Following the Pahalgam terror attack, foreign affairs experts raise alarms over China's involvement.Analysts claim China is offering direct support to Pakistan amid escalating regional tensions.
The revelations add new dimensions to Indo-China-Pakistan strategic dynamics.
Calls grow for a global response to terror financing and proxy support networks.
#PahalgamAttack #ChinaPakistan #TerrorSupport #ForeignAffairs #Geopolitics #IndiaChina #IndiaPakistan #ProxyTerrorism #SouthAsiaSecurity #Pahalgam2025 #TerrorFunding #GlobalSecurity
The revelations add new dimensions to Indo-China-Pakistan strategic dynamics.
Calls grow for a global response to terror financing and proxy support networks.
#PahalgamAttack #ChinaPakistan #TerrorSupport #ForeignAffairs #Geopolitics #IndiaChina #IndiaPakistan #ProxyTerrorism #SouthAsiaSecurity #Pahalgam2025 #TerrorFunding #GlobalSecurity
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NewsTranscript
00:00He said that there should be a swift and fair investigation into the Palgaum terror attacks.
00:08That is quite strange because when the Urumqi incident happened in 2009,
00:15the Chinese did not allow for any global investigators to go into the terror incidents.
00:221965 India-Pakistan War, 1971 War, Kargil War in the 90s.
00:30When you look at these incidents, China had supported Pakistan indirectly.
00:35Of course, 2025 they may directly support inside the territories of China or Pakistan.
00:42Instead of being a defensive, we are now planning for an offensive campaign.
00:47Sir, recently this Palgaum attack has happened and after that there is an ongoing hustle
00:55or you can say a flare-up between India and Pakistan.
00:59You being a Chinese expert, how do you look at China's position in this?
01:03Because China has been always a friend for Pakistan and openly or closely they are supporting Pakistan always.
01:13How do you look at the position?
01:15Well, the Chinese spokesperson Mr. Kuo had condemned the incident that happened on April 22nd.
01:23He had also said that they expressed sympathies to the victims etc.
01:29So those cordial things have been mentioned.
01:32However, there was no support extended to India.
01:38Like President Putin mentioned, like other leaders have mentioned.
01:44The Foreign Minister of China spoke to his Pakistani counterpart Mr. Dar on April 27th, three days ago.
01:54And in this he said that there should be a swift and fair investigation into the Palgaum terror attacks.
02:04Now that is quite strange because when the Urumqi incident happened in 2009, the Chinese did not allow for any global investigators to go into the terror incidents.
02:19Likewise, when COVID-19 erupted in China, there was no investigation despite Australian Prime Minister seeking for an investigation into the origins of the virus.
02:32So, if the Chinese have not allowed for an investigation, so this suggestion looks quite strange and also problematic.
02:47Secondly, the Pakistanis were allowed by India after the Patankot terror incident when the airbase incident happened.
02:59So, we allowed a Pakistani expert group to come and investigate.
03:03After that, they did not release any report regarding the Patankot.
03:09And then also there was no major consequence after the investigation was done in countering terrorists or in addressing the issue of terrorism itself.
03:24Though the Chinese offer then looks like more buying time and stalling any action that the Prime Minister Mr. Narendra Modi had promised in the Bihar election campaign.
03:38When he said that we will pursue, we will have a hard pursuit of the terrorists or their backers.
03:43So, the Chinese suggestion then looks like more buying time rather than either supporting India on the counter-terrorism effort or in pursuing this matter in terms of the 1267 committee of the United Nations Security Council.
04:03So, all this suggests that the all-weather friendship which was reiterated in Wang Yi's speech with the Pakistanis, that is intact and that means that we should not expect any Chinese support for the counter-terrorism related matters with China.
04:24Sir, apart from counter-terrorism cooperation, do you also expect in case there is a bigger flare-up from the Indian side or hot pursuit as promised by Pakistan, do you think China is going to militarily or financially or in a resource sharing with Pakistan?
04:43Sir, if you look at the history, 1965 India-Pakistan War, 1971 War, Kargil War in the 90s, when you look at these incidents, China had supported Pakistan indirectly, not directly, indirectly meaning opening another front, that is the northern front, the border front with India.
05:08They have released Yaks during the 71 campaign.
05:13They have demanded India to withdraw troops from Sikkim in the 1965 war.
05:21During Kargil, they have trained the Pakistan Air Force at Skardu Airfield when we had the Kargil incident.
05:31So, these appear then indirect support to Pakistan.
05:36Of course, 2025 they may directly support.
05:40However, there are, for the reasons that CPAC has already been in place, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor,
05:49they have spent $52 billion on this.
05:52And even though the Chinese themselves have a terrorism problem with Pakistan,
05:59because 34 Chinese people were killed in Pakistan in 14 incidents in the last four years.
06:07So, they have a grouse on their own.
06:11Global Times, when the Dasu hydroelectricity project blast took place, killing nine people in 2021,
06:21the Global Times said that China should launch missiles on the terrorist camps in Pakistan.
06:29While the Chinese themselves say they should have a hot pursuit, including use of missiles,
06:38they today do not want India to take similar action on Pakistan.
