this.
00:44:57So, what if it becomes a disaster?
00:44:59Well, basically, I think it will be the Biden administration's revenge.
00:45:03Then, as Russia, it can't be helped, NATO will support Ukraine, so on the contrary,
00:45:11China, the Middle East and Arab countries, Israel and Gaza are already involved in this,
00:45:18and they're saying, we're going to circumvent this.
00:45:23In other words, the United States is saying that it's a bad person, a murderer,
00:45:28and we're saying that it's more humanitarian.
00:45:31It's about what Putin is saying.
00:45:33And the BRICS is a new country, and we had a meeting the other day,
00:45:37and they're saying that they're going to get closer to people who aren't on the west side of NATO,
00:45:43and they're going to strengthen their allies in this direction.
00:45:46They're already doing it, but they're going to do it even more.
00:45:49Mr. Pyon, what do you think will happen if North Korea becomes President Trump?
00:45:54If it becomes President Trump, of course, there is a possibility that the war with Ukraine will end soon.
00:45:59And then they'll get weapons and get foreign currency.
00:46:04It's going to be a battle.
00:46:06But of course, President Trump will do better than the previous president,
00:46:10and that's why he's going to Singapore in 2018.
00:46:13In other words, he's going to the South-North relations.
00:46:15And then North Korea will get rid of the sanctions,
00:46:20and they're going to sell coal, iron ore, and other commodities.
00:46:25Of course, I think they have the idea that they can get as much foreign currency as they can get from Russia.
00:46:32What if Mr. Harris becomes president?
00:46:34This is a B plan for North Korea.
00:46:36If Mr. Harris is elected president,
00:46:40I think they'll probably cut off the nuclear tests they've been doing so far,
00:46:45or the launch of ICBMs for the Pacific.
00:46:51And by doing that, they're going to get rid of the U.S. interest in Ukraine,
00:46:57or rather, they're going to disperse it.
00:46:59In that sense, it's going to be a great support for Russia.
00:47:02The longer the war with Ukraine continues, the less North Korea will lose.
00:47:09I think they're playing a solo game like this.
00:47:11Now, Mr. Fujii.
00:47:12President Trump, 10 days later, next week.
00:47:15That's right.
00:47:17If Mr. Trump becomes president and Mr. Harris becomes president,
00:47:20there will be a big difference.
00:47:21Basically, this is what's going on.
00:47:23What's behind this is that Mr. Harris,
00:47:26or rather, Mr. Biden,
00:47:28as I mentioned before,
00:47:29is on the side of justice,
00:47:31and he's in politics because he thinks there's a bad guy.
00:47:35So Russia is a bad guy.
00:47:37North Korea is a bad guy.
00:47:39Ukraine is pitiful.
00:47:40The West thinks we're good guys.
00:47:43I'm not saying there's no such aspect,
00:47:45but in reality, there are Russians,
00:47:48there are North Koreans,
00:47:50there are Europeans, Americans, Japanese,
00:47:52everyone's here.
00:47:53So there's got to be a way of thinking
00:47:56to solve the problem in reality.
00:47:58This is called foreign policy.
00:48:00Foreign policy is called foreign policy,
00:48:02and idealism is called idealism.
00:48:04Mr. Harris is a typical idealist.
00:48:06In the end, the one who says idealism is peace
00:48:10is the origin of world wars.
00:48:13He's the origin of world wars.
00:48:15He's the one who's been saying this and that,
00:48:17and he's been saying,
00:48:18it's going to be tough to go to war,
00:48:20but he's been trying to solve the problem in reality.
00:48:22That's the kind of person Trump is.
00:48:24So in this prediction,
00:48:27if Trump wins,
00:48:29the war will stop.
00:48:31If Harris wins,
00:48:32the war will expand.
00:48:34If you ask me which one is better,
00:48:36Japan will lose.
00:48:37It's kind of like stopping,
00:48:39but the place where Russia has invaded
00:48:41will be taken over by Russia.
00:48:44If that happens,
00:48:45China will say,
00:48:46you can't go there.
00:48:47There's a chance that they'll invade Taiwan.
00:48:49There's a possibility.
00:48:50So the idealist
00:48:52chooses the direction
00:48:54where they can stop
00:48:56while taking advantage of that possibility.
00:48:58But the idealist
00:48:59will say all the bad things anyway,
00:49:01so on the contrary,
00:49:02the damage will expand.
