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What are the arguments FOR and AGAINST the notion that America is overpopulated?

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A series of key conversations examining the connection between our planet’s growing population & related issues. Expect to be educated on a range of topics including climate change, wildlife preservation, immigration policy & consumption patterns.

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Transcript
00:00Is America overpopulated? Today on The Population Factor, author and world traveler Frosty Wooldridge
00:08discusses his new book, America's Overpopulation Predicament, Blindsiding Future Generations.
00:30Is America overpopulated? Recently we passed 330 million people. How would we know whether
00:53we were overpopulated or whether we will soon be overpopulated? Joining me today to answer
00:58these questions is author Frosty Wooldridge, author of America's Overpopulation Predicament,
01:06Blindsiding Future Generations. Frosty, welcome to The Population Factor.
01:12Well, thank you very much, Phil. It's really a pleasure to be with you and everyone listening
01:16across the United States and certainly hopefully Canada and around the world. This kind of
01:21presentation will give each and every one of you an understanding of the predicament of
01:26overpopulation, not only here in the United States, but around the world. So, I'm appreciating
01:32that we're all in this together and hopefully we can all do something to change course. So,
01:38thank you so much. So, Frosty, you first encountered overpopulation on bicycle trips across
01:46India, Bangladesh, and China. But the question today is, is America overpopulated? And from
01:54where a lot of us sit, things are going pretty well. We feel like we're rich and we're
02:00living good lives. And I don't hear the politicians saying that we're too overpopulated
02:06or that we shouldn't keep growing. Why do you argue in your book that America is overpopulated?
02:14From my own experiences around the world, and certainly having traveled to all 50 states and
02:21all 10 Canadian provinces, it's not about space, you know, because there's vast amounts of space.
02:28If Antarctica wasn't a frozen wasteland, you could stick a whole civilization there, but
02:34their carrying capacity is absolutely zero. So, when it comes down to carrying capacity,
02:41it's again, you have to understand it's not about all the vast space that's in this country.
02:46What it has to do is with the energy and the resources to keep this civilization moving
02:53forward. But Frosty, some people will say, okay, in California, we've got a water shortage,
02:59for instance, but what we need to do then is conserve and use water more efficiently.
03:05And if we do that, we can support our current population or even a larger one.
03:09What would you say to that? That's called cognitive dissonance.
03:13In other words, intellectual denial of reality. And California right now has 39 million people,
03:20but within the next 30 to 40 years, it's going to have another 20 million added. So, it's going to
03:24go from 39 to 49 to 59 million. And so, at some point, whether it's 59 million or 90 million or
03:32100 million, you're going to have to understand that there's not going to be enough water
03:37to irrigate the crops, to water the people, to flush the toilets, and to keep a balance.
03:46Nature always keeps a balance. So, either we maintain a balance of human population,
03:53or Mother Nature is going to do it for us. And she does it around the world right now.
03:57Starvation levels are at 4 million for children around the globe and 8 million for adults. So,
04:03that's 12 million people every year. That's documented by the UN.
04:07But we don't have that kind of starvation here in the United States. So, again,
04:12when someone like Matthew Iglesias writes a book called One Billion Americans, the case for
04:18thinking bigger, he argues that we can be more efficient, we can keep the balls in the air,
04:25so to speak. What kind of evidence do we have that we really might be pushing up
04:32at or past carrying capacity in the United States?
04:37Well, we're not sustainable right now. Again, we import 7 out of 10 barrels of oil,
04:42and oil is what keeps this game going. And so, at some point, and certainly according to some
04:49of the finest authors out there, oil is going to be completely exhausted on this planet by
04:56mid-century, certainly at the rate it's being used at over 100 million barrels every day.
05:04And I think the latest figures are that China, which puts around 27 million new cars net gain
05:12on their highways every year, by 2030, they'll be using 98 million barrels of oil per day
05:18themselves. So, you're looking at 200 million barrels of oil that will quickly
05:24drain the reserves of the planet. So, we are essentially, again, riding the Titanic.
05:32Edward Smith, the captain of the Titanic, well, he just kept speeding toward New York,
05:37not realizing, or didn't care, or just completely denied the fact that there were icebergs out
05:42there. Well, everybody that says, let's let America grow and grow, and somebody like Iglesias,
05:48and I read his book, he doesn't understand numbers. Well, I'm a math and science teacher,
05:53and the fact is, this country will not survive a billion people any more than India is. And then
06:00you have to start speaking about the quality of life. What kind of quality of life do we want?
