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Population Activist, Florence Blondel, and a Senior Officer of Population Matters, Olivia Nater, discuss "Sustainable Development Goals" in regards to family size, and if these goals realistic.

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A series of key conversations examining the connection between our planet’s growing population & related issues. Expect to be educated on a range of topics including climate change, wildlife preservation, immigration policy & consumption patterns.

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Transcript
00:00In 2015, world leaders committed to achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development
00:06Goals.
00:07We resolve between now and 2030 to end poverty and hunger everywhere in the world, they stated,
00:14to combat inequalities within and among countries, to build peaceful, just, and inclusive societies,
00:20to protect human rights and promote gender equality and the empowerment of women and
00:25girls, and to ensure the lasting protection of the planet and its natural resources.
00:31Five years on, how are nations doing in their efforts to meet the Sustainable Development
00:35Goals?
00:36And how might their population policies be helping or hindering those efforts?
00:41To help answer these questions, I'm joined today by Florence Blondell and Olivia Nader.
00:47Florence is an environmental and health campaigner and digital marketer currently living in Charlotte,
00:52North Carolina.
00:54She's worked as a journalist in her native Uganda and managed campaigns and projects
00:58for Population Matters, the UK charity dedicated to population stabilization.
01:04Florence holds a master's degree in population and development from the London School of
01:08Economics.
01:11Olivia Nader is senior communications officer at Population Matters.
01:15Before joining PM, Olivia worked at Friends of the Earth Scotland and for the International
01:20Union for the Conservation of Nature in Switzerland.
01:24Passionate about wildlife, she holds a master's degree in zoology from my neighbor to the
01:29north, the University of Wyoming.
01:32Florence and Olivia, welcome to The Population Factor.
01:35Thanks for having us.
01:38Thank you so much for having us.
01:39It's so nice to be here.
01:41Well, let's start at the beginning.
01:44What exactly are the Sustainable Development Goals?
01:47Who came up with them?
01:49Well, you practically described what they are when you say what they aim to achieve.
01:56Because they are a follow up to the Global Millennium Development Goals, which were stopped
02:02in 2015.
02:04And as you've said, they aim to move towards equitable, peaceful and resilient as well
02:08as prosperous societies and within a sustainable planetary boundary.
02:14So these took over the Millennium Development Goals, which were about eight.
02:20And of course, some countries were on track, while others were off track, especially in
02:26sub-Saharan Africa, which is my region.
02:29But there was some bit of achievements, but they saw the need to push this further.
02:35That's why they came up with the SDGs, and they just expanded them to 17, because they
02:41realized there was a lot that needed really to be fitted in.
02:46So that's why now, here we are.
02:49And at the moment, I don't want to go into it, but I don't think we are on track for
02:55most countries.
02:57So Florence, as you say, there's a sort of an overall view of the kind of society that
03:05the Sustainability Development Goals are trying to achieve.
03:10It's a just society, a peaceful society, a healthy society.
03:16But as you also mentioned, there are 17 of these goals.
03:20And I think something like 170 targets within the different goals, very specific targets
03:27to meet them.
03:28So tell us what some of the most important Sustainable Development Goals are.
03:34Well, they're all important, you can't ignore them.
03:40But for me, what stands out, obviously, goal one on poverty really does stand out, hunger
03:48does stand out, education.
03:50The first actually five goals do really stand out so much for me, because there is gender
03:54equality, there's well-being and health, which is goal three, wherein they cover non-communicable
04:02and communicable diseases, and the postdoc, I won't say it's expansive, about sexual and
04:08reproductive rights, you know, bringing in family planning issues, reproductive rights
04:14for women and girls.
04:16So yes, those first five really touch my heart.
04:19And of course, even going forward, when you look at climate change, that is goal 13, consumption,
04:26which is goal 12, after living in a developed world, of course, I care now more about consumption,
04:32which is not an issue back home in low-income countries.
04:36So yes, those really stand out for me, as well as the dimension of sustainable cities.
04:44So especially for the benefit of the Americans listening in, in my experience, people in
04:50Europe, and I think even people in the developing world, know more about the Sustainable Development
04:58Goals.
04:59They know what they are, they know that governments are supposed to be pursuing them.
05:03So just to give the American viewers a sense of how these work.
05:07So goal number one is end poverty in all its forms, everywhere.
05:12Hugely ambitious goal.
05:15And goals, so the targets within that goal are things like, by 2030, no one in the world
05:24will be living below an extreme poverty line of less than $1.25 a day.
05:31Another goal is to, by 2030, have the number of people living under the national poverty
05:38lines, whatever nations have set as their poverty lines.
05:43And again, when you go to something like goal three, ensure healthy lives and promote well-being
05:47for all ages, there are specific targets within that.
05:51Because I think one of the things that governments found in the past with some of these UN goals,
05:58the Millennium Development Goals, for instance, was they were so general that people could
06:05make a general commitment to them.
06:08The goal here instead is for countries to work towards very specific ways of improving
06:17the lives of people within their countries.