00:49:03Mr. Takahashi,
00:49:05the U.S. presidential election is coming up,
00:49:08but will the result
00:49:10have a big impact on Russia?
00:49:12Will it have a big impact on North Korea?
00:49:14Well,
00:49:15at the moment,
00:49:16the governor doesn't do much,
00:49:17but Trump will probably win a lot.
00:49:19There's a 60% chance that Trump will win.
00:49:22The governor doesn't do much at all.
00:49:24Everyone says they're competing,
00:49:26but Trump will win most of the elections.
00:49:28If Trump wins,
00:49:29there will be a lot of peace.
00:49:31Mr. Nagamasa might be a little worried about Taiwan,
00:49:34but in reality,
00:49:35he can't do a three-way strategy.
00:49:37The U.S. can't do a three-way strategy?
00:49:39No, Ukraine, China, and Taiwan.
00:49:42They can't.
00:49:43So, if you want to solve Ukraine,
00:49:45there's a high probability that the world will be at peace.
00:49:48So,
00:49:49the results of the presidential election
00:49:51will have a big impact.
00:49:52Yes, I understand.
00:49:53Thank you very much, Mr. Ryo.
00:49:55Next,
00:49:56here it is.
00:49:57Yes,
00:49:58on ABC TV,
00:49:59this week,
00:50:00it's called Tomorrow Future Disaster Week,
00:50:02and it's about the disaster
00:50:04caused by earthquakes and climate change
00:50:06and how we can protect our lives
00:50:08and the lives of others.
00:50:11Let's take a look.
00:50:12Here are some ways to prevent earthquakes.
00:50:14The South China Sea earthquake,
00:50:16which is said to occur in the near future,
00:50:18is said to be the least damage.
00:50:20What kind of earthquake measures should
00:50:22countries and individuals take to prevent it?
00:50:31Are you all taking
00:50:33care of your health?
00:50:37Japan has been hit by
00:50:39many earthquakes in 2024.
00:50:41In particular,
00:50:42the Noto Peninsula earthquake,
00:50:44which occurred on the day of the earthquake,
00:50:46caused a lot of damage.
00:50:48Even now,
00:50:49ten months after the earthquake occurred,
00:50:51the situation is still in the middle of the road.
00:50:54What we should do to teach
00:50:56the lessons of the past earthquakes
00:50:58is to prepare ourselves
00:51:00for the so-called
00:51:02Nankai Trough Earthquake.
00:51:05In August of this year,
00:51:07the Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:51:09was first reported on the ground.
00:51:12There is also a public opinion survey
00:51:14that the awareness of disaster prevention
00:51:16has increased as a result of this.
00:51:19Which is more effective,
00:51:21the fire-fighting prevention measures
00:51:23of furniture,
00:51:27or the strong shaking in the room,
00:51:29and the correct action?
00:51:33Do you have the knowledge
00:51:35of correct disaster prevention?
00:51:40The experts of this program
00:51:42will ring the bell of honor.
00:51:44Disaster prevention is a dangerous field
00:51:46where incorrect knowledge
00:51:48is easy to spread.
00:51:50We should acquire the correct knowledge
00:51:52with scientific basis.
00:51:56Mr. Tomoko Unabara
00:51:58has a question about this news.
00:52:00This is the question.
00:52:03When I start to worry,
00:52:05I get anxious and anxious.
00:52:07How much should I be aware
00:52:09of the disaster prevention
00:52:11in my daily life?
00:52:13Please tell me.
00:52:16Well, Tomoko,
00:52:18Japan has a lot of earthquakes.
00:52:20Of course, we know that.
00:52:22We also know that there will be
00:52:24a big earthquake.
00:52:26If it happens somewhere,
00:52:28we will forget about it.
00:52:30We will think that it will be fine.
00:52:32It's hard to be nervous all the time.
00:52:34It's hard.
00:52:37I know that there will be an earthquake
00:52:39in 10 years.
00:52:41I know that it will happen
00:52:43tomorrow or 10 years later.
00:52:45But I have to think about
00:52:47whether I can be nervous
00:52:49after 10 years.
00:52:51But I have to do it properly.
00:52:53How much should you be prepared
00:52:55and how much should you be
00:52:57aware of the earthquake?
00:52:59How much should you share
00:53:01information with your family
00:53:03and friends?
