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00:00You heard Gerard Mayo there off the top, Keith.
00:02Four wins?
00:03Yeah, that was back...
00:04When was that?
00:05That was one of the first, uh, interviews he did with the Greg Hill Show.
00:08It was like January?
00:09It was a long time ago.
00:10Oh, it was that long ago?
00:11Oh, I think it was, yeah.
00:12Oh, I thought it was during the preseason.
00:13It was that long ago?
00:14No, it was...
00:15He had not had the job very long.
00:17I don't think.
00:18Um...
00:19But yeah, that was, I believe I have here, January 22nd.
00:22Oh, that's way longer.
00:23I thought that was in the preseason.
00:24Okay.
00:25So that's right when he got the job.
00:26Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:27Oh, okay.
00:28That was burn some cash!
00:30So you could make the case that maybe he's actually walked, or in his head, walked those
00:34comments back because they, in fact, did not burn cash, and maybe he had five wins in his
00:38mind considering that, like, hey, we'll be a player in free agency, right?
00:42Right.
00:43He's like the Anakin and Padme meme, where he's like, we're gonna burn some cash, right?
00:47Right?
00:48She's just like, no.
00:49No, we're not gonna burn any cash.
00:50We're not doing that.
00:51We're gonna race on all of our old players.
00:52Maybe in his mind, that's a good point, maybe in his mind he thinks he's distanced himself
00:55from that because, well, they didn't spend money like he thought they were going to,
00:59so what?
01:00Now we're gonna win more than four games?
01:01Well, you said it.
01:02You did.
01:03You said you're on the record, they're gonna win more than four games this year.
01:05But also it's the way he said it, where it was like, obviously we're gonna win more than
01:08four games.
01:09Yeah, four games?
01:10What are we, trash?
01:11Even at that time, I thought it was strange to have that kind of confidence in the team.
01:16Like they, you know, it turns out Keith, he doesn't really think through a lot of what
01:19he says.
01:20Oh, right.
01:21It turns out he just kind of says stuff, which is fine, I mean, that's useful in the radio
01:24industry.
01:25Yeah.
01:26I don't know how useful that is as a head coach.
01:27He might be a better host than coach.
01:28Yeah, he might.
01:29He might be a better host than coach before.
01:30That might be a good spot for him.
01:31But it turns out...
01:32Mayo Mondays could turn into like a regular thing where he's just straight up on the Greg
01:34show for four hours.
01:35Yeah.
01:36Yeah.
01:37Yeah.
01:38Yeah.
01:39Yeah.
01:40Yeah.
01:41Yeah.
01:42Yeah.
01:43Yeah.
01:44Yeah.
01:45Yeah.
01:46Yeah.
01:47Yeah.
01:48Yeah.
01:49Yeah.
01:50Yeah.
01:51Yeah.
01:52Yeah.
01:53Stay on our side of the street.
01:54But no, but I'm not sure he really thinks it through all that much as we've got to find
01:55out.
01:56Yeah.
01:57But okay, four wins.
01:59Four wins guaranteed by Gerard Mayo.
02:00Guaranteed.
02:01They're going to win more games than a year ago.
02:04So they've beaten Cincinnati and the Jets.
02:07They have Tennessee.
02:08No, I like to look at it as they beat Joe Burrow and Aaron Rodgers.
02:10Good way of putting it.
02:11That's how I look at it.
02:12I like to look at it as the Jets and Bengals beat themselves.
02:14But whatever, that's fine.
02:15They're horrible.
02:16Fine.
02:17I don't know if the Bengals are horrible, but they start horrible.
02:18They're not good.
02:19The Jets are horrible.
02:20The Bengals are way worse than we thought.
02:21So Jets are favored tomorrow now?
02:24Yeah.
02:25Against the Texans?
02:26I thought we talked about it earlier in the week they were favored.
02:27We did.
02:29Maybe before Diggs was officially out, Houston was a slight favorite.
02:33No, they were a slight favorite.
02:35Now the Jets are favored.
02:36They were like plus one and a half.
02:37Now they're minus one and a half.
02:39I feel like it's too good to be true.
