MEDI1TV Afrique : JT Economie - 20/01/2025
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00:00After an initial estimate of 2.9% for 2024, the Moroccan economy should show a growth of 3.9% in 2025, before slowing to 3.4% in 2026, according to recent forecasts from the World Bank.
00:29The international institution specifies that the persistent drought has affected the economic activity in full swing, but the country could exceed the average growth of the economies of the Middle East and North Africa region, expected at 3.4% in 2026.
00:46In the MENA region, economic growth should expect 4.1% in 2026, after a modest 1.8% in the previous year.
00:56Globally, the world economy should record a growth of 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, at a rate comparable to that of the previous year.
01:08In Morocco, the official reserves have been established at 367.8 billion dirhams as of January 10, an increase of 3.2% in annual flows, according to Banq al-Marib, which specifies that exchange reserves are experiencing a drop of 1.4% from one week to the next.
01:28In his latest weekly bulletin, Banq al-Marib indicates that the dirham has appreciated 0.1% compared to the euro and remained almost stable vis-à-vis the US dollar, while during this period no adjudication operation has been carried out on the exchange market.
01:47Back to growth forecasts, but this time on the side of the International Monetary Fund.
01:53The institution has published its forecast for the world economy, now expected at 3.3% this year, with a revision of 0.1% but with more and more differences between countries and regions.
02:10Among the main world economies, the United States has the most marked revision with more than 0.5 percentage points, with an expected growth of 2.7% this year, increasing the gap with other advanced economies, especially the European Union.
02:28Another good news, given the FMI report, is that inflation for advanced economies should be almost back to the 2% target of major central banks, with 2.1% expected for this year and 2% in 2026.
02:45In international economic news, industrial production also rebounded in December in the United States, beyond the expectations of analysts, according to the monthly survey of the Federal Reserve.
02:58Industrial production has progressed by 0.9% compared to the month of November, while the markets expected a 0.3% increase per month.
03:09The Central American Bank has also revised the evolution of industrial production for the month of November, which has finally progressed by 0.2% and has not receded by 0.1% as initially announced.
03:23According to the Federal Reserve, the aeronautical sector has particularly contributed to this improvement following a strike by an important manufacturer, in this case Boeing.
03:34Mineral production increased by 1.8% after falling by 0.5% in November, and public utility production gained 2.1%, supported by a strong progression of natural gas.
03:52We conclude our edition of this Monday in France, where business failures reached 65,764 over 12 months in December, an increase of 16.8% compared to December 2023.
04:07A situation due, according to the Bank of France, partially to the recovery of non-surviving failures during COVID-19. Failures over 12 months were slightly less high in November, at 65,298, but their progression over a year was greater than 18.8%.
04:27The strongest increase is found in real estate activities, with more than 31.2% over a year. Transportation and lodging are also at a very high level, as are failures in finance and insurance, with a percentage of more than 26.9% over a year.
04:46We come to the end of our edition today. Thank you for your loyalty. Good luck with the programs on our antenna.
04:57Transcription by ESO. Translation by —