Pertumbuhan industri makanan dan minuman (mamin) pada tahun 2025 akan dibayangi kembali oleh kenaikan upah minimum provinsi (UMP) 2025 sebesar rata-rata 6,5%, seperti yang telah diumumkan Pemerintah, beberapa waktu lalu.
Adapun sepanjang 2024, industri mamin diproyeksi tumbuh di kisaran 5-7% di akhir tahun. Dengan kenaikan UMP pada tahun ini sebesar 3,7%. Dan sampai dengan kuartal III 2024, data Kementerian Perindustrian (Kemenperin) menyebut, industri mamin mampu tumbuh hingga 5,82%, yang berkontribusi sebesar 40,17% terhadap PDB industri pengolahan nonmigas.
Adapun sepanjang 2024, industri mamin diproyeksi tumbuh di kisaran 5-7% di akhir tahun. Dengan kenaikan UMP pada tahun ini sebesar 3,7%. Dan sampai dengan kuartal III 2024, data Kementerian Perindustrian (Kemenperin) menyebut, industri mamin mampu tumbuh hingga 5,82%, yang berkontribusi sebesar 40,17% terhadap PDB industri pengolahan nonmigas.
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TVTranscript
00:00The President of the Republic of Indonesia, Prabowo Subianto, has announced an increase of 6.5% for the year 2025.
00:22The Minister of Labor, Yasir Ripon, hopes that all parties will be able to accept the decision to increase the UMP in 2025, which has paid attention to the purchasing power of workers as well as the competitiveness of business.
00:34Ladies and gentlemen, representatives of the people, we are starting our negotiations today,
00:40let's get our heads together, let's pray for the Republic of Indonesia.
00:43However, after discussing and implementing the meetings with the leaders, we have decided to increase the national minimum wage average by 6.5% in 2025.
01:02The national minimum wage will be set by the Provincial, City, and Regional Governments.
01:13A more detailed determination on the minimum wage will be arranged by the Minister of Labor.
01:20Thus, the statement of President Prabowo Subianto when he officially announced the increase in the provincial minimum wage for 2025 was an average of 6.5%.
01:33The Minister of Labor, Yasir Ripon, ensured that the provincial minimum wage and the municipal minimum wage set by the city was increased by 6.5% and began to be effective on January 1, 2025.
01:46How did this come about in the Ministry of Labor Regulation No. 16 of 2024 on the settlement of the minimum wage in 2025?
01:56Not only the UMP and UMK, in this regulation it is also mentioned that the provincial sectoral minimum wage or UMSP and the municipal sectoral minimum wage or UMSK in 2025 will both be effective from January 1, 2025.
02:12Yasir Ripon hopes that the national minimum wage will be increased by 6.5% and will be accepted by all parties.
02:23We hope that all parties can implement the policy of the national minimum wage in 2025
02:31which has considered the purchasing power of the workers and the competitiveness of the business.
02:42The government ensured that the announcement of the size of the UMP and UMSP in 2025 was the latest on December 11, 2024, while the announcement of the UMK and UMSK in 2025 was announced the latest on December 18, 2024.
02:58From Jakarta, the coverage team, IDX Channel
03:28Thank you for your time and for joining us, Mr. Adi Lukman, General Director of the Indonesian Food and Beverage Cooperation, or GAPMI.
03:38Hello, how are you, Mr. Adi?
03:40How are you, Mr. Pras?
03:42How are you, Mr. Aisyah?
03:44How are you, Mr. Adi?
03:46Thank you for your time.
03:49We will go straight to you, Mr. Adi Lukman, first with a review.
03:53How is the update of the development of the food and beverage industry at the end of 2024, sir?
03:59Okay, thank you.
04:01Of course, the food and beverage industry continues to see up and down.
04:07If we look at last year, we can grow 4.47% year on year.
04:18And this year, up to Q3, we grew 5.82%.
04:22And of course, the growth of the food and beverage industry is still above our 4.95% economic growth in Q3.