06:44It indicates then the reluctance, but also possibly indirect to direct support to Pakistan in future,
06:52if the Indian side opens a hot pursuit within Pakistan.
06:57So, this is one factor.
07:00The second factor is, as part of the CPAC, China has 36,000 security guards in Pakistan.
07:07They have nearly 20,000 Chinese workers in different parts of Pakistan on the CPAC-related issues,
07:17or other construction jobs, like in Gwadar, like in other places.
07:23So, if there is a crossfire between India and Pakistan,
07:28if there are Chinese casualties, because many of these are located in the border areas,
07:35like the CPAC projects.
07:37If such a situation happens, it is likely that China may play more direct role
07:44in the India-Pakistan upcoming conflict.
07:47Sir, can we also expect a two-side war, which always is feared by military cavalry?
07:54In 2009, the Indian Armed Forces now began to shift towards the two-front war under nuclear threshold.
08:04And since then, we started deploying S-400 ballistic missile in between Pakistan and China.
08:13Somewhere in Jammu and Kashmir or Himachal.
08:16We do not know exact location of these batteries, but we deployed two counters.
08:22Secondly, we also have strike corps on China, strike corps on Pakistan.
08:28These are basically meant for taking the war inside the territories of China or Pakistan.
08:34Instead of being a defensive, we are now planning for an offensive campaign with these measures.
08:41So, in the light of the 2009 shift from Pakistan to China and also to two-front war under nuclear threshold,
08:52Indian Armed Forces are now preparing for that kind of a contingency since 2009.
08:58The current Pahalgaon incident suggests that China doesn't like the Indian preparation.
09:05So, China wants to confine India to the South Asia box.
09:10And the Pahalgaon incident suggests there is a grand plan that China and Pakistan are actually hatching.
09:19Can you elaborate on the third plan?
09:24During the Cold War, all the Chinese texts, speeches, important documents, they all mention India is an important country in South Asia.
09:39Like the Americans used to say, but then the 1-2-3 agreement and other nuclear agreements with the United States
09:48and the foundational agreements we signed with the United States removed that aspect of confining India to the South Asia box.
09:56However, the Chinese still continue with this discourse that India is an important country in South Asia.
10:04Meaning it is not an important country in the rest of the world, but only confined to South Asia.
10:11China also began a trans-Himalayan quadrilateral dialogue with Afghanistan, Pakistan and Nepal.
10:21And they conduct the Shichang trans-Himalayan conferences.
10:27Four of these were held with the countries of Trans-Himalayan region, excluding India.
10:34So, this is the diplomatic effort.
10:37At the military level, there is the nearly 60% of all Chinese arms transfer abroad have landed in Pakistan.
10:49In Pakistan, including last week's PL-15 air-to-air missiles.
10:56Incidentally, this PL missile was developed with Israeli support.
11:05The Chinese have got these missiles from Israeli collaboration.
11:10Today, they are giving it to Pakistan in order to counter the Rafale aircraft that India has deployed and acquiring.
11:21Which means that both militarily as well as diplomatically, China intends to confine India to the South Asia bloc.
11:31And, of course, at a $4 trillion economy, you cannot be confined to a small region.
11:37You have to trade with every other country.
11:40But, there is this effort to confine to South Asia.
11:44What options do you think India will have?
11:48I think one is, of course, India has to resolve the terrorism issue, hot pursuit by other means.
11:58We have indicated before, after the Pulwama attack, the Balakot strikes.
12:03So, this is one option, which indicates basically that we will have to cross the line of control,
12:12which in any case is abolished by the Pakistani announcement of the de-recognition of the Shimla Pact,
12:21which brought in the line of control.
12:24So, this is no holds barred now in terms of the crossing over into the POK and other areas.
12:34So, that is one option that already indicates.
12:37The second is, as the Prime Minister yesterday mentioned,
12:41a free hand is given to the Indian Armed Forces to resolve what they want to in the best of the circumstances,
12:52which means that there is a tactical action that Indian Armed Forces can take,
12:59both the Navy, Air Force, but most importantly the Army, can take on the Pakistani front.
13:06So, it is a very clear message.
13:09If you remember, the Prime Minister mentioned a similar thing when Galwan happened.
13:15So, we may expect this to continue for some time on what exactly the action that India will take.
13:24The third option, obviously, is putting pressure on Pakistan on the diplomatic isolation and other fora.
13:34of course, the Chinese, the Pakistanis are part of the United Nations Security Council permanent group.
13:44As a part of rotation, they have become one and they diluted the resolution on the Behlgaum incident.
13:53And so, there is, India needs to further these with the other P4 members, permanent 4 members, like Russia, US, Britain and France.
14:06Because last time, when such an incident happened, the Chinese raised the Kashmir issue in the Security Council.
14:14Secondly, in the 1267 Al-Qaeda committee meeting, they have not endorsed the Indian dossiers on Zakirul Rahman, Masud Azhar or other terrorists based in Pakistan.
14:31So, as a result, India needs to further campaign at the diplomatic level and also conduct the counter-terrorism campaign as been mentioned.
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