👉 Las intensas lluvias han provocado inundaciones masivas en el centro-sur de la provincia de Buenos Aires, afectando cerca de 2 millones de hectáreas. Las zonas más impactadas incluyen Olavarría, General La Prida y Benito Juárez, donde los daños productivos son significativos. Cultivos como girasol, soja y maíz están en riesgo, mientras que la ganadería enfrenta desafíos para trasladar animales a terrenos secos. Las pérdidas económicas se estiman en miles de millones de pesos. La situación es crítica con caminos rurales intransitables y un impacto social considerable.
👉 Seguí en #OtraMañana
👉 Seguí en #OtraMañana
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00I was telling you a while ago that all the rains that were falling
00:06almost hit a corridor to the south of the province of Buenos Aires
00:12for many days.
00:15And what you see are floods in many areas.
00:18Because not only in Bahia Blanca, of course,
00:21it's an urban center, so it's a tragedy.
00:24But look at what the fields are like.
00:27La Madrina.
00:57Pablo Antonio Araje, good morning.
01:00Good morning, how are you? Nice to talk to you.
01:03Two million hectares are calculated under water throughout the province?
01:07Or does it include La Pampa as well?
01:10No, no.
01:11These two million hectares are only in the central-southwestern sector of the province,
01:16which is what would be Olavarría, General Laprida, La Madrid, Benito Juárez,
01:21Chaves, Pringles, Deró, which is where the epicenter of the flood is today.
01:27But there are very complicated areas, especially for the center of the province,
01:32such as Enderson, Carlos Casares, Nueve de Julio and Peguajó,
01:37which are not yet appreciated because it is a more agricultural area,
01:41where the water is, but it is below the crops
01:44and images have not yet been able to determine what the real damage is.
01:49But in the areas of Carlos Casares and Nueve de Julio, for example,
01:53in the last 30 days, between 500 and 700 millimeters have fallen,
01:57which is also totally crazy because more or less around a thousand rain in the year,
02:03and that in 30 days such a large amount of water has fallen,
02:07it is going to be seen in the same way that it is being seen in these images,
02:10that there are other types of flatter fields with other types of vegetable cover,
02:15but the situation is the same.
02:17Pablo, and what are the most affected crops at this time?
02:22And in this particular area that we were talking about, which is the southwest area,
02:27let's say a predominantly cattle area, where 70-75% is cattle,
02:32but there basically what there is today is sunflower that was about to be harvested,
02:37the machines should have already entered,
02:39but let's remember that it has been raining for 10-15 days,
02:42which the losses of the sunflower are going to be very important,
02:45there are already lots that have been completely lost
02:47and there are others that are not known when they will be able to be harvested.
02:50Then more towards the area of July 9, Carlos Cazares and that area,
02:55let's say there we have soy, corn and sunflower too,
02:59we are in what is corn and sunflower soon to harvest,
03:03which will also have important losses, the same for soy.
03:06And then, well, everything that has to do with livestock,
03:09that in that area that we saw there, the images show it,
03:12you have to go out with the animals to dry places,
03:16there are places that animals have been inside a sea of water for 5 days,
03:21people are carrying them as best they can, taking them to higher areas,
03:26you can't get there with trucks,
03:29there are obviously people who have been isolated at the time,
03:32they have already been able to leave the fields,
03:34but hey, the situation has also been very, very serious,
03:38in terms of the social impact it has had,
03:40obviously it is not comparable to what happened in Bahía Blanca, but hey.
03:43No, because it is an urban center, logically,
03:45but in terms of productivity,
03:47it is also dramatic what is happening in the province of Buenos Aires.