04:30And I hope that by the end of 2024, we can close at a rate of maybe 5.5% which hopefully can be achieved.
04:43Indeed, the food and beverage industry has a very variety of products,
04:47starting from staple foods, processed foods, intermediate industries, including flavors, extracts, and so on.
04:55So there is one weak sector, but there is another strong sector.
05:01Indeed, we must admit that the development of the food and beverage industry,
05:06right now, the focus is more on how the consumers focus on staple foods,
05:13staple foods, staple processed foods, which are indeed basic needs,
05:17especially the lower-middle class.
05:19Because it is indeed related to purchasing power, they are focused on that.
05:23So secondary food is a bit left out.
05:27And if we look at it, secondary food is indeed the second choice for consumers
05:32in the middle of a difficult situation where the purchasing power of consumers is a bit weak right now.
05:38It is indeed not fully recovered yet,
05:40and hopefully the government can see this as one of the factors that must be strengthened,
05:46especially the purchasing power of the lower-middle class.
05:48Okay, related to the purchasing power of the lower-middle class,
05:50next, there is a policy on increasing the UMP.
05:52What do you see? How does the food and beverage industry respond to it?
05:57Yes, we have also told the government that we are equal,
06:03because indeed, actually, we, the government, the business world,
06:10and the labor unions have a three-party mechanism
06:14that is usually discussed in the three-party discussion,
06:18and the number of UMPs and so on must have a basis.
06:23Why must 6.5 UMPs be issued in the middle of a very difficult situation right now?
06:28Our inflation rate is still below 2%,
06:30while the increase in UMPs is very high.
06:33Meanwhile, if we look at Asian countries,
06:36especially our competitors in Asian countries,
06:38they are almost very stable in price,
06:41not increasing the minimum wage every year,
06:45because the minimum wage is actually a safety net,
06:50which is not an obligation.
06:55But we see that actually the business actors or the business world also want
07:00the workers to have a higher income than the safety net or the UMP,
07:07but with increased productivity compensation.
07:10So we really hope that this productivity-based payment
07:15can continue to be developed
07:18so that the workers get a higher income
07:23while the productivity increases
07:26so that the cost per unit will be lower
07:31so that we can increase the competitiveness
07:33and ultimately the availability of local consumers can also be achieved.
07:39This is actually what we aspire to be pursued.
07:43It's not just the UMP,
07:45it's also what we have to do.
07:47This is what we have to deal with.
07:52So that we can compete and provide affordable products for the people.
07:59Okay, Mr. Adi.
08:00So there are updates and challenges related to UMPs.
08:02Buwe Isa, how do you see the situation
08:07as Mr. Adi has said,
08:09related to the manufacturing industry?
08:12How do you see it related to the increase in UMPs?
08:16Thank you, Mr. Eras, for the question related to UMPs.
08:21In theory, in the economy,
08:24UMPs are indeed used to maintain the welfare of workers.
08:31If we look at it from year to year,
08:34it will increase along with inflation, the price increase.
08:39Nominally, the wage will increase,
08:48but it will definitely be affected by the price increase.
08:52As Mr. Adi said,
08:54if we look at it now,
08:56the inflation rate was maintained at around 1.55% last month.
09:06And since last October,
09:10the inflation rate is still within the target range.
09:15So when UMPs increase,
09:19it can increase the purchasing power of the workers.
09:25So they can buy the same amount of goods,
09:29the same quantity,
09:31just like before the price increase.
09:34Secondly, I agree with Mr. Adi
09:36that the price increase and the wage increase
09:39should be in line with the productivity of the workers.
09:44So it is in line with the increase in productivity.
09:49And these are two things that we need to learn
09:54in forming a formulation
09:56on how UMPs should increase.
10:00In the middle, we can see that the purchasing power of the people is also decreasing.
10:04It is interesting that when we talk about wage increase,
10:06it should be in line with productivity.