02:41Nick emptied the account.
02:42Nick emptied the account.
02:43All $26.35.
02:44It turns out he's all in at the Hold'em table.
02:47He just loves to bet.
02:48He loves to empty the account on Houston as it turns out.
02:50And it worked once.
02:51Yeah, he did it against the Patriots.
02:53Foolproof then.
02:54Doing it again.
02:55How could that fail?
02:56I heard Courtney has her parlay set for tomorrow.
02:58I did not hear that.
02:59She's got a six-legger.
03:00Oh, good.
03:01She scaled back a little bit.
03:03She asked Chime if she could change the bet and Chime's like, what?
03:09She's like, can I add one to it?
03:10He's like, well, no.
03:12He's like, you could cancel it.
03:14Yeah.
03:15You're going to lose money.
03:16No, I think right now.
03:17She's going to get the full money back?
03:18You might because it's so far.
03:19The game's tomorrow.
03:20Maybe this tells you something about my bets, but like the second I lock in a bet, it's
03:23already like.
03:24We got it.
03:25Give me that.
03:26I've already lost like half of it.
03:27I've already lost like 50% every time I lock it in.
03:28It's like a new car off the lot.
03:30I can only get half a ham back.
03:31If I bet a ham, I'm only getting half a ham back like the second they lock it in.
03:34Give me that.
03:35What?
03:36Give me that.
03:37Those are all the apps on my phone.
03:38Every app.
03:39Yeah.
03:40But anyway, I'm just surprised that the Texans, even with their wide receiver issues, are
03:46expected to lose to that team.
03:48But anyway, yeah.
03:49So the Patriots, to your point, are two and six.
03:51Now last year at this time, two and six.
03:54They also started two and 10 and still won four games.
03:58So I guess you could look at it that way and be like, hey, they got time.
04:00They could continue to fall apart a little bit.
04:03We got all the time in the world.
04:04So Keith, here's what's remaining on the schedule.
04:06All right.
04:07Tennessee, one of the worst teams in football.
04:09Okay.
04:10At Chicago, the middle of the pack.
04:12Yeah, I don't feel as good about that game as I did at the beginning of the year.
04:15Good for the Patriots, you mean?
04:16Correct.
04:17Yeah, yeah.
04:18Caleb Williams is pretty good.
04:20Their defense is really good.
04:21I mean, you know, the final play of the game against Washington, notwithstanding, and Tyree
04:26Stevenson, notwithstanding, their defense is really good.
04:28He's very...
04:29Caleb Williams is very inconsistent.
04:30So he had the game against Jacksonville where he's insane, then he's had a bunch of other
04:33games where he didn't really do much, even with those receivers that he has.
04:36So Chicago, we feel is a loss.
04:38Are we giving them the Tennessee win?
04:40I'm not going to give them the win.
04:41I think it's very, very winnable.
04:44With Drake May, would you give them the win?
04:46Yes.
04:47I probably would too, but I don't think he's playing, so I can't give them Tennessee.
04:50Tennessee has, kind of like the Bears, I guess, they have a good defense, but they have a
04:56much worse offense.
04:57Yeah.
04:58They have a horrible offense.
04:59Yeah.
05:00They hung with Detroit for like a quarter last week.
05:02Yeah, they were there.
05:03That was 14-14.
05:0452-14 final.
05:05Yeah, then Detroit hit the accelerator.
05:06That's their final.
05:07I don't have them winning either of these games.
05:08If Drake May is starting, then come talk to me.
05:10Maybe we'll get an update today.
05:11Jarod Mayo is going to talk shortly after 11 o'clock.
05:13The Rams, they're home against the Rams on November 17th.
05:16So the Rams got their two stud receivers back last week.
05:19So they're a lot different team.
05:20If you played them without Kupp and Nakua, maybe.
05:22Now?
05:23I'll probably take the Rams.
05:24No longer a winnable game.
05:25I don't feel good about that game at all.
05:26Whereas a couple of weeks ago, I did.
05:27It's so much better.
05:28At Miami, November 24th, with Tua back.
05:30Tua has never lost to the Patriots.