00:53:05She is a pioneer of disaster prevention.
00:53:07She has served as a member
00:53:09of the Cabinet and the Ministry of Education
00:53:11for a long time.
00:53:13She has also supported
00:53:15various disaster areas,
00:53:17including the Noto Peninsula.
00:53:19She is Nobue Kunizaki,
00:53:21a crisis management advisor.
00:53:23Good afternoon, Ms. Kunizaki.
00:53:25Could you please tell us
00:53:27how you see the earthquake?
00:53:29Here it is.
00:53:31Japan's disaster prevention
00:53:33norms are full of mistakes.
00:53:35Please update
00:53:37the knowledge you are looking for.
00:53:39I will update
00:53:41the knowledge right now.
00:53:45Please take a look at
00:53:47the Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:53:49that is said to come
00:53:51for sure.
00:53:53Mr. Nakama,
00:53:55how many times do you think
00:53:57Japan should be prepared
00:53:59for the Nankai Trough Earthquake?
00:54:01The basics of disaster prevention
00:54:03are very simple.
00:54:05The most important thing
00:54:07is the thorough evacuation
00:54:09of buildings.
00:54:11The Noto Peninsula
00:54:13was hit by an earthquake
00:54:15in the New Year.
00:54:17The building was damaged.
00:54:19The building was built
00:54:21by the New Year's earthquake.
00:54:23The Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:54:25was about half the size.
00:54:27The New Earthquake Standard
00:54:29was built from 1981
00:54:31to 2000.
00:54:33The Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:54:35was about 30%.
00:54:37The Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:54:39was built after 2000.
00:54:41The Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:54:43was less than 10%.
00:54:45Ms. Kunizaki,
00:54:47if the Nankai Trough Earthquake
00:54:49can be prevented to some extent,
00:54:51is that possible?
00:54:53Yes, that's right.
00:54:55The Hanshin-Awaji Great Earthquake
00:54:57that will take place
00:54:59in the next 30 years,
00:55:01the Kumamoto Earthquake,
00:55:03and the Noto Peninsula Earthquake
00:55:05have taken many lives
00:55:07due to the fragility
00:55:09and weakness
00:55:11of the building.
00:55:13On the contrary,
00:55:15if the Great Earthquake can be prevented,
00:55:17the probability of survival
00:55:19will be very high.
00:55:21In addition,
00:55:23many of the disasters
00:55:25that have occurred
00:55:27in the Noto Peninsula
00:55:29and in the past
00:55:31can be solved
00:55:33by the fragility
00:55:35of the building.
00:55:37For example,
00:55:39it can reduce the number
00:55:41of people who are crushed
00:55:43by the building
00:55:45and reduce the burden
00:55:47of firefighters and police.
00:55:49Even if there is a fire,
00:55:51it is possible to stop the fire
00:55:53with a fire extinguisher.
00:55:55In addition,
00:55:57the debris of the building
00:55:59will not flow into the road
00:56:01and make the road a closed situation,
00:56:03so it will not be a hindrance
00:56:05to evacuation of people
00:56:07who want to escape quickly
00:56:09due to the tsunami,
00:56:11and it will not hinder
00:56:13the evacuation of people
00:56:15who want to escape quickly.
00:56:43In addition,
00:56:45there is a limit
00:56:47to the number of people
00:56:49who want to leave the building
00:56:51even if there is a fire.
00:56:53To be clear,
00:56:55the Great Earthquake
00:56:57is the most important
00:56:59disaster prevention measure
00:57:01in Japan.
00:57:03As Mr. Kunisaki explained,
00:57:05if the Great Earthquake
00:57:07can be prevented,
00:57:09the damage of the earthquake
00:57:11will be reduced.
00:57:13Japan is said to be
00:57:15an earthquake-resistant country.
00:57:17Do you have the knowledge
00:57:19of correct disaster prevention?
00:57:21Here is a quiz from Mr. Kunisaki.
00:57:23First, please look at this.
00:57:25Is the Japanese disaster prevention
00:57:27common sense full of mistakes?
00:57:29The first question.
00:57:31What is more effective
00:57:33as a disaster prevention measure
00:57:35for furniture?
00:57:37Which do you think is better,
00:57:39a fire extinguisher
00:57:41or a fire extinguisher?
00:57:43I'm using a fire extinguisher.