10:08From your own assessment,
10:12do we need to increase our productivity even more?
10:16But let's hold on to the answer.
10:17We will discuss it in the next segment.
10:19We will take a short break.
10:20We will be right back after the break.
10:30JAKARTA MENEMPATI POSISI PERTAMA
10:39Thank you for joining us in the next segment of Market Review.
10:43We will be back with the latest data on the province,
10:46the highest minimum wage for the province in 2024.
10:51As you can see on your TV screen,
10:54Jakarta is in the first position.
10:575.06 million rupiah,
10:59while the target for next year is 5.39 million rupiah
11:05for UMP DKI Jakarta.
11:07Then there is Central Papua,
11:09in 2025, it will be 4.28 million rupiah.
11:13Then Bangka Belitung, 3.87 million rupiah.
11:16North Sulawesi, 3.77 million rupiah.
11:19Then Aceh, 3.68 million rupiah.
11:24Next, the UMP increase,
11:26we can see the movement from 2018 to 2025,
11:30which has been set at an average of 6.5%.
11:33In 2018, there was an increase of 8.2%.
11:37Then in 2019, 8%.
11:39In 2020, 8.5%.
11:41Then in 2021, there was no increase,
11:44because we know there was a COVID-19 pandemic.
11:46Then in 2022, there was an increase of 1.1%.
11:49In 2023, it rose to 10%.
11:53Then this year, the increase of UMP is only 3.7%.
11:57Then next year, 2025,
11:59it has been set at 6.5%.
12:03Okay, those are some of the data that we have provided,
12:05and we will continue the discussion
12:07with Mr. Adiesul Uman,
12:09the Chairperson of GAPMI,
12:11and also Mrs. Eissa Makfiruha Rahbini,
12:13she is the Director of the Indepth Program
12:15as well as a lecturer at FAM, IPB University.
12:19Okay, we will continue again.
12:22If we talk about the increase of UMP,
12:25which was already mentioned by Mr. Adiesul,
12:27then you also have to be aware
12:29of the increase of competitiveness
12:32in our workforce,
12:34as well as in terms of productivity.
12:37What is the current position of Indepth?
12:41If we look at it,
12:43from the productivity of this workforce,
12:46it is still a challenge,
12:48both nationally
12:50and sectorally in the industry as well.
12:52If we look at it demographically,
12:55or in terms of workforce,
12:57the productivity of this workforce,
13:00compared to other countries,
13:02we are usually still quite challenging,
13:05still quite low,
13:07in terms of growth,
13:09if we look at it over the past 10 years,
13:11it is only about below 3%,
13:132.6%, while other countries,
13:15such as Vietnam,
13:17China or Singapore,
13:20have far exceeded that number.
13:23Meanwhile, if we look at the salary in Vietnam,
13:28if we compare between our workforce
13:32and Vietnam,
13:34there must be something to be improved,
13:38be it from skills,
13:40then how to increase
13:44productivity
13:47in terms of needs,
13:49what the industry needs
13:51is also very important
13:53for us to learn in the future
13:55and must continue to be improved.
13:57For example,
13:59the ability to know,
14:03to use manufacturing in the industry,
14:06even vocational training,
14:10there are still many vocational and high school students
14:13who have not yet been absorbed
14:16in the field of work,
14:18and this is also a lot
14:20to be conveyed,
14:22from the industry,
14:24we also need to improve
14:28the ability to reskill
14:30and upgrade
14:32our workforce.
14:34Okay, from Gapmi himself,
14:36Mr. Adi, have you seen the steps
14:38that may have been prepared
14:40by Producer Mamin
14:42also related to facing the rise of UMP,
14:45and then how to upscale
14:47the workforce
14:49in Mamin's own industry?
14:51Right, so upscaling
14:53related to the competence of workers
14:55is a big challenge in Indonesia.
14:57It is very difficult for us
14:59to get competent workers,
15:01especially for the implementation
15:03of new technologies,
15:05the implementation of multi-technology industries
15:07which are currently very developed
15:09in the industry.