05:33I heard that in the Keys once.
05:35So I feel like they're a much, much different team.
05:38As we've seen, there's been plenty of evidence with the other quarterbacks.
05:41So now there's three games there for Tua to also get hurt.
05:43I'm not even making a joke.
05:44It's just like there's three games that he has to survive.
05:46Well, that's a good point.
05:48I think that game might be dangerous.
05:49But right now he's starting.
05:50If you were playing them today, which you're not, you would be getting Tua.
05:52I wouldn't give him that game.
05:53No.
05:54And they lost already without Tua.
05:55That was the ugliest game ever.
05:56Could have gone either way.
05:57But they lost it.
05:58And now this one's going to be in Miami.
05:59So no, I don't like that one.
06:00Okay.
06:01How about the Colts?
06:02December 1st, at home.
06:03But now it's Joe Flacco.
06:04It's Flacco.
06:05Oh, if it was Anthony Richardson, I'd be like, yeah, they probably would.
06:07Maybe he gives them that game.
06:08All three of those games for me flipped in the last week.
06:11Kupp and Nakua came back.
06:12I can't give them the Rams game anymore.
06:14Nakua's back for Miami, which I think we always kind of assume, but we didn't know.
06:17Right.
06:18And now it's Flacco again for the Colts.
06:19I'm giving them none of those games.
06:20So out of those five, the most winnable is Sunday.
06:23This week.
06:24Yeah.
06:25And it's per set.
06:26And I'm not.
06:27Yeah.
06:28No, that's what I'm saying.
06:29I'm like, I'm not handing them that one either, but that's clearly the best chance.
06:30Even if you are handing them that game.
06:31We only have three.
06:32Yeah.
06:33Right.
06:34Bi-week.
06:35Win.
06:36Can't lose.
06:37Nope.
06:38Arizona.
06:39At Arizona, December 15th.
06:40Although with this team, the bi-week, what are these knuckleheads going to, what are they
06:41going to get into?
06:43Where are they going?
06:44What's going to happen?
06:45They have a game this week.
06:46And Devon Godchild's at the Yankee game last night.
06:47Big baseball fan.
06:48For God's sakes.
06:49Loves baseball.
06:50So he's in New York last night.
06:51Great.
06:52Well, hopefully we can talk to him on Friday about it.
06:53Only a four hour drive.
06:54No, we should.
06:55Actually, if we get him on Friday, we should.
06:56Yeah.
06:57So at Arizona, you feeling good about that one?
06:59No.
07:00I actually like Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison's had a nice season and that's at Arizona.
07:06Don't like it?
07:07No.
07:08At Buffalo.
07:09I don't like the Buffalo games.
07:10No chance.
07:12Yeah.
07:13The Chargers, I think are better than them and for sure are better than them.
07:16I mean, they're not like a dominant wagon of a team, but I would, I would take the Chargers.
07:20The only way you're beating Buffalo week 18 is if Buffalo's sitting everybody and they
07:23probably won't be because they won't have the one seat locked up.
07:26I don't think.
07:27Like there are two guys behind Kansas City right now.
07:29No, that's the thing.
07:30With only one bye, more and more teams are playing to the end.
07:32It changes week 18 a lot.
07:34So Keith, we're, we have Tennessee as kind of a toss up.
07:37We have them losing everything else.
07:38No.
07:39I mean, I, yeah.
07:40I loved the, the under four and a half.
07:41I loved it.
07:42The beginning of the season, as the season has played out, you're like, Hey, they get
07:45a little bit of spark with Drake may already.
07:47He's probably going to miss a game.
07:48We'll see.
07:49Uh, even once he took the job, what do you think there's, does anybody think there's
07:54three more wins on the table?
07:56No.
07:57Again, if, if two, it gets hurt.
07:58If Anthony Richardson's back in there, if Cooper cups are like, you can do that game
08:01all you want.
08:02There are just as it stands right now, there are three or four windable games, but am I
08:05picking them to win any of them?
08:06No.
08:07If the other team that is playing the Patriots looks at it, if they were doing this exercise
08:11in Chicago, Tennessee, LA, yeah.