00:57:45I think it's better
00:57:47to put it in a cardboard box
00:57:49than a fire extinguisher.
00:57:51For example,
00:57:53when a fire extinguisher
00:57:55goes like this,
00:57:57it goes like this.
00:57:59I'm worried.
00:58:01But I'm using a fire extinguisher,
00:58:03so I'll use a fire extinguisher.
00:58:05Is this more effective?
00:58:07The answer is B.
00:58:09Really?
00:58:11I'd like you to look at this.
00:58:13Here it is.
00:58:15It's not a bad thing.
00:58:17It's not a bad thing.
00:58:19Look at this.
00:58:21Look at this.
00:58:23If you put it in front of you,
00:58:25it will collapse even if you install it.
00:58:27So it's important
00:58:29to install it on the wall side.
00:58:31This is installed
00:58:33on the wall side.
00:58:35I should install it on the back.
00:58:37If you install it on the wall side,
00:58:39it's a waste of cardboard.
00:58:41But that's a problem.
00:58:43If you put it in front of you,
00:58:45you can support it with a wall.
00:58:47So if you install it on the wall side,
00:58:49it will be effective
00:58:51in preventing
00:58:53furniture from collapsing.
00:58:55Teacher,
00:58:57should I put a fire extinguisher
00:58:59on the back
00:59:01or a cardboard box?
00:59:03In some cases,
00:59:05if the ceiling is weak,
00:59:07the cardboard box
00:59:09can break the ceiling.
00:59:11So a cardboard box
00:59:13that supports the ceiling
00:59:15is effective
00:59:17in preventing the ceiling from collapsing.
00:59:19A cardboard box
00:59:21that fits perfectly
00:59:23on the ceiling
00:59:25is good,
00:59:27but isn't it good
00:59:29if there is space?
00:59:31Can you put something
00:59:33on the cardboard box?
00:59:35Can I ask you a question?
00:59:37When there is a fire,
00:59:39the cardboard box will burn.
00:59:41If it's dangerous,
00:59:43you can buy a cardboard box
00:59:45that fits perfectly on the ceiling.
00:59:47But
00:59:49each house
00:59:51has its own situation.
00:59:53Should the cardboard box
00:59:55be empty or heavy?
00:59:57That's a good question.
00:59:59In some cases,
01:00:01it is better
01:00:03to put something
01:00:05in the cardboard box
01:00:07so that the cardboard box
01:00:09does not shake
01:00:11and is not crushed.
01:00:13However,
01:00:15if the cardboard box
01:00:17is too heavy,
01:00:19it is dangerous
01:00:21when it collapses,
01:00:23so it is better
01:00:25to put something light
01:00:27on the cardboard box
01:00:29so that the cardboard box
01:00:31does not shake
01:00:33and is not crushed.
01:00:35That's why
01:00:37it is better
01:00:39to put something
01:00:41in the cardboard box
01:00:43so that the cardboard box
01:00:45does not shake
01:00:47and is not crushed.
01:00:49Next question.
01:00:51When there is a strong
01:00:53shaking in the room,
01:00:55what should I do?
01:00:57A. Hide under the desk.
01:00:59B. Escape to the corridor.
01:01:01I think it depends
01:01:03on how old the house is.
01:01:05If the house is durable,
01:01:07I think A is a good choice.
01:01:09You are talking nonsense.
01:01:11I think everyone
01:01:13wants to be right.
01:01:15No, no.
01:01:17But
01:01:19I think B is a good choice.
01:01:21What about you, Nakama?
01:01:23I think it is dangerous
01:01:25to hide under the desk.
01:01:27I see.
01:01:29When there is a strong shaking
01:01:31in the room,
01:01:33what should I do?
01:01:35A. Hide under the desk.
01:01:37B. Escape to the corridor.
01:01:39I think A is a good choice.
01:01:41You are talking nonsense.
01:01:43I think A is a good choice.
01:01:45I think A is a good choice.
01:01:47I think A is a good choice.
01:01:49I think A is a good choice.
01:01:51The answer is B.
01:01:53The answer is B.
01:01:55The answer is B.
01:01:57If you look at the video,
01:01:59you will understand.
01:02:01Yuko-Rin's idea
01:02:03is correct.
01:02:05If the height of the building
01:02:07is low
01:02:09and the desk and table
01:02:11are not fixed,
01:02:13the building may collapse
01:02:15due to a strong shaking
01:02:17and the desk and table
01:02:19may collapse.