15:11I happened to receive a lot of visits
15:13from abroad,
15:15they talked about
15:17the technology they applied,
15:19I was very confused,
15:21if we can't catch up,
15:23we will be left behind.
15:25Therefore, from the food and drink industry,
15:27I see, especially
15:29many companies have now started
15:31to see how the application
15:33of multi-technology industries,
15:35automation, AI, etc.
15:37becomes one of the pillars.
15:39Honestly, we have to do it
15:41if we want to survive
15:43and be able to compete in the global market.
15:45If not, we will be left behind.
15:47Therefore, I hope
15:49the competence of the workforce
15:51upscaling
15:53becomes a priority for the government
15:55to adjust it.
15:57We, through the Ministry of Education,
15:59have done a lot of cooperation with SMK,
16:01even now there are many curriculums
16:03in vocational education
16:05to adjust
16:07the needs of the industry.
16:09We are very supportive
16:11and many industries
16:13have cooperated
16:15with vocational education
16:17so that
16:19we can meet
16:21our needs.
16:23This is what we should do.
16:25Secondly, we hope the government
16:27will immediately push
16:29sustainability and productivity
16:31so that we can
16:33support each other.
16:35So, high income
16:37means high productivity
16:39so that the unit per cost
16:41becomes cheaper.
16:43What we are doing
16:45is to find
16:47other factors
16:49such as input from
16:51the industry or production
16:53such as alternative raw materials,
16:55alternative supply chain,
16:59supply chain in the process itself,
17:01technology itself.
17:03We hope to make it
17:05more efficient
17:07so that we can compensate
17:09for the very high
17:11income in this process.
17:13This is what we are doing
17:15so that we can still survive
17:17and compete in the global market.
17:19Okay, I can conclude
17:21with the efforts of
17:23the industry itself to improve
17:25the ability, then how to
17:27carry out cooperation from the vocational side.
17:29Meanwhile, on the other hand,
17:31the increase in GDP
17:33becomes a challenge in itself.
17:35What are the next steps that need to be done
17:37by the government
17:39and the business world
17:41to deal with the increase in GDP
17:43in the future?
17:45I remember that there was an increase in GDP
17:47of 12% in the future,
17:49even though it was selected
17:51only for luxury goods.
17:53Yes, of course.
17:55In the future,
17:57the government should
17:59observe
18:01how the
18:03people's purchasing power
18:05and also the ability of the industry itself.
18:07Of course,
18:09from the
18:11industry sector
18:13point of view,
18:156% is not
18:17what is expected.
18:19Of course, the government
18:21must also see
18:23whether there will be incentives
18:25given to the industry sector
18:27to compensate
18:29for the burden of the
18:31UMP, for example.
18:33Because I feel that in the future,
18:35the challenges for the industry
18:37are still not
18:39recovered from the pandemic
18:41and also geopolitically
18:43and globally uncertain
18:45and challenge the performance
18:47of the industry.
18:49On the consumer side,
18:51the government also
18:53continues to see that when
18:55the GDP
18:57has an impact on
18:59purchasing power and also
19:01whether it will be
19:03compensated with subsidies,
19:05especially for those with
19:07lower income.
19:09And also, of course,
19:11the middle class
19:13must also
19:15be observed because
19:17they are also the backbone of
19:19our economy.
19:21From consumption,
19:23tax payment, as
19:25a motor driver of our economy.
19:27Maybe that's what I can say.
19:29Boeisa, then the ideal
19:31formulation if we talk about
19:33the UMP to determine the figure,
19:35this is not too burdensome
19:37the growth of the manufacturing industry,
19:39then how do we keep
19:41purchasing power, health
19:43of the workers or the Indonesian
19:45community, what do you think?
19:47Yes, of course,
19:49the government must listen
19:51from various parties because
19:53I am also sure that the government
19:55must be in the middle
19:57between how to balance
19:59the ability of
20:01the people's purchasing power and also
20:03on the one hand must also see
20:05the ability of the workers
20:07must continue to push
20:09from the field or industry sector.