06:05Do we want to have Denver, Colorado, with 2.7 million people go to 10 million? Do we want
06:10another New York City? Do we want Chicago? Or do we want 11 million out of LA? So, this is a good
06:16question. I mean, there's the question of, can we support, let's say, 10 million people in the
06:23Denver area instead of two and a half million? Then there's the question of, is it a good idea
06:29in terms of the quality of life of the people living there? I think, and you and I both live
06:34in Colorado, I think most Coloradans would say, no, we don't want to quadruple our population.
06:40But I want to get to another aspect of this, which I think you bring out very nicely in your book.
06:46Let's say we could support 10 million people in the Denver area, or a billion Americans. And
06:52let's say we could even do that with a good quality of life. What about all the other animals, the
06:58other plant species that we're displacing? Does that question figure into how you think about
07:04overpopulation? Well, yes. And I think it's about a moral and an ethical question. Do we as a
07:13cognitive species have the right, or do we have the imperative to keep expanding our numbers
07:19and then create extinction rates that are running around 100 species a day or vanishing off the
07:24planet right now? And in fact, E.O. Wilson out of Harvard, the great biologist, said that we could
07:30lose a third of all animal life on the planet by 2050. That's a blink in time, only 29 years from
07:37now. So each person has to ask themselves, do they want to be a part of causing the hummingbird
07:43to go extinct, or the whale to go extinct, or the dolphin, or the rattlesnake, or the gopher,
07:48or simply the prairie dog, or the hawk that feeds? So you have to really look at the big picture here,
07:57not just the, oh, we can expand all these numbers and have all these people added to the detriment
08:03to the natural world. The natural world is what sustains us, and if we lose that, we lose ourselves,
08:09essentially. So in the end, you really don't think people can have good lives, flourishing lives,
08:15unless we connect with nature, and unless there's some wild nature there left to connect to?
08:22Well, that's correct. You know, I just came back from Glacier National Park just this last month,
08:27also Yellowstone, and the Grand Tetons, and I was also in Moab, and the crush of people
08:36is absolutely, I couldn't even get into Rocky Mountain National Park this past week,
08:41because there are lottery reservations. That's right. And if you're unlucky enough,
08:47you may never get to see Rocky Mountain National Park with another 100 million people that are
08:52projected to land on America here by 2050. And so we have cheated ourselves out of the
08:58national parks, because lottery numbers is the only way they're going to let you get in.
09:02But then when you get into Glacier, which I did, guess what? It's wall-to-wall people.
09:10You don't connect with nature. You're just simply running into other people on the trail.
09:14The same thing's going on in Colorado right now. I-70 on the weekends is just a gridlock,
09:2190 miles long, all the way to Summit County, because there's so many people. In fact,
09:26I've actually asked some of, in some of my columns, what is the carrying capacity of Colorado? But
09:33what is the quality of life capacity of Colorado? And those could really be two different things,
09:39couldn't they? I mean, again, we might be able to sustain 10 million Coloradans, or 10 million
09:46people in the Denver area, 20 million Coloradans, or whatever it might be. But really, in the
09:51process, we could, it's interesting, we could all sort of get richer and wind up being poorer
09:57somehow. Well, and there's exactly what's happening. And having seen that in Bangladesh,
10:05and then having seen that in China, and certainly India, the greatest democracy in the world,
10:11they have so many problems that at some point, when you grow the numbers, you cannot solve the
10:19problems. So, I mean, this is one aspect of this that it could be a little hard for people to
10:27wrap their minds around, especially maybe younger viewers, because they hear a couple of old dudes
10:32like you and me talking about population or overpopulation. And they really might not have
10:38a sense of, you know, how much things can change. 100 years ago, India had about 200 million people,
10:45now they have 1.3 billion people. And if you had asked an Indian 100 years ago, well, the trajectory
10:52seems to be that we're going to have four or five times as many people in 100 years, they probably
10:57wouldn't have thought that was possible. But but apparently it was. So I think what you and Matthew
11:03Iglesias are both saying is, we might wind up with a billion people. The difference is he's excited
11:09about it. And you as an environmentalist really, really aren't. Well, that's exactly correct. And
11:15what I deal with not in my emotions is with facts. And the fact is, that the higher the numbers in
11:23this country, the more restrictions on your freedom, the more restrictions and the higher
11:29costs of living, because water is going to cost more to put that water into your tap. And at some
11:34point, you will not have water in the tap, that is going to be a numbers game. And it will come
11:41about at some point, ask anybody from Bangladesh, ask anybody from India, ask anybody from China,
11:48why do you think so much of the rest of the world wants to come to America? Well, Indians are
11:54flooding into America, so are Chinese, so are Mexicans, because they have such lowered and or
12:02very lacking in quality of life and standard of living because they're so overpopulated. And so
12:08if we can take that kind of understanding, which came to me in 1984, realizing that overpopulation
12:16is the single greatest factor in every consequence that we're facing in the United States today,
12:24the air pollution over Denver is toxic air. Every breath you take is toxic air, particulate,
12:29carbon footprint, you name it. As your water, literally, prices go up, it's because too many
12:36people are drawing off the resources of the water. And at some point, the aquifers won't
12:41yield enough water. So for somebody like Iglesias to write that book, it was a very foolish book.