01:02:21It is safer
01:02:23to hide under the desk
01:02:25if there is a corridor
01:02:27or a door.
01:02:29I see.
01:02:31I see.
01:02:33I see.
01:02:35I see.
01:02:37I see.
01:02:39I see.
01:02:41I see.
01:02:43I see.
01:02:45I see.
01:02:47I think
01:02:49it is better to think
01:02:51rationally.
01:02:53Even if a desk topples or not,
01:02:55something will be выпuffn on the desk
01:02:57so the rod goes
01:02:59on the deeper side,
01:03:01which is why
01:03:03the moment decision
01:03:05does not depend on
01:03:07whether or not
01:03:09you fix the sedated board.
01:03:11I see.
01:03:13I see.
01:03:15I don't think that's a problem.
01:03:17That's why I don't like to hear a professor say,
01:03:19moment.
01:03:21But you remember that, don't you?
01:03:23Moment.
01:03:25I get asked that a lot.
01:03:27I say, moment.
01:03:29Here is a question for Yuko.
01:03:31Q.
01:03:33How much do you need for your own equipment?
01:03:35How much do you need for your own equipment?
01:03:37Kunisaki, the professor's friend,
01:03:39needs at least 10 items
01:03:41for food and materials.
01:03:43For water and food,
01:03:45he needs 3 liters of water per day,
01:03:473 items for food,
01:03:49and 10 items for his family.
01:03:51That's a lot.
01:03:53I can't carry it in my backpack.
01:03:55He used to say 3 items per day.
01:03:57He used to say 3 items per day,
01:03:59but now he says 10 items per day.
01:04:01What do you think?
01:04:03Well,
01:04:05in the Great East Japan Earthquake
01:04:07and in Kumamoto itself,
01:04:09the foundation of electricity, gas, and water
01:04:11lasted for a long time.
01:04:13It took about 10 to 2 weeks
01:04:15for the power to come back.
01:04:17It took about 10 to 2 weeks
01:04:19for the power to come back.
01:04:21The more,
01:04:23the better.
01:04:25But,
01:04:27each family has its own situation.
01:04:29For example,
01:04:31if the house is not that big,
01:04:33you may not be able to take up
01:04:35the space.
01:04:37That's right.
01:04:39In that case,
01:04:41for example,
01:04:43there are various bed spaces
01:04:45under the bed,
01:04:47or in the trunk of the car.
01:04:49There are some people
01:04:51who have come up with this idea.
01:04:53It's better to use it
01:04:55on the cardboard box on the shelf.
01:04:57It's better to use it on the cardboard box on the shelf.
01:04:59Yes,
01:05:01I think it would be better
01:05:03to prepare as much as possible.
01:05:05It's difficult to prepare this much
01:05:07but it's better to prepare
01:05:09as much as possible.
01:05:11That's right.
01:05:13Yes,
01:05:15for example,
01:05:17if you need 3 liters of water
01:05:19per day,
01:05:21you may buy
01:05:23a lot of water
01:05:25in a box.
01:05:27But,
01:05:29we don't drink water
01:05:31on a daily basis.
01:05:33We drink water from time to time.
01:05:35In that case,
01:05:37no one in the family
01:05:39will be happy.
01:05:41So,
01:05:43it's better to
01:05:45drink your favorite drink
01:05:47instead of drinking water
01:05:49on a daily basis.
01:05:51So,
01:05:53you can drink water
01:05:55on a daily basis
01:05:57and buy more water
01:05:59when you run out of water.
01:06:01Yes,
01:06:03that's right.
01:06:07Next,
01:06:09the most important thing is electricity.
01:06:11Do you have a portable power supply?
01:06:13Do you have a solar panel,
01:06:15a headlight,
01:06:17a mobile battery,
01:06:19and a lantern?
01:06:21I bought a portable power supply the other day.
01:06:23I don't know how to use it yet,
01:06:25but I put it in my storage.
01:06:27I tried it once
01:06:29and thought it was a small fan.
01:06:31It's important to have a portable power supply.
01:06:33So,
01:06:35it's better to have a mobile power supply.
01:06:37That's right.
01:06:39It's also a safety measure
01:06:41for evacuation.