20:11On the one hand,
20:13the government must
20:15see indicators from purchasing power
20:17such as inflation, how
20:19the latest inflation development.
20:21If we look at it,
20:23the high inflation period
20:25has decreased
20:27at the beginning of the year
20:293% and now
20:31it has dropped to 1%.
20:33From the manufacturing side,
20:35we have to see
20:37how the performance of
20:39our manufacturing industry.
20:41There are many industries
20:43that
20:45the PMI of the manufacturing sector
20:47is still below
20:4950.
20:51This means there is an indication
20:53that the industry sector
20:55is contracting or waiting
20:57not to expand.
20:59If we look at it,
21:01there is a challenge.
21:03So how
21:05does the government support
21:07to push too so that they can
21:09grow or
21:11can also increase
21:13the output, of course
21:15needs government support.
21:17Regulation must also
21:19support how
21:21this industry sector
21:23remains in the midst of global uncertainty.
21:25Okay, Mr. Adi, then how
21:27is your optimism projection from
21:29industry actors, food and drink
21:31to deal with how
21:33the potential for the rise of the PMI is related to
21:35the energy in the next year?
21:37If I look at it,
21:39I'm still optimistic.
21:41As I said earlier, the industry
21:43of food and drink has a lot of variations
21:45from intermediate to
21:47secondary food
21:49which
21:51becomes the second consumption.
21:53Because
21:55there are still many sectors
21:57that can be entered
21:59by investors, so
22:01there are still many foreign investors
22:03and domestic investors who are interested
22:05to enter the industry of food
22:07and drink. It is proven that
22:09our growth is
22:11quite good for
22:15investment,
22:17and the growth of
22:19PMDN is
22:2123%
22:23in Q3
22:25compared to last year, year-on-year.
22:27For PMA, 8%
22:29more. I think this shows that
22:31there are still many
22:33interested in entering Indonesia because our market
22:35is large and demand continues to grow.
22:37However, there are records
22:39of several secondary food sectors
22:41that were challenges for
22:43the industry of food and drink because
22:45this is actually
22:47not very luxurious, but
22:49actually a secondary need
22:51that we hope
22:53can also be enjoyed by
22:55Indonesian consumers.
22:57I hope
22:59my growth
23:01is still optimistic.
23:03It should still be above 5.5%
23:05to 6% next year.
23:07Hopefully we can achieve this.
23:09It's not normal yet, because
23:11normally, the industry of food and drink
23:13is above 7-9%.
23:15Hopefully we can reach
23:17normal.
23:196% in 2025.
23:21Hopefully we can reach
23:238%.
23:25Mr. Adi, we look forward to
23:27what other initiatives will be prepared by the government
23:29to increase PPN by 12%,
23:31then how the challenges of
23:33the decline in the purchasing power of the community can also be immediately
23:35overcome in 2025
23:37in addition to the increase in the UMP.
23:39Mr. Adi, unfortunately our time is limited.
23:41Thank you for updating the information
23:43that you have given to the audience.
23:45Mrs. Eissa, thank you for the analysis that you have
23:47conveyed to the audience today.
23:49Congratulations on continuing your activities.
23:51Stay healthy. See you again.
23:53Mr. Adi, Mrs. Eissa.
23:55Stay healthy, everyone.
23:57Mr. Mirsa, it's been an hour
23:59I've accompanied you in the market review
24:01and keep sharing your information
24:03only on IDX Channel, Your Taskworthy
24:05and Comprehensive Investment Reference.
24:07Because the future must move forward,
24:09I am an stock investor.
24:11I am Prasetyo Wibowo
24:13and all the workers on duty.
24:15Thank you. See you again.
24:37Music.
24:39Music.
24:41Music.
24:43Music.
24:45Music.
24:47Music.
24:49Music.
24:51Music.