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00:00It is game day once more in the college football playoff for the first time ever in the 12-team era
00:06The semifinals begin tonight in Miami
00:10It's the Orange Bowl between two programs, you know
00:13Very well in college football the sixth seed Penn State and the seventh seed
00:18Notre Dame DRS the story entering this matchup tonight in South Florida is how close and competitive it is expected to be
00:26By the odds we have seen market movement, but basically the Irish opened as a slight favorite
00:32They got up to a two and a half point favorite earlier this week
00:35Now as we get ready for this game on this Thursday game day
00:40There are just 20 cents of difference on those money line prices to win outright and earn a spot in
00:48two Mondays from now
00:50national championship game in
00:53Atlanta the lowest total we have seen in the college football playoff is
00:5745 and a half both for the Irish's game in the Sugar Bowl against Georgia and tonight against the Nittany Lions and
01:05James Franklin here. We are DRS on this Thursday
01:08It is game day once more in the CFP semis at the Orange Bowl
01:13Do you still feel the same way about this game as you did before? I?
01:18Do I've actually found a little bit better because if it is Jeremiah love that left last week's game after
01:24Reaggulating a knee injury and isn't 100% and sometimes you take a look at head coaches and what they tell you now
01:29You take a look at James Franklin without dual Carter. We'll get that in just a moment
01:32But also with Freeman gone. Hey, look nobody's a hundred percent at this time of the year that lets me know that
01:37Jeremiah love truly isn't anywhere close to 100% and if you are the fan blue sports book and saying, okay
01:43Who's the best running back on Notre Dame?
01:44It's by far Jeremiah love look at his price bet thirty five and a half. Look at you Darian price
01:50Forty-eight and a half that's gonna tell you the picture here because Notre Dame does have a very good football team and a staunch defense
01:56And has won some big football games. I get that here, but I just look at both offenses and try to break it down
02:02I just see Notre Dame having a slightly tougher time moving the football
02:05Especially now that we think love is gonna be hindered at any way
02:08Keep in mind love being seen at practice with a bulky knee brace on which maybe they drop it down to a compression sleeve
02:14Whatever, but they're clear
02:15Something is wrong with that knee and for the most electric football players in college football to not be a hundred percent against a good
02:21Defense when he's maybe the focal points of your offense that's giving me a little bit of trepidation
02:26So nothing has changed this week to bring me back to Notre Dame
02:29But as you see minus 120 plus 100 in the money line
02:32This is a great football game against two evenly matched teams
02:35Where if you're just looking for a little bit of the excess which might not be there out of Notre Dame's Jeremiah love
02:41Expected to be close and expected to be a low scoring a fair a defensive struggle
02:47Well, we have seen two elite defenses stand on their heads throughout both of their first two college football playoff games
02:55Penn State victorious in both against SMU and Boise State to get to this point both of those games
03:01The Nittany Lions as a favorite Penn State covering in both
03:06Under in both Notre Dame a slight favorite at least in both of their opening two matchups covering in both
03:13Under in both the key matchup to me DRS is not actually Notre Dame's rushing attack against Penn State's
03:20elite defense
03:21It's the other side of the equation a two-headed monster in the backfield for the Nittany Lions and Nick Singleton and Kate Ron Allen
03:29Against the Notre Dame defense to that throughout the regular season
03:32Did allow some junk plays on the ground and some yardage to be accumulated in terms of their opponents rush game
03:40But throughout the college football playoff has been a stone
03:44Wall, what does that look like tonight?
03:47We'll talk more about the props on the other side of the break
03:50But just from the allure of the Orange Bowl here in the college football playoff
03:56Semi-final Notre Dame has not won a national championship since 1988 Penn State two years prior to that
04:031986 both hoping for a victory tonight to get a shot in a national championship game
04:08Again, the Irish did play in the 2012 BCS national championship game did not work out all that well against
04:17Alabama so there are those thoughts for how this game is going to play out the RS when you see that total at 45
04:25Again, we expect offense to be hard to come by tonight in
04:30South Florida you favor Penn State. What does it mean for that over under a 45 and a hook?