01:06:43You can charge your smartphone
01:06:45and solve the problem
01:06:47of hot and cold weather.
01:06:49I think it's safe
01:06:51to buy a portable power supply
01:06:53with sufficient capacity.
01:06:55It's also important
01:06:57to have a mobile toilet for disasters.
01:06:59That's right.
01:07:01We live a long life,
01:07:03so I think it's better
01:07:05to have a lot of things
01:07:07you need for your life.
01:07:09Toilet, cassette stove, stove.
01:07:11We usually use this.
01:07:13We usually use this
01:07:15when we cook in the winter.
01:07:17It's important
01:07:19to think about happiness
01:07:21and store it.
01:07:23Here are the most important things
01:07:25you need for your life.
01:07:27Let's talk about money.
01:07:31The most important thing
01:07:33you need for your life
01:07:35is money.
01:07:37Look at this.
01:07:39It's important money.
01:07:41Even if there's an earthquake,
01:07:43the government won't help you.
01:07:45You need to pay for the insurance.
01:07:47It's important.
01:07:49You need to pay for the insurance
01:07:51for the earthquake
01:07:53and other disasters.
01:07:55By the way,
01:07:57Miyagi Prefecture has the highest
01:07:59rate of earthquake insurance.
01:08:01It's 69.4% in Japan.
01:08:03What does earthquake insurance
01:08:05mean?
01:08:07In the end,
01:08:09if you don't pay for
01:08:11earthquake insurance
01:08:13or disaster support
01:08:15for fire insurance,
01:08:17it won't be applicable
01:08:19to natural disasters.
01:08:21So it's important
01:08:23to pay for earthquake insurance.
01:08:25Miyagi Prefecture has the highest
01:08:27rate of earthquake insurance.
01:08:29Nagasaki Prefecture has
01:08:31the lowest rate of earthquake insurance.
01:08:33That's why you need
01:08:35earthquake insurance.
01:08:37Let's talk about the Great East Japan
01:08:39Earthquake.
01:08:41The cost of housing
01:08:43was 25 million yen.
01:08:45The cost of disaster support
01:08:47was 3 million yen.
01:08:49It's not enough.
01:08:51How much
01:08:53does earthquake insurance
01:08:55cost?
01:08:57It depends on
01:08:59the company.
01:09:01For example,
01:09:03in the case of
01:09:05the Ministry of Civil Society,
01:09:07it costs
01:09:094,000 to 5,000 yen
01:09:11for fire and earthquake insurance.
01:09:13The cost of earthquake insurance
01:09:15depends on the type of earthquake.
01:09:17Last time,
01:09:19it was 6,000 to 7,000 yen.
01:09:21It's 6,000 to 7,000 yen.
01:09:23I see.
01:09:25So you need to
01:09:27prepare for the cost.
01:09:29You should know
01:09:31how many times you will be affected.
01:09:33Yes.
01:09:35I have earthquake insurance.
01:09:37I think it's better
01:09:39to have it.
01:09:41I have another one.
01:09:43It's a new technology
01:09:45to protect yourself from earthquakes.
01:09:47It's SNS.
01:09:49It's COAID119
01:09:51and MySOS.
01:09:53Ms. Ryosei,
01:09:55is it easy to use
01:09:57these two SNS apps?
01:09:59Yes.
01:10:01If you use a smartphone,
01:10:03you can use these two apps
01:10:05as a disaster prevention app.
01:10:07COAID119 only works
01:10:09on iPhone.
01:10:11Until now,
01:10:13when you call for help,
01:10:15it's not always available.
01:10:17It's not always available.
01:10:19It's not always available.
01:10:21If you press the SOS button,
01:10:23you can call
01:10:25for help
01:10:27to people
01:10:29who are driving
01:10:31or in a building.
01:10:33Ms. Takahashi.
01:10:35As I said,
01:10:37most countries don't help
01:10:39when there is an earthquake.
01:10:41Most countries
01:10:43don't help
01:10:45when there is an earthquake.
01:10:47COAID119
01:10:49and MySOS
01:10:51are the latest
01:10:53disaster prevention apps.
01:10:55If you call 119,
01:10:57you can get information
01:10:59about the people
01:11:01who have life-threatening knowledge
01:11:03and where the AED is located.
01:11:05MySOS can be used
01:11:07only by touch.
01:11:09You can call
01:11:11and get information
01:11:13from ABC.