03:51No, no, totally, because, and above all,
03:54that is an area, now we are at the entrance,
03:56practically from autumn, where temperatures drop
04:00and the evaporation of what one can expect from the environment is much lower,
04:04it is the shortest days and so on,
04:06which means that the water will remain practically in many places all winter,
04:10and obviously the productive losses of infrastructure,
04:14let's say, all the forage will be lost,
04:17the reserves that were being planned, which is livestock for winter,
04:20that is, we have to see how that issue can be solved for the animals,
04:24let's say, many of the disasters that this will cause,
04:27we will be seeing the impact in the next weeks and months,
04:31because it will really be very, very big,
04:34and it is not yet known, as I repeated before,
04:36how the situation is in the area that is a little more productive,
04:39from agriculture, such as Carlos Cazares,
04:42Nueve de Julio, part of Henderson, Peguajó, right?
04:44Pablo, and how did you estimate the number of hectares?
04:47Do you have any projection of the economic losses?
04:50How much do they rise?
04:52No, no, there is still no determination,
04:54because now we have to see how many animals are really lost,
04:59how everything is left,
05:02let's say, in the agricultural part, in a few days,
05:05with a couple of more satellite images of another type of resolution,
05:09it can be estimated in what is agriculture,
05:12livestock will take longer, because it has other complications,
05:17but surely we are talking about very large losses, in millions, right?
05:23Surely they will exceed the billions of pesos.
05:28And this, beyond impacting at a fundamental moment,
05:31that we are close to harvest,
05:33do you think it can also impact on wheat sowing,
05:36in the next winter crop?
05:39Surely it will impact, because let's say, as I mentioned before,
05:43let's see, a lot of this water, in some places,
05:46there are no necessary works to be able to evacuate it,
05:49and it will remain all winter,
05:51the wheat begins to be sown in 60 days,
05:54and the situation of flooding and others,
05:59it will be impossible to enter with machinery,
06:01in addition to the fact that, obviously, where there is water,
06:04it cannot be sown, but sometimes, where there is no water,
06:07the floor is not firm, the soil is not adequate,
06:09to be able to enter with that machinery,
06:11then, clearly, in this area, there will be an impact,
06:15in terms of what is wheat sowing,
06:17we are a few weeks from starting,
06:20in the area, apart from what we saw towards Coronel Suárez,
06:24Pringles and others, which are also wheat and barley areas,
06:29there, the flow is a little different, faster,
06:32maybe, by the time the wheat has to be sown, it is solved,
06:36but surely it will cause problems,
06:39and a minor sowing can be expected in these areas.
06:42Pablo, thank you very much for your time, very attentive.
06:45No, thank you for spreading the situation.
06:50A producer who has a field under water,
06:52lost absolutely everything.
06:54Yes, and it is also interesting that it shows,
06:57let's see, there is talk of 500,000 hectares directly under water,
07:01and then a million and a half that are very flooded.
07:05Not only that, but Antonio, the rural roads,
07:08that you have to access with machinery,
07:10and this is a fundamental harvest date
07:12of the main production in Argentina, which is soy and corn.
07:14Rural roads that rain and you can no longer enter,
07:16imagine now.
07:17Of course, imagine with ...
07:19Yes, but a producer who has the field under water,
07:21that's it, he lost everything.
07:24He lost his main annual crop, surely.
07:27Yes, but you don't know when,
07:29or you lost it, you have to see what you did with the cattle.
07:31Cattle.
07:32And you don't know when you can plant again,
07:34because I don't know the water, once it is removed,
07:36how long does it take ...
07:37To drain, because in addition,
07:39streams here in Ancho de Salmás are already very loaded.
07:41In addition, you have to wash nutrients, everything.
07:44As far as meteorological is concerned,
07:46I am following practically every 15 days
07:48the meteorological situation,
07:49because there is no phenomenon of Niña,
07:51nor the phenomenon of La Niña,
07:52that is, there is no phenomenon on a global scale
07:54that is anticipating that autumn and winter
07:57can be more rainy or drier than normal.
08:00Then the smaller scales predominate.
08:02The cold front passage is what happens
08:05with the intensity of the winds in the Antarctic region,
08:07and that will be prevailing and predominating
08:11the rain or the precipitation regime
08:13during the next 5 or 6 months.