04:36Yeah, it's really no correlation in this right balance. Okay, if the game goes over
04:40It's clearly a Penn State game if the game stays under its Notre Dame
04:42I don't think that's the case because styles do make fights at this point if you are James Franklin coming in and saying you know
04:48What I think our defense might have a little bit of an upper hand if love is banged up for Notre Dame
04:52Then why on the opposite side are you throwing the football all over the place when you know has been just pointed out
04:57Singleton and Allen are phenomenal as a one-two punch just like you take a look at Ohio State and handicap them
05:03So if they're gonna say, okay, we understand we might be the better football team if we don't make mistakes
05:07We're really gonna run the rock and on both sides you take a look at Riley Leonard could really get after it
05:12I loved in the last game. They played where it's like, okay eleven and a half
05:15I believe was his carries number nine and a half in that range. He easily went over that
05:19He's gonna have to do that again
05:20So if we're not objectifying the passing game saying that's gonna be the key component for either side
05:25You got to be looking at under because yes, you are gonna get some big plays in the running game 25 30 yards
05:31We're not talking about you playing an FCS team where you're breaking 100, you know, excuse me, you know, 85 to 95
05:38Your touchdown runs that's not happening here
05:40And if you do get a long drive bad
05:41Maybe it is 13 or 14 plays because you're not picking up chunk plays
05:45Staying ahead of the sticks converting third and twos and third and threes that clock is gonna bleed
05:49So for me, there's no correlation in this game. I just feel like the gameplay on either side lends itself to an under
05:56Yeah, listen, I would agree with you as well at least on paper DRS and not just because I don't think we're going to see
06:03a
06:037-3 game just the nature of what Donnie
06:06alluded to there if they are going to focus on the ground attacks on both sides that just going to eat up more of the
06:13Clock and why we see that total at 45 in a hook
06:15I would say this though prior to the college football playoff Penn State went over in its final four
06:21Including that Big Ten title game a shootout against, Oregon
06:264537 prior to the CFP Notre Dame had played 10 games against non Mac foes this year averaged better than
06:3243 points per game and Notre Dame still an elite scoring offense this year as well over in 7 of 10
06:38But of course both have gone under in each of their two games so far in the college
06:44Football playoff Notre Dame has been perfect against non Mac foes this year 12 and Oh
06:5111 0 and 1
06:52Against the spread Penn State has been booked as a favorite in each of its first two games in a college football
06:58Playoff the Nittany Lions as a favorite since 2022
07:0334 in 1
07:0425 9 and 1 against the spread but as an underdog in the last three years
07:10That's where things get precarious for Penn State
07:13Witness Oh and six straight up and only one in five against the numbers
07:18But it's about winning outright tonight when you see those money like prices in the props next
07:24the props for tonight's college football playoffs semi-final matchup at the Orange Bowl in Miami between Notre Dame and
07:31Penn State it is one of my favorite things because I do believe there are better edges in the prop market in college football
07:38Even in the CFP then you will see around the NFL and it's the individuals that will impact the outcome
07:44To earn a spot in a national championship game tonight between Penn State and Notre Dame
07:50Let's start with the Irish DRS and you'll see Riley Leonard's passing yards probably I wait is this Army Navy?
07:56No, it's just how Notre Dame constructs their offense, but it's not just Riley Leonard's right arm
08:02It's his two legs you mentioned the difference between Jeremiah love who re-aggravated a knee injury in the quarterfinal game
08:10Against Georgia that it really hindered him down the tail end of the regular season for the Irish
08:16He has the lower of the props even behind a Darion price
08:20Who actually has a lower prop than that of Riley Leonard 14 carries 80 yards?
08:26For Leonard in the Sugar Bowl against Georgia and basically DRS to ice away that game in the fourth quarter
08:32Whenever Mike Denbrock and the Irish needed a big play
08:36Needed a first down to move the sticks and keep winding time off the clock
08:40They called the number of big 13 a quarterback for Notre Dame
08:44Yeah, and that's the way you look at it because he is the focal point of that offensive
08:47He's running and running well because I even remember them bringing up articles or what they were saying for the regular season
08:52Hey, look, we know the kids a dynamic runner
08:53but you can't run 15 or 20 times a game not because you can't do it, you know in the
08:58Length of the game and put up 150 yards like you won't make it to the end of the season
09:02We need to save you
09:03So the reason why I liked it last week was okay
09:04Now we're in the college football play if you want to get extra runs
09:07That's worth it because technically there is no tomorrow if we lose the football game
09:10So when you look at Riley Leonard at 49 and a half, he should easily achieve that
09:14But as always in college football the sack numbers take away from your rush numbers
09:20How many times do you watch like a Jayla Miller like wait a second?