06:21So I have a sense of how fully achieving the SDGs could improve life in developing nations,
06:28like the U.S.
06:29For instance, under goal number three, ensure healthy lives for all, it includes this target.
06:36Achieve universal health coverage, including financial risk protection for everyone.
06:40So in the context of the United States, that would improve a lot of people's lives that
06:46I know, to have that kind of a guarantee.
06:50But I'm wondering, I'll ask Florence this again, Florence, in the context of a developing
06:57nation like Uganda, what would it mean to actually achieve the Sustainable Development
07:03Goals?
07:04Well, it would be awesome, it would be great, it would be amazing, but like I've said, the
07:12countries which are off track, and most of those which are off track are sadly on my
07:17continent, especially in sub-Saharan Africa.
07:20So the continent as a whole is just only halfway to achieving the SDGs.
07:26There are so many issues, we have fragile states, we have levels of poverty and conflict,
07:32you mentioned universal health coverage, it's something we are all rooting for, it would
07:36significantly contribute towards a long and healthy life for most Ugandans, as well as
07:41all Africans in general.
07:42And in South Africa, I think they've been pursuing UHC vigorously, many have been calling
07:47for UHC in Nigeria, but we also don't have it there.
07:51So an SDG 3 is very important, because it affects all other goals, especially in our
08:00nations.
08:01And sadly, we have weak health systems, and then there are so many economic, cultural,
08:08social, geographic-related barriers.
08:11So even if you have a hospital somewhere, even here in the area, you'd find that for
08:17someone to even access it, they would have to travel miles and miles, you know, it wouldn't
08:22be possible to get there.
08:23So you could even have a service, but then accessibility could be a problem.
08:28And then maybe accessibility is possible within, you know, towns, but still there is no hospital.
08:34So we still have quite a journey to go, but it would be amazing if we could achieve most
08:39of these goals, especially SDG 3 and SDG 5, women's empowerment, gender equality.
08:48Let me bring Olivia into the discussion here.
08:54The UN regularly reports on how well countries are doing in achieving the SDGs.
09:01Could you tell me a little bit about the 2020 report that came out, I think, back in May
09:06or something like that?
09:09What does the UN say about how we're doing five years into the pursuit of the Sustainable
09:15Development Goals?
09:16Yeah.
09:17So, like you were saying, this 2020 progress report came out a few months ago, and it unfortunately
09:25painted a pretty bleak picture, progress-wise, because the fact is that we're just not on
09:32track to meeting almost all of the Sustainable Development Goals.
09:37And I think it's important to point out what you mentioned earlier, Phil, that these are
09:41indeed very ambitious goals.
09:43I mean, essentially, the aim of the Sustainable Development Goals is to kind of tackle all
09:48of humanity's biggest crises.
09:53And that's just something that takes a lot of time and effort to achieve.
09:59And there just hasn't been enough effort put into ending some of these injustices like
10:06hunger and poverty and gender inequality and things like that.
10:12So yeah, each goal contains a set of targets, like you were mentioning, and a few of those
10:18targets were actually already supposed to have been met by 2020, this year.
10:24And so there are 21 of those, and only three of those have been met.
10:30So this year's report really kind of emphasized the fact that world leaders must step up action
10:37to have a chance of meeting some of these Sustainable Development Goals.
10:41And of course, it also focused quite heavily on the global health crisis, because the COVID-19
10:47pandemic is pretty much setting us back in terms of all goals.
10:52It's hindering progress on all goals, some goals more than others.
10:57But that is definitely a hard blow, and it's going to be felt for many years to come.
11:05So a big part of the SDGs have to do with alleviating poverty.
11:09That's goal number one.
11:11And of course, a lot of the other goals depend on improving people's economic lives, increasing
11:18the resources available for governments so that they can provide better health care or
11:23improve educational opportunities for people.
11:26So the pandemic essentially stopping global economies for national economies for a while,
11:35and then making it very hard to ramp them up, I would think does have a lot of potential
11:41to set us back here.
11:44I would emphasize that a lot of people, development experts, are saying that's why we have to
11:49double down and focus even more on achieving the SDGs, because it's the poorest people
11:57of the world that stand to suffer the most if we lose sight of them.
12:05Now, another potential cause of insufficient progress towards the SDGs is rapid population
12:12growth in some of the world's poorest countries.
12:15It's a fact that some of the poorest countries in the world, countries that score lowest
12:21on development indices, also tend to have some of the highest population growth rates.
12:27So that's the case made in a report released this September by Population Matters entitled
12:33Hitting the Targets, the Case for Ethical and Empowering Population Policies to Accelerate
12:40Progress Toward the Sustainable Development Goals.
12:43Olivia, could you briefly explain the argument made in that report?
12:49Yeah, so our report shows how rapid population growth represents a major hindrance to achieving
12:58the sustainable development goals.
13:00So it calls on governments to invest more in the ethical empowering population solutions
13:09that are already embedded within the SDGs, and to recognize the fact that empowering
13:19people to choose small families everywhere will rapidly accelerate our progress towards
13:25the goals.