12:48It had no wisdom in it, it had no understanding of numbers, it had no understanding of resources.
12:54It simply was stuck, he put out there and amazingly, people agreed with him.
12:59But I think you've also, you know, got plenty of emotion behind your position too. I think the
13:04difference is, you know, what you and Iglesias might feel emotional about. You're emotional about
13:10preserving wild nature. I don't think that's really part of his vision. By the way, I don't
13:16want people to get the wrong idea about your book, which is a very good one. Again, the book is
13:20America's overpopulation predicament, blindsiding future generations. In that book, you make it
13:27clear that you don't see dealing with population as the answer to everything, the sole answer,
13:34the panacea. You argue for a lot of conventional environmental improvements, like getting rid of
13:42single use plastics, like energy efficiency. But you do think we're not going to be able to get a
13:49handle on those other issues if we just keep increasing our population. That is exactly correct
13:56and that will prove itself out. Again, at the end of the book, I give some of the finest authors who
14:02are on the same track that I'm on, and their predictions will prove out. Their understandings
14:10and their factual scientific research will prove out. And again, I can't say this enough, as human
14:18numbers go up, the consequences multiply also. I always say, if you have a 450-pound man
14:29and he's got heart disease, he's got bad knees, he's got cholesterol, he really can't go skiing,
14:35he certainly can't go for a run, he can't even do anything, would it be better to add another
14:42100 pounds to him so he would be 550 pounds, just because you wanted to add
14:48more weight? Or would it be better if he got himself back down to 200 pounds?
14:53Well, wouldn't Denver right now be a better place to live with only a million people?
14:58And wouldn't Los Angeles be better with only a million people, rather than 11 million people
15:02in the entire arena? And I lived in California back in 1965, when there were only 15 million
15:10people. Wouldn't it have been better to have people with forethought and a sense of responsibility
15:16to future generations to balance California's 15 million and keep it at 15 million, because we have
15:24the power to do that, rather than overrun the natural resources, the water sources, and so forth,
15:30and make LA is a nightmare to drive a car in today, and to breathe the air is a nightmare,
15:35the same in Chicago, and the same in New York City.
15:38So Frosty, if we're convinced that America is overpopulated at 330 million people,
15:44not that it might be someday, but that it is now, is there a path towards a more flourishing
15:50country with fewer people? What are the policies we might want to put in place
15:55to decrease America's population? Or is there simply no way to achieve that?
16:00There's always a way, Phil. And the fact is that the American female, since 1970,
16:07when birth control came in, has been averaging 2.03 children per woman since 1970. And so,
16:15we really paid attention to Earth Day, because that was the big call on Earth Day 1970. I was
16:21at Michigan State University, I was a senior that year, and graduated, and we all talked
16:27overpopulation, because it was happening to China, it was happening to India, it was happening to
16:31Mexico, it was happening around the world. And we changed, and so did Canada, and so did Europe,
16:38and so did Australia. All the Western cultures and Western countries really paid attention to
16:44Earth Day. The rest of the world didn't. And in fact, it went from 3.5 billion to add another 4.3
16:52billion, and now it's at 7.8 billion, headed for 10 billion within the next 30 or 40 years.