09:22I think I run for minus 15 yards in a game
09:25I just saw him run two times for 25 yards
09:28You take five or six sacks at loss of 15 and 20 yards that goes against your rushing number
09:32Which is why in college sometimes I lean more to the rushing attempts than the actual rushing yards that they have
09:37But I do think if this team is gonna win
09:39There is a correlation if Riley Leonard rushes for 22 yards in this game
09:43They've had a hell of a passing game to try to win
09:46So there is something to be said about he better do that
09:48And also he's gonna have to pick up maybe a bigger chunk because of the electric plays for Jeremiah
09:52Love just might might not be there
09:54Juderian Price is a very good running back and quite frankly
09:56He never got injured at Notre Dame who knows what he'd be looking forward to this year
10:00But love has taken that electricity over and rightfully so he'll get more calories
10:04But if you are looking for a correlation and winning football games and Notre Dame, it's probably directly on the legs of Riley Leonard
10:11Yeah, no doubt about it DRS
10:12He had a funny quote before that quarterfinal matchup against UGA in the offensive coaching staff at Notre Dame his head coach Marcus Freeman
10:20Asking him to slide as they did early in the year and he said at this point
10:24It's really a lost cause Jeremiah. Love is supposed to be good to go
10:30That was the coach speak out of Marcus Freeman
10:32how much pressure will Penn State be able to provide on Notre Dame's Riley Leonard tonight as
10:38Abdul Carter is also supposed to be good to go
10:42That's what James Franklin said in a lead-up to tonight's Orange Bowl on the other side again a passing yards prop that makes you question
10:50What kind of football game are we going to see drew our?
10:54183 and a hook a couple of dynamite touchdown tosses in that fiesta ball quarterfinal matchup against Boise State
11:02Mainly to his outstanding tight end in Tyler Warren
11:05But drew our hasn't been tasked with doing much really the entirety of his career in State College or throughout the college football playoff
11:14171 yards against the Broncos only 25 attempts just a hundred and twenty seven yards against the Mustangs of SMU
11:22Just 22 attempts for drew Allen if Penn State is going to earn a spot in a national championship
11:29Tonight DRS, what do the Nittany Lions need out of drew Allen?
11:33They need him to make the plays. It's almost like, you know, JJ McCarthy clones here at this point
11:38Hey, we know you got talent and boy if you were an assistant like down at SMU or Miami you'd put up numbers
11:42But you're not you're in a system here
11:44That's hand the football off and we need you to make big time throws
11:46You got to be able to make them and he's shown the distance to do that
11:49You're looking at a quarterback that some are saying if he did turn pro this year would be a top 15 pick and he's priced
11:55183 and a college football semi-final game make it make some sense and even to throw two touchdowns is heavily juiced in your favor here
12:02Of getting plus money, but if we are saying side-by-side, which quarterback do you trust throwing the football more? It is drew Allen
12:09I think has a little bit more weapons and also is buoyed by a really good run game and maybe the best
12:13Swiss Army knife at tight end
12:15So my expectations for Drew Aller are through the air tonight, and I do think he will succeed
12:20But does he even need Ben to throw for 185 plus to win this game with what we're expecting at a Notre Dame's offense if
12:26Love isn't a hundred percent tonight
12:29We'll talk more about Penn State's backfield on the other side of the break when our three is set to begin
12:35But if you think Penn State keeps this game close or wins outright
12:38You need Singleton and Allen to be great as they have been our three on the horizon
12:44We welcome you to our number three live right here on the early line on sports grid and all across that space
12:51Grizz network a third and final hour for the most part dedicated to the college football
12:57Playoff it is game day. Once again in the CFP on this Thursday night in Miami
13:03It's the Orange Bowl between Notre Dame and Penn State both the Irish and the Nittany Lions
13:09Looking for a spot in a national championship game to claim that first national crown in nearly four decades
13:16We continue our full breakdown from each and every angle in this third and final hour
13:22we'll hear from the people about tonight's Orange Bowl between the Fighting Irish and the Nittany Lions and then
13:28We'll hear from the mastermind of the college football pigskin Joe Lisi later on in this third and final hour
13:34We'll get you that early prop perspective for the start of a wild-card weekend in the NFL with Tom Vecchio in just a little bit
13:41as well and some of the action around the Association and all the hardwood tonight in
13:47Basketball the RSA jam-packed third and final hour here on this Thursday
13:53Absolutely action never stops you and we have to start like this is the start of something really good Thursday Friday Saturday
13:58Sunday Monday playoff games in college football and in the NFL doesn't get better than that
14:03And certainly every night giving you something
14:05I'm actually more excited about this game tonight Notre Dame at Penn State than I am for Ohio State in Texas
14:10Which we think is gonna be a fun game at a much higher scoring game
14:13But there's a lot of edges tonight to go over and also keep in mind at the fan blue sports book
14:18Betting live could be key tonight because Ben understands this you look at Jeremiah love who's not gonna start the football game
14:24Let's say doesn't right doesn't get a lot of touches in the first quarter
14:26You understand what that game playing is going to be and the same thing with Penn State who's gonna be chasing around Riley Leonard
14:32Is it Abdul Carter shot out of a cannon which he's been the entire season or is he only coming in on?