13:28So a few examples I can give you.
13:31So on some of the SDGs, we're actually going backwards, which is pretty depressing, but
13:37it's true.
13:37So hunger, for example, we were making decent progress in reducing the number of people
13:47suffering from hunger and malnutrition.
13:51But in the past five to six years, the total number of people suffering from hunger and
13:57malnutrition has actually been increasing again.
14:00And that's in part due to the fact that the regions worst affected by famine are also
14:08the regions with the most rapid population growth.
14:12So you have the situation where you have population growth outstripping the progress that is
14:19being made to end hunger.
14:21And the same is the case with access to reproductive health care, for example.
14:33So a lot of developing countries are trying to end the unmet need for contraception, which
14:40means the number of women who want to avoid pregnancy, but who are not using any
14:47contraception.
14:47So they have an unmet need for contraception.
14:51And that number is also still increasing, unfortunately, even though proportionally
14:58we've made some small progress in making contraception more available to more women.
15:06The total number of women who need contraception but don't have it is still increasing,
15:12again, because the regions with the fastest population growth are some of the worst hit.
15:19So and that's an important point that you make several times in this report.
15:25It's good to have only 20% of a population rather than 30% suffering from malnutrition,
15:32let's say.
15:33But if a population is growing fast enough, even though you reduce the proportion, you
15:37can still have a larger total number of people suffering.
15:41And the goal is to end that suffering, not just to decrease the overall proportion.
15:50Let's talk somewhat specifically about how this can work, how a rapidly growing population
15:57can undermine an attempt to achieve one of these goals.
16:00So goal number four is ensure inclusive and equitable quality education for everyone.
16:11So and again, for some of our listeners who are in wealthy developed countries,
16:18you might not be used to thinking about it in these terms.
16:20But if you have large numbers of kids that you're trying to educate and relatively poor governments,
16:31it could just be the case that there aren't enough resources to go around.
16:35You can say to those governments, well, provide more resources.
16:40But they're also trying to do a lot of other things besides educate children.
16:45I know in my travels in India, this is going back a dozen years or so, I met many families
16:52where they really had to choose, okay, what's the one child or maybe two children in my family
17:02who I can give a good education to?
17:05Because to do that, we have to send them to private school, the public schools are filled
17:10with lots of children. And so I also met families that were only having two children,
17:19because they were worried about being able to educate them.
17:27Let's take another example, something like healthcare, how might rising populations make
17:32it harder to provide healthcare to all of a population?
17:40Well, I mean, it's kind of the same running to standstill situation where you have to
17:47basically rapidly expand your services in order to keep pace with the growing population.
17:58Because you have to ensure that you have enough doctors per everyone in your population,
18:05enough hospital beds, things like that. And of course, the more people you have,
18:10the more of that you need. And all of that costs money. And especially in developing
18:18countries, governments are quite restricted in terms of how much they can spend on different
18:23things. So you have, in many situations, you have not enough basically healthcare facilities for
18:34the number of people. That's why even the issue of goal nine comes in of infrastructure. So you
18:41have many children, a big student population who need to go to school, you have a lot of people
18:47who need to access health services. So there's the need for goal nine now. So you see yourself,
18:54you're not achieving goal three, you're not achieving goal four. And of course, goal nine
19:00would help, but you can't achieve goal nine. And that's why we are so abstract. And that's one of
19:05the worst goals actually right now in Africa, goal nine, goal three. So goal nine is build resilient
19:14infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation. So you
19:20want that sustainable infrastructure, but there's a conflict between adding a lot more people quickly
19:27and having a genuinely sustainable infrastructure. Exactly, exactly. So what is that problem?
19:34So Florence, I want to read you a quote. This comes from a Population Matters report
19:41and get your reaction to this. The report quotes Goodall Gondwe, Malawi's Minister of Finance. He
19:48says, our high population is exerting a lot of pressure on our economy. As a country, we have
19:55made tremendous gains over the years, but the impact is not reflected on our economy because
20:01the gains have been dissipated by population growth. So how representative is that statement
20:07of views among Africa's leaders? Do most African leaders see rapid population growth as a problem,
20:14or do some perhaps see it as a sign of strength of their societies?
20:19Oh, well, it's a yes and no, but I'll lean mostly on yes. Most governments really consider fertility
20:26to be too high and they consider most of their countries to have a high population growth rate.
20:32I mean, look at my country, Uganda. We are always in between 3, 3.2%, 3.5% per annum.
20:39And if you know about population studies, you know that if you're at above 3%, you're going to
20:46double your population after every 20 to 25 years. That's right. Compared to countries
20:52now like the UK, which will double its population like in over 100 years.
