Weather across the UK and beyond 02/10/2023– Met Office weather forecast UK

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This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the week ahead 02/10/2023.

After a showery start to the week we will develop a north/south split. Whilst high pressure will bring more settled weather in the south it is a different story in the north. Strong winds and heavy rain are likely, especially for western Scotland with totals building up. By the end of the week some warm air is likely to push in from the south.
Bringing you this weekend’s weather forecast is Alex Burkill.

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We are the Met Office, the UK’s national weather service, and every day of the week we bring you a morning weather forecast and an afternoon weather forecast so that wherever you are in the UK we have you covered.

Forecast and any weather warnings are accurate at time of recording. To ensure you have the most up to date weather information, check the hourly forecast and live warnings on the Met Office website or app.

Transcript

00:00 Hello, very good day to you. You may have heard that some warm weather is on its way and well it is,

00:04 but not until the end of the week. For the time being we still have a jet stream running across

00:09 the UK and that's bringing the changeable unsettled weather that's pushing in from the west.

00:14 Looking at the bigger picture and you can see there's an area of low pressure that's

00:18 clearing away towards the east as we go into Tuesday, but tightly packed isobars and various

00:23 occluded features highlight that it's going to be a blustery, showery picture as we go through the

00:28 day. Looking at the details and there is some heavy rain affecting parts of the south southeast

00:32 as we go through Tuesday morning, but that should quickly clear away. Then it's that blustery,

00:37 showery picture. Some of those showers could be quite heavy, perhaps even the odd rumble of thunder,

00:42 but there will be some bright or sunny spells in between those showers. Despite those sunny spells

00:47 though, temperatures are going to be down a couple of degrees to recently, only just about scraping

00:51 into the low 20s towards the southeast and when you factor in those blustery winds it is going to

00:56 feel cooler than that. As we go through the end of Tuesday we are going to see a ridge of high

01:01 pressure building from the south and it's this that's going to dominate our weather across

01:05 southern parts as we go through the rest of the week. A very different story further north though,

01:09 here you can see there's a frontal system pushing its way across and this is going to bring quite a

01:14 bit of cloud and quite a bit of rain as well. The rest of the rain will be pushing in from the west,

01:18 so it's western parts of Scotland which are going to bear the brunt of the rain as we go through

01:23 this week. Further east some rain is going to push its way across as we go through Wednesday,

01:28 but it's going to break up a little bit so it won't be quite as wet as further west. Elsewhere

01:32 and across England, Wales and Northern Ireland, a fairly cloudy picture. There will be some showers

01:37 developing, notice across parts of South Wales, southern south-western England as well. Perhaps

01:41 a drier picture further east and this is where we have the greatest chance of some bright or sunny

01:46 spells. Taking a look at the details about that rain then, we are going to see totals building

01:50 up particularly across parts of south-west Scotland, perhaps up to 70 millimetres here,

01:55 so likely to see a little bit of localised flooding and perhaps even some disruption to travel,

02:00 some significant spray on the roads quite likely. Temperatures down a couple of degrees again

02:05 on Wednesday, just about getting into the high teens towards the south and mid-teens further

02:10 north. The winds won't be quite as blustery perhaps, but still a bit of a breeze around.

02:14 Later on Wednesday we're going to continue to see high pressure dominating the picture across

02:20 more southern parts. Meanwhile a waving front system will continue to influence the weather

02:25 across more northern parts as we go into Thursday and our attention is then turning to this weather

02:30 system. So yes, so Thursday across the northern parts of the UK, likely to be quite cloudy with

02:35 some outbreaks of rain, even some outbreaks of rain for North Wales and Northern England,

02:39 but a drier picture here in the south, albeit turning cloudier through the afternoon. Meanwhile

02:45 across Scotland, Northern Ireland, turning increasingly cloudy, wet and windy as we go

02:49 through the afternoon as that frontal system that I highlighted just a few moments ago pushes its

02:54 way in. So some totals continuing to build up in the west here. Temperatures may be a degree or two

03:00 higher compared to Wednesday, highs around 18 or 19 Celsius and if you get any bright or sunny

03:05 spells and shelter from the wind it should feel relatively warm, but further north and west under

03:10 the cloud, the rain and the strong winds with the risk of some gales it could feel quite unpleasant.

03:16 As we go through Friday then, we're going to see that frontal system continuing to influence the

03:21 weather across more north-northwestern parts. Meanwhile we're still under the influence of

03:26 high pressure towards the south. So for Friday it looks like it's going to be a pretty fine dry day

03:31 across many southern areas. There'll be some high level cloud around so the sunshine could be quite

03:35 hazy or milky at times, but on the whole it is going to be fine and dry. A different story further

03:41 north though, continuing with the cloudy wet theme and the rain always coming in from the west. So

03:46 whilst there will be some heavy bursts of rain across parts of Northern Ireland and eastern parts

03:50 of Scotland, we'll see some rain at times. It's particularly around the western parts of Scotland

03:55 where we're really going to see those totals building up. As we go through Thursday into Friday,

04:00 the western isles could see perhaps 75 to 125 millimetres, perhaps even 150 millimetres of rain

04:06 building up. So again, some flooding is quite a cause for concern and there will also be some

04:11 further disruption to travel. Temperatures generally for many of us will be picking up a

04:16 little bit. You can see highs in the low 20s towards the south-southeast and that's because

04:20 we have some warmer air that is feeding its way in. If we look at the bigger picture again and

04:25 you can see through the end of the week and into the weekend, a frontal system continues over

04:29 Scotland, but the jet stream is pushing its way northwards and so that will allow for some warmer

04:34 air to feed in from the south. So by the time that we get to the weekend, temperatures are likely to

04:39 be even higher still, likely to be in the mid, possibly even high 20s. So some decent warmth on

04:44 the way, which is good news if that's what you're after, not so good news if you're looking forward

04:49 to something a bit fresher for a little while longer. As we look towards the end of the week

04:54 then, we will have more information on it across all of our social media channels, so do keep up

04:58 to date there. Bye-bye.

Weather across the UK and beyond 02/10/2023– Met Office weather forecast UK

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