14:37Third downs to sort of try to save him. There's different angles to play even if you're playing pregame and or live in-game stuff
14:44Yeah, there's no doubt about it the RS and because of that injury perspective to two key significant contributors for both schools on
14:52Different sides of the football you'll get a feel of at the game flow
14:56Looks like tonight and if we are going to see any offense for a very low total of 45
15:02And-a-half, but before we give you more of our thoughts on this game and break it down
15:07Take a another deeper dive into the player props for tonight's Orange Bowl. We get to hear from the people
15:14What is the best bet between Notre Dame and Penn State? We all find out together and fade the public
15:20You
15:27Know that's a lot of love from the public nearly
15:31250 votes the people fired up for a game day once more in the college football playoff in the 12 team era outs at
15:38Sports grid on Twitter. What is the best bet for tonight's college football playoff semi-final game?
15:43The Orange Bowl between Notre Dame and Penn State it is
15:46Is it the Irish as a slight point-and-a-half favorite now just minus 120 on the money line only a 20 cent difference to where?
15:53Penn State stands even money plus 100 getting a point and a half
15:59Could it be the over of that minimal total of 45 and a hook or are we leaning under DRS?
16:05It's really a toss-up between three of our four options
16:08Most of the public 35% backing the Irish tonight as a slight favorite
16:13But 31 and a half also voting for Penn State more than 27% of this vote leaning on the under
16:21Points at a premium which way to DRS vote in this way the public poll
16:26Yeah
16:26What the Penn State plus one and a half so the slight dog here based on this public poll but also be a little bit more
16:32Alarming if let's just say if Penn State and or Notre Dame had like 50 or 60 percent of the vote coming in with a line
16:38That's basically a take home at minus 120 plus 100 on that money line number
16:42So I don't feel too bad about sort of fading the public but it is really close and also there are key edges on both
16:47sides this is going to be a good football game and also we're expecting it to be closer to the vest as opposed to a
16:52Game that might have 55 and a half or 65 and a half points
16:55So points certainly we had a premium tonight and long drives are what we're anticipating for me
16:59I just think Penn State overall has the better players at running back at tight end
17:04Maybe at wide receiver and the quarterback who can deliver those passes
17:08But both of these football games have won all year long and also the thing we like about this game for the past 25 years
17:13In big game spots, you don't know tourist Lee think of Notre Dame and Penn State winning an absolute big spots
17:19Somebody tonight is going to have to win in a big spot and it's gonna be fun to watch to see which team does it
17:25and which team doesn't
17:27Notre Dame won its first major ball game with the victory in the Sugar Bowl against Georgia in more than three
17:34Decades Penn State is one major ball games
17:36That they have been expected to win on the outside of the college football
17:40Playoff in the last few years the Nittany Lions even if it's only 20 cents though in
17:46underdog for tonight's Orange Bowl the Nittany Lions with James Franklin since
17:512022 oh and six straight up as an underdog
17:56One and five against the spread the only cover for Penn State back in the 2022 matchup against Ohio State
18:04They lost that game by 13
18:06But with a late touchdown came through the back door to cover as a 15 and a half
18:12Point dog Penn State expected to win a game as good as you will find and I mean that at the power conference level
18:19But even whenever so slightly not expected to win outright
18:23That's where things become tricky for the Nittany Lions big matchup between Marcus Freeman
18:29Trying to prove he is on the upper echelon of coaches in college football
18:33even on the younger side in for James Franklin to win a game that
18:39Often Penn State has not and Donnie. That's a part of this conversation a narrative as well
18:44Penn State was expected to blow out at some you at home inside Beaver Stadium check
18:49They were expected to cruise past Ashton Gentee and Boise State
18:53They did exactly that check but this is a time where Penn State is catching points and that has been an issue for
19:00Penn State under James Franklin
19:03Let's talk more of the matchup tonight those key matchups that I would like to highlight as well
19:09Notre Dame against Georgia just 66 yards allowed on the ground
19:132.2 yards per carry against Indiana a better rushing attack than even that of UGA this year only
19:2063 yards allowed 2.1 yards per pop Notre Dame throughout the regular season allowed more than a hundred and thirty-three
19:28yards per
19:29Game because you can't often throw on Notre Dame who has been a top five passing defense and all three seasons under Marcus Freeman
19:36This year third best passing defense statistically in all of college football
19:41Nobody takes the ball away better than Notre Dame as well
19:44Drs 31 takeaways this year the most at FBS college football
19:49148 points off those takeaways also the most in college football
19:55Yes, and I agree with you on that because when you're winning football games what the most people say who's going to win the turnover?