20:59So yes, they're not blinded by the fact that the population is growing and it's hindering
21:05development on all fronts, socially, economically. So almost all of the governments want to lower
21:12population growth as well as the fertility. And if you look at the policies, I looked at the policies,
21:17you know, for the countries, for the UN, UNDESA, and this is where we are. Only actually one African
21:24country, I believe, wants to raise its population and that's Gabon, which is at around 2 million
21:30people. But for most, they have policies, good family planning programs. The only problem is,
21:42of course, now, of course, implementation. But some countries are really, they need this. Only
21:50a few like Botswana, like, oh, let's maintain our policies as they are. Botswana has 2 million people,
21:54which is understandable. But you see, they are maintaining, they're not saying, oh, let's increase.
21:58They know, they know really that this is a problem. And when I went to Nigeria one time last
22:04year, when I was working with population matters, I met the peers for the environment in Lagos,
22:09which has a huge population for a city. And the minister was like, population growth is a huge
22:17problem. It's one of the things setting everything back. So, when you see an environmental minister
22:24admitting that this is an issue, yeah, it's true. There is a problem. Yeah. And again, for those
22:32living in the developed world, they might not realize how rapidly some of these countries are
22:39growing. I was looking at some figures yesterday getting ready for this program
22:45under the medium, most likely variant of population projection. Nigeria's projected to
22:52increase from, I think, a little over 200 million today to something like 700 million by 2100.
23:01That is just staggering growth. And there's good evidence that even currently larger families
23:10in Nigeria find it harder to feed all their children than smaller families. I saw a study
23:15saying that recently. So, it's good to hear that governments see this as an issue.
23:24So, let me ask then, if governments see it as an issue for the most part,
23:30and if people in Africa see it as an issue, why has Africa lagged?
23:38Generalizing here, why is Africa lagged in terms of reducing fertility levels?
23:46Yeah, well, we are lagging. Of course, some countries are making progress, especially in
23:51North Africa, countries like Egypt, even if the population is expanding and they're worried,
23:57they're upping their game on family planning, but at least they are below, you know,
24:02intermediary fertility. They're now approaching the lower fertility. We are lagging because, well,
24:09in North America, in Europe, as well as, well, now Asia, you guys had the experience of the
24:17industrial revolution. Like, you went through that process, of course, years and years back.
24:22And by like the 70s, most of, you know, the developed world, the high-income countries
24:27had reduced their fertility to, you know, replacement level 2.1, you know, the point
24:35at which someone can replace themselves, you know, give birth and stuff like that.
24:39For us, our transition started a bit too late, by the way, like almost in the 80s,
24:46most African countries, especially sub-Saharan Africa, in the late 80s, and it just stalled
24:53thereafter. And of course, there are so many reasons why this is. Most countries, actually,
24:59their contraceptive prevalence rate is below 40%. I think that the highest could be in Morocco,
25:08which is about, you know, South Africa, which is about 70%, which is like on course with other
25:14developed nations. But for most countries, it's really so low. And then, of course, we have social
25:22issues, like culture. People believe that it's their right to have children, you know,
25:29like they were brought on earth to be child bearers and child-rearers. It is something
25:36we grow up with. It is impounded into our minds. It's ingrained. So even women, like you'd be
25:42surprised, women defend this, you know, because it's our culture. And if you don't want to do
25:47this, you're an African, you're not African, you know. And of course, we marry early, you know,
25:54as early as 13, 14. Children are sent into marriages and there's no delay. People do not
26:02postpone childbearing, you know. So even childbearing starts much earlier. So this is
26:08why we are not really fighting this, because if a child starts childbearing at 12, 13, as is the
26:13case now, some at 10. I don't know, recently someone just told me that there's a child who
26:17gave birth at 10. So we are starting early, early childbirth, early marriages. We have cultures,
26:24we have male dominance, like hello, we are in patriarchal societies, and men who want to have
26:31children to prove that they can. And then we have polygamy. So you find a man having four, five,
26:37six, I don't know how many wives, and they're all competing to give him children. And of course,
26:42there's this silly notion of having the male child. That is crazy, because you find a woman has
26:51one girl, two girls, three girls, and they're looking for a boy, trust me, because if they
26:55don't find a boy, a man is going to, you know, go out and get another woman, because hello,
27:00polygamy, and of course, it favors the men, you know. Once a woman came out in Kenya, who was
27:05marrying two men, and everyone was like, oh, how is this even possible? So you see that gender
27:11inequality also plays a big, big role in this. So yes, we are still stuck there. Of course,
27:18I don't know if I should go into religion, because that's also kind of a thorn.
27:23Well, I think religion is an important factor in these things. How does religion
27:30impact population policies? Oh, my God, it's pretentious. Trust me. First of all, in Uganda,
27:37we have a first lady who thinks she's closer to God than the rest of humanity and the rest of us.
27:46We have some such leaders. No, honestly, we've been making progress. But you find that sometimes
27:52religion just comes out, and people are like, okay. We had a good policy, like people came out,
28:00even the Minister of Health launched sexuality education to be in school, include this and this.