08:13Oh, well, Pat's.
08:14Thank God.
08:15Thank God.
08:16Pat's win cover.
08:17Blow them out.
08:18Yep.
08:19Basically a week off.
08:20A hundred percent.
08:21That's how the opponents are looking at all these.
08:22Yeah.
08:23Maybe the pats cover a couple of these games.
08:24Maybe they don't.
08:25They've also gotten waxed a handful of times.
08:26So getting on this halfway point, them getting to over four wins, which is what Mayo was
08:32saying all those many months ago, it seems very unlikely.
08:35Not saying guaranteeing guaranteed, guaranteed.
08:36They're going to do it more wins next season than, than this past season.
08:42Like, is that, I do feel that way.
08:44Okay.
08:45So we got you on record.
08:46You got me on record.
08:47Yeah.
08:48We're going to win more than four games.
08:49Yeah.
08:50I'm on record.
08:51I'm on record.
08:52Good.
08:53All right.
08:54Good.
08:55All right.
08:56That's the sound of a not broken man.
08:57That's the sound of a man who still had that flicker in his eye.
08:58That hope.
08:59That's a non broken man.
09:00Less than one year ago.
09:01How quickly things can change.
09:02I'm assuming he's regretting that.
09:04I would assume he's regretting that now because we have them losing out.
09:07Even if you give them Tennessee, they're still not going to get to more than a four, nevermind
09:11even four.
09:13So how do you see this shaking out 617-779-7937.
09:18And what does it mean for Gerard Mayo if he can't pay off on that guarantee?
09:22How important is this week when you look at the schedule, Keith?
09:24I know nothing.
09:25I think it's huge.
09:26I think it's a must win for this team to get to that number for Gerard Mayo.
09:30In that sense, it is a must win.
09:32No, I think, I think it is huge.
09:33Now, I also thought the Miami game was huge, the Jacksonville game was huge, and they sort
09:36of lost those games.
09:38But I guess the reason why I would say that this game is huge is, as we just sort of outlined,
09:42it is the most winnable on paper.
09:44But also, is the game, so you call your team soft, you respond by beating a division opponent
09:50at home in a close game, you basically, basically a walk off win, and is that a one off?
09:56Is that it?
09:57Is that done?
09:58Is like the message gone?
09:59Feels like it.
10:00Could be.
10:01Oh, for sure.
10:02I mean, there's no money on the Patriots winning on Sunday, but if you win two in a row after
10:05that.
10:06Keith, they got called out, they won a game, Mayo gave them the Monday off, and now God
10:09shall stick it in Yankee games.
10:11So if they lose on Sunday, then yeah, it feels like it was a one off, yes.
10:13Well, yeah, and that's the thing is, so the nature of football, the one game a week, you
10:17get really high after the win, you get really low after the loss because you don't have
10:21the next night.
10:22You know, Tatum shoots poorly, you know, one night, well, guess what, he's back out there
10:26tomorrow and he can change it and like everything changes.
10:29And football, you're kind of living in this, but if they just lose, you're like, Hey, that
10:33was great.
10:34This, this, this awesome win, you know, they show the owner's box, the crafts are all fired
10:38up.
10:39They're excited for this game.
10:40Mayo's excited for this game.
10:41They storm the field.
10:42Then you lose the Tennessee.
10:44It was one win.
10:45Like where does that, that just sucks that joy.
10:47I mean, you lived it, you had it, but now it's gone.
10:49And then you look back on it and be like, well, how good was even that it a, it is a
10:53fair question.
10:54Here's a good question for you.
10:55Keith, three, seven, nine, three, seven.
10:56Does four wins in a tie count for the over?
10:58No, no, no.
10:59That's why it's four and a half.
11:00He says, we're going to win more than four.
11:02We're going to win more.
11:03The Vegas over under wouldn't pay.
11:05Nope.
11:06That's true.
11:07Four and a half is total.
11:08No ties.
11:09Text line.
11:10No, no.
11:11You can't.
11:12It's good as a loss.
11:13I can't wriggle out of that one.