20:01Battle because if you do that, you're giving yourself extra possessions and stalling out tribes for the opposing team
20:06But if we are saying alright Penn State, can they move the football in the air?
20:09I do believe they can Harrison Wallace not a great wide receiver
20:12But certainly a solid one but Tyler Warren at tight end certainly provides that extra oomph
20:16Which a lot of teams don't get the luxury. He can run the football. He can throw the football
20:20He can catch the football. He does it all
20:22so when you're looking at Notre Dame in that secondary they're gonna be tested because drew Aller has one of the best arms in college
20:28football if they're able to connect and we're not talking about
20:31275 plus in the air we talked about his price point around 183 to 185 if he throws for 200 yards
20:37That means you're keeping that team honest
20:38Which gives you extra rushing lanes to lean on that defense for four quarters and eventually one of those two running backs
20:44If not, both of them will be able to break through as we've seen in the past
20:47I just think the design of Penn State
20:50Executing against Notre Dame's defense is gonna be a little bit easier than Notre Dame's offense
20:54Executing against Penn State's defense and we're sort of looking at Jeremy
20:57I love as that X factor if he's 100% healthy
21:00He can make the big play in the passing game and also in the running game
21:03But if he's not it turns into a more methodical game without a great passing game
21:07I just think it's gonna be a little bit tougher for Notre Dame to score then Penn State
21:12Running backs on the other side in the biggest games this year for the Nittany Lions Big Ten title game
21:17There are two matchups in the college football playoff
21:19Both Katron Allen and Nick Singleton in the same games have had at least 70 rushing yards
21:26They both are elite a two-headed monster in the backfield or on the early line net
21:31For the first time in the first ever 12 team college football playoff
21:36We have reached the final four and a semi final round that begins tonight in the Orange Bowl in Miami
21:43Between Notre Dame and Penn State so to help us continue our breakdown
21:47Preview and give out some best bets who better to join us than the mastermind of the college football pigskin
21:54That is Joe
21:56Lisi and looking very sharp might I add bright and early on this Thursday morning
22:02Can we go to the ice so quickly for Lisi guys so you can see in its full essence
22:07How beautiful that jacket looks it matches nighttime in Death Valley
22:12It matches the stage and the significance for tonight's game in South, Florida Lisi guys
22:18Always we appreciate the time here on the early line
22:22No, anytime guys love the show the Shawn Stiletto
22:26Special for the Garden State breaking it out black on black with a little pinstripe
22:32Doesn't get better than this when Notre Dame in Penn State's on tap
22:41You are often the fashion police here on the show
22:45Would you like to be fashion police briefly just of Joe Lisi's attire for the Orange Bowl tonight?
22:51Like it looks like maybe he was like a male cheerleader in the 30s for the Chicago Bears or something at this point, right?
22:57Like he got that from his great-grandpappy. I like you know, I mean bringing it back
23:04Let's go
23:16Like is it a sweater like what is this?
23:19Like can you stand up? Like can we get wide now and get a preview?
23:22What are you talking about?
23:25It looks like a sweatshirt like it feels like you like it like a like a big M like in high school
23:30I can't have like a logo right in the middle of that sweatshirt. He does
23:34Yeah
23:35It does look a little bit like
23:381930s ask some sort of sports attire or memorabilia. Listen, I think he looks pretty good
23:45But I knew we were gonna have some fun here joking around with Donny
23:48Would you like to say anything in response Lisey guy before we actually break out and preview the game?