28:05And then I think she got a vision from God telling her, no, no, no, tell them, even after the
28:11launching, like, no, we're not turning this into, you know, policy. We are not doing this. Let our
28:15children abstain. Like, she's detaching herself from the reality in the country whereby
28:22it's a country which is below, you know, about almost 60% are below 17 years of age in my own
28:28district, actually, 60% and other districts. Most of our people are below 17 years of age,
28:35and they start childbearing much earlier. There is early marriage, like Uganda is one of the high,
28:42you know, high burden countries when it comes to child marriages, number 16. So we are up there.
28:47So someone detaching themselves from this reality of what's happening and saying, oh,
28:52you know, we have to be godly. We have to abstain until marriage.
28:57So is this First Lady Christian or a Muslim? She's Christian.
29:02She's a Christian. She's a Christian.
29:05If she could make most Ugandans Christians, trust me, she would. But of course, we have been
29:09Muslims and other religions, but of course, Christianity. Yeah. So yes, we're in a problem.
29:18I wonder if there are, are there religious leaders on the continent, though, who are helpful on this
29:25issue? Because I know, around the world, it's been something of a mixed bag. I know the Catholic
29:30Church has often, especially the hierarchy has stood in the way of contraception availability.
29:38But there have been individual leaders, and especially parish priests, who have said, no,
29:45this, this is important to improving people's lives. We, we want them to have contraception.
29:51Is it similar in Africa? Do you have a mix of religious leaders?
29:55Actually, we do have a mix, and it's growing, except that now those ones, they are shut down.
29:59And even you can see, like, I know there was a time when religious leaders just came out
30:05and said that population is a problem, women should use this. And you can see people just
30:10even attacking the guy, you see. So, like, I've told you, we are restricted by our cultures,
30:16by our strong beliefs, like, no, no, this is how it's supposed to be. And like, I've told you,
30:19I've been married for what, now going to five years, and people want me to have a baby. They're
30:24like, are you African? Are you sure you're fertile? Like, for Ugandans, like, you get into marriage
30:31the first year, like, show us the evidence. Where is the child? You know, where is the baby? You are
30:37not an African woman. Like, they'll accuse you, they'll tell you that. Strangers, actually,
30:43on Facebook, because my Facebook is open, but everyone is just concerned about your life. And,
30:46you know, of course, the achievement is what? A baby, child. And then someone, even a journalist
30:53one time, even a woman, was writing in a national paper, a national daily, asking for, oh, what
30:59would your plan be if nobody marries you? Like, marriage is the end of it all, you know? So, yes,
31:05we have early marriages, early childbearing, early that, and all that. So, I hope the voices,
31:11yeah, the loud voices come out much louder, the good voices.
31:15And, but it sounds like in many places, some of these ideas are changing. And I know, for instance,
31:23to take one of the issues you raised, child marriage, I mean, the UN has stated very
31:27forcefully that child marriage is a human rights violation, that people, women, it's mostly women
31:36who get married younger than 18, that that really undermines women's opportunity to live their own
31:47women's opportunity to live their own lives and to live a good life. And at least formally,
31:55the nations of the world have signed on to that. So, and I've heard that there's been some progress
32:03in reducing that. Yeah, there has been some progress, but it's still high. Because if you
32:09find a country like Niger, which has a high fertility by about seven children per woman,
32:15like child marriage is about what, 70%? That is really high. Uganda, about 40%. Most countries,
32:24they are like 50%, 60% child marriages, they're still high. And this COVID era, you've talked
32:30of COVID, it is increasing it. Trust me, many districts in Uganda, they're sending in reports,
32:37young girls married off, young girls, there's a lot of teenage pregnancy, by the way, they think,
32:42oh my God, there's many girls, about 4,000 are pregnant, about this many. So I'm not seeing
32:49girls going back to school after COVID, you know, they want to open schools. That's worrisome. It's
32:56not going to happen, you know. And there was a time actually, even the president recently, the
33:00president really has tried like most of any in Uganda to say, okay, family planning, supporting
33:05and everything. But then sometimes he said contradicting statements, like recently during
33:09COVID, he was like, okay, well, they were telling him that girls are getting pregnant, stuck home,
33:14you know, being raped by their parents, by their friends, by relatives and everything,
33:19because it's really a huge issue, defilement, which I call rape. The president just said, well,
33:25COVID is killing them, but at least pregnancy won't kill them. He forgot that we have a high
33:31maternal mortality rate in that country. And it's mostly the young girls who are dying, you know,
33:37between 15 and 19. Let's bring the focus back a little bit onto the SDGs.
33:45The SDGs take a sort of an indirect approach to population growth. Sustainable Development
33:51Goal 3, ensuring healthy lives, and Goal 5, achieve gender equality, both set specific
33:58goals around greater contraceptive ability. One of the goals under SDG 3 is ensure universal access
34:08to sexual and reproductive health care services, including for family planning. And one of the
34:14targets under Goal 5, gender equality, is ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive health
34:22and reproductive rights. So let me bring Olivia back into the discussion here. Olivia,
34:29is the problem that these targets have not been diligently enough pursued, or do they need to be
34:36supplemented in some way? Do we need further targets or just more resources to meet the
34:42targets that have been set? The targets that have been set are good. They're already really
34:47ambitious. And if we were to meet them, that would be amazing. The real issue is much too
34:57slow progress. And that's because, mainly because of lack of investment. So another UN report came
35:05out this year, showing how much money is needed, basically, to end the worst gender inequalities.
