A double-whammy of tropical moisture is expected to bring drenching rainfall to the Gulf Coast this week and may organize into a tropical system.
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00:00 Well, the Atlantic Basin relatively quiet.
00:02 A couple areas we're watching this tropical wave off the coast of Africa.
00:06 This will likely become a tropical depression or storm.
00:09 We also have this, you know, and we've been talking about this last couple of days.
00:14 We have a frontal boundary, right, that is stalled now across Florida.
00:19 There it goes.
00:20 And anytime you get a boundary, you look for tropical development there, right?
00:24 And just south of there, there's been an area of showers and thunderstorms that we've been
00:28 watching.
00:29 That's been highlighted here on the water vapor loop.
00:31 And again, here's our frontal boundary that stalled from south Texas towards south Florida.
00:36 You look south of there and there's an area of low pressure that's been developing here
00:40 in the Bay of Campeche.
00:42 Nothing that's really organized yet, but I'll tell you what, when you look at the water
00:44 vapor loop, it's in an area and I have it highlighted right now.
00:48 Let me clear everything off here.
00:50 South of 25 degrees north, there's not much wind shear right now and there's a lot of
00:55 moisture.
00:56 There is some drier air, but not a lot.
00:57 So it's got a window, this area of low pressure, until it gets north of 25 degrees north.
01:03 And then you see what's going on here.
01:05 Look at all the winds.
01:06 Look how quickly things are moving from Corpus Christi toward Tampa and off the east coast
01:10 of Florida.
01:11 That's wind shear.
01:12 So once it gets north of 25 degrees north, it does not have a shot to develop.
01:16 So we're going to watch this.
01:17 Its window is closing, but still it's over very warm water and it's got some time.
01:23 I could see how it becomes a depression.
01:25 We'll watch it as it lifts northward.
01:27 Later tonight, during the day on Wednesday, the wind shear is really going to weaken this
01:31 system, although it will be able to produce quite a bit of rain across central and northern
01:35 Florida and that will be the biggest impact.
01:38 Whether this becomes a tropical depression or not, there will be a heavy rain threat
01:41 from the central Gulf Coast states, southern Alabama, southern Georgia and north Florida
01:46 as we get toward Wednesday into Thursday.
01:48 [BLANK_AUDIO]