23:53Yeah out of all three of us. I'm the only one that could pull this off. So yeah, so I didn't expect you
23:59To like what?
24:01We're talking about
24:04What we're talking I mean listen, I I
24:06Agree, I would never even think of pulling that off. Never even attempted not so sure about that
24:14You're good man, you're good when when Lisey is here just brings even more out of you. All right
24:21Let's preview the actual game
24:22The Orange Bowl tonight the seven seed Notre Dame the six seed Penn State and Joe as we know and where this line opened up
24:29It was always expected to be close. Notre Dame a slight favor
24:34Just 20 cents of difference as we get ready for the matchup
24:37Tonight in Miami our lowest of the two totals that we have for our CFP semis at
24:4445 and a hook where do you start your breakdown for this game between the Fighting Irish and the Nittany Lions?
24:50Well, I think it really goes to which team were you more impressed with in terms of both of their wins?
24:55Were you were more impressed with Notre Dame in terms of back-to-back wins against Indiana and Georgia?
25:01Or were you more impressed with Penn State and their ability to manhandle both SMU and Boise State?
25:07I think when you look at Notre Dame and their road right now
25:10They were able to run the football even though they had the big run week one in terms of the playoffs against, Indiana
25:16They still rushed for well over 150 yards
25:19well over four yards per carry in terms of the
25:22Statistical output and they shut down Curtis work in that matchup in the rushing attack, Indiana
25:27And they followed it up with another dominating defensive performance over Gunnar Stockton
25:32And I think that's the matchup later tonight. Can't rule out or exploit that secondary
25:37That's basically holding opposing quarterbacks to 50% completion percentage
25:41They've only allowed 12 passing touchdowns all year and have forced 18 interceptions
25:47They're gonna need a big day in my opinion. If you're a Penn State Packer from jewel or in the passing attack
25:53I just don't think they could do it
25:55I think Notre Dame is the more complete team and that's why I would lay the one and a half a little bit later
26:00tonight guys
26:01Let's look at that total Joe sits at 45 and a half
26:04We just had our fade the public poll and the majority of the public is saying this game is going to be an under if
26:09It isn't over. How does it get there? Who are the players to watch out for to help get that over?
26:14I think it's both quarterbacks and Donnie
26:17I'm already booked in and booked on the 45 and a half and I already altered it as
26:21High as 49 and a half in terms of the all-market a plus 134. I do believe it's both quarterbacks again
26:28I think in this type of matchup, you can't just run the football and expect to have success early on
26:33You have to break tendency be more aggressive on first and second downs
26:38I think Riley Leonard his number is 163 and a half
26:41I think he can get to 175 200 and on the flip side for Drew Aller
26:46I think it's imperative that Penn State does throw for well over 200 yards if they're gonna pull this ball game out
26:52I just have more confidence in Notre Dame and their offensive line that I do Penn State right now
26:58And again, you look at Notre Dame Notre Dame shut down, Georgia to 62 rushing yards as well as, Indiana
27:04So drew Allah better have a big day over the top tonight guys
27:09So please see guys just so you know and you can add it to the algo if necessary in our fade the public poll
27:15More than 34% Notre Dame. I'm with a point and a half Lana point and a half 31% with Penn State
27:22Taking the point and a half, but basically picking Penn State to win outright more than 27% on the under only 5%
27:30backing the over of 45 and
27:33That is a Joe Mo
27:35Joe post special as he likes it for tonight's Orange Bowl in the college football playoff
27:41Semi-final Lisi guy you lean with Notre Dame. You do think we see more points than expected tonight in South Florida
27:48So when you focus on the Irish and how the offensive scheme will look tonight other might under Mike Den Brock
27:54Who needs to step up in the biggest stage of the year for Notre Dame?
27:59Obviously, it's Riley Leonard
28:00But phase on great house those wide receivers need to step up and we saw it in terms of early success against, Georgia
28:07They were able to throw the football
28:10Consistently and that allowed Riley Leonard of the rushing attack to take over once they had a double-digit lead
28:15So when you look at great house
28:16He's got a cheap number tonight at 11 and a half phase on I believe is in the high 20s or 30s
28:22I think he could break out as well. So that's the way I'm looking in terms of both of these players tonight
28:27You know all the receivers at Notre Dame and then obviously anytime touchdown is on the table as well for Riley Leonard and the crew
28:36If we are taking a look at the ground attack
28:38Which is going to be prevalent tonight to really good running backs for Penn State and also theoretically two really good running backs for Notre
28:44Dame but the question is Joe if we open this game as you're watching it live on set loves a
28:4835 and a half if he's not all there or getting the carries
28:51Does that just a direct correlation where you now move to Riley Leonard and also the price or if he's not healthy?