35:15And particularly, they state the three overarching aims, which they call the three zeros. So they
35:23want to achieve zero preventable maternal mortality, zero unmet need for contraception,
35:30and zero gender-based violence, including harmful practices like female genital mutilation.
35:37And they've shown that all that together would cost around 264 billion US dollars, which sounds
35:45like a lot of money. But if you think about how much everyone invests in the military,
35:53for example, every year, it's really only a fraction of that. And currently, the funding
36:02gap between what has already been pledged by world leaders to help achieve these goals,
36:08and what is still needed, is 222 billion. So you can see that that's really where the problem lies.
36:18These issues have not been taken seriously enough, and there's just not enough investment.
36:23So let me press a little on that particular issue. Because again, for a lot of these goals,
36:31we're talking about helping relatively poor countries that lack the resources to achieve
36:37them. And so part of the issue here is increased better funding from the developed world to help
36:45the developing nations achieve these goals. But part of the issue, too, seems to be
36:52sometimes a lack of commitment within developing nations themselves toward the goals.
36:58It could be the case, for instance, that something like ending early child marriage
37:05is more, not so much a function of proper funding, but the willingness, the desire of people in the
37:13society to end that. So what's your sense of the overall balance of responsibility here in terms of
37:23developed nations and developing nations to really achieve these goals?
37:29Well, I think everyone needs to be involved. And as you were saying, a lot of the change that
37:39is needed can only be brought about through massive cultural change and a shift in traditional
37:47norms and things like that. And yes, there are, of course, a lot of governments that are
37:53resistant to that kind of thing. But as Florence was saying, so many governments
38:00in developing countries now recognize rapid population growth as a major
38:05threat to their nation's stability and to their economic prospects. The World Bank this year said
38:13that global poverty is not going to decrease in 2021. They already know this. They've already
38:22forecast this because there are so many countries where population growth is outstripping economic
38:29growth. And this worries governments. Of course, they want a prosperous, healthy nation. So
38:38a lot of it really is just insufficient funding. And of course, in some countries, you have quite
38:47a lot of corruption as well, where money goes into the wrong pockets. But the fact that there's
38:54such a massive funding gap, for example, just for ending the worst gender inequalities shows that
39:01governments in the Global North really need to do more to help lower-income countries make some
39:08more progress. So let me ask a somewhat different question. Do we need a new and 18th sustainable
39:18development goal, something along the lines of stabilize the global human population,
39:25or maybe even reduce national populations to sustainable levels? In other words, a goal that
39:32makes ending or reversing population growth an explicit goal. Again, the current sustainable
39:40development goals talk indirectly about this because they talk about providing the contraception
39:47and the improved status for women and improved education for women, all of which are essential
39:54to lowering fertility rates. But nowhere do they say we need to stabilize the global population.
40:02Do we need an explicit commitment to that to actually achieve these goals?
40:09Yeah, I mean, so I would argue that it might have been helpful to have that 18th
40:13sustainable development goal that specifically states we need a sustainable global population.
40:20But at this stage, I mean, there's no way we can make that happen. The SDGs are already,
40:27you know, set in stone, and there's only two years, there's only 10 years left to meet them.
40:32So at this stage, adding that goal would not be particularly helpful. And as you were saying,
40:37the key recipe for ending population growth is already embedded in the SDGs.
40:43And what would be helpful would be for world leaders to recognize all of these in the context
40:51of the global population and how further kind of concerted efforts to make progress on on
41:01these key goals, especially ending poverty, achieving gender equality, improving access
41:10to health care, things like that. And education, of course, education is really important,
41:15because so many girls are out of school. And there are so many studies that show that
41:21basically the number of years a woman spends in education is inversely correlated with how
41:27many children she ends up having over the course of her life. So the more educational woman gets,
41:32the more opportunities she has, and the less she will be kind of bound to the home,
41:37looking after lots of kids. So I think that might be what's what's missing from the goals is that
41:46the recognition that all of these things are connected to the overarching population picture,
41:55and that recognizing that these ethical, empowering population solutions
42:01basically benefit everyone everywhere and also help fix our biggest environmental issues.
42:10I think there needs to be greater global recognition of that, especially among governments.
42:15So something like increasing education for girls is really a win across the board.
42:22I mean, you know, more education in itself is a good thing. It empowers girls as they grow up to
42:30take a stronger role within society, have more economic opportunities. So even before you get
42:38to the fertility lowering aspect of it, there's a great argument for increasing resources,
42:45and simply an equality argument. I mean, girls deserve the same opportunities as boys
42:50to become educated. But it's also true, there's good evidence, that by improving education,
42:58as you say, fertility rates can come down. That's why we call them win-win solutions.
43:07Yeah, it's a win-win solution. And you know, with education, you know, like the woman has the agency,
43:12really, but she has always been denied. She has the autonomy. She has the ability to take care of
43:17her child. Now, she's going to ensure that even if she has a child, the child is well cared for.
43:22They have nutrition, good nutrition, and they are likely to send their children to school,
43:27if they're educated, they see that importance. So if we could provide all of these simultaneously,
43:33you know, I feel like we could really hit the goals. Like at the same time, give them education,
43:39at the same time, give them contraceptives, like let everything be there. And you know,
43:45the policy that we've come up with right now, like increasing, you know, school education years,
43:49for example, like in Africa, most countries you find like school school years is just what,
43:55four years for some, it's that little, some is three point something, five. I think the highest
43:59one is in Morocco, which has 10 years. So yeah, education is very, very important for me. It
44:06really stands out. Let me make a little bit of a switch here. The sustainable development goals
44:15are not just development goals, they're supposed to be sustainable development goals. So SDG 11,
44:22for example, is focused on making cities environmentally sustainable. SDG 12 is ensure
44:30sustainable consumption and production patterns. And SDG 13 commits nations to urgent action to
44:38combat climate change. And then finally, the 14th and 15th sustainable development goals
44:44commit the nations of the world to halting global biodiversity loss on land and in the ocean.
44:51Yet, according to the most recent UN progress report, we're actually moving further away from
44:57these environmental sustainable development goals. So while the sort of human-centered poverty
45:04education, those kinds of goals, the progress is mixed and too slow. With the environmental goals,
45:10it's very clear. It's not that we're not making progress, we're moving backwards.
45:16Um, why is that? And what role do increasing populations around the world play in this
45:23particular failure? You rightly pointed out that we're doing abysmally on the environmental goals.
45:31And the UN body in charge of biodiversity, the Convention on Biological Diversity,
45:39um, set targets to basically end the loss of biodiversity by 2020. Um, so this year, they,
45:51they, um, came out with the report basically to kind of show how we've done. And predictably,
45:57not a single one of the targets was met. And that's essentially because conservation efforts
46:06fail to tackle the two fundamental root drivers of biodiversity loss. And those are, um,
46:16habitat destruction, basically, and over-exploitation. And those in turn are
46:21fueled by our growing numbers and by our consumption patterns. So the only way we
46:30can put an end to, um, the loss of nature is by, both by, um, ending population growth,
46:39stabilizing our population, and, um, by achieving sustainable consumption patterns worldwide. And
46:47that means, unfortunately for us in the global north, that we need to tighten our belts quite
46:52considerably. Um, because consumption is only forecast to continue increasing, again, in part
47:01because of population growth, but also because hundreds of millions of people, um, in low-income
47:07countries are escaping poverty, which is a really good thing. Um, and in order to, um, facilitate
47:16their, uh, increase in consumption, we really need to cut back on over-consumption in wealthy
47:22countries like Western Europe and North America. Now, I hear that a lot from environmentalists,
47:30um, and I'm an environmentalist myself. Uh, I, I don't typically see great efforts among
47:37my friends to, to actually do that. And, you know, even if I do see it in, in a few cases,
47:44among a few people, uh, our economies aren't built around less consumption. Our economies are,
47:50are built around more consumption. So, um, so speaking a little more generally now, I mean,
47:57the sustainable development goals seek to make greater resources available to people around the
48:02world, especially poor people. So realistically, if we want the kind of societies that the SDGs
48:09point to, uh, aren't we going to need a much smaller human population in the future? So in
48:15other words, a world with no poverty, that's also ecologically sustainable, um, stabilizing the
48:22population doesn't look like it's going to be enough to achieve that. Yeah. Well, I, ideally,
48:28I mean, that's the long-term goal. It's just that that takes many generations to take in, to come
48:32into effect. So what we want to aim for is to achieve a global fertility rate of below replacement
48:41level. And the replacement level is 2.1 kids per women. So, um, once every everywhere, so currently
48:49we're about 2.4 globally. Once we reach below that replacement level, it'll take a few more
48:58decades, probably generations before our population will actually begin to contract.
49:03Um, that's just because of demographic momentum. That's, that's kind of the technical term to
49:09explain why it takes so long for, for population changes to come into effect. So it's, I mean,
49:15it's definitely something we should be aspiring to, but, but we also need to be realistic. I mean,
49:21we can't like expect to have our population in like the next 50 years, for example. Um, it's all
49:27kind of, you know, long-term changes that we're talking about here. And, and I hope that, you
49:32know, maybe in, in 200 years time, um, our population size will be, um, you know, smaller
49:39than it is now. Um, and that we will have gotten there through these, you know, empowering
49:45positive solutions, but they take a long time to come into effect.
49:51So again, I mean, for me that that's one more reason for why, uh, we should have an SDG about
49:58stabilizing or reducing the global human population. Now, I guess the SDGs are designed
50:06to be enacted by 2030. And so with population momentum, um, uh, really, even if you, you cut
50:14fertility back much below, uh, uh, replacement rate, you would still have a certain amount of
50:20population growth, uh, baked into the global population. Um, let me, uh, let me touch on
50:28another somewhat controversial aspect to this. Uh, the SDGs talk, uh, very explicitly about
50:38the need to improve contraception access, uh, women's rights, women, uh, girls' education,
50:44et cetera, which we think is, are, are really the keys to, to reducing fertility. Um,
50:52but as Florence was saying earlier in, in our discussion, uh, we've also got in many countries,
50:58this idea that big families are, are inherently a good thing. Um, do we also need, in addition to
51:07the rights that the SDGs talk about, uh, do we need more propaganda
51:12in different parts of the world for smaller populations? Do we need, um, government leaders
51:19coming out and, and saying, have a smaller family for, for Uganda, for instance, Florence,
51:26what's your sense of that? Yeah, I think it's important to talk about, you know, population
51:32has already, you know, talked about, you know, the effect on the environment, which we are seeing,
51:37which is happening in our country. So leaders need to come out more often and encourage,
51:43of course, not coerce, you see, and that's where the problem is. That's where people are scared,
51:48like, okay, anything to do with public policy, it's highly divisive. Like people are thinking
51:53you want to interfere in people's reproductive affairs. So how you say it's just really giving
51:58people that information and, you know, making sure that they make an informed choice. For example,
52:04like I said, the first lady is limiting us, you know, getting access to shorter education in
52:09schools. Really? That's wrong. I feel like a girl should grow up knowing, you know,
52:16what her life is going to be like from the minute she's born, you know, so that she knows
52:20she can decide. They just need to give us all the information and tell us this is what's there. This
52:26is what's necessary. This is what's happening. Some people now can't even understand, you know.
52:30So population affects the environment? Really? How? So population affects this? Really? How?
52:34It does affect poverty? Like we need to understand all the connections right from the start and then
52:41we can make informed choices. For example, like I wasn't so much enlightened on, you know, the
52:47environment until I started really reporting, you know, as a journalist and I saw the interconnectedness.
52:54I went all across the country and I saw what was happening. Like we don't really have this
52:59exposure from when we are really much younger and we can make decisions and grow up and say,
53:04oh wow, this is what's happening. People need to know. Information is power. And trust me,
53:09when people have this information and they have everything else, the services, the contraceptives,
53:13people are always going to choose that. And this will lead to choose what to have smaller families
53:18as long as you tell them this is what's happening. Empower them. And like Olivia already said,
53:22educated women, they are working. They're going to choose to delay marriage. They're going to
53:30postpone birth. It's happening in most Asian countries. It can happen in Africa.
53:36So Florence, I'm curious. Was there a particular story that you reported on
53:42where it really taught you the importance of population issues
53:49to improving people's lives? Is there a particular story that you did that stands
53:56out as you think about that? One time I went to northern Uganda and there was this gentleman
54:03and he has about four women and it's like another one is coming. And you look at the line of
54:09children and you look at the environment. Of course, you know, we survive with what we have,
54:15but it's not a life I wish for a child to have. You know, it's a life I've seen even while growing
54:21up. But you see women just competing like, oh, this one, this one has now a son. Oh, this one
54:30is about to give me a boy. Now this one is about, and then they'll be like, yeah, I have three,
54:36but the other one has five. You know, so there are so many issues. And then you report about,
54:42I wrote in one time about a story, you know, in a health center whereby health workers
54:46are using torches. And of course there are so many people coming to the hospitals. So
54:51like accessibility, like when you go to the rural areas, it's really horrible. And of course,
54:57most of the country is rural. So there are lots of rural areas to go to. So you can imagine
55:04it's problematic. And for me, I feel like population growth is really riding this,
55:09especially for us back home, because I can't say that, you know, consumption is
55:12very much a big problem back there. It's mostly population growth. And even the leaders agree.
55:18And even right now, even they're agreeing to the fact that it's affecting the environment,
55:22at least there was a report which came out in about 2015, where they said about 40% is attributed
55:28to population growth, environmental degradation. So we are seeing all this coming out. Yeah. I feel
55:35like change is necessary. It will come, but it's taking its time, sadly. Yeah. But it's possible.
55:44Most Ugandan women are coming up. There's lots of Florence's out there in that country.
55:49That's good to know.
55:50They need opportunities. They need the opportunities. Most of them need to be
55:54uprooted out of that, but we'll get there. Yeah.
55:58Very important, very important point, you know, for my fellow American citizens,
56:04most of whom have never seen or thought about the Sustainable Development Goals,
56:09I'd really encourage you to take a look at some of the links we're providing with this story
56:17and familiarize yourself with them. There are actually quite a few where you can look at them
56:22and say, as Florence just said, the United States has some work to do to fully achieve these targets
56:29as well. Well, I would like to thank both of you, Florence and Olivia, for being on the show today.
56:37I hope you'll be willing to come back soon.
56:42Definitely. Thanks for having us.
56:44Yeah, this has been amazing. Yeah. Thanks for having us.

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