16:59So what specific policies do you see us putting into place to stabilize or decrease our population?
17:08Well, we are already decreasing it simply by having a 2.03 fertility rate that's gone down
17:15in 2021 to around 1.98. So we're doing a great job. And the simplest way to turn off the spigot
17:24is to stop mass and endless growth in our country by stopping mass immigration into our country,
17:31because we're absorbing no less than a million to a million two legal immigrants every year,
17:38and they're having a birth rate of around 900,000 per year, so that's about 2.1 million added net
17:44gain every year. And then according to Center for Immigration Studies with Mark Krekorian
17:51and Steve Camerota, we're taking in around 500,000 illegal migrants crossing the borders
17:58every year, so that's up around 2.6 million people. If we solve that problem alone,
18:06we would literally slow the Titanic, if you will, and give ourselves a chance for a viable and
18:13stable and sustainable civilization. So if immigration, legal and illegal, is running
18:20somewhere between 1.2 and 1.5 million annually, let's say that's been the average for the past
18:2620 years, how much would you like to see immigration cut into the United States?
18:33Well, I stated in my book, there are two ways we can go. First of all, just simply stop all
18:39immigration and help those countries and their people with food and water and whatever,
18:45in their own countries, because in the end, they're going to have to stay in their own
18:48countries anyway. We couldn't have all of China or India migrate to the United States to save
18:54themselves. We certainly couldn't have all of Mexico, because there are 129 million people.
18:59So we can't save the rest of the world. We can, however, save them in their own countries by
19:05showing them how to be sustainable. The other way to do it, my second way in my book,
19:11is to use the egress equals ingress equation. If 50,000 people leave the United States in 2021,
19:20then we could take in 50,000 people who would benefit the United States with skills and or
19:27abilities to function in our society. That would be a viable and reasonable solution.
19:33So let's say we cut immigration, maybe as drastically as you're suggesting,
19:38maybe somewhat less drastically, and got to a stable population. But as you describe in the
19:46book, we have pretty good evidence that 330 million Americans isn't itself sustainable.
19:52Let's say we asked the scientists and they came back with 100 to 150 million as a sustainable
20:00number. Are there policies that could get us towards that? Or do we just simply have to accept
20:06that America for the foreseeable future will be overpopulated?
20:11We have choices. One of my dear friends and yours, Jack Alpert, Dr. Jack Alpert from Stanford
20:18University, he has said that we need to be under 100 million. I would agree with that.
20:25When it comes to quality of life and sustainability into the future, then yes.
20:31At some point, I've also floated the idea that around the planet, the women around the planet
20:38need to come down to a one child per woman if the human race is going to survive the 21st century
20:44and all the other animals that are on this planet and bring the climate change into some kind of
20:50stability. But the real big key here is, and I want everyone to understand that,
20:55everything that drives population right now is made possible by gasoline, by oil. It has been
21:03shown that we are going to run out of oil sometime around mid-century, if not sooner or just a little
21:09bit later. And oil keeps this game going. So either we do something rational, reasonable,
21:16and logical to change our numbers to a sustainable level, or again, Mother Nature
21:22is going to do it for us. And I've already seen what Mother Nature has done. And I would like to
21:28do it with our reason and our minds and our choices, rather than wait for Mother Nature
21:35to do it for us. Well, Frosty, thank you so much for sharing this time with us. Again,
21:42the book is America's Overpopulation Predicament, Blindsiding Future Generations.
21:48You've given us a lot to think about today. Well, thank you. And I hope you all are not
21:52only thinking about it, I also in the book have three chapters on what you can do individually
21:57in your own community, in your own state, in the nation itself, and of course, internationally.
22:04We're all in this together. Brown, black, red, yellow, orange, all of us are human beings. We
22:10have choices. And I hope that we make positive choices so that when I'm gone off the planet,
22:16the progeny of the planet and the future human beings and the future animals have the same
22:21opportunities to travel the world, to see the sights, to express themselves. That's my greatest
22:27joy is to let future generations enjoy a thriving and viable planet and country here in the United
22:32States and abroad. Frosty Wildridge, thank you so much for being with us on The Population Factor.
22:38Thank you. I appreciate it, Phil.

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