28:57Does that mean more passing attack here possibility for Riley Leonard?
29:00Yeah, I'm not gonna back Jeremiah love in terms of the total yards Donnie because of the injury if anything
29:06I would take him for an anytime touchdown in terms of goal line situations
29:10They want the bigger back in there and that could be value for Notre Dame, but I agree with that
29:15I think it's Riley Leonard through the air over the one sixty four and a half again
29:19I altered him as high as 200 they throw to run the football a little bit later in the matchup
29:25But again, his mobility will be critical
29:27He had 80 yards on the ground against Georgia's defense that can run sideline to sideline and we saw you know
29:33Boise State moved the football as well
29:35I think Riley Leonard in terms of the RPO game
29:38Later in the matchup if they do have a lead could be a factor
29:41So I would back Riley Leonard through the air and also on the ground
29:44But I would take Jeremiah love in terms of anytime touchdown tonight guys
29:49Maddox Madsen did throw for three bills in the air. I'll be it with three
29:55Interceptions both Penn State's defense and Notre Dame's have been ball Hawks and keying in on takeaways all
30:02Year long Jeremiah love who tweaked that knee injury
30:07Reaggravating it in the third quarter against Georgia in the Sugar Bowl that game against the Dawgs
30:11Yo, the only game love did not score this year had scored in each of the previous 13 contests for Notre Dame
30:19This season, but show you the props for Penn State
30:22I'll ask you a question on the other side and maybe Donnie will do the same for that backfield of Nick Singleton and
30:29Catron Allen key for Notre Dame to slow down the rushing attack of Penn State tonight
30:34But least you got the number on Drew Allard does certainly stand out
30:38What does Penn State need out of Drew Allard if they are going to stay in this game?
30:43Joe Lisi breaks it down for you up next live right here on the early line
30:47We continue our preview of the Orange Bowl next the college football
30:52Playoffs semifinals over the next two days starting on this Thursday in Miami in the Orange Bowl in a preview of the Cotton Bowl in
31:00Dallas tomorrow night between Ohio State and Texas as well the mastermind of the pigskin Joe
31:05Lisi is back for a second consecutive segment right before the commercial break Joe. I mentioned the passing yards prop of
31:13Drew Allard you see it there. It is not overly high
31:17Entering the Orange Bowl tonight against Notre Dame
31:20183 and a hook if Penn State is going to stay in this game tonight against the Irish and perhaps win
31:27Outright to book a spot in the national championship
31:30What does Andy Kudlnick his offense and those Penn Staters need out of Drew Allard in the aerial attack tonight against the Irish?
31:38It needs to look similar to what they did against USC in the second half of that game earlier in the year
31:44They need to spread Notre Dame out and challenge that defense over the top
31:48And then they could run the football with Katron Allen and and singleton later in the matchup
31:53I honestly believe that I would take away if I'm Notre Dame Tyler Warren
31:58So you need those other playmakers to step up?
32:00Evans and Wallace at the wide receiver position and think about what Notre Dame did against, Georgia. They took away
32:07Oscar Delp, and they took away
32:10Lawson lucky as well in terms of the tight end matchup. I cannot allow Tyler Warren to beat me tonight
32:16He's got a 63 and a half number
32:18we know that's the security blanket for Drew Allard in terms of this matchup take him away and
32:24Force the game on the Penn State wide receivers if they could do that
32:28I think Notre Dame has a recipe to win the game
32:30But if Penn State wins those wide receivers Evans and Wallace need to step up what a huge performance tonight
32:38Should be a really good game tonight
32:39And then again another national semifinal on Friday night between Ohio State and Texas from Jerry world
32:45Five and a half point number in this game as a favorite towards, Ohio State total Joe 53 and a half
32:50Let me ask you this question first
32:51Is there too much recency bias going into Ohio State?
32:55Hammering their previous two opponents and Texas not getting enough respect or is that line warranted in your mind?
33:01No, it's not warranted
33:02I think it's just an overreaction of what we saw over the past two two games and again
33:08Yes, Ohio State is hitting on all cylinders. Will Howard's playing lights out completing well over 73
33:14Percent of his passes Jeremiah Smith the Mika Buka they're hitting on all cylinders
33:19but again
33:19I think a lot was taken in terms of the game of Texas and Arizona State people are
33:24Assuming that Arizona State was just Boise State and SMU and that's not the case
33:29They were a very physical group offense and defense lines
33:32They were battle-tested had one of the best running backs in the country and again, Texas still won that matchup
33:38They won it by eight points granted in overtime, but they still found a way to pull it out
33:43I do not believe that Ohio State's gonna have this success that they had
33:47Against Tennessee and Oregon in terms of the passing attack
33:51This is one of the best secondaries with Notre Dame in all the college football in terms of Texas
33:56They forced 21 interceptions have only allowed eight passing touchdowns all season long and held opposing quarterbacks to 58%
34:05Completion percentage. I think Texas is live as a dog. I took them on the money line guys
34:11So from the yardage output lazy guy, Texas has been the best statistical passing defense throughout the regular season
34:17Only allowing just a tick over a hundred and forty six yards per game
34:22I was going to ask you you think the Longhorns are alive to keep this game close and within margin
34:28But you just shared it there
34:30Texas out right on the money line in the in-state showdown for the Longhorns
34:35inside AT&T
34:37Stadium Lisa guy when you talk about Texas is passing defense
34:41That's one side of the football under Pete Kwiatkowski
34:43But on the other side for that Longhorns offense coordinated by Steve Sarkeesian against the nation's best scoring defense in
34:51Ohio State what do the Longhorns do?
34:53Well offensively to try to win this game out right against the Buckeyes
34:57Well, I think their passing attack is much better than Tennessee's in Oregon
35:01You know
35:02You look at Oregon and granted Dylan Gabriel didn't step up in terms of the first half of that matchup
35:07Tess Johnson was nicked up in terms of the first quarter Evan Stewart
35:11Their slot receiver didn't even play in that game because he was injured in pregame
35:15We know about this passing attack by Quinn yours. They're gonna challenge, Ohio State over-the-top gunner
35:22Helm, I think is the x-factor as well
35:23He came on in terms of the overtime period against Arizona State. They talked to forty four and a half on them
35:30I think Ohio State has shown at times to be exploited by the tight end
35:34Expecting a big game at a gunner helm expecting a big game at a Quinn yours again
35:39I think they have the speed to challenge, Ohio State over-the-top. This is not a slow offense by Texas
35:45We're Jaden blue and Weissner coming out of the backfield as well in terms of the passing attack
35:50I think they could create mismatches and I think it's game on guys
35:54I don't know if we get over the 53 and a half
35:56I trend to the under in terms of this matchup
35:59But I think I think Texas has the speed offensively to put up some points and definitely win this ballgame out, right?
36:06Lot of question marks around Q Quinn yours, which means how well is he gonna play in this game?
36:11We'll find out when he does transfer if he does how much money is he going to get?
36:15But my question is is he gonna play this as a complete game or do we see packages for Arch Manning and Joe?
36:20Right up your alley. Can I sell you on at any time touchdown out of Arch Manning at a 12 to 1 price?
36:28Yeah, Johnny you can I mean, that's a great bet
36:31I mean the reason why I say that is now it's all hands on deck, right?
36:34We saw Arizona State pushed them to the limit in terms of that matchup in the second half
36:40They had a double-digit lead. We've seen Texas at times with big leads Vanderbilt earlier in the year
36:46They play down and allow teams back in right?
36:49This is an opportunity in a semi-final playoff game where if they're not starting fast, it's all hands on deck
36:55They need to win this game and they haven't used arch in terms of the playoff situation
37:00Just yet in a big matchup in terms of breaking tendency
37:04I think it's a pretty good look and especially in terms of red zone opportunities 12 to 1 is a good look
37:10All right, you're not gonna want to talk about it. Whoo. Look at that moving long reverse the wrong way
37:16Yeah, is the mark like it even more you guys always know we like it even more than yep
37:21Oh, all right
37:22Fair enough
37:23and I would just say at least a guy in your projections right national championship game a week from this upcoming Monday in Atlanta would
37:30be Notre Dame and
37:32Texas the Longhorns right now four to one price second best number to win a national championship
37:37Notre Dame five to one just 50 cents in front of Penn State the Nittany Lions the longest price
37:43But only back at plus 550 if that is how you see it if you agree with Joe
37:48This is your time right now before the semi-finals begin to get in on those national championship numbers
37:55With the Buckeyes a minus money odds on favorite